patterns of growth, economic history, 1 lade 1 patterns of growth: latecomers

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Patterns of Growth, Econo mic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

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Page 1: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

1

PATTERNS OF GROWTH:

LATECOMERS

Page 2: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

2

Laggard countries common features

(Mediterranean countries, Russia, Asian South-East)

Failure to industrialize before 1914 Autocratic and corrupt

governments Low levels of human capital Lack of Agrarian Reform

Page 3: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

3

The Italian Case North-South

gradient Foreign Aid Large Banks State Iniciative

Map of Italian Kingdom

in year 1870

Page 4: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

4

1854-6: Crimean War

1. Feudalism until 18612. Protectionism: ISI (Imports Substitution Industrialization)3. State Intervention (Railways)4. Foreign investment5. Firm concentration and bureaucratization

1890-1905: Acceleration (Railway)

1867-73: First effort

1861: Serf emancipation

1904-5: Russo-Japanese war

1905: First Soviet Revolution

1906: Stolypin Reform

1907-14: Final phase (Banks)

1917: Second Soviet Revolution (Lenin)

Russian CasePeriodification

Features

Page 5: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

5

1854-6: Crimean War

1. Feudalism until 18612. Protectionism: ISI (Imports Substitution Industrialization)3. State Intervention (Railways)4. Foreign investment5. Firm concentration and bureaucratization

1890-1905: Acceleration (Railway)

1867-73: First effort

1861: Serf emancipation

1904-5: Russo-Japanese war

1905: First Soviet Revolution

1906: Stolypin Reform

1907-14: Final phase (Banks)

1917: Second Soviet Revolution (Lenin)

Russian CasePeriodification

Features

Page 6: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

6

Russian Railway

Train Journey through Siberia in 1901 (from Moscu to

Vladivostok) in Transiberian and from Bukhara to Caspian Sea

through Central Asia (Transcapian)

* 1836: First Line* 1856: After Crimean War, in a rush* 1870: Russian Great Railway Company* Boom 1890-1900: Transiberian and Transcaspian Line

Page 7: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

7

- Late Feudalism

- Protectionism

- Militarism and Interventionism

- Export-oriented Industrialiation (EOI)

- Duality: Large Firms (Zaibatsu or Zaikais)/

Small traditional firms

- Social Dumping

- Business paternalism and Toyotism

Shogun Kingdom: Tokugawa (1600-1868)

Meiji Revolution (1868-1912)

Japanese Case

Features

Tokugawa Yoshinobu, last shōgun Tokugawa, 1866-1867

Periodification

Page 8: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

8

Toyotism

1. Automation2. Just-in-time3. Team Work4. Management-by-stress

5. Subcontracting pyramid6. Participative management 7. Low wages, long working days, less social protection 8. Struggle for the global hegemony

Page 9: Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE 1 PATTERNS OF GROWTH: LATECOMERS

Patterns of Growth, Economic History, 1 LADE

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Characteristics (latin pattern)

Periodification

Spanish attempt

XIXth centuryStagnation (1800-60); Slow growth (1860-1900)

XXth centuryFast Growth (1900-30); Depression (1930-50);

Growth (1950)

- Low literacy rates- Slow demographic growth- Chronic deficits and authoritarianism- Agrarian retardment: “Desamortización”