parton distribution functions and their collider applications

87
Parton distribution functions and their collider applications Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) J. Huston, H.-L. Lai, J.Pumplin, D. Stump, W.-K. Tung, C.-P . Yuan progress on CT09 PDF set Rik Yoshida and Steve McGill (ANL) HERAPDF0.2 set Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 1

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Page 1: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Parton distribution functionsand

their collider applications

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU)J. Huston, H.-L. Lai, J.Pumplin, D. Stump, W.-K. Tung, C.-P. Yuan

progress on CT09 PDF set

Rik Yoshida and Steve McGill (ANL)HERAPDF0.2 set

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 1

Page 2: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Wu-Ki Tung1939-2009

¥ Professor of Physics at IIT, Michigan State Universityand University of Washington; well known for his work onhadronic physics

¥ A founder and long-term leader of the CoordinatedTheoretical-Experimental Project on QCD (CTEQ)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 2

Page 3: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

The 1990 paper by Morfinand Tung pioneered theglobal QCD analysis ofparton distributionfunctions (in parallel withthe effort by Martin,Roberts, and Stirling inEurope)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 3

Page 4: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Many common themesof ongoing PDF studies(interplay of constraintsfrom differentexperiments, PDFuncertainties, predictionsfor “precisionobservables”, ...) arealready present in the M-Tpaper

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 4

Page 5: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Many common themesof ongoing PDF studies(interplay of constraintsfrom differentexperiments, PDFuncertainties, predictionsfor “precisionobservables”, ...) arealready present in the M-Tpaper

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 4

Page 6: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Parton distribution functions in 2009

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 5

Page 7: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Parton distribution functions fa/p(x,Q)...¥ ...are universal nonperturbative functions needed for manyperturbative QCD calculations

¥ ... are parametrized as

fi/p(x,Q0) = a0xa1(1− x)a2F (a3, a4, ...) at Q0 ∼ 1 GeV

¥ ... are found from Dokshitzer-Gribov-Lipatov-Altarelli-Parisi

(DGLAP) equations at Q > Q0:

Qdfi/p(x,Q)

dQ=

j=g,u,u,d,d,....

∫ 1

x

dy

yPi/j

(x

y, αs(Q)

)fj/p(y, Q),

with Pi/j known to order α3s (NNLO):

Pi/j (x, αs) = αsP(1)i/j (x) + α2

sP(2)i/j (x) + α3

sP(3)i/j (x) + ...

¥ Free parameters ai and their uncertainties are determined

from a global fit to hadron scattering dataPavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 6

Page 8: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Parton distributions for the Large Hadron ColliderPDF’s must be determined in awide (x,Q) range with accuracy∼ 1% for purposes of...

¥ monitoring of the LHCluminosity, calibration ofdetectors

¥ tests of electroweak symmetrybreaking (EWSB)

¥ searches for Higgs bosons,supersymmetry, etc

¥ discrimination between newphysics models

¥ precision tests of hadronicstructure

10-7

10-6

10-5

10-4

10-3

10-2

10-1

100

100

101

102

103

104

105

106

107

108

109

fixedtarget

HERA

x1,2

= (M/14 TeV) exp(±y)Q = M

LHC parton kinematics

M = 10 GeV

M = 100 GeV

M = 1 TeV

M = 10 TeV

66y = 40 224

Q2

(GeV

2 )

x

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 7

Page 9: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Key Tevatron/LHC measurements require trustworthy PDFs

For example, leading syst. uncertainties in tests of electroweaksymmetry breaking are due to insufficiently known PDFs

EW precision fits

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

10030 300

mH [GeV]

∆χ2

Excluded Preliminary

∆αhad =∆α(5)

0.02758±0.00035

0.02749±0.00012

incl. low Q2 data

Theory uncertaintyJuly 2008 mLimit = 154 GeV

A large part of δMH arises from δP DF MW

EW fits + direct Higgs searches

160 165 170 175 180 185mt [GeV]

80.20

80.30

80.40

80.50

80.60

80.70

MW

[GeV

]SM

MSSM

MH = 114 GeV

MH = 400 GeV

light SUSY

heavy SUSY

SMMSSM

both models

Heinemeyer, Hollik, Stockinger, Weber, Weiglein ’07

experimental errors 68% CL:

LEP2/Tevatron (today)

Tevatron/LHC

SM band: 114 ≤ MH ≤ 400 GeVSUSY band: random scan

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 8

Page 10: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Origin of differences between PDF sets

1. Corrections of wrong or outdated assumptions

lead to significant differences between new (≈post-2007) andold (≈pre-2007) PDF sets

¥ inclusion of (N)NLO QCD, heavy-quark hard scatteringcontributions

I CTEQ6.6 and MSTW’2008 PDFs implement completeheavy-quark treatment; previous PDFs are obsolete without it

I “NNLO” contributions are not automatically equivalent tobetter theory; to claim that, instabilities at small x or nearheavy-quark thresholds must be also “tamed”

¥ relaxation of ad hoc constraints on PDF parametrizations

¥ improved numerical approximations

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 9

Page 11: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Origin of differences between PDF sets

2. PDF uncertainty

a range of allowed PDF shapes for plausible input assumptions,partly reflected by the PDF error band

is associated with

¥ the choice of fitted experiments

¥ experimental errors propagated into PDF’s

¥ handling of inconsistencies between experiments

¥ choice of factorization scales, parametrizations for PDF’s,higher-twist terms, nuclear effects,...

leads to non-negligible differences between the newest PDF sets

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 9

Page 12: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Nucleon PDFs: selection of experimental data

DIS-based analyses ⇒ focus on the most precise (HERA DIS) data

¥ NC DIS, CC DIS, NC DIS jet, c and b production (H1, ZEUS, HERAPDF)

¥ some fixed-target DIS and Drell-Yan data, compatible with HERADIS at ∆χ2 = 1 level (S. Alekhin)

Global analyses (CT09, MSTW’2008, NNPDF1.1)

⇒ focus on completeness, reliable flavor decomposition

¥ all HERA data + fixed-target DIS data

I notably, CCFR and NuTeV νN DIS constraining s(x,Q)

¥ low-Q Drell-Yan (E605, E866), Run-1 W lepton asymmetry,Run-2 Z rapidity (CT09, MSTW’08, upcoming NNPDF2.0)

¥ Tevatron Run-2 jet production, W asymmetry (CT09, MSTW’08)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 10

Page 13: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Confidence intervals in global PDF analyses

CTEQ6 tolerance criterion (2001)

¥ acceptable values of PDF parameters must agree at ≈90% c.l.with all experiments included in the fit, for a plausible range oftheoretical assumptions

¥ is realized by accepting all PDF fits with ∆χ2 < T 2 ≈ 100

¥ this criterion is modified in the new CT09 fit (Pumplin et al., arXiv:0904.2424)

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

dist

ance

Eigenvector 4

BC

DM

Sp

BC

DM

Sd

H1a

H1b

ZE

US

NM

Cp

NM

Cr

CC

FR2

CC

FR3

E60

5

CD

Fw

E86

6

D0j

et

CD

Fjet

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

dist

ance

Eigenvector 18

BC

DM

Sp

BC

DM

Sd

H1a

H1b

ZE

US

NM

Cp

NM

Cr

CC

FR2

CC

FR3

E60

5

CD

Fw

E86

6

D0j

et

CD

Fjet

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 11

Page 14: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Confidence intervals in global PDF analyses

MSTW tolerance criterion (2008)

¥ an evolved version of the original tolerance criterion

¥ T 2 is calculated independently for each PDF eigenvector

¥ is close on average to T 2 ≈ 50 (but for which assumptions?)

Eigenvector number

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 201 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

glo

bal

2 χ∆T

ole

ran

ce T

=

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

(MRST)50+

(MRST)50-

(CTEQ)100+

(CTEQ)100-

NC

H1

ep 9

7-00

N

Cr

σH

1 ep

97-

00

2d

NM

C

µ→

Nu

TeV

Xµµ

→Nν

Nu

TeV

µ→

NνC

CF

R

E86

6/N

uS

ea p

d/p

p D

YE

866/

Nu

Sea

pd

/pp

DY

Xµµ

→Nν

Nu

TeV

3

N x

Nu

TeV

Xµµ

→N

νN

uT

eV

µ→

Nu

TeV

asy

m.

νl→

II W

∅D

2d

BC

DM

S

2d

BC

DM

S

2p

BC

DM

S

NC

H1

ep 9

7-00

N

Crσ

ZE

US

ep

95-

00

2d

BC

DM

S

2S

LA

C e

d F

NC

rσH

1 ep

97-

00

NC

ZE

US

ep

95-

00

E86

6/N

uS

ea p

d/p

p D

YE

866/

Nu

Sea

pd

/pp

DY

E86

6/N

uS

ea p

p D

Y3

N x

Nu

TeV

2d

NM

C

asy

m.

νl→

II W

∅D

NC

H1

ep 9

7-00

2

N F

νN

uT

eV

Xµµ

→N

νC

CF

R

E86

6/N

uS

ea p

d/p

p D

Y

Xµµ

→Nν

Nu

TeV

µ→

NνC

CF

R

asy

m.

νl→

II W

∅D

E86

6/N

uS

ea p

d/p

p D

Y

NC

H1

ep 9

7-00

N

Crσ

H1

ep 9

7-00

3N

xF

νN

uT

eV

Xµµ

→Nν

Nu

TeV

MSTW 2008 NLO PDF fit

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 12

Page 15: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Confidence intervals in global PDF analyses

Neural Network PDF

PDFsUnweightedai

χ2

AveragePDFA very general approach that

¥ realizes stochastic sampling ofthe probability distribution inPDF parameter space(Alekhin; Giele, Keller, Kosower)

¥ parametrizes PDF’s by flexibleneural networks

¥ does not rely on smoothnessof χ2 or Gaussianapproximations

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 13

Page 16: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 17: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 18: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 19: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 20: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 21: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 22: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 23: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 24: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Effect on W/Z ratio at the LHC

A. Cooper-Sarkar, Workshop on early LHC data, London, March 2009

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 22

Page 25: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Effect on W/Z ratio at the LHC

A. Cooper-Sarkar, Workshop on early LHC data, London, March 2009

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 23

Page 26: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 27: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

HERAPDF vs. the other PDF sets

¥ The H1+ZEUS sample has a much smaller systematicaluncertainty than the H1 and ZEUS samples individually

¥ Nominally, very small uncertainty compared toCTEQ-MSTW-NNPDF!

¥ However:

I insufficient PDF flavor separation [neutral-current DIS probesonly 4/9 (u + u + c + c) + 1/9

(d + d + s + s

)]

I very rigid PDF parametrizations ⇒ less flexibility to probe allallowed PDF behavior, notably at small x

I typical gluon forms, e.g., g(x,Q0) = AxB(1− x)C (1 + Dx), areruled out by the Tevatron jet data (Pumplin et al., arXiv:0904.2424)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 25

Page 28: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

HERAPDF vs. the other PDF sets

¥ The H1+ZEUS sample has a much smaller systematicaluncertainty than the H1 and ZEUS samples individually

¥ Nominally, very small uncertainty compared toCTEQ-MSTW-NNPDF!

¥ However:

I insufficient PDF flavor separation [neutral-current DIS probesonly 4/9 (u + u + c + c) + 1/9

(d + d + s + s

)]

I very rigid PDF parametrizations ⇒ less flexibility to probe allallowed PDF behavior, notably at small x

I typical gluon forms, e.g., g(x,Q0) = AxB(1− x)C (1 + Dx), areruled out by the Tevatron jet data (Pumplin et al., arXiv:0904.2424)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 25

Page 29: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

NNPDF1.1 vs. other PDFs at Q =√

2 GeV (arXiv:0811.2288)

x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

) 02xg

(x, Q

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4CTEQ6.6

MRST2001ENNPDF1.0

NNPDF1.1

x-410 -310 -210 -110 1

) 02 (x

, Q+

xs

-0.8

-0.6

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2CTEQ6.6

MRST2001ENNPDF1.0

NNPDF1.1

x-510 -410 -310 -210 -110 1

) 02 (x

, QΣx

0

1

2

3

4

5

6CTEQ6.6

MRST2001ENNPDF1.0

NNPDF1.1

At x . 10−3, gluon g, strangenesss+ = (s + s) /2, and singletΣ =

∑i (qi + qi) PDFs are poorly

constrained;

determined by a “theoreticallymotivated” functional form inCTEQ/MSTW, flexible neural net inNNPDF; g, s+ can be < 0!

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 26

Page 30: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Strangeness and σZ/σW at the LHC

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

Cor

rela

tion

Correlation between ΣZ�ΣW± HLHCL and fHx,Q=85. GeVL

d-

u-

gudscb

The PDF uncertainty inσZ/σW is mostly driven bys(x,Q); increases by a factorof 3 compared to CTEQ6.1as a result of freestrangeness in CTEQ6.6

a stumbling block in the precision measurement of W bosonmass MW at the LHC

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 27

Page 31: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Correlation analysis for collider observables(J. Pumplin et al., PRD 65, 014013 (2002); P.N. and Z. Sullivan, hep-ph/0110378)

A technique based on the Hessian method

For 2N PDF eigensets and two cross sections X and Y :

∆X =1

2

√√√√N∑

i=1

(X

(+)i −X

(−)i

)2

cosϕ =1

4∆X ∆Y

N∑

i=1

(X

(+)i −X

(−)i

) (Y

(+)i − Y

(−)i

)

X(±)i are maximal (minimal) values of Xi tolerated along the i-th PDF

eigenvector direction; N = 22 for the CTEQ6.6 set

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 28

Page 32: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Correlation angle ϕ

Determines the parametric form of the X − Y correlation ellipse

X = X0 + ∆X cos θ

Y = Y0 + ∆Y cos(θ + ϕ)

δX

δY

δX

δY

δX

δY

cos ϕ ≈ 1 cos ϕ ≈ 0 cos ϕ ≈ −1

X0, Y 0: best-fitvalues

∆X, ∆Y : PDF errors

cosϕ ≈ ±1 :cosϕ ≈ 0 :

Measurement of X imposestightloose

constraints on Y

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 29

Page 33: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Strangeness and σZ/σW at the LHC

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

-1

-0.5

0

0.5

1

Cor

rela

tion

Correlation between ΣZ�ΣW± HLHCL and fHx,Q=85. GeVL

d-

u-

gudscb

The PDF uncertainty inσZ/σW is mostly driven bys(x,Q); increases by a factorof 3 compared to CTEQ6.1as a result of freestrangeness in CTEQ6.6

a stumbling block in the precision measurement of W bosonmass MW at the LHC

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 30

Page 34: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

cos ϕ for various NLO Higgs productioncross sections in SM and MSSM

Particle mass (GeV)100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Cor

rela

tion

cosi

ne

−1

−0.5

0

0.5

1sc + bc → h+LHC X-se tion:Correlation with pp → ZX (solid), pp → tt (dashes), pp → ZX (dots)

gg → h0 bb → h0 W+h0 h0 via WW fusiont- hannel single top:Z

tt : Z

W+ : W− : Z

Z (Tev-2): Z (LHC)t- hannel single top: tt

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 31

Page 35: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Correlations between dσ(pp → Z0X)/dy and PDF’scosϕ between dσ(pp → Z0X)/dy at the LHC (

√s = 10 TeV)

and PDFs f(x,Q = 85 GeV)

y=0.05

d-

u-

gudsc

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 1-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

x

Cor

rela

tion:

cosHΦL

y=1.05

d-

u-

gudsc

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 1-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

x

Cor

rela

tion:

cosHΦL

y=2.05

d-

u-

gudsc

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 1-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

x

Cor

rela

tion:

cosHΦL

y=3.85

d-

u-

gudsc

10-5 10-4 10-3 10-2 10-1 1-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

x

Cor

rela

tion:

cosHΦL

Notice thechange insensitivity toparton flavors andthe shift in themost relevant xrange

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 32

Page 36: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Toward CT09 PDF analysis

¥ An update of CTEQ6.6 study (PRD 78, 013004 (2008))

¥ New experimental data in the fit

I CDF Run-2 and D0 Run-2 inclusive jet production

♦ preliminarily explored in J. Pumplin et al., arXiv:0904.0424; P.N., in preparation

I CDF Run-2 lepton asymmetry

I CDF Z rapidity distribution

I low-Q Drell-Yan pT (E288, E605, R209) and Tevatron Run-1,Run-2 Z pT distributions

¥ updated procedure for PDF error estimates

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 33

Page 37: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Inclusive jet production in Tevatron Run-2

0.5

1.0

1.5

|y| < 0.4

DØ Run II-1L = 0.70 fb

= 0.7coneR

50 100 200 3000.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

1.2 < |y| < 1.6

NLO scale uncertainty

0.4 < |y| < 0.8

T = p

Fµ =

RµNLO pQCD

+non-perturbative corrections

50 100 200 300

1.6 < |y| < 2.0

CTEQ6.5M with uncertainties

MRST2004

0.8 < |y| < 1.2

DataSystematic uncertainty

50 100 200 300

2.0 < |y| < 2.4

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

(GeV)T

p

data

/ th

eory

D0 Coll., arXiv:0802.2400(700 pb−1); CDF results (1.13 fb−1)

¥ (Almost)negligiblestatistical error

¥ MidCone/kT algorithm samples, corrected to parton level

¥ D0 paper:

I “There is a tendency for the data to be lower than the centralCTEQ prediction...”

I “...but they lie mostly within the CTEQ uncertainty band”

¥ non-negligible effect on the CTEQ gluon PDF?

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 34

Page 38: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Impact of Run-2 jet data on CT09 fit

¥ CT09 fit includes all four Run-1 and Run-2 jet data samples

¥ Excellent quality of the fit: χ2 = 2756 for 2898 data points

(Shifted CDF-Run 2data)/CT09

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 35

Page 39: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Impact of Run-2 jet data on CT09 fit

¥ CT09 fit includes all four Run-1 and Run-2 jet data samples

¥ Excellent quality of the fit: χ2 = 2756 for 2898 data points

(Shifted D0-Run 2data)/CT09

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 35

Page 40: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

CT09 and CTEQ6.6 are generally compatible

Gluon PDF: CT09 (red), CT66 (blue)

CT09 PDF uncertainty is about the same as CT66 (compensationbetween the Run-2 jet constraints and more flexible g(x, µ))

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 36

Page 41: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

CT09 gluon vs. CT66 and MSTW’08 NLO

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Ratio

toCT

EQ6.

6

g at Q=2. GeVPRELIMINARY

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Ratio

toCT

EQ6.

6

g at Q=2. GeVPRELIMINARY

Blue: CTEQ6.6Green: CT09Red: MSTW’08 NLO

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Ratio

toCT

EQ6.

6

g at Q=85. GeVPRELIMINARY

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7x

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Ratio

toCT

EQ6.

6

g at Q=85. GeVPRELIMINARY

Blue: CTEQ6.6Green: CT09Red: MSTW’08 NLO

Not really supported by CT09analysis

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 37

Page 42: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Constraints of Run-2 data on CT09 PDFs

Black band: g(x, µ)from CT09 fit

Red band: The samefit without Run-2 jetdata

This band is wider thanCT66 because ofadditional freeparameters

Run-2 data impose tangible constraintson the allowed range of g(x, µ)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 38

Page 43: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Self-consistency of CT09 fit

Are there tensionsin the fit?

1. Are the Run-2 jet data consistent withtheory?

1.1 Are the PDF parametrizations tooflexible/too rigid?

2. Are the new data consistent with otherexperiments?

3. Are the new data consistent with oneanother?

J. Pumplin et al. (arXiv:0904.2424) find that

¥ individual data sets, and data and theory are generallyconsistent with one another

¥ abnormalities exist in the agreement of D0 Run-1 set withother data sets

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 39

Page 44: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Correlated systematic errors (CSE) in jet productionP. Nadolsky, in preparation

CSE for inclusive jets are important. PDF errors areunderestimated without them. CTEQ takes them into accountsince 2000. CSE are provided in two forms:

1. Npt ×Nλ correlation matrix βkα for Nλ random systematicparameters λα

χ2 =∑

e={expt.}

Npt∑

k=1

1

s2k

(Dk − Tk −

Nλ∑

α=1

λαβkα

)2

+

Nλ∑

α=1

λ2α

Dk are Tk are data and theory

sk is the stat.+syst. uncorrelated error

2. Npt ×Npt covariance matrix C = I + ββT

χ2 =∑

e={expt.}(D − T )T

C−1(D − T )

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 40

Page 45: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Comparison of CSE’s for four jet experiments

¥ β (used by CDF Run-1 and 2, D0 Run-2) has several practicaladvantages compared to C (used by D0 Run-1)

¥ Plausibility of β can be checked by the principal componentanalysis (PCA) of β

I Typically only ≈ Nλ/2 combinations of λα (found by PCA) arerelevant for χ2; rank

[ββT

] ≈ Nλ/2 ¿ Npt

¥ C is a large (Npt ×Npt) matrix provided as a “black box”;plausibility of C is harder to verify. C provided by D0 Run-1has irregularities revealed by PCA

I rank [C − I] = rank[ββT

] ≈ Npt = 90 – too large

¥ This suggests that D0 Run-1 CSE’s are overestimated; mayexplain consistently small χ2

D0 Run-1/Npt ∼ 0.3 in fits, otherpeculiarities of D0 Run-1 data observed in the weight scan

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 41

Page 46: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

CDF and D0 Run-2 W asymmetry A`(y)

New CDF and D0 Run-2 W lepton asymmetry (in bins of electronpTe and ηe) ; probes u/d in a range of large x values

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

-0.5

0.5

1.0 η> 2.6

η ~ 0

Asy

m-u

/d c

orr

elat

ion

x

Correlation of A`(y) in differentηe bins (pTe > 35 GeV) withu(x)/d(x) (H. Schellman)

We find that CDF and D0 A`(y)data disagree in a similarkinematical range (confirming asimilar MSTW finding)

CDF Run-2 A`(y) agrees ok withthe other data

CT09 includes only CDF Run-2A`(y)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 42

Page 47: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

A preliminary fit to CDF and D0 A`(y)

Pull of CDF and D0 data on best-fit W asymmetry

H.-L. Lai, 2009

VERY PRELIMINARY

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 43

Page 48: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Role of heavy flavors in PDF analysesGeneral-mass (GM) scheme(s), currently adopted by CTEQ, MSTW andHERA analyses, strive to provide consistent description of c, b scatteringboth near heavy-quark thresholds and away from them

In 2006 (CTEQ6.5, hep-ph/0611254), it was realized that the GM (and not zero-mass)treatment of c, b mass terms in DIS is essential for predictingprecision W, Z, cross sections at the LHC

Threshold

suppression

x=0.05 µ2=Q

2+4 m

2

F2c

Q2 / GeV

2

χ=x(1+4 m2 / Q

2 )

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1 10 102

103

NLO 3-flv

LO 3-flv : GF(1)

Naive LO 4-flv : c

(x)

LO

4-f

lv A

CO

T(c)

: c(c)

18.5 19 19.5 20 20.5 21 21.5 22ΣtotHpp®HW±®{ΝLXL HnbL

1.85

1.9

1.95

2

2.05

2.1

2.15

Σto

tHpp®HZ

0®{{-

LXLHn

bL

W± & Z cross sections at the LHC

CTEQ6.6 (GM)

CTEQ6.1 (ZM)

NNLL-NLO ResBos

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 44

Page 49: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Role of heavy flavors in PDF analysesAt NLO, the dominant mass effect is mostly kinematical; propa-gates from DIS into W, Z cross sections through changes in u(x),d(x)

Thorne and Tung (arXiv:0809.0714): can this kinematical effect beapproximately introduced in the widely used ZM scheme, while pre-serving ZM hard cross sections?

Threshold

suppression

x=0.05 µ2=Q

2+4 m

2

F2c

Q2 / GeV

2

χ=x(1+4 m2 / Q

2 )

0

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1 10 102

103

NLO 3-flv

LO 3-flv : GF(1)

Naive LO 4-flv : c

(x)

LO

4-f

lv A

CO

T(c)

: c(c)

18.5 19 19.5 20 20.5 21 21.5 22ΣtotHpp®HW±®{ΝLXL HnbL

1.85

1.9

1.95

2

2.05

2.1

2.15

Σto

tHpp®HZ

0®{{-

LXLHn

bL

W± & Z cross sections at the LHC

CTEQ6.6 (GM)

CTEQ6.1 (ZM)

NNLL-NLO ResBos

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 44

Page 50: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Kinematically improved ZM schemes

At NLO, such schemes were indeed developed(P. N., Tung, arXiv:0903:2667)

They depend on a free parameter λ, tuned to approximateeither a ZM DIS cross section or a GM DIS cross section

They can be viewed either

¥ as improved ZM formulations withrealistic c, b kinematics; or

¥ as simplified GM formulations withapproximate ZM hardcross sections

òò

à

à

à

à

à

CTEQ6.6

ZM0

IMΧ

IMc

IMb

Ima

20.0 20.5 21.0 21.5 22.0 22.5 23.01.90

1.95

2.00

2.05

2.10

2.15

2.20

ΣtotHpp ® HW±®{ΝLXL HnbL

Σto

tHpp®HZ

0®{{-LXLHn

bL

NLO W± & Z cross sections at the LHC

We propose to call them “intermediate-mass (IM) schemes”

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 45

Page 51: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Generalized rescaling variable ζ

Realistic GM behavior of PDF’s is reproduced by a generalizedrescaling variable ζ(λ):

x = ζ/(

1 + ζλM2f /Q2

), with 0 ≤ λ . 1

I ζ → 1 as W → M2f

I λ = 0 : ζ ≡ χ = x(1 + M2

f /Q2)

– theACOT-χ variable

I λ & 1: ζ ≈ x (no rescaling)

I ζ ≈ x for Q2 À M2f

1+ �����������Mf

2

Q2 Ζ=ΧACOT HΛ=0L

Ζ=x HΛ®¥L

Λ=0.1

Λ=0.2

Λ=1 Phy

sica

lthr

esho

ld:W=

Mf;Ζ=

1

10-4 0.001 0.01 0.1 1

1

x

Res

calin

gfa

ctor�

xZM fits with λ ≈ 0.15 closely reproduce GM results

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 46

Page 52: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

PDF reweighting in Monte-Carlo integration

If X(±)i and ∆X2 =

∑Ni=1

(X

(+)i −X

(−)i

)2/4 are computed in

2N = 44 independent Monte-Carlo runs with N events each,their resulting estimates are given by

X(±)i = X

(±)i + δ

(±)i ∼ X

(±)i +

c

N1/2

and

∆X2

=1

4

N∑

i=1

(X

(+)i −X

(−)i

)2 ∼ ∆X2 +

c′N

N1/2

δ(±)i is a random MC error dependent on the input PDF, arising,

e.g., from importance sampling

As a result of the PDF dependence of δ(±)i , the error ∆X

2 −∆X2 isincreased by a factor N ∼ 22

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 47

Page 53: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

PDF reweighting in Monte-Carlo integration

¥ PDF reweighting generates the same sequence of events tocompute each of 2N cross sections

I all δ(±)

i are the same

I ∆X2

= ∆X2

¥ In multi-loop calculations, PDF reweighting saves CPU timedrastically by reducing slow computations of hard-scatteringmatrix elements

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 47

Page 54: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

FROOT: a simple interface for Monte-Carlo PDF reweighting

¥ Written in C, can be linked to standalone FORTRAN/C/C++programs

¥ Simple – 170 lines of the code

¥ Writes the output directly into a ROOT ntuple; no need inintermediate PAW ntuples

¥ Flexible; new columns (branches) with PDF weights or eventscan be added into an existing ntuple

¥ Kinematical cuts, selection conditions can be imposed aposteriori in interactive or batch ROOT sessions

¥ implemented in MCFM, ResBos; additional libraries for ROOTanalysis of reweighted ntuples are on the way

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 48

Page 55: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

FROOT: a simple interface for Monte-Carlo PDF reweighting

pp_ → (Z0 → e+ e-) X, √S = 1.96 TeV

yZ

σ(Eigenset 1)σ(CTEQ6.6M)

for 900,000 ResBos events

Reweighted

Not reweighted

0.95

0.96

0.97

0.98

0.99

1

1.01

1.02

1.03

1.04

1.05

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 48

Page 56: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Other ongoing work

¥ Combined fit of PDF’s and Drell-Yan pT distributions

¥ PDF’s for leading-order Monte-Carlo programs

¥ consistency and implementation of heavy-flavorcontributions in the global fit at NNLO

¥ constraints on new physics (strongly interactingsuperpartners, etc.)

¥ public C++/ROOT libraries for PDF reweighting for (N)/NLOcalculations and efficient error analysis

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 49

Page 57: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Backup: Rik’s slides

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 50

Page 58: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 59: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 60: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 61: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 62: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 63: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 64: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 65: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 66: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 67: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 68: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 69: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 70: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 71: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications
Page 72: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Backup: Jets

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 65

Page 73: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Comparison of NLO theoretical calculations¥ NLO theoretical uncertainties are at the level 10-20% (D. Soper)

¥ NLO inclusive jet cross sections are currently available from(at least) two groups:

I Ellis-Kunszt-Soper - in CTQ6.6 and our earlier fits

I NLOJet++ (Nagy) + FastNLO (Kluge, Rabbertz, Wobisch)

- in CT09 and MSTW’08

¥ Jon P. explored

I agreement between EKS and FastNLO

I dependence on the choice of scale, jet algorithms, andpartial threshold resummation corrections

¥ The overall agreement/stability at NLO is satisfactory,although not perfect

CT09 uses FastNLO for µ = pT /2 without the thresholdresummation correction

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 66

Page 74: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Comparison of K=NLO/LO from EKS and FastNLO

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 67

Page 75: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Scale dependence of NLO cross section

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 68

Page 76: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

χ2 weighting scans

All questions are explored using the χ2 reweighting technique(Collins, Pumplin, hep-ph/0105207)

χ2 =∑

jet expts.wiχ

2i + χ2

non-jet = wχ2jet + χ2

non-jet

wi = 0: experiment i is not included

wi = 1: common choice

wi À wj 6=i: only experiment i matters in the fit

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 69

Page 77: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Self-consistency of CT09 fit

¥ Individual data sets, and data and theory are generallyconsistent with one another

¥ abnormalities in the agreement of D0 Run-1 set with otherdata sets

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 70

Page 78: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Dependence on the gluon PDF parametrizationCT09 uses a more flexibleg(x, µ0) (“par 1”) than CT66

¥ Par 1: g(x, µ0) = A0xA1(1− x)A2

× eA3x+A4x2+A5x

1/2

¥ CT66: par 1 with A2 = 4, A5 = 0

¥ Par 2: A4 = A5 = 0

¥ Par 3 (H1-like):g(x, µ0) = A0x

A1(1− x)A2 (1 + A3x)

CT09 (par1) form provides thebest χ2 and vanishing tensionwith the non-jet data

300 350 400 450 500 550Χ2

jet

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

non-

jet2

Weight scan for Run-1 and Run-2 jet data

Par1

Par2

Par3

wjet = 0 (right ends); 1 (bend);10 (left end)

Par 2 and 3 are disfavored

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 71

Page 79: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Lagrange multiplier method vs. Hessian method

The Hessian method(48 error PDFs — redband) underestimatesthe true δPDF g(x,Q)suggested by χ2

(revealed by the LMmethod — individuallines)

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 72

Page 80: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Backup: IM scheme

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 73

Page 81: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Intermediate-mass scheme: a basic recipe¥ Start with PQCD factorization for DIS, in a form applicable both in

ZM or GM schemes

Fλ(x,Q2) =∑

a,b

∫ 1

ζ

ξfa(ξ, µ)Ca

b,λ

ξ,Q

µ,mi

µ, αs(µ)

)

¥ sum over initial-state active flavors a prescribed by thefactorization scheme for the PDFs

¥ sum over final-state quark flavors b physically produced at thegiven scattering energy

¥ evaluate convolutions over the kinematical range ζ ≤ ξ ≤ 1determined by a rescaling variable ζ

¥ use zero-mass Wilson coefficients Cab,λ=Ca

b,λ

(ζξ , Q

µ , 0, αs(µ))

,

evaluated at ζ/ξ

¥ keep µ > mQ in heavy-quark channels for all Q, to guaranteeapplicability of the (subtracted) MS expression for Ca

b,λ;e.g., use µ =

√Q2 + m2

i in qiγ∗ → qi and gγ∗ → qiqi channels

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 74

Page 82: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Rescaling variables in heavy-flavor DISRescaled light-cone variable ζ is a simple way to approximateexact scattering kinematics in processes where the exactmomentum conservation is absent

¥ General-mass scheme: dominant heavy-quark mass effectsare approximated in LO cγ∗ → c (or sW → c) by a rescalingvariable χ :

x = χ/(

1 + M2f /Q2

), with M2

f = 4m2c (m2

c) in NC (CC) DISBarnett, Haber, Soper; Tung, Kretzer, Schmidt

¥ It is natural to try ζ = χ both in cγ∗ → c and gγ∗ → cc in the IMscheme; however, it leads to excessive suppression of charmscattering in NC DIS at small x (for given Q), where thresholdeffects should be less pronounced, while the PDF variation israpid

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 75

Page 83: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Comparison to c, b SIDIS datafrom CT6.6 data sampleZM/GM/IM Wilson coefficients with ZM (CT6.1M) and GM (CT6.6M) PDF’s

¥ CT6.1 are refittedincluding the latest HERAc, b data (χ2 improved)

¥ GM+CT6.6 gives thebest fit; ZM+CT6.6 theworst

¥ χ2 for IM+CT6.6(IM+CT6.1) is better thanZM+CT6.6 (ZM+6.1)

All IMλ+CT6.x fits produce close χ2 – only IMχ is shown

IM formulation works!

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 76

Page 84: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Comparison to the full CT6.6 data sample

¥GM+CT6.6 still gives thebest fit; ZM+(new CT6.1)the worst

¥ Quality of the best IM fit(IMb) approaches that ofGM+CT6.6

¥ Some IM fits(λ = 0.1− 0.2) are clearlyvery good

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 77

Page 85: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

PDFs in GM/IMb/ZM/IMχ formulations

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.70.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

x

Rat

ioto

CTE

Q6.

6M

u(x,Q) at Q = 85 GeV

Black: IM fit with ζ= 0.15Green: IM fit with ζ= χRed: ZM fit Blue: CTEQ6.6 PDF uncertainty

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

x

Ratio

toCT

EQ6.

6M

g at Q=2. GeV

10-5 10-4 10-3 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

x

Rat

ioto

CT

EQ

6.6M

s at Q=2. GeV

¥ At x < 0.01, ZM u, g are toosmall compared to GM

¥ IMχ: u, g are too large

¥ IMb: u, g are very close to GM

¥ s(x,Q) (constrained by CCDIS) prefers IMχ rather than IMb

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 78

Page 86: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Dependence on the rescaling ζ

in W , Z production at the LHC

¥ IMλ predictions span a widerange between ZM and IMχ

¥ IM predictions withλ = 0.05− 0.3 are compatiblewith CT6.6M at ≈ 90% c.l.

¥ ζ variable can be alsointroduced in the GM scheme;in this case, the standardchoice ζ = χ (CT6.6, or λ = 0)gives the best χ2

¥ GM PDF’s with λ . 0.3 agreewith CT6.6M within the CT6.6uncertainty

òò

à

à

à

à

à

ó

ó

ó

CTEQ6.6

ZM

IMΧ

IMc

IMb

IMa

GMH0.05L

GMH0.15L

GMH0.3L

20.0 20.5 21.0 21.5 22.0 22.5 23.01.90

1.95

2.00

2.05

2.10

2.15

2.20

ΣtotHpp ® HW±®{ΝLXL HnbL

Σto

tHpp®HZ

0®{{-LXLHn

bL

NLO W± & Z cross sections at the LHC

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 79

Page 87: Parton distribution functions and their collider applications

Conclusions

¥ The full GM heavy-quark kinematical dependence isapproximated well at NLO by an effective IM scheme with ZMWilson coefficients and generalized rescaling variable ζ

I It remains to be seen if this scheme is viable beyond NLO

¥ The IM formulation can be applied to easily implement theleading heavy-quark mass effects in ZM calculations

¥ Variations in the form of ζ lead to an additional theoreticaluncertainty that must be provided with GM predictions

Pavel Nadolsky (SMU) ANL/IIT workshop, Chicago 05/21/09 80