pakistan monetary policy 2009
TRANSCRIPT
MONETARY POLICYMONETARY POLICY
Presented by:
•Natasha Shaikh
•Manisha Valicha
•Babar Hassan
MONETARY POLICY
• What is Monetary Policy ?• Monetary Policy Objectives
― Price stability― Economic growth― Maintaining the Exchange Rate― Constrain Inflation or Deflation― Achieving Full Employment
• Monetary Policy Mechanism
Macroeconomic management team sets targets for economic growth and inflation
Monetary and Fiscal Policies Coordination Board adopts the targets
SBP determines the safe limit of monetary expansion consistent with targets
Estimates are presented to the SBP Central Board for its approval
The SBP estimates the credit requirements of the private sector
Credit plan Approved by the SBP Central Board is forwarded to the Ministry of Finance to formulate the budget
A quarterly review of developments is undertaken and macro policy indicators reviewed in meetings of the Monetary and Fiscal Policies Coordination Board
The SBP estimates the scope for government borrowing from the banking system
The SBP implements monetary policy through market based instruments
• Instruments of Monetary Policy: Quantitative
― Open Market Operations― Reserve Requirement Ratio― Discount Rate― Credit Rationing― Exchange Rate
Qualitative― Moral Suasion
Expansionary Policy
It is to INCREASE the
TOTAL SUPPLY of MONEY
in the ECONOMY to raise
the Aggregate Demand
Tools
1. Reduce Bank Rate
2. Reduce Cash Reserve Req.
3. Reduce Selective Credit Control
4. Buying Back of Securities in Open Market Operations
5. Reduce or Relax Credit Quotas
Contractionary Policy
It is to DECREASE the TOTAL SUPPLY of MONEY in the
ECONOMY to lower the Aggregate Demand
Tools
1. Increase Bank Rate
2. Increase Cash Reserve Req.
3. Impose Selective Credit Control
4. Selling of Securities in OMO
5. Impose Credit Quotas
Expansionary v/s Contractionary Policy
MONETARY POLICY APPLIED BY SBP
Various challenges • Drain of liquidity from the financial system• Rising global commodity, oil and staple food
prices• Depleting foreign reserves due to
disinvestment by foreign investors• Surge in import bill• Devaluation of the Rupee
Liquidity Crisis
Corrective actions • Increased the discount rate• Reduced the CRR
Effects of the monetary policyAssociated Risks
Conclusion• Monetary policy goals • Factors involved in failure of market-based monetary
policy
• Challenges to Monetary Policy
Criticism on the Monetary Policy• High interest rate would further push up the cost of
production, thus destroying industries• Inflation cannot be controlled by tight monetary policy• Discount rates failed to induce banks to invest in T-bills
U.S.A - MONETARY POLICY
• The object of monetary policy is to influence the performance of the economy as reflected in such factors as inflation, economic output, and employment.
Monetary policy tools
• Monetary base
• Open market operations
• Monetary policy implementation issued by the ECB in 2009
• Reserve requirements
• Discount window lending
• Interest rates
THE BAILOUT PLAN
• Bush administration proposed $700 Billion
• Bail out plans criticism
• Plan’s course reversed
• The Treasury also used the bailout
• General Motors and Chrysler afloat
• Citigroup and the Bank of America
• Obama’s officials preparing a $50 billion
MONETARY POLICY: Pakistan Vs America
U.S.A
• Crisis response
• Collateral and rate setting
• Risk management
• Longer-term issues
PAKISTAN
• Drain of the liquidity from the financial system
• rising to Global commodity and food prices
• Depleting foreign reserves
U.S.A
• Open market operations
• Central bank liquidity swaps
• Lending to depository institutions
• lending to primary dealers
PAKISTAN
• Disinvestment by foreign investors
• Surge in import bill
• Devaluation of the Rupee