page 1 interim results for the six months ended 31st march 2004 15 june 2004
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Page 1
Interim Results for the Six Months
ended 31st March 2004
15 June 2004
Page 2
Contents
• Corporate Introduction
• Highlights
• Financial – Summary Profit and Loss Account
– Market Value Balance Sheet
– NAV Movements
– Diluted NAV
– Cashflow
– Debt Cost– Debt Maturity
• Tenanted Residential – Commentary
– Key Features
– Key Performance Facts
– Portfolio Analyses
• Development and trading – Commentary
– Commentary on sites with end development value >£20m
• Opportunities
• Appendices
Page 3
Corporate Introduction
• Grainger is the UK’s largest quoted residential property investor and trader.
• Grainger specialises in regulated and life tenancies and owns a residential portfolio of circa 11,600 units.
• Total value of property owned is £1.2 billion.
• Grainger has two further divisions:-
– Residential/mixed use development
– Fund and property management
Page 4
Financial Highlights
• Profit before tax and exceptional items £35.1m +57%
• Earnings per share pre exceptional items 85.8p +61%
• Dividend per share 4.04p +15%
• Tenanted residential sales of £74m exceeded VP values by 8.9%
• Portfolio comprises 11,613 units– Investment value of £1,124m– VP value of £1,596m
• Development and trading division rationalised +180%– £17m operating profits
Page 5
Summary Profit and Loss Account
31 March 2004 31 March 2003£m £m
Tenanted residential 41.7 20.4
Development and trading 17.0 6.1
Joint venture contribution (net of interest) - 12.6
58.7 39.1
Administrative expenses (3.9) (2.2)
Interest payable:
normal (19.7) (14.5)
exceptional (3.7) -
(23.4) (14.5)
Profit before tax 31.4 22.4
Six Months Ended
Page 6
Market Value Balance Sheet
31 March 2004 30 September 2003£m £m
Properties
Tenanted residential 1,124 1,164
Development and trading 92 130
Total properties 1,216 1,294
Cash, investments, other 105 94
Total assets 1,321 1,388
Debt (736) (761)Net current liabilities and deferred tax (53) (84)
(789) (845)
Net assets 532 543
NB no revaluation of assets at 31 March 2004
Page 7
NAV Movements
£/Share £m
Opening 1 October 2003 21.94 543
Retained earnings 0.71 18
Valuation movements (0.97) (24)
Goodwill/other movements (0.21) (5)
Closing NAV 31 March 2004 21.47 532
Note:-
If residential assets were revalued upwards by 8.9% NAV would be £25.50 per share
Page 8
Diluted NAV
£/Share £m
NAV 21.47 532
FRS 13 (0.15) (4)
Contingent tax (7.21) (178)
NNNAV 14.11 350
Discounted, taxed reversionary surplus 4.72 117
Grainger NAV at 31 March 2004 18.83 467
Grainger NAV at 1st October 2003 18.40 456
Page 9
Cashflow
31 March 2004 31 March 2003£m £m
Income
Net rents 5 6
Property sales 131 45
Working capital movements (27) (8)
109 43
Purchase of subsidiary - (2)Interest, tax, dividends (39) (15)
Net operating income 70 26
JV receipts - 52
Net loan repayment (29) (11)
Available for property spend 41 67
Tenanted residential acquisitions (17) (45)Development and trading (12) (8)Other (1) (1)
(30) (54)
Movement in cash 11 13
Six Months Ended
Page 10
Debt Cost
Variable/Under One Year Hedged Fixed over one year Fixed to termination
Gross Debt£736m £761m
Hedging Level80% 80%
Blended Interest Rate5.9% 5.9%
Gearing Level121% 125%
LTV52.5% 52.9%
£231m5.4%
£150m5.0%
£292m 6.4%
£63m7.2%
£235m 4.8%
£150m 4.9%
£298m 6.6%
£78m 8.1%
31 March 2004 30 September 2003
Page 11
Debt Maturity
Over year or less Between 1 and 2 years Between 2 and 5 years Between 5 and 10 years
£48m 5.1%
£150m 4.9%
Over 10 years
£359m48.8%
£101m13.7%
£96m13.1%
£65m8.8%
£115m15.6%
£359m47.2%
£76m10.0%
£47m 6.2%
£69m 9.1%
£210m27.5%
Gross Debt£736m £761m
Cash£93m £82m
Net Debt£643m £679m
Average maturity 5.7 years 5.9 years
31 March 2004 30 September 2003
Page 12
Divisional Highlights
• Tenanted Residential - Strong sales
- Limited acquisitions
• Trading & Development - Kennel Farm sales
- Disposal of Commercial
- New divisional structure
• Fund Management - Integration
- Systems and reporting
- PIF consultation
Page 13
Tenanted Residential - Highlights
• Total sales 7% higher at £74m from 14% fewer units sold
• Average sales price of £109K
• Average increase over Sept. 2003 VP values of 8.9% (normal sales)
• High sales margin of 38%
• Current portfolio stands at VP value of approximately £1.6 billion
• Life tenancies - regulation
Page 14
Tenanted Residential - Key Performance Facts
31 March 2004 31 March 2003
No. of sales in period 676 784
Average sales price £109K £89K
Total sales £74m £69m
Trading Profits (excluding goodwill release) £28m £22m
Net rents and other income £10m £9m
Return (no valuation uplift) £38m £31m
Acquisitions £17m £45m
Six Months Ended
(GT + 50% BPT)
Page 15
Tenanted Residential - Commentary
• Good sales performance, September VP’s exceed by 8.9%
• Acquisitions analysis
• Total reversionary surplus on residential portfolio £472m
No £m VP £m as %VP
Regulated 111 12.8 17.7 72
Life Tenancies 62 4.2 9.0 47
AST, others 6 0.5 0.7 71
179 17.5 27.4 64
Page 16
Tenanted Residential - Portfolio Analysis by Investment Value
Regulated£842m72.3%
APT
£87m 7.5%
£134m11.5%
Vacant£51m 4.4%
Other£23m 2.0%
£27m 2.3%
Total units11,613
Total VP
Investment value£1,124m
Reversionary surplus£472m
£1,596m
Reversionary surplus per share£19.03
Regulated£820m73.0%
APT £41m 3.6%
£68m 6.0%
£138m12.3%
Vacant£40m 3.6%
Other£17m 1.5%
12,030
£1,164m
£484m
£19.55
£1,648m
31 March 2004 30 September 2003
LifeTenancies/Reversions
LifeTenancies/Reversions
Assured Assured
Page 17
Tenanted Residential - Portfolio Analysis by VP value
Total VP = £1,618m
(other interests of £30m omitted)
£0-£50K£63m 3.9%
£241m14.9%£241m14.9%
£613m37.9%£613m37.9%
£246m15.2%£246m15.2%
£500K +£32m 2.0%
£423m26.1%£423m26.1%
£0-£50K£59m 3.7%
£234m14.9%£234m14.9%
£594m37.7%£594m37.7%
£241m15.3%£241m15.3%
£500K +£32m 2.0%
£415m26.4%£415m26.4%
Total VP = £1,575m
(other interests of £21m omitted)
£250-£500K
£50-£100K
£100K-£175K
£100K-£175K
£175-£250K
£175-£250
£250-£500K
£50-£100K
31 March 2004 30 September 2003
Page 18
Tenanted Residential - Portfolio Analysis By Number of Units
£250-£500K756 6.3%
£500K +50 0.4%
Total units = 12,030
3,10625.8%3,10625.8%
4,43436.9%4,43436.9%
2,04517.0%2,04517.0%
1,63913.6%
3,01025.9%3,01025.9%
4,30037.0%4,30037.0%
£250-£500K742 6.4%
2,00817.3%2,00817.3%
1,50513.0%
£500K +48 0.4%
Total units = 11,613
£0-£50K
£50-£100K £50-£100K
£100K-£175K £100K-£175K
£175-£250K £175-£250K
£0-£50K
31 March 2004 30 September 2003
Page 19
Tenanted Residential – Regional Analysis
• 6.8% of our properties are valued above £350K (vacant possession)• 40.3% of our properties are valued below £150K (vacant possession)
Number IV VPof units £m £m%
01 Central London 575 127 17111.3%01 Inner London 1,207 187 25116.6%01 Outer London 1,403 167 23614.9%02 South East 1,954 210 30518.7%03 South West 811 64 1005.7%04 East 964 80 1227.1%05 East Midlands 669 34 533.0%06 West Midlands 1,178 111 1509.9%07 Wales 78 5 80.4%08 Yorkshire 737 34 503.0%09 North West 1,648 86 1237.7%10 North East 204 12 181.1%11 Scotland 185 7 90.6%
11,613 1,124 1,596100.0%
%
10.7%15.7%14.8%19.1%
6.3%7.6%3.3%9.4%0.5%3.2%7.7%1.1%0.6%
100.0%
Page 20
Development and Trading - Commentary
• Operating profit up to £17.0m from £6.1m
• 12.4 acres of land at Kennel Farm sold for £14.2m
• £19.0m of commercial investment property sold at £2.8m above 30 September 2003 values
• Focus on residential and mixed use developments
- Land & Regeneration
- Housebuilding
- Urban and Mixed Use
Page 21
Commentary on Sites with End Development £20m+
Property Description StatusSlough Mixed use development Hotel sold to Travelodge
(office element 69,000 sq. ft) Leisure unit let to LA Fitness Retail units under offer
Office available to let
Pimlico SW1 79 unit residential scheme Practical completion due endJune 2004Contracts Exchanged on saleof 66 units, 5 units reserved, 8 available
Former South 77 residential units above a new Construction commenced
London Hospital Tesco foodstore Completion June 2006Clapham, SW4
Macaulay Road, 110,000 sq. ft. mixed use scheme Application submitted Clapham. SW4 Anticipate decision late 2004
Hornsey Road Public/private partnership mixed use Anticipate exchange of Bath & Barnsbury scheme, 350 residential units, 43,000 contracts on purchase with Complex, Islington sq. ft. Council office and community use London Borough of Islington in
July 2004
Page 22
Opportunities
• Focus on core regulated tenancy market
• Expand life tenancy business – to be regulated in due course
• Ensure maximum advantage taken of any PIF structure
• Look at opportunities in Europe – controlled risk approach
• Development and trading business focus on residential or mixed use
Page 23
Appendices
• Summary of tenancy types
• Detailed Profit and Loss Account
• Tenanted Residential - Stock Analysis
• Tenanted Residential - Return by Region
Page 24
Summary of Tenancy Types
Regulated by
Security of tenure
Other characteristics
RegulatedAssured Periodic
AssuredLife Tenancies
Rent Act 1977
Yes - with succession rights
Since 1988 no new regulated thereforedeclining stock
Housing Act 1988
Yes
Housing Act 1988
Yes
-
Yes
Tenants transfer ownership in return for rent-free occupation and lump sum
Assured Shorthold
Housing Act 1988
No
Rent Market rent Market rent Market rent Usually no rent
Tenancy arises as a result of succession from regulated
Tenant has the right to renew tenancy
Landlord may get possession if appropriate notice is served
Set by rent officer every two years.Increases capped at RPI + 2.5% per annum.
Page 25
Detailed Profit and Loss Account
Develop- Develop-Property Sales & ment Property Sales & ment
Manag- Acqu- and Manag- Acqu- and
ment istions Trading Total ment istions Trading Total Bromley Total
£m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m £m
Turnover 19.7 64.1 38.1 121.9 8.4 36.1 12.7 57.2 26.3 83.5
Gross rents and other income 19.7 - 2.0 21.7 8.4 - 2.8 11.2 5.9 17.1
Property expenses (6.0) - (1.0) (7.0) (3.3) - (0.5) (3.8) (1.5) (5.3)
Net rents 13.7 - 1.0 14.7 5.1 - 2.3 7.4 4.4 11.8
Trading profits - 28.5 13.7 42.2 - 16.7 4.5 21.2 9.0 30.2
Release of negative goodwill - 3.2 - 3.2 - - - - - -
13.7 31.7 14.7 60.1 5.1 16.7 6.8 28.6 13.4 42.0Division Admin costs (4.0) (0.9) (0.5) (5.4) (0.5) (1.0) (0.8) (2.3) - (2.3)Group Admin costs - - - (3.9) - - - (2.2) (2.3) (4.5)
Operating profits 9.7 30.8 14.2 50.8 4.6 15.7 6.0 24.1 11.1 35.2
Capital profits 4.0 0.2 1.5 1.7
Operating contribution 54.8 24.3 12.6 36.9
Interest payable (21.7) (6.5) (9.2) (15.7)
Interest receivable 2.0 0.6 0.6 1.2
Total interest (19.7) (5.9) (8.6) (14.5)
Net profit before tax and exceptional items 35.1 18.4 4.0 22.4
Exceptional interest (3.7) - - -
Net profit before tax 31.4 18.4 4.0 22.4
31 March 200331 March 2004Tenanted Residential Tenanted Residential
Page 26
Tenanted Residential - Stock Analysis
VacantPossession
Invest-No. of Market ment Current
Residential Cost Value Value Value GrossUnits £m £m £m % age Rent
Regulated 7,854 614 820 1,131 73 30Assured periodic 456 29 41 51 80 2Assured shorthold 568 60 68 78 87 4Life tenancies/reversions 2,377 122 138 271 51 -Vacant 358 26 40 44 91 -
11,613 851 1,107 1,575 70 36
Other interests - 13 17 21 - 1 11,613 864 1,124 1,596 - 37
30 September 2003 12,030 892 1,164 1,648 71 38
Page 27
Tenanted Residential - Return By Region
Net Rents Trading Total P & L
£m £m £m
01 Central London 0.8 2.8 3.6
01 Inner London 1.1 4.5 5.6
01 Outer London 1.7 5.8 7.5
02 South East 1.8 3.9 5.7
03 South West 0.4 2.9 3.3
04 East 0.7 3.0 3.7
05 East Midlands 0.2 1.0 1.2
06 West Midlands 1.2 1.7 2.9
07 Wales - 0.2 0.208 Yorkshire 0.4 1.1 1.509 North West 1.2 3.6 4.810 North East 0.1 1.0 1.111 Scotland 0.1 0.2 0.3
9.7 31.7 41.4
Page 28
Interim Results for the Six Months
ended 31st March 2004
15 June 2004