page 1© crown copyright 2006 ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in nwp amy doherty t....

18
© Crown copyright 2006 Page 1 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October 2006

Upload: timothy-thompson

Post on 14-Jan-2016

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 1

Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP

Amy Doherty

T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English

October 2006

Page 2: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 2

Outline

Motivation

Background

Model and data

Case study results

Summary and Future work

Page 3: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 3

Motivation

Currently precipitation and ice affected microwave radiances are not assimilated at the Met Office

Information in these conditions is sparse, so use of these data would be beneficial

For direct assimilation of radiances a scattering RTM is required – RTTOVSCATT

Testing of RTTOVSCATT before operational implementation revealed questions about ice microphysical assumptions

Page 4: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 4

Background

Ice scattering causes TB depression at AMSU-B frequencies

Strength of depression depends on microphysics of ice particles: size, shape, density

No prognostic a priori information is available about the microphysics so assumptions have to be made

Different methods of solving the scattering RTE perform to similar standard

Page 5: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 5

RTTOV 8.7

Simple two stream scattering solution (Eddington)

Fast geometric optics ocean surface emissivity model

Marshall-Palmer/Modified Gamma Drop Size Distribution

Ice particle diameter up to 100 microns, snow 100-20000 microns

Density of ice particles 0.9 g/cm3

Density of snow particles 0.1 g/cm3

Permittivity dependent on ice/water/air mixture of hydrometeors (Maxwell-Garnet mixing formula)

Page 6: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 6

Met Office Model Fields

Pressure, temperature and moisture profiles available from forecast model

Frozen hydrometeor, rain and liquid cloud content profiles available

Smooth transition between different types of frozen hydrometeor

Ice particle density inversely proportional to diameter and exponential size distribution dependant on temperature

Page 7: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 7

Case study simulations

AMSU Ch 20 (183.3±7 GHz)

NOAA-16 Observations

RTTOV Simulated TBs

Page 8: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 8

Experiments

Experiment Density Size distribution

1 0.1 g/cm3 Modified Gamma

2 0.5 g/cm3 Modified Gamma

3 0.5 g/cm3 Field*

4 8.74 x 10-4 exp{-0.625D2} + 4.5 x 10-5 ($)

Modified Gamma

5 0.132 D-1 Modified Gamma

6 0.132 D-1 Field*

*Field et al 2005 $Jones 1995

Page 9: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 9

Same PSD different density

Density = 0.5 g/cm3

(exp 2)

Density = 0.874 exp{-625*D2} + 0.045

(exp 4)

Modified gamma distribution

183.3±7 GHz

Page 10: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 10

Same density different PSD

Density = 0.132*D-1

Modified gamma distribution

(exp 5)

Paul Field size distribution

(exp 6)

183.3±7 GHz

Page 11: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 11

ComparisonsAMSU Channel 20: 183 ± 7 GHz

Page 12: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 12

Results for Experiment 6

Observation Experiment 6

183.3±7 GHz

PSD = Field et al.,2005 (based on T and IWC)

Density = 0.132 D-1 (Wilson and Ballard, 1999)

Page 13: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 13

Summary

Comparisons of TB observations with RTTOV8 simulations using Met Office forecast model inputs have highlighted strong sensitivity to ice microphysical assumptions at microwave frequencies affected by scattering

Interface between forecast and RT models is very important

Parameterisations of PSD based on T and IWC of cloud are better supported by simulations than more general ones

Parameterisations of density based on size of ice particles are better supported by TB simulations than constant density

Best parameterisation may depend on cloud type/latitude band, only tested so far with UK case studies

Page 14: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 14

Future Work

Option to use Experiment 6 microphysics will be available with RTTOV9

Test parameterisations in other conditions and areas

Investigate other available parameterisations

Implement best set of assumptions operationally at the Met Office

Page 15: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 15

References

Bauer et al., 2006, QJRMS, 132, 1259-1281

Doherty et al., 2006? Submitted to QJRMS

Field et al., 2005, QJRMS, 131, 1997-2017

Jones, 1995, PhD Thesis, University of Reading

Wilson and Ballard, 1999, QJRMS, 125, 1607-1636

Page 16: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 16

Questions?

Page 17: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 17

Page 18: Page 1© Crown copyright 2006 Ice hydrometeor microphysical parameterisations in NWP Amy Doherty T. R. Sreerekha, Una O’Keeffe, Stephen English October

© Crown copyright 2006 Page 18

IPWG to work more closely with NWP centresScale matching – degrading the resolution of obs to make comparison with models agree better

Climatology, Hydrology, Nowcasting and Operational forecasts

Beam filling, justification for 3DVAR