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OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH EARTHQUAKES IN THE NEW MADRID SEISMIC ZONE WALTER HAYS GLOBAL INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHARLOTTE

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OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH EARTHQUAKES IN THE NEW

MADRID SEISMIC ZONE

OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH EARTHQUAKES IN THE NEW

MADRID SEISMIC ZONE

WALTER HAYS

GLOBAL INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS

UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHARLOTTE

WALTER HAYS

GLOBAL INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS

UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT CHARLOTTE

CENTRAL UNITED STATESCENTRAL UNITED STATES

• OWENSBORO NEEDS TO PREPARE FOR A POTENTIAL EARTHQUAKE DISASTER UNLIKE ANY PAST DISASTER IN THE UNITED STATES

OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH AN EARTHQUAKE THREAT

OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH AN EARTHQUAKE THREAT

• LOW ANNUAL PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE, BUT...

• A HIGH PROBABILITY OF A CATASTROPHE

COMMUNITY LEADERS NEED TO KNOW THE KINDS OF

SITUATIONS THEIR COMMUNITY IS LIKELY TO

FACE IN THE FUTURE AND THE OPTIONS FOR PREVENTING A

DISASTER

COMMUNITY LEADERS NEED TO KNOW THE KINDS OF

SITUATIONS THEIR COMMUNITY IS LIKELY TO

FACE IN THE FUTURE AND THE OPTIONS FOR PREVENTING A

DISASTER

WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW

WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW

• WHERE ARE FUTURE EARTHQUAKES MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL THEY BE?

• HOW OFTEN WILL THEY OCCUR?

• WHERE ARE FUTURE EARTHQUAKES MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR?

• HOW BIG WILL THEY BE?

• HOW OFTEN WILL THEY OCCUR?

WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW

WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS NEED TO KNOW

• WHAT ARE THE LIKELY PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND SOCIETAL CONSEQUENCES?

• WHAT ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE WAYS TO REDUCE THESE CONSEQUENCES ?

• WHAT ARE THE LIKELY PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND SOCIETAL CONSEQUENCES?

• WHAT ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE WAYS TO REDUCE THESE CONSEQUENCES ?

RULES ABOUT FAULTS AND SEISMICITY

RULES ABOUT FAULTS AND SEISMICITY

• ALTHOUGH NOT A LONG FAULT, THE NEW MADRID FAULT CAN GENERATE A GREAT EARTHQUAKE

• ALTHOUGH NOT A LONG FAULT, THE NEW MADRID FAULT CAN GENERATE A GREAT EARTHQUAKE

SEISMIC WAVE ATTENUATION SEISMIC WAVE ATTENUATION

REGIONAL DEFORMATION

EARTHQUAKE

TSUNAMI

VIBRATION

FAULT RUPTURE

FOUNDATION FAILURE

AMPLIFICATION

LIQUEFACTION

LANDSLIDE

AFTERSHOCKS

SEICHE

DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS

DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS

GROUND SHAKINGGROUND SHAKING

LIQUEFACTIONLIQUEFACTION

RISK MANAGEMENT

• PREVENTION

• MITIGATION

• PREPAREDNESS

• PREDICTION AND WARNING

• INTERVENTION

• EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• RECOVERY

RISK MANAGEMENT

• PREVENTION

• MITIGATION

• PREPAREDNESS

• PREDICTION AND WARNING

• INTERVENTION

• EMERGENCY RESPONSE

• RECOVERY

TECHNOLOGY BASE

TECHNOLOGY BASE

REDUCTION OF COMMUNITY VULERABILTY

POSTDISASTER INVESTIGATIONS

POSTDISASTER INVESTIGATIONS

RESEARCHRESEARCH

SITUATIONS OWENSBORO MAY FACE

SITUATIONS OWENSBORO MAY FACE

BUILDING DAMAGE AND MASS CASUALTIES

BUILDING DAMAGE AND MASS CASUALTIES

LIQUEFACTION AND LOSS OF FUNCTION

LIQUEFACTION AND LOSS OF FUNCTION

LOSS OF FUNCTION: TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

LOSS OF FUNCTION: TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS

LOSS OF FUNCTION: AIRPORT

DAM FAILUREDAM FAILURE

FIREFIRE

SEARCH AND RESCUESEARCH AND RESCUE