overview of the may 8 th 2009 severe storm event

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Overview of the May 8 th 2009 Severe Storm Event Anthony Phillips Department of Geography Virginia Tech

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Overview of the May 8 th 2009 Severe Storm Event. Anthony Phillips Department of Geography Virginia Tech. Mesocyclone Track VA and NC. Thermodynamic Profiles KRNK and KGSO - 0000 UTC 9 May 2009. Mesoscale Analyses Virginia and North Carolina. Mesoscale Analyses Smyth County and SW VA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Overview of the May 8th 2009 Severe Storm Event

Anthony PhillipsDepartment of GeographyVirginia Tech

Mesocyclone Track VA and NC

Thermodynamic ProfilesKRNK and KGSO - 0000 UTC 9 May 2009

Mesoscale Analyses Virginia and North Carolina

Mesoscale Analyses Smyth County and SW VA

0 01 02 03 04-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

CAPE/CINSmyth County, VA - 9 May 2009

0-3km MLCAPE

SBCAPE

SBCIN

Time (UTC)

CAPE

/CIN

(J/k

g)

Mesoscale Analyses Smyth County and SW VA

0 01 02 03 040

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

38

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

Storm-Relative Helicity & ShearSmyth County, VA - 9 May 2009

ESRH

0-1km SRH

0-3km SRH

SFC to 6km shear

Time (UTC)

Helic

ity (m

2/s2

)

Shea

r (Kn

ots)

Mesoscale Analyses Smyth County and SW VA

0 01 02 03 040

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

EHI, Sig Tor, VGPSmyth County, VA - 9 May 2009

1km EHI

3km EHI

Sig. Tor

3km VGP

Time (UTC)

EHI/

Sig

Tor

VGP

Mesoscale Analyses Alleghany County and NW NC

0 01 02 03 04-100

100

300

500

700

900

1100

CAPE/CINAlleghany County, NC - 9 May 2009

0-3km MLCAPE

SBCAPE

SBCIN

Time (UTC)

CAPE

/CIN

(J/k

g)

Mesoscale Analyses Alleghany County and NW NC

0 01 02 03 040

100

200

300

400

500

600

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Storm-Relative Helicity & ShearAlleghany County, NC - 9 May 2009

ESRH

0-1km SRH

0-3km SRH

SFC to 6km shear

Time (UTC)

Helic

ity (m

2/s2

)

Shea

r (Kn

ots)

Mesoscale Analyses Alleghany County and NW NC

0 01 02 03 040

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

EHI, Sig Tor, VGPAlleghany County, NC - 9 May 2009

1km EHI

3km EHI

Sig. Tor

3km VGP

Time (UTC)

EHI/

Sig

Tor

VGP

Mesocyclone Analysis Meso strength

0230

0234

0238

0242

0247

0251

0255

0259

0304

0308

0312

0316

0321

0325

0329

0333

0337

0342

0346

0350

0354

0359

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

18.00

Mesocyclone Analysis9 May 2009

Meso Strength

Max Reflectivity

Meso Width (km)

Time (UTC)

Mes

o St

reng

th (k

ts)

Max

Refl

ectiv

ity (d

BZ)

Mes

o W

idth

(km

)

Radar ObservationsMarion, VA

Radar ObservationsMarion, VA

Radar ObservationsMarion, VA

Radar ObservationsMarion, VA

Radar ObservationsAlleghany County, NC

Radar ObservationsAlleghany County, NC

Radar ObservationsAlleghany County, NC

Synopsis and ConclusionWhat was learned

Reports of straight-line wind damage in Marion, VA might easily have been tornado damage. The supercell had…

increasing reflectivities at all tilts,a well-defined inflow notch and shallow v-notch,strong low and mid-level circulation,an overhanging weak echo region (WER),and tightening of the mesocyclone as it passed near Marion.

Synopsis and ConclusionWhat was learned

From radar observations, the SPC meso analyses were correct in predicting the greatest amounts of shear to the north.

Strong updrafts and rotation reached over 20 kft near Marion.Shear and rotation didn’t extend much above 10 kft with the Alleghany tornadoes.

Synopsis and ConclusionWhat was learned

A very good correlation exists between mesocyclone strength and tightening of rotationEven though the storm weakened while crossing the high country, it regained strength quickly before tornadogenesis occurred (conservation of potential vorticity)

Consider extending Tornado Warnings even if the storm has weakened since: 1) it’s had a history of rotation, and 2) it may likely re-intensify.

Synopsis and ConclusionWhat was learned

Finally…storms could have been even more severe had additional CAPE been present.

Questions?