overview of the 12th plan--july 6 presentation by pronab sen

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PRESENTATION TO STATE PLANNING BOARDS FRIDAY, JULY 6, 2012 Overview of the Twelfth Plan Perspectives and Strategies 3/2/22 The Planning Commission 1

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May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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PRESENTATION TOSTATE PLANNING BOARDS

FRIDAY, JULY 6, 2012

Overview of the Twelfth PlanPerspectives and

Strategies

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Faster, Sustainable, and More Inclusive Growth

Plan must meet people’s aspirations—as seen from our consultations.

All States want faster growth—unity of purpose.

Quality of growth is important—ethics, equity, efficiency, and sustainability. People are principal agents of development Interests of weak and vulnerable are protected Driven by knowledge and innovation, not

exploitation of natural resources

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Four dimensions of our approach

Developing Capabilities Human Institutional National

Economic growth and inclusion Livelihoods

The Earth and its resources Land Water Energy

Engagement with the world

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Developing human capabilities

Two pre-requisites: Life: IMR, MMR, child sex ratio, malnutrition Personal identity: Aadhar

How to best use the demographic dividend?Education, skill development

Teachers’ training Quality of teaching Enrolment and retention in secondary schools

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Developing human capabilities … 2

Other challengesMalnutrition

Effects on education Effects on health

Migration—linguistic barriersMedical facilities and trained staff, esp. nursesMobile phones to access useful, timely

information.

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Developing institutional capabilities

Capacity building of all arms of the government. Legislature Union Executive State Judiciary PRI/ULB

Delivery of public servicesDispute resolution within governmentImproving regulatory capacities.Reforms that facilitate institutional innovation

and adaptation.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Developing national capabilities

1) InfrastructureState governments’ capacities to use PPP in

more areas.Power reformsRailway reforms.

2) Science, Technology, and Innovation

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Economic Growth and Inclusion

Unfavorable starting conditions, unlike the Eleventh Plan.

Difficult to grow faster than 8 percent, without being more efficient in our use of resources.

Global and local trade and finance: difficult to rely on large-scale corporate investments to boost growth.

Need a new strategy

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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The small business way to faster growth

SME share of total investment expanded even in the crisis.

More attuned to the domestic economy.Need to stimulate new entrepreneurship:

Promotes inclusiveness tooEnable existing SMEs to expand

Capital: DFIs, insurance Human resources Closer policy collaboration between Union and

States

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Building on MGNREGS and NRLM

Foster entrepreneurship—lower cost of failure.Use assets created MGNREGS.More income in rural hands—spark local

entrepreneurship to spend that money.Promote the shift to more productive non-

agricultural growth. States and Panchayats roles are critical

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Expand manufacturing

Expand labor-intensive light manufacturing. Markets Credit Technology Institutional reforms Making clusters more effective

Need better logisticsImproved industrial infrastructureImproving the business regulatory framework

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Stronger financial system

Improving credit to agriculture, SSIs, and infrastructure.

Making insurance more useful and more sustainable—especially for agriculture.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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The earth and its resources

India has the lowest per-capita availability of natural resources—planning must optimize their use.

Increasing agitations on land, water, and forests.

Climate change is accelerating.Soil health is deteriorating—unhealthy

fertilizer use.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Rational land use

A growing and a wealthier population. Changing nutrition will need changes in cropping

patterns. Trade-off between:

agriculture and industrial/urban forests and minerals—both are national assets

Managing urban land

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Agriculture: rainfed farming

Apply natural resource management to rainfed farming

Focus on many crops and products that reinforce each other—and strengthen the resilience of the land

This needs: Soil productivity Moisture management Seeds Farm mechanization

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Energy: Efficiency plus alternate sources

Coal constraint will remain—improve energy efficiency

Nuclear energy must be promoted—but apprehensions allayed.

Decentralized generation and distribution of energy—to meet rising urban demand.

For rural and semi-urban, integrate existing government schemes to attract private investment.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Water: efficiency, policy, and institutions

Water use efficiency in agriculture is the poorest in the world.

Need modern laws and policies on water and groundwater

Reduce pollution, through better designed institutions.

Challenges of increasing urbanization.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Engagement with the world

9 percent GDP growth requires 20 percent export growth.

External borrowings are likely to increase—volatile FDI and FII.

India can command more of the non-traded services market—through migration to other countries.

Use our soft power to strengthen our positionImprove tourist inflowsEngage more with neighboring countries—states

role

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Proposed monitorable targets for 2017

1) Increase Mean Years of Schooling to eight years.2) Create two million additional seats for each age

cohort in higher education aligned to the skill needs of the economy.

3) Reduce IMR to 28 and TFR  to 2.1 by the end of the Plan.

4) Reduce malnutrition among children age 0-3 years and anemia among girls and women to half of NGHS-3 levels.

5) Provide electricity to all habitations and reliable power by the end of the Plan.

6) Connect all villages with all-weather roads, and improve the quality of national and state highways.

 

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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Monitorable targets for 2017

7) Real GDP Growth Rate of 8.5 percent.8) Agriculture Growth Rate of 4 percent.9) Manufacturing Growth Rate of 2 percent higher than

GDP Growth rate. 10) Reduce head-count ratio of consumption poverty by

10 percentage points over the immediately preceding estimates.

11) Generate 25 million new work opportunities in the non-agriculture sector.

12) Increase the green cover by 1 million hectares every year.

May 1, 2023The Planning Commission

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FOR MORE DETAILS CONTACT

[email protected]@NIC.IN

Thank you