our digital future: industry perspective.industry perspective. efecs 2017 december 6th, 2017 carmelo...
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Our Digital Future:
Industry perspective.
EFECS 2017
December 6th, 2017
Carmelo Papa
CEO of STMicroelectronics Italy, EPoSS Chairman
The Digital Explosion (mild estimate)2
[Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2016]
Around 29 Billion connected devices are forecast by 2022, of which around 18 B
will refer to IoT.
IoT is expected to increase at a CAGR of 21%, driven by new use cases.
70% of wide-area IoT devices will use cellular technology in 2022 (i.e. 5G+)
What Happens in a Internet minute? (2017)
• Total mobile data traffic is expected to rise at a CAGR >45% (2016-2022)
• According to a report issued by Cisco, the tot internet traffic will get
close to 44 Zettabytes (i.e. 10^21 bytes)
• Out of which 40% will come from connected sensors
• Only Mobile traffic to reach 69 Exabytes/month (i.e. 10^18 bytes).
• … all printed books in the whole history make 5 Exabytes
By 2022 the Internet traffic will shift
dramatically! 4
[Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2016]
5
[Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2016]
Glo
bal
mo
bile
tra
ffic
[Ex
aByt
ep
er
mo
nth
]
By 2022 the Internet traffic will shift
dramatically!
By 2022 the Internet traffic will shift
dramatically! 6
[Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2016]
75%
video
What is different with the past?
7
Years to achieve 50 Millions Users
8
12/11/2017
Smart Systems are the foundation of this
revolution, based on tech and speed!
Smart Systems
provide safe and
reliable
autonomous
operation under all
relevant
circumstances.
Smart Systems
integrate cognitive
functions with
sensing, actuation,
data communication
and energy
management
IoT are Smart Systems based!
Semi content estimated at $75B by 2020• This excludes conventional devices such as smartphones and PCs
9
[Source: Baird Equity Research, 2016]
Consumers, 15
Smart Buildings, 15
Smart Homes, 11
Medical, 10
Smart City, 12
Wearables, 5
Fab Automation, 7
[$ Billion]
Semicond. Value
$75B by 2020
Smart Driving is another opportunity
for Smart Systems
(*) data source: LMC, Strategic Analytics, ST, 2015
$2952014
2022
WW average silicon content per vehicle $ in 2014 was $295, in 2022 it will be $333
87M2014
2022
WW vehicle production in 2014 was 87Mu, in 2022 it will be 113Mu
$333113M
Vehicle production and semiconductor content
Some Examples of
Smart Systems Applications 11
Smart
Industry
Smart
Cities
Smart
Things
Smart
Home
ST restricted 12/11/2017Internal knowledge sharing call - Internet of Things
Smart Industry 12
Enabling smarter, safer and more efficient factories and workplaces
• Factories that produce in a more efficient manner
• More flexibility and customization possibilities in the supply
chain
• More sustainable production with less waste and less
energy used
• Safer working environments for people
• Better man-machine cooperation in the work place
• Optimized usage of machines and tools with Automation
Smart Industry
Smart Industry Enabled by Connected Sensors & Actuators 13
• IO-Link Transceiver
• Temperature Sensor
• 32-Bit Microcontroller
Temperature
Sensor
Vibration
Sensor
• IO-Link Transceiver
• Vibration Sensor
• 32-Bit Microcontroller
Proximity Sensor
• IO-Link Transceiver
• Time-of-Flight Sensor
• 32-Bit Microcontroller
Accelerometer
• 4x IO-Link Master Controller
• Protection devices
• 32-Bit Microcontroller
IO-Link Master
Controller
• IO-Link Transceiver
• Accelerometer
• 32-Bit Microcontroller
Programmable
Logic ControllerMachine learning, AI
• Self organizing
• Predictive maintenance
The Next Step
Smart Homes14
Generating energy through photovoltaic
panels and photovoltaic coated building
walls
Increased power efficiency through zero
stand-by
Anti-theft and ambient light control,
Smart appliances: fridge, washing
machine, ovens, air conditioning
Air conditioning
Vehicle to grid and
E-vehicle charger
Efficient power supplies (TV, PC)
Smart appliances
Photovoltaic
panels
Energy-efficient
lighting
Energy, water,
gas, meters
Self-sufficient
Environmentally friendly
Connected
Augmented Reality with wireless sensor
network, smart systems, fast power line
modemsThe Next Step
Smart Garbage Collection15
Only collect when necessary
Avoid overfilled containers leading to
user frustration and dumping
Improved garbage fleet management
Connectivity
Wireless
Connectivity
Energy
Management
Management
& Harvesting
Smart Sensing
sensors
Processing
MCU
Connected containers allow cities
to manage more efficiently
collection with better services
Domestic robots that can differentiate
and automatically collect garbage The Next Step
Smart MetersEnergy, Gas, Water 16
Real-time bidirectional information for
consumers and utility companies
Precise real-time consumption,
malfunction and fraud info for providers
Real-time flexible tariff profiles visibility
Smart Sensing
Connectivity
STarGRID™
PLC
Sub-GHz
SPIRIT1
RFID &
NFC
Energy
Management
Power
Management
Energy
Harvesting
ICs
Processing
STCOMET
Smart-Meter-on-Chip
MEMS
Smart meters allow power
generators to match consumption
in a more efficient way and give users more
control over their usage Electricity meters will be home gateways
enabling new services like high speed
multimedia, home monitoring and controlThe Next Step
Smart Street Lighting…Enabling New Services 17
Smart Sensing
Connectivity
Wi-Fi
Module
STarGRID
™
PLC
Sub-GHz
SPIRIT1
Bluetooth
Module
Motion
MEMS
Acoustic
MEMS
Environmental
Sensors(Light, Temperature,
Humidity, UV)
Energy
Management
Digital Power
Management
Energy
Harvesting
ICs
Power
MOSFET
Processing
STM32
32-bit MCU
Traffic monitoring and re-routing with
smart traffic lights and sensors
Weather stations monitoring air quality
and pollution
Improved security with cameras light
dimming and light color control
Easy and fast maintenance with remote
monitoring
The Next Step
Smart Driving18
Best routing to avoid traffic and minimize
fuel consumption
Active safety measures make driving
safer
Information for the city traffic controllers
on a real-time basis
Secure car-to-car and
car-to-infrastructure
communication
Active safety systems
(Vision or radar based)
Multi-constellation
satellite navigation
information
More efficient, safer and with
greener journeys
Assisted and Autonomous
DrivingThe Next Step
Radar
Vision-based
ADAS
processors
Smart Parking and Tolling19
Smart Sensing
Connectivity
Wireless
Connectivity
Sensors
Energy
Management
Management
& Harvesting
Processing
MCU
Restricted city areas access with tolling
Reducing traffic congestion with less fuel
consumption and CO2 emissions
Parking services with better space
control, pricing flexibility and direct user
banking charging
Helping drivers to find a parking
spot faster and comfortably
Car detection
sensor embedded
in the road
Radar and camera
assisted parking
Smart Phone with
Parking Map
Data
Concentrator
Real-time data exchange between users
and service providers for best matching
of parking spot depending on space
availability and user’s final destination
The Next Step
Smart Museums and Theaters20
Smart Sensing
Connectivity
Ultra-low-
Power
Connectivity
Tiny,
Inexpensive
Sensors
Low Energy
management
Battery Energy
Harvesting
Processing
Low Power
MCU
Bookings with personalised information
and geo-location content
Museum interactivity
Re-living historic live and events
Musical scores, 3D vision
Augmented Reality
and Context Awareness
Information sent directly to smart glasses
and phonesThe Next Step
Smart Buildings and Infrastructure21
Chemical sensors for pH monitoring
MEMS sensors for pressure and stability
real-time monitoring
Energy harvesting from structure
vibrations for data transfer
Smart Sensing
Connectivity
Wireless
Connectivity
Chemical
and MEMS
Sensors
Low Energy
Management
Energy
Harvesting
Processing
MCU
Protecting and monitoring the
structure of buildings
Big data analysis with massive numbers
aggregation for better understanding and
structure collapse preventionThe Next Step
All that glitters is not gold!
Smart cities will contribute to a better life for citizens
but the benefits are not without risks!
• Increasing alternative and distributed energy sources may lead to instability
and congestion of the grid with possible power interruptions
• Many software based services and increased data exchange can become a
target for hackers, with disruptive consequences for the community
• Privacy at risk due to too many connections and monitoring systems
exploiting personal data
The Future Challenges for Digitalization
Integration of:
• AI (Artificial Intelligence)
• Data Analytics and Big-Data are necessary as we move forward.
• Big Data models: Cloud, Client and “on-Smart Systems”
• Photonics
• Quantum Technology
23
AI industry still in “infancy” stage
• Capabilities classified as AI nowadays include
• understanding human speech,, autonomous cars, content delivery networks (e.g. 5G+),
inferencing from complex data, including images and videos.
• 70% of TOP-500 HPC applications are now driven by a combination of
new AI algorithms and GPUs accelerators.
• 2017 data centers TAM: 30B$
• By 2025, all Supercomputers with AI and Deep Learning!
Present Computers are missing the pace!
What else?
[Source: HP-E 2016]
Photonics can fill the gap now!• Silicon Photonics today is a niche market with limited volumes.
• Nevertheless Photonics has the potential to meet the challenges:
• FLOPS increase faster than chip performance
• Data Bandwidth increase even faster!
• Power , size & cost MUST be scaled down!
Quantum Technology: the next step
EU Flagship on QTQuantum communications: QT Internet
Quantum simulations
Quantum computingQuantum computing: 50+ QBits
Q interferometric Lithography
Chip scale atomic clock
QT HPC
Medicine
(fast HR
Scans)
Secure banking
Quantum networks
Quantum simulation
Quantum sensing/metrology
QT shows large collective investments
Conclusions• The Digital Explosion calls us to face with an unprecedented
amount of data.
• The IoT has the potential to connect tens of billions of smart
systems through internet, generating demand for sensors,
microcontrollers, data connectivity, energy management, SW
tools and services.
• AI/Big Data, Photonics, Quantum Computing
are breakthrough key pillars.
• EU has all the ingredients to win these Challenges provided
adequate investments are devoted to R&D.