oshkosh corporation (nyse:osk)...2014/02/28 · 1850sj ultra boom industry’s largest work...
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK)2014 AEM Investor Conference
March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Forward-Looking Statements
22014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, withoutlimitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs,earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, areforward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, especially with the current outlook for the U.S. and European economic recoveries; the strength of emerging market growth and projected adoption rate of work at height machinery; the expected level and timing of DoD and international defense customers procurement of products and services and funding thereof; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy, including the Company’s ability to successfullymanage the cost reductions required as a result of the significant projected decrease in sales levels in the defense segment; the Company’s ability to win a U.S. JLTV production contract award; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; the duration of the ongoing global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses thanCompany or equity market expectations; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including foreign currency fluctuations and compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8-K filed January 28, 2014. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation Leading provider of specialty vehicles
• Moving the World at Work
Nearly 100 years in business; incorporated in 1917
Four business segments
FY13 Revenue: $7.7 billion
Market Capitalization (1): $4.8 billion
December 2013 Net Debt (2): $380 million
15 year TSR(3): ~1,200%1 year TSR(3): ~80%
(1) As of February 27, 2014(2) Net debt is total debt less cash(3) TSR is Total Shareholder Return. Source: ThomsonONE. From September 30, 1998 to September 30, 2013 and
September 28, 2012 to September 30, 2013, respectively
Access Equipment Defense
Fire & Emergency Commercial
32014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Access Equipment Segment
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Access Equipment
Replacement demand continues to drive North American market• NRCs: ~ flat; IRCs: up• Fleet growth with a few customers
Improving in select global markets• Europe and Middle East stronger• Positive conditions in Latin America• Australia remains weak
Severe weather has caused supplier disruptions and production delays• Will impact Q2 sales and earnings• Full year results are not expected to
be impacted
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
North American Market Metrics Remain SolidRefreshing Fleets, Increasing Penetration
Residential and Non-Residential Spending(Y-O-Y % Change)
N.A. Rental Equipment Access - Fleet Age(AWP & TMH)
N.A. Rental Equipment Company Fleet Utilization
Recent Used Equipment Value Trends(OLV)
Source: Global Insight Estimates, December 2013
Based on International Rental News/Dan Kaplan sample of medium to large NA rental equipment companies (United Rentals, RSC, H&E, HERC).
(% C
hang
e)(%
Tim
e U
tiliz
atio
n)
OLV
(% o
f Cos
t)
Source: Rouse Rental Report. Calendar year-end data for 2008-13
(Age
in M
onth
s)
6
Source: Rouse Asset Services, January 2014Note: Rouse rebased the Rouse Value IndexTM in January 2014
‐40%
‐30%
‐20%
‐10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E
Residential Non‐Residential
50
55
60
65
70
75
Ind. Avg.
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40
45
50
55
60
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Articulating Booms Scissor LiftsTelescopic Booms Telehandlers
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
FY14 Outlook: Access Equipment (Dollars in millions)
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Fiscal Fiscal2013 2014
Actual Outlook*
Net Sales $3,120.8 $3,350 - $3,400 % Change 6.9% 7.3% - 8.9%
AdjustedOperating Income $388.6**
% Change 69.6%% Margin 12.5% 14.25% - 14.5%
Comments
Projected sales up ~10% to 12%, excluding military telehandlers
Margins expected to improve 175 – 200 bps
• Closing in on FY15 target of 15%
• Well above prior peak margins of 11.3%
* As of January 28, 2014** Non-GAAP results. See Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Value Innovation Initiatives Evident at ConExpo
Enhancing customers’ performance at work• Increasing capability• Improving productivity• Assuring safe operation
Lowering operating costs Reducing environmental
impacts
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Aerial Work Platform Innovation -1850SJ Ultra Boom Industry’s largest work envelope
• Extends work height to 19 stories• Reach envelope increases from 2.3 million
cubic feet to ~ 3.0 million cubic feet Leader in productivity
• Capacity, gradeability, lift/drive speed and setup time
20 foot telescopic jib• Additional reach up, over and around
Innovative LCD display• Improves operation and service
Transportable without oversize permit
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Launching at ConExpo
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Enhancing North America’s #1 Telehandler -Refreshed SkyTrak® Telehandler FamilyModernizes operator controls/comfort; sustains ease of operation and reliability
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Hydraulic system• Single joystick design• Improved operator control• Faster boom speeds
Enhanced cab layout• Redesigned dash panel• Integrated arm rest
Standard retrieval hitch Air conditioning
• Aftermarket accessory Updated styling
Launching at ConExpo
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Telehandler Innovation -Rental Series TelehandlersDesigned for the rental market, by the rental market
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Product offering details• 3614RS (3600kg; 14m)• 4017RS (4000kg; 17m)• Stage IIIb engines
Low cost of ownership• Powertrain – market proven• Service – maximized intervals• Transport – 2 machines/truck
Simple design Easily serviced
Launching at ConExpo
Rugged Cab, Single Joystick Easy Access to Components
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Hybrid Technology Innovation -H340AJ Hybrid Boom LiftHybrid technology for construction and industrial sectors with diesel-like performance
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Highly efficient• Direct electric drive results in
unmatched terrainability Two operating power modes
• More than 7 hours of continuous battery-only operation in electric mode
Low environmental impact• Noise, emissions and
potential for leaks minimized
Launching at ConExpo
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Vertical Mast Boom Innovation -T32E ToucanInnovations provide better maneuverability, more access and increased productivity
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High efficiency, direct electric drive with brushless AC motors• Nearly 80% reduction in hoses and fittings
Simplified controls with smooth, proportional operation
Telescopic articulating jib for outstanding reach
Highly maneuverable, compact machine• 3ft 9in frame enables access to confined
work areas On-board diagnostics, easier to service
Launching at ConExpo
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Commercial Segment
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Commercial
Expect U.S. housing starts to grow in 2014 and 2015• Supports positive concrete
mixer outlook Remain focused on operational
improvements to deliver higher margins• Expect greater benefit in 2H FY14
and throughout FY15 Expect RCV market to return to
growth in FY14
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Trending in line with Analyst Day expectations through FY15
Construction: Substantial MixerOpportunities with Modest Recovery
Housing Starts and Mixer Shipments (1959-2013)
16
Sources: Housing Starts - U.S. Census Bureau. Mixer Shipments - Truck Mixer Manufacturers Bureau; U.S. and Canada.
March 5, 20142014 AEM Investor Conference
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.9
2012 2013 2014E 2015EHou
sing
Sta
rts
(uni
ts in
mill
ions
)
U.S. Housing Starts Forecasts
Moodys Portland Cement AssociationGlobal Insight Average Analyst Estimate
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Mixer units
Hou
sing
Sta
rts
in M
illio
ns
Housing Starts Mixer Units Shipped Moody’s – Jan.’14Global Insight – Dec. ’13PCA – Nov. ‘13
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
FY14 Outlook: Commercial(Dollars in millions)
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Fiscal Fiscal2013 2014
Actual Outlook*
Net Sales $766.9 $850 - $900 % Change 10.0% 10.8% - 17.4%
Operating Income $41.3% Change 28.8%% Margin 5.4% 6.75% - 7.0%
Comments Concrete placement
sales projected up 15% to 20%
Margins expected to improve 135 – 160 bps
• Target margins expand to 10% as housing recovery accelerates
• FY14 margins approximate prior cycle peak on 17% lower sales
* As of January 28, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Commercial Concrete InnovationImproved Concrete Mixer ControlsCommand Center Controls State of the art driver interface
• Enhanced information display screen • Self diagnostic capabilities• Safer vehicle operation• Visual display for systems & status• Touch screen functionality
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McNeilus Branded Camera Systems Industry leading functionality
• 9” touch screen display• Supports up to 5 cameras; we have your
back, front, sides and traffic alert• Event trigger with loop recording• Infrared night vision
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Enhanced Concrete Drum
Increased Capacity• 11.5 yd3 capacity without increase
to wheelbase Larger drum head/shorter body
• Increases capacity & lowers center of gravity
Redesigned head impeller• Patent pending• Better mixing, less head pack & balling• Less damage, easier maintenance
Enhanced fin design• Smoother spiral, better discharge• Larger weep holes for easier cleaning, less clogging• AR 200 steel head decreases wear, extends life
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Launching at ConExpo
Redesigned Head Impeller
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
CNG Integration Innovation
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S-Series Mixer CNG Integration Twin tank design – 76 DGE
capacity Vertical tank configuration
• Improves mounting footprint• Less option content sacrifice• Weight reduction vs. four
tank design Reduction in plumbing
complexity and potentialleak points
New Cummins ISX-G 11.9L engine
Launching at ConExpo
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Con-E-Co - New Product Innovation
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Launching at ConExpoMobile Twin Shaft Mixer Low mixer charging elevation Generous 12ft 8in minimum
discharge height Unique 42-inch wide conveyor
belt design Easy installation, high productivity Retrofit on a wide range of plants
LO-PRO 327D Batch Plant Self-erecting, self-leveling Set-up time, labor and material
costs significantly reduced Large capacity (16 Yd3) aggregate
weighing bins Low 10ft 7in charging height
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
London Machinery – Canada’s Concrete Mixer LeaderNew Concrete Mixer Innovation CANbus mixer controls New lift hopper lock Plastic water tank with air pump Concrete ball breaker
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Drum Replacement and Mixer Refurbishment Replace and refurbish
• Drum• Hopper, chute, collector and superstructure• Drum rollers• Hydraulic systems• Upgrade to new options
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Drivers of Oshkosh’s Business Transformation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
MOVE Investments Providing Returns Recovering demand for
non-defense businesses in North America• Europe looking stronger Additional cost take-out
• Focus on product, process and overhead costs
• Dedicated teams leveraging the Oshkosh Operating System
Innovations improving customers’ performance at work Yr/yr international sales
growth
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Powering Our Transformation –The Oshkosh Operating System Customer-centric application
of lean principles• Develops talent to deliver value
for customers
Improves processes needed todeliver key elements of MOVE
Supports drive to improve cash flow
Implementation gaining momentum
Company-wide foundation for building shareholder value
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Customer Supporting Systems
26
Leaders Cascade Training
Driving Our Customer-Centric Culture -OOS Foundational Training
Customer Satisfaction
Launched September 2013
Launched December 2013
Customer First
Launched November 2012
2014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Transforming Operations –Continuous Improvement Events
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Using Problem Solving Tools to Improve Paint Quality
Developing Customer-Centric Key Performance Indicators
Using Process Mapping to Reduce Lead Time
Improving Station Layout to Reduce Non-Value Added Motion
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Continue to Advance OOS Culture
282014 AEM Investor Conference
The OOS Journey
Phase Zero:Exploration
Phase One:Building the foundation
Phase Two:Expanding with tools and deeper thinking
Phase Three:Integration and reinforcement
Phase Four:Building the momentum
March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
29
Transforming Operations –Customer First, Customer Focused
2014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Our Commitment to Shareholders Continue executing MOVE to drive shareholder value
• Impressive FY13 results, strong start to FY14 in Q1• Benefiting from improved housing starts; expect follow on growth
in non-residential construction and municipal recovery• MOVE initiatives driving margin expansion• On track to achieve FY15 EPS of $4.00 to $4.50
Oshkosh Operating System developing processes and talent to sustain superior growth for shareholders
30
Transforming to Sustain Long-Term Value Creation for Shareholders
2014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
For informationcontact:
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
Jeffrey D. WattDirector, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
March 5, 2014 322014 AEM Investor Conference
The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions):
2013
Non-GAAP operating income-Access Equipment 388.6$ Impairment charge (9.0)
GAAP operating income-Access Equipment 379.6$
Fiscal Year EndedSeptember 30,
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Appendix: Commonly Used Acronyms
332014 AEM Investor Conference March 5, 2014
ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting M-ATV MRAP All-Terrain VehicleAWP Aerial Work Platform MECV Modernized Expanded Capability VehicleCapEx Capital Expenditures MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush ProtectedCNG Compressed Natural Gas MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada)DGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent NOL Net Operating LossDoD Department of Defense NPD New Product Development
EAME Europe, Africa & Middle East NRC National Rental Company
EMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development OI Operating IncomeEPS Diluted Earnings Per Share OOS Oshkosh Operating SystemFHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles PLS Palletized Load SystemFMS Foreign Military Sales PUC Pierce Ultimate ConfigurationFMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles R&D Research & DevelopmentHEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck RCV Refuse Collection VehicleHET Heavy Equipment Transporter RFP Request for ProposalHMMWV High Mobility Multi-Purpose Wheeled Vehicle ROW Rest of WorldIRC Independent Rental Company SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS)
IT Information Technology TACOM Tank-automotive and Armaments Command
JLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle TDP Technical Data PackageJPO Joint Program Office TPV Tactical Protector VehicleJROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council TWV Tactical Wheeled VehicleJUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement UCA Undefinitized Contract Action
L-ATV Light Combat Tactical All-Terrain Vehicle UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M-ATV)
LVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement