organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · organizational...

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Committed to connecting the world 5G Implementation in Europe and CIS: Strategies and Policies Enabling New Growth Opportunities Budapest, Hungary, 3-5 July 2018 Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the developing countries 1 Rapporteur: Vadym Kaptur Ph.D., Senior Researcher Vice-Rector on Scientific work O.S. Popov ONAT Vice-Chairman of CWG on COP Vice-Chairman ITU-D Study Group 1 co-Rapporteur on Question 1/1 of ITU-D SG 1

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Page 1: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world

5G Implementation in Europe and CIS:

Strategies and Policies Enabling New Growth Opportunities

Budapest, Hungary, 3-5 July 2018

Organizational and technical aspects of

enabling environment creation for 5G

deployment in the developing countries

1

Rapporteur: Vadym KapturPh.D., Senior Researcher

Vice-Rector on Scientific work O.S. Popov ONATVice-Chairman of CWG on COP

Vice-Chairman ITU-D Study Group 1co-Rapporteur on Question 1/1 of ITU-D SG 1

Page 2: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 2

Enabling environment: freedom or guardianship?

Page 3: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 3

Key advantages of 5G

Directtechnicaladvantages

Enhancedfeatures

Management

Data Rate

LatencyMobility

Energy efficiency Connection

density

NFV

SDN

Distributed Cloud

Addresses

Security

Auto-configuration

Direct Data Flows

Reducing routing tables

Efficient Packet Processing

Page 4: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 4

How long does it take to the finish?

Draft Standard(December 1998)

IPv6 adoption – 19.64%(June 2018, Facebook)

Release 15(December 2017)

5G deployment – 20%(June 2037 - ????)

Workshops, Roadmaps, Pilots, National Strategies …

What we should to do to make this road shorter?

Page 5: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 5

Use cases for 5G: what will be main driver?

Page 6: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 6

Four components of 5G network: deployment is

possible only in case of developing all of them

Page 7: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 7

5G Devices for end-users or why I should buy new device?

Market of Devices

5G access network

New Content and Services

Cost and Availability of new Device

Tariff for eMBB Services

Page 8: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 8

5G access network development or formula of

success for mobile network operators

Revenue

Investments inaccess network

Operating Costs

Market of Equipment

Broadband infrastructure

Page 9: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 9

Content and Service Providing or "who will come first" dilemma

Content &

Services

eMBB

Availability D

em

and

Page 10: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 10

Broadband infrastructure: now we know "who will come first"

Page 11: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 11

Enabling environment for 5G deployment:

real scheme is much more complicated

5G Access Network

BroadbandInfrastracture

Users MNO FNO

C&SPContent & Services with Principal new Quality

EM & SD SO Policy Makers

Regulators

Academical Institutions

EM & SD – Equipment Manufacturers & Software DevelopersSO – Standardization Organizations MNO – Mobile Network OperatorsFNO – Fixed Network OperatorsC&SP – Content & Service Providers

5G User’s Devices

Standards

Regulation

Expertise

Regulation

Page 12: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 12

Factors that affect the process of 5G deployment or

what we can to do to make this road shorter

National Plans of 5G and Fixed Broadband development

Investment Procedures and Public-Private Partnership

Studies and Standardization of 5G technologies

New Regulatory Frameworks (Tariffs, Frequencies etc.)

Capacity Building (Educational programs, Certification etc.)

Content & Services

Page 13: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 13

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions:

method of determining the main factors for specific countries

Simplified version of the method of analysis of hierarchies

Experts from leading companies, responsible for the process

Calculating the weight coefficients of the factors

Rating by some fixed scale of the influence of factors

Calculating the uniform complex comparative evaluation

Page 14: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 14

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions:

BroadbandCalculator.online

Page 15: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 15

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions:

BroadbandCalculator.online

Page 16: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 16

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions:

BroadbandCalculator.online

Page 17: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 17

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions: Tariffs Determination on the Basis of the Cost Simulation of Service Providing

FORMATION OF THE DEVELOPMENT

INVESTMENT PLAN

OF THE TRANSPORT NETWORK FOR

THE PLANNING PERIOD

FORMATION OF THE DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT PLAN

OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF SERVICE

FOR THE PLANNING PERIOD Ser

vice

1Transport network

. . .

Ser

vice

N

ELABORATION OF THE CONCEPTUAL

MODEL OF THE TRANSPORT

NETWORK WITH AN ESTIMATION OF

ITS POTENTIALITIES

Transport network

ELABORATION OF THE CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF THE SERVICE

IMPLEMENTATION, DETERMINATION OF COSTS DRIVERS AND AN

ESTIMATION OF POTENTIALITIES OF EACH OF THE SERVICE

IMPLEMENTATION SUBSYSTEMS Ser

vice

1

. . .

Ser

vice

N

ELABORATION OF SIMULATION MODEL OF OPERATIONAL COSTS

DETERMINATION FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF SERVICE

IMPLEMENTATION SUBSYSTEMS

Subsystem 1

Subsystem K

. . .ELABORATION OF THE SIMULATION

MODEL OF OPERATIONAL COSTS

DETERMINATION FOR THE

MAINTENANCE OF THE TRANSPORT

NETWORK

Transport network

DETERMINATION OF REDUCED COSTS

PER ONE DRIVER FOR TRAFFIC

TRANSPORTATION

Transport network

DETERMINATION OF REDUCED COSTS PER ONE DRIVER FOR

SERVICE IMPLEMENTATION SUBSYSTEMS

Subsystem 1

Subsystem K

. . .

DETERMINATION OF THE TARIFF

COMPONENT FOR THE

TRANSPORTATION OF

TELECOMMUNICATION TRAFFIC

Transport network

DETERMINATION OF THE TARIFF COMPONENT FOR

THE SERVICE IMPLEMENTATION

Ser

vice

1

. . .

Ser

vice

N

DETERMINATION OF TARIFF

Ser

vice

1

. . .

Ser

vice

N

FOR

MA

TIO

N O

F

INV

EST

ME

NT

PL

AN

S

EL

AB

OR

AT

ION

OF

TH

E C

ON

CE

PTU

AL

MO

DE

LS

ELA

BO

RA

TIO

N O

F

SIM

ULA

TIO

N

MO

DE

LS

DE

TER

MIN

ATI

ON

OF

RE

DU

CE

D C

OS

TS

DE

TER

MIN

ATI

ON

OF

TAR

IFF

FOR

PR

OV

IDIN

G S

ER

VIC

ES

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Committed to connecting the world 18

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions: Tariffs Determination on the Basis of the Cost Simulation of Service Providing

Criterion FDCLRIC,

LRAIC

Proposed

method

Independence from historical data - + +

Possibility of avoiding separate cost accounting + - +

Cost accounting based on the principal of causal

chains

- + +

Accounting only of elements that are essential to

the uninterrupted operation of network

infrastructure

- + +

Accounting of semi-fixed costs + - +

Accounting of investment costs for

network/service development

- + +

Possibility of formulating a long-term tariff policy - + +

Possibility of rapid calculation/re-calculation of

tariffs where necessary

- - +

Effectiveness in calculating tariffs for services

subject to state regulation

- + +

Effectiveness in calculating tariffs for services

not subject to state regulation

+ - +

Possibility of independent calculation

(estimation) of tariffs by a regulatory or anti-

monopoly authority without using operator’s

confidential data

- - +

Page 19: Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment … · 2018. 7. 2. · Organizational and technical aspects of enabling environment creation for 5G deployment in the

Committed to connecting the world 19

O.S. Popov ONAT Contributions:

about 100 years of training IT-professionals

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Committed to connecting the world 20