opportunity and threat analysis

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Opportunity/Threat Analysis Business Intelligence Data Flow & SaaS Workshop 4/28 – 4/29/08 Paul Schumann Glocal Vantage, Inc.

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A review of the concepts of opportunity and threat analysis

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Page 1: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

Opportunity/Threat Analysis

Business IntelligenceData Flow & SaaS

Workshop4/28 – 4/29/08

Paul SchumannGlocal Vantage, Inc.

Page 2: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 2

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 3: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 3

Topics

• Review of Concepts • Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 4: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 4

Perspective

Strategy

OrganizationalCapability

OrganizationalCapacityStakeholders

Market

Page 5: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 5

Market

Elements• Customers• Competition• Technology

Driving Forces• Demographic• Economic• Technological• Social• Political• Environmental

Page 6: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 6

Market

CustomersCompetitors

Technology

Social

Economic

Demographic

Technological

Opportunity Threat

Environmental

Political

Page 7: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 7

Market

Type• Horizontal• Vertical• Segment

Elements• Customers

– Current– Identified Potential– Unidentified Potential

• Competition– Direct– Indirect– Structural

• Technology– Embedded– Supportive– Enabling

Page 8: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 8

Organization

• Projects• Resources

– Capital– People– Facilities & Equipment– Knowledge– Strategic Relationships

• Culture– Beliefs– Values– Behaviors

Strengths/Weaknesses

Page 9: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 9

Stakeholders

• Stockholders/Owners

• Bankers

• Suppliers

• Employees

• Customers

• Community

Hopes/Fears

Page 10: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 10

Strategy

• Vision

• Mission

• Goals

• Strategies

• Business model

• Value proposition

• Plans

Change=Innovation

Page 11: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 11

Innovation

Incremental

Distinctive

Breakthrough

Procedure Process Product

Page 12: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 12

Illustrations

• 50 % incremental procedure

• 30% breakthrough process

• 20% distinctive product

• 10% breakthrough procedure

• 20% incremental process

• 70% distinctive product

Page 13: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 13

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 14: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 14

What is the Market?

• Horizontal– Business Intelligence

• Vertical– Industry– Country/Region

• Segment– SaaS Implementation

• Time Frame

Page 15: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 15

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 16: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 16

Driving Forces

• What are driving forces affecting this market over the time frame:– Demographic?– Economic?– Social?– Political?– Technological?– Environmental?

• What is the importance of each of these driving forces with respect to your product/service?

Page 17: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 17

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 18: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 18

Customers

• Who are the current customers and what are their needs now?

• Who are the identifiable potential customers and what are their needs now? What would cause them to change to your product/service?

• Who are the unidentifiable customers? Describe their characteristics. What are their present needs? What would cause them to abandon what they are presently doing to change to your product/service?

• Considering the driving forces, how would each of the above change over the time frame?

Page 19: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 19

Market Research

• Secondary

• Primary– Qualitative– Quantitative

Page 20: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 20

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 21: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 21

Technology

• What are the key embedded technologies now?• What are the key supportive technologies now?• What are the key enabling technologies now?• Considering the driving forces, what changes would

occur in the listing of these key technologies?• What are the current capabilities for these key

technologies?• How will the capabilities of these key technologies

change over the time frame?• Will these new capabilities alter customer needs or

create new needs?

Page 22: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 22

Technology Forecasting

• Trend Extrapolation

• Substitution Analysis

• Expert Opinion

• Integrative

Page 23: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 23

Substitution Analysis Illustration

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2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022

Year

Penetration LE Data

LE Projected

SMB Data

SMB Projected

Page 24: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 24

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 25: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 25

Competition

• Who are the direct competitors in this market now? What are their strategies?

• Who are the indirect competitors in this market now? What are their strategies?

• Who or what are the structural competitors in this market? What are their strategies?

• How might this change over the time frame?• Will the forecasted capability of the key

technologies alter this competitive landscape?

Page 26: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 26

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 27: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 27

Integration

• Integrating all of the factors considered – driving forces, customers needs, technological capability and competitive responses – what are the opportunities and threats for the product/service now and over the time frame?

Page 28: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 28

Topics

• Review of Concepts• Selection & Description of the Market• Understanding Driving Forces• Determining Customer Needs• Forecasting Technology• Assessing Competition• Integration• Next Steps

Page 29: Opportunity and Threat Analysis

4/28/08 Glocal Vantage, Inc. 29

Next Steps

• What information is needed?

• How will it be obtained?

• How will it all be integrated?

• How will the results be presented?