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INAUGURAL DISCUSSION Intellectual Capital and the Finance Market Bob Hodgson Zernike (UK) Limited Buenos Aires July 2008 ZERN I K E (UK) OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual capital in Argentina

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Page 1: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

INAUGURAL DISCUSSION

Intellectual Capital and the Finance Market

Bob Hodgson

Zernike (UK) Limited

Buenos Aires

July 2008

ZERNIKE (UK)

OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT

Development of Intellectual capital in Argentina

Page 2: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Structure

Structure and purpose

� Place topic in a broad developmental context

� Discuss some of the key challenges relating to:

� IP and its characteristics

� Universities and the supply side

� Companies and the demand side

� Finance and its concerns and contribution

� New technology firms and finance specifically

� End with some key lessons learned from experience

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 3: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Messenger: Zernike model

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

International integrated technology entrepreneurship

� Specialist property

� Seed and start-up funds

� Business networks and globalisation

� Consultancy and positioning

Divide to grow – combine for value

PRIVATE – with partnership culture

BIOLOGICAL CULTURE

Page 4: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

IP its nature and challenges

� A legal monopoly to encourage invention

� Novel Useful Specific

� Explicit knowledge, but usually backed by tacit know how

� Complex and specialist – so costly and uncertain

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 5: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Some key aspects

� Explicit v Tacit

� Legal Asset v Value Generation

� Creation v Defence

� Route choice to value

� Appraisal and valuation

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 6: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Perspectives of five main actors

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Financial agents

Real economy

ProducersConsumers

Government

and

legal systemResearchers and

Idea generators

Page 7: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Perspectives of five main actors

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Real economy

ProducersConsumers

Government

and

legal systemResearchers and

Idea generators

Financial agents

Page 8: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Government: enabling and facilitating

� Legal aspects – framing and applying Yes

� Investor in knowledge generation Yes

� The economy stupid Yes

� Buyer and user Yes

� Commercialising agent NO

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 9: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Consumers: willing buyers?

� Understanding and acceptance

� segmented drugs market

� Fashion and valuation

� establishing and sustaining the brand

� Culture ethics and risk

� genetic engineering and acceptance

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 10: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Researchers and knowledge generators

� Legitimacy: ask the question right� use and benefit not exploitation

� Processes: develop a professional network

� scale and specialism

� Institute incentives

� equity and predictability

� Develop the commitment

� Bayh Dole in USA

� Christine Clements in Norway

� CONNECT programme from UC San Diego

� University of Manchester

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 11: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

University of Cambridge – Ivory Tower?

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

� A research based university

� Excellence in culture

� Started in 13th century

� Successful and adaptive – yes

� Slim and agile – perhaps not!

Page 12: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

Cambridge University roll call

Glaxo

SmithKline

Beecham

Marconi

Page 13: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Research agencies: interests and execution

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

ooooo++++oThe IP profit

++ooo++oooThe IP application

+++oo++++oThe IP asset

++++++++++The IP idea

Engagement in

execution

Level of

interest

The stage

of process

Page 14: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Building the bridge

� Start with the protocol

� Helpful, even necessary but not sufficient

� Work with all the tools and talents� VTTs

�Identifiers – scouts and ferrets

� Interpreters and translators

� Look early for the route choice

� Alliances

� Licencing

� New business creation

� Ensure a two way flow

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 15: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

One size does not fit all

Differentiation and focus

� Market dynamic – innovate and die v innovate or die

� Technology imperative – bio compared to ICT

� Purchasing dynamic – security and health

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

BUT SUSTAINED SUPPORT IS ESSENTIAL

Page 16: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

Profit and differential research intensity

10%

0%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

20% 40% 60% 80% 100%0%

Proportion of firms undertaking R&D

Average proportion of turnover devoted to R&D

More extensive R&D

More intensive R&D

Biotechnology

SoftwareR&D Consultancy

Instrumentation

Telecomms Services

Page 17: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Real Economy: innovation engines

� ARM – Advanced RISC Machines

� IP generator

� income from Licences and Royalties

� market cap - billions

� Generics Group Plc – technology solutions provider

� IP accumulator

� and commercialiser – spinning out companies

� massive P/E ratio on flotation – hope value

� Supported by specialist service provides

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 18: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Where do firms look for technology and innovation?

Sources of innovative technologies

� Customers

� Capital equipment suppliers

� Competitors

� Shows and exhibitions

� Peer professionals

� Specialist media

� .

� .

� .

� Public agencies

� Universities

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 19: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Typical model: Callon et al

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Actors

Financial services

Ministries ....

Actors

Development and

Design Dept

Actors

Marketing Dept

Manufacturing

Dept .......

Actors

Laboratories

Collective R&D

centres .....

Actors

Academic lab.

Industrial research

centres ....

Actors

Firms

Customers....

SCIENCE POLE

TRANSFER POLE

FINANCIAL POLE

MARKET POLE

DEVELOPMENT POLE

TECHNOLOGICAL POLE

Actors

Financial services

Ministries ....

Actors

Development and

Design Dept

Actors

Marketing Dept

Manufacturing

Dept .......

Actors

Laboratories

Collective R&D

centres .....

Actors

Academic lab.

Industrial research

centres ....

Actors

Firms

Customers....

SCIENCE POLE

TRANSFER POLE

FINANCIAL POLE

MARKET POLE

DEVELOPMENT POLE

TECHNOLOGICAL POLE

Page 20: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Risks: real and perceived

� The benefit of collateral – tangible and tradable

� IP – an asset but of what value?

� Austin Texas – investment challenge!

� But the risks are still very real

� technical

� market/commercial

� personnel

� financial

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 21: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

> Market consolidation

> Market expansion

> Market penetration

> Product enhancement

> Sales & distribution

> Product development

> Marketing & research

> Prototyping

> Market definition

> Innovation & R&D

Tier 0 Tier 1 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5Tier 2

Product

Development Stage

The Commercialisation Cycle

Tier 3 - Post-incubation

� Funding

� Structuring

� Relationships etc

Tiers 4/5 - Commercial

Maturity

Business Development Tiers

Risk Of Failure

HIGH LOW

Commercial

Value

R&DAngels

/3F’s

Seed

VC/IIF

VC/

Expansion

IPO/MBO

/Trade Sale

Sources

Of Funding

Tiers 0/1 - Pre-incubation

� Direction

� Collaboration

� Guidance

� Resources etc

� Pre-Seed funding

Tier 2 - Incubation

� Mentoring

� Seed funding

� Contacts

� Consulting

� Clients

Fiscal approaches

Page 22: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Challenges in commercialisation: hypothesis 1

We have great S&T and ideas for new businesses

BUT

There is no money to take them forward

SO

Lets build a venture capital industry

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

Page 23: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Challenges in commercialisation: hypothesis 2

We have lots of money which is prepared to invest in

new businesses

BUT

There are not enough good ideas coming forward from

the knowledge base

SO

Lets change the orientation of the science base

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

Page 24: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Challenges in commercialisation: hypothesis 3

We have great S&T and lots of investment money

BUT

The two communities have opposite perspectives and

cannot talk to each other

SO

Lets build a shared vision and learn a common

language

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

Page 25: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Valuation: the unresolved challenge

� Easy – when there is a revenue stream

� But even then worries about sustainability

� Before the revenue stream it is much more uncertain

� And is characterised by information asymmetries

� inventor knows the technology

� entrepreneur knows the market

� investor needs to independently evaluate both

� and then to reach a deal!

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 26: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Some additional limitations

� IP system is not always applicable

� advanced engineering around F1 racing

� accumulated tacit knowledge

� Commercial perspectives can cripple business

� Pro fit and its American licensee

� defence costs can overwhelm revenues

� all but a few USA universities spend more on IP

than they receive

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 27: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Finally: some key messages

� Build a local consensus for legitimacy and transactions

� more than engineering optimisation

� Get specialist help

� develop specialist skill sets

� Provide smart incentives

� for all who contribute not just the few

� Encourage reinvestment

� it is where the competitive future lies

Bob HodgsonBuenos Aires, July 2008

Page 28: OMPI AGENCIA MinCyT Development of Intellectual … · International integrated technology entrepreneurship ... investment challenge! ... Valuation: the unresolved challenge

ZERNIKE (UK)

Thank You

Bob HodgsonSeoul, July 2008

BOB HODGSON

ZERNIKE (UK) Ltd

The Grove

High Street

Sawston

Cambridge

UK

CB2 4HJ

0(044)1223 526980

[email protected]