oligopoly market(economics)
TRANSCRIPT
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Imperfect competition
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Imperfect Competition
The spectrum of competition:
Perfect Comp. -------------Monopoly
Monop. Comp.-- Oligopoly Assumptions underlying oligopoly
Few Sellers
Interdependenceeach seller must be aware that their actions
will provoke actions by rival firms Differentiated versus non-differentiated products (cars
or oil
Differentiated products leads to non-price competition throughactivities such as advertising, style changes, quality
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Cartels
Explicit agreements among firms to fix output andpricesand act as a monopolist.
Examples are OPEC, Electrical Conspiracy (Econ USA),Shipping Cartel
Incentive to cooperateearn monopoly profits
Incentive to cheatincrease individual profits if cheatingis not detected or punished.
Sources of instability in cartels: Number of Sellers
Cost differences
Potential competition
Recessions
Cheating
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Cartels and Government
Monopoly power is often granted by governmentvia regulation. Example Ma Bell (Econ USA).
Other examples are shipping and the airlineindustry (pre-deregulation).
Justifications for government regulation includeinfant industry and natural monopoly.
Criticisms include decreased competition,increased costs due to x-inefficiency and lobbying,and regulation outlives its usefulness.
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Links
http://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.html
http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.ht
ml http://www.naseo.org/energy_sectors/fossil/oil/Supply_Graphs.htm#Prices,%201973-97
http://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.html -
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Measuring Market Power :
Market Concentration One presumption is that as the number of sellers
decreases, market power increases.
Concentration Ratiospercentage of market sharecontrolled by x number of firms, most commonly
a four-firm concentration ratio
Four-firm concentration ratio = (Sales by four
largest firms in an industry/Sales by all firms in
the industry) x 100
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Concentration Ratios
Primary Copper (1992,2002) 98,95
Cigarettes 93,99
Beer 90,90
Breakfast Cereals 85,83
Motor Vehicles 84,83
Greeting Cards 84
Small-arms munitions 84,89
Household Refrigerators and
Freezers
82,82
McConnell and Brue, Economics and US Census
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Problems with Concentration
Ratios Do not take into account foreign
competition
Fail to account for potential competition.
Contestable marketsfirms are able to enter
and exit at low cost. Potential entry acts as a
limit to market power.
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US Auto Industry 2001
GM 27Ford 24
Daimler-Chrysler 16
Toyota 10Honda 7
Nissan 4
Mitsubishi 2Mazda 2
Subaru 1
Suzuki .3
4 US firmsControl
67%
Japanese Firms
Control
26%
WSJ 4/4/2001 and
Carbaugh page 201
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MergersIncreasing
Concentration Vertical Mergermerging with a firm that
supplies inputs
Horizontal Mergermerging with a competitor Conglomerate Mergermerging with firms that
are not related
Successful mergersBoeing and McDonnell-Douglas
Unsuccessful MergersAOL Time Warner
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Game Theory
Game theory is an attempt to model andunderstand behavior given the presence of
interdependence Games have the following characteristics:
Rules
Strategies
Payoffs
Outcome
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The Prisoners Dilemma
Two criminals, Bill and Paul, are caught red-handed stealing a car, and will receive 2 yearsentences; however, they become suspects in a
previous bank robbery. The DAs job is to see ifhe can solve the bank robbery.
Rules:
Each player is held in separate rooms and cannot
communicate. Each is told that he is suspected of the larger crime and
if both confess to the bank robbery, they get 5 year sentences
if one rats on the other and the other does not confess to the bankrobbery, he gets off, and the other gets a 10 year sentence
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Strategies: Each player has two possible actions
Confess to the bank robbery
Do not confess to the bank robbery
Payoffs: Two players with two outcomes four
possible outcomes with the following payoffs
Both confesseach get 5 year sentences
Both denyeach get 2 year sentence
Bill confesses and Paul deniesBill gets off and Paul gets 10years
Paul confesses and Bill deniesPaul gets off and Bill gets 10
years.
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BILL
P
AU
L
ConfessDeny
Confess
Deny
5 years 10 years
5 years Off
Off 2 years
10 years 2 years
Bill
Paul
Paulif Bill confesses I should too (5 vs 10), if Bill denies, I should
still confess (off vs 2)Billif Paul confesses I should too (5 vs 10); if Paul doesnt. I should
still confess (off vs 2)
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Kinked Demand Curve Model
Show a situation where the best situation for players is to
maintain current prices and that prices remain stable in
spite of firms with different cost structures.
Asymmetry in price movements:
If firm raises price, no one follows, therefore quantity demanded is
elastic
If firm lowers price, all follow suit so the quantity demanded is
quite inelastic Marginal revenue curve is discontinuous and allows for
various marginal cost curves.
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Kinked Demand Curve
If the firm raises its
price above P, it facesan elastic demand curve,
payoff low
If the firm lowers itsprice below P, it faces
an inelastic demandcurve, payoff low
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Kinked Demand Curve Different firms can have
different MCs. As long as
they fall with in the
discontinuous MR, P will
remain stable.
Output Effect < Price
Effect for price
movements with the
discontinuous MR curve.
IfMC increases enough,
all firms raise their prices
and the kink vanishes.
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Dominant Firm Price Leadership
A large dominant firm with lower costs that itcompetitors becomes the price maker.
A competitive fringe with many firms that areprice takers or followers.
The dominant firms demand curve is the totalmarket demand minus the supply of the
competitive fringe. The dominant firm sets price and its quantity
based upon residual demand and this determinesthe price for competitive firms and their supply.
(Examples OPEC).
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Dominant Firm The large firm can set the price and receives a marginal
revenue that is less than price along the curve MR.
Residual
Demand
Dominant Firms
Demand Curve
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Dominant Firm As long as the dominant firm has lower costs, it can act like
a monopolist over the residual demand.
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Other Price Leadership Models
Barometric price leadership - firms come to tacit
agreement to allow one firm to set the price
according to cost consideration. If cost move isjustified, others will follow and validate the price .
If not, or if some firm decides to defect, the price
change will not be validated.
Rotating price leadershipfirms come to tacitagreement to allow the price leading firm to rotate
among key players in the industry.
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Oligopoly and Efficiency
The question whether oligopoly affects economic
welfare depends on whether or not they exercise
market power over prices and production In competition, the level of output produced is
where P=MC or MB=MC. Hence, net benefits to
society are maximized. Market prices as low as
possible and respond to changes in market forces.This allows prices to help direct resource
allocation.
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In monopoly, the level of output produced is
where P>MC or MB>MC. Hence, net benefits tosociety are NOT maximized. Market prices arehigher and respond to changes in market forces.This allows prices to help direct resource
allocation. In oligopoly, the level of output is somewherebetween the competitive and the monopolisticoutcome. As the oligopolist produces closer to the
competitive solution, the net benefits to societymove closer to being maximized. The opposite istrue if the outcome moves closer to the monopolyoutcomes, such as occurs with a perfect carte.
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Non-price competition, such as advertising andproduct differentiation, can negatively affectresource allocation, but it can also contribute to
efficiency. People have different preferences forproducts and advertising can help informconsumers about the price and nature of a product.
If prices are sticky, they can also causeinefficiency by failing to act as signals forresource allocation.
The extent of these inefficiencies are the subject ofdebate among economists and non-economists.
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Market Structures: Monopolistic
Competition
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Imperfect Competition
The spectrum of competition:
Perfect Comp. -------------Monopoly
Monop. Comp.-- Oligopoly
Assumptions underlying MonopolisticCompetition
Differentiated products
Differentiated products leads to some market power over price
or a downward slping demand curve Many buyers and sellers
Free entry and exit
Perfect knowledge
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Short-run Vs. Long-run Supply
Decisions In the short-run, the firm is able to set prices like a
monopolistic. P>MR so MR=MC implies thatP>MC. A firm can make profits, breakeven or
make losses.
In the long-run, free entry and exit will eliminateeconomic profits or losses.
In either case, the monopolistically competitivefirm produces a level of output where LRAC aregreater than LRAC minimum or the efficient scaleand sets price above MC.
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Monopoly Competition and
Economic Welfare Compared to competitive markets, monopolistic
competition results in an output level where thereis
Excess capacityLRAC >LRAC min
P>MC - or MB>MC
So, Deadweight Welfare Loss exists
Welfare loss is due to product differentiation
If differentiation is real, the welfare is small
If differentiation is the result of advertising which doesnot contribute anything to consumer satisfaction, itrepresents welfare loss
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Advertising
Advertising is costly, the question is - does it add
anything of value to the consumer?
informative advertising which contributes tocompetition
Advertising aimed at creating perceived differences or
brand loyalty
Breakfast cereals and kids versus supermarket ads Advertising and the prisoners dilemma self-
canceling ads.