oligopoly market(economics)

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    Imperfect competition

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    Imperfect Competition

    The spectrum of competition:

    Perfect Comp. -------------Monopoly

    Monop. Comp.-- Oligopoly Assumptions underlying oligopoly

    Few Sellers

    Interdependenceeach seller must be aware that their actions

    will provoke actions by rival firms Differentiated versus non-differentiated products (cars

    or oil

    Differentiated products leads to non-price competition throughactivities such as advertising, style changes, quality

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    Cartels

    Explicit agreements among firms to fix output andpricesand act as a monopolist.

    Examples are OPEC, Electrical Conspiracy (Econ USA),Shipping Cartel

    Incentive to cooperateearn monopoly profits

    Incentive to cheatincrease individual profits if cheatingis not detected or punished.

    Sources of instability in cartels: Number of Sellers

    Cost differences

    Potential competition

    Recessions

    Cheating

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    Cartels and Government

    Monopoly power is often granted by governmentvia regulation. Example Ma Bell (Econ USA).

    Other examples are shipping and the airlineindustry (pre-deregulation).

    Justifications for government regulation includeinfant industry and natural monopoly.

    Criticisms include decreased competition,increased costs due to x-inefficiency and lobbying,and regulation outlives its usefulness.

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    Links

    http://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.html

    http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.ht

    ml http://www.naseo.org/energy_sectors/fossil/oil/Supply_Graphs.htm#Prices,%201973-97

    http://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/chron.htmlhttp://www.sunship.com/mideast/oil.html
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    Measuring Market Power :

    Market Concentration One presumption is that as the number of sellers

    decreases, market power increases.

    Concentration Ratiospercentage of market sharecontrolled by x number of firms, most commonly

    a four-firm concentration ratio

    Four-firm concentration ratio = (Sales by four

    largest firms in an industry/Sales by all firms in

    the industry) x 100

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    Concentration Ratios

    Primary Copper (1992,2002) 98,95

    Cigarettes 93,99

    Beer 90,90

    Breakfast Cereals 85,83

    Motor Vehicles 84,83

    Greeting Cards 84

    Small-arms munitions 84,89

    Household Refrigerators and

    Freezers

    82,82

    McConnell and Brue, Economics and US Census

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    Problems with Concentration

    Ratios Do not take into account foreign

    competition

    Fail to account for potential competition.

    Contestable marketsfirms are able to enter

    and exit at low cost. Potential entry acts as a

    limit to market power.

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    US Auto Industry 2001

    GM 27Ford 24

    Daimler-Chrysler 16

    Toyota 10Honda 7

    Nissan 4

    Mitsubishi 2Mazda 2

    Subaru 1

    Suzuki .3

    4 US firmsControl

    67%

    Japanese Firms

    Control

    26%

    WSJ 4/4/2001 and

    Carbaugh page 201

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    MergersIncreasing

    Concentration Vertical Mergermerging with a firm that

    supplies inputs

    Horizontal Mergermerging with a competitor Conglomerate Mergermerging with firms that

    are not related

    Successful mergersBoeing and McDonnell-Douglas

    Unsuccessful MergersAOL Time Warner

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    Game Theory

    Game theory is an attempt to model andunderstand behavior given the presence of

    interdependence Games have the following characteristics:

    Rules

    Strategies

    Payoffs

    Outcome

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    The Prisoners Dilemma

    Two criminals, Bill and Paul, are caught red-handed stealing a car, and will receive 2 yearsentences; however, they become suspects in a

    previous bank robbery. The DAs job is to see ifhe can solve the bank robbery.

    Rules:

    Each player is held in separate rooms and cannot

    communicate. Each is told that he is suspected of the larger crime and

    if both confess to the bank robbery, they get 5 year sentences

    if one rats on the other and the other does not confess to the bankrobbery, he gets off, and the other gets a 10 year sentence

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    Strategies: Each player has two possible actions

    Confess to the bank robbery

    Do not confess to the bank robbery

    Payoffs: Two players with two outcomes four

    possible outcomes with the following payoffs

    Both confesseach get 5 year sentences

    Both denyeach get 2 year sentence

    Bill confesses and Paul deniesBill gets off and Paul gets 10years

    Paul confesses and Bill deniesPaul gets off and Bill gets 10

    years.

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    BILL

    P

    AU

    L

    ConfessDeny

    Confess

    Deny

    5 years 10 years

    5 years Off

    Off 2 years

    10 years 2 years

    Bill

    Paul

    Paulif Bill confesses I should too (5 vs 10), if Bill denies, I should

    still confess (off vs 2)Billif Paul confesses I should too (5 vs 10); if Paul doesnt. I should

    still confess (off vs 2)

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    Kinked Demand Curve Model

    Show a situation where the best situation for players is to

    maintain current prices and that prices remain stable in

    spite of firms with different cost structures.

    Asymmetry in price movements:

    If firm raises price, no one follows, therefore quantity demanded is

    elastic

    If firm lowers price, all follow suit so the quantity demanded is

    quite inelastic Marginal revenue curve is discontinuous and allows for

    various marginal cost curves.

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    Kinked Demand Curve

    If the firm raises its

    price above P, it facesan elastic demand curve,

    payoff low

    If the firm lowers itsprice below P, it faces

    an inelastic demandcurve, payoff low

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    Kinked Demand Curve Different firms can have

    different MCs. As long as

    they fall with in the

    discontinuous MR, P will

    remain stable.

    Output Effect < Price

    Effect for price

    movements with the

    discontinuous MR curve.

    IfMC increases enough,

    all firms raise their prices

    and the kink vanishes.

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    Dominant Firm Price Leadership

    A large dominant firm with lower costs that itcompetitors becomes the price maker.

    A competitive fringe with many firms that areprice takers or followers.

    The dominant firms demand curve is the totalmarket demand minus the supply of the

    competitive fringe. The dominant firm sets price and its quantity

    based upon residual demand and this determinesthe price for competitive firms and their supply.

    (Examples OPEC).

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    Dominant Firm The large firm can set the price and receives a marginal

    revenue that is less than price along the curve MR.

    Residual

    Demand

    Dominant Firms

    Demand Curve

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    Dominant Firm As long as the dominant firm has lower costs, it can act like

    a monopolist over the residual demand.

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    Other Price Leadership Models

    Barometric price leadership - firms come to tacit

    agreement to allow one firm to set the price

    according to cost consideration. If cost move isjustified, others will follow and validate the price .

    If not, or if some firm decides to defect, the price

    change will not be validated.

    Rotating price leadershipfirms come to tacitagreement to allow the price leading firm to rotate

    among key players in the industry.

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    Oligopoly and Efficiency

    The question whether oligopoly affects economic

    welfare depends on whether or not they exercise

    market power over prices and production In competition, the level of output produced is

    where P=MC or MB=MC. Hence, net benefits to

    society are maximized. Market prices as low as

    possible and respond to changes in market forces.This allows prices to help direct resource

    allocation.

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    In monopoly, the level of output produced is

    where P>MC or MB>MC. Hence, net benefits tosociety are NOT maximized. Market prices arehigher and respond to changes in market forces.This allows prices to help direct resource

    allocation. In oligopoly, the level of output is somewherebetween the competitive and the monopolisticoutcome. As the oligopolist produces closer to the

    competitive solution, the net benefits to societymove closer to being maximized. The opposite istrue if the outcome moves closer to the monopolyoutcomes, such as occurs with a perfect carte.

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    Non-price competition, such as advertising andproduct differentiation, can negatively affectresource allocation, but it can also contribute to

    efficiency. People have different preferences forproducts and advertising can help informconsumers about the price and nature of a product.

    If prices are sticky, they can also causeinefficiency by failing to act as signals forresource allocation.

    The extent of these inefficiencies are the subject ofdebate among economists and non-economists.

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    Market Structures: Monopolistic

    Competition

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    Imperfect Competition

    The spectrum of competition:

    Perfect Comp. -------------Monopoly

    Monop. Comp.-- Oligopoly

    Assumptions underlying MonopolisticCompetition

    Differentiated products

    Differentiated products leads to some market power over price

    or a downward slping demand curve Many buyers and sellers

    Free entry and exit

    Perfect knowledge

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    Short-run Vs. Long-run Supply

    Decisions In the short-run, the firm is able to set prices like a

    monopolistic. P>MR so MR=MC implies thatP>MC. A firm can make profits, breakeven or

    make losses.

    In the long-run, free entry and exit will eliminateeconomic profits or losses.

    In either case, the monopolistically competitivefirm produces a level of output where LRAC aregreater than LRAC minimum or the efficient scaleand sets price above MC.

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    Monopoly Competition and

    Economic Welfare Compared to competitive markets, monopolistic

    competition results in an output level where thereis

    Excess capacityLRAC >LRAC min

    P>MC - or MB>MC

    So, Deadweight Welfare Loss exists

    Welfare loss is due to product differentiation

    If differentiation is real, the welfare is small

    If differentiation is the result of advertising which doesnot contribute anything to consumer satisfaction, itrepresents welfare loss

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    Advertising

    Advertising is costly, the question is - does it add

    anything of value to the consumer?

    informative advertising which contributes tocompetition

    Advertising aimed at creating perceived differences or

    brand loyalty

    Breakfast cereals and kids versus supermarket ads Advertising and the prisoners dilemma self-

    canceling ads.