oct environmental profiles. climate change in greenland source: arctic climate impact assessment
TRANSCRIPT
OCT Environmental Profiles
Climate change in Greenland
Source: Arctic Climate Impact Assessment
Example of effect of sea-level rise
Papeete, French Polynesia, with airport at present
Same view, after sea-rise of 88 cm.
Simulation for Papeete
What is an environmental profile?
A concise (10 pages) document for each territory: describing the main environmental issues ; giving sufficient background to put these issues in context; giving basic data about the organisational infrastructure; giving details of participation in international environmental
agreements, cooperative partnerships and networks.
Environment includes climate change and natural hazards.
Special emphasis on socio-economic impacts, livelihoods, poverty.
Why an environmental profile?
1. To feed discussions on the environment and possible consequences environmental trends may have on OCTs socio-economic development.
2. More specifically, to assist the EU in programming its EDF assistance to the OCTs.
Methodology & Timing Basically a desk study Questionnaire Feedback
July August September
October November
Drafting of EPs
Feedback from OCTs,finalisation of EPs
…………………………….. 2006 …………………………………
Draft EPs
Final EPs
About the OCTs: Diversity
Latitude……………………. Longitude…………………. Land area (x 1000 km2) EEZ ……….(x 1000 km2) Population....…(x 1000) Population density (/km2) GDP/capita…… (€’000) Remoteness……(km.)…. No. of inhabited islands…
From To
GR 83˚N 90˚S BA
W&F 176˚E 166˚W
NC
PIT 0.05 2166 GR
SP&M 12 5500 FP
PIT 0.05 275 FP
GR 0.03 538 MAY
BVI 38.5 2.2 MAY
24 2700
Aruba 1 113 FP
About the OCTs: Commonalities
(Small) islands or archipelagos Small population Vulnerable economies Natural hazards: incidence and vulnerability A number of factors are of disproportionate
importance: biodiversity, endemism OCTs account for 0.02% of world population, 2.7% of
area, but 16% of world’s freshwater strategic importance
Natural hazards and OCTs
AN
G
AR
UB
VI
CA
Y
FLK
FP
GR
MA
Y
MO
N
NC
NLA
PIT
STH
STP
M T&
C
W&
F
Cyclone/Hurricane
WIN
D
Volcanic
TD
C
Seismic
AS
C
Tsunami
Severe risk Moderate risk
Low risk
OCTs and the environment
Environmental problems characterised by
Complexity: long chains of effects
Interrelatedness Between environmental aspects Between environment and economy
Services
Tourist attraction
Habitat for fish
Protects spawning grounds
Sand replenishment
Extreme
weather
events
Sea and wave damage
Green-house gas emissions
Rising sea and air temp.
Sea level rise
GLOBALfossil fuel combustion
GLOBALDeforestation
LOCALUnsustainabl
e tourism
LOCALUnsustainabl
e fishing
LOCALOther
pressures
Mitigates
Acidification
Destruction, sedimentation,nutrients
Bleaching
Drowning
Exacerbates
Example of complexity: coral reefs
Damage
Drivers:
•Population
•Traffic
•Development
•Industry
Pressures:
•Sewage discharges
•Waste
•CO2 emissions
•Overfishing
State:
•Warmer air / water
•Polluted water
Impacts:
•Loss of habitat, wildlife
•Coastal retreat
•Reduced fish catch
•Reduced tourism
Responses:
•Designation protected areas
•Sewage treatment
•Recycling
•Adaptation Monitorin
g
Mea
sure
s
Dealing with complexity: DPSIR model
3 major environmental issues in OCTs
Climate change Solid waste Biodiversity
Issue 1: Climate change
Climate change has following features which distinguish it from other environmental problems:
GlobalLong-termSome of the science is uncertainWide range of different effectsSome scenarios are catastrophic
Climate change and small tropical islands
Climate changeRise in temperaturesRise in sea levelMore extreme weather
GHG emissions
Deforest-ation
degradation coral reefs
salinisation of soils & groundwater
coastal erosion, inundation
health issues
tourism
fisheries
disruption communities
PRESSURES STATE ........... IMPACTS............. Physical Socio-economic
direct econ. costs
agriculture
GHG emissions
Globaldeforestation
higher air and water temps
Melting ice-sheetflux of (fresh) water
Changes in drainage / hydrology
Loss of sea-ice
Changes in permafrost
Changes in ecosystems / habitat
Wildlife loss
Impacts on fisheries
Impacts on society, traditional customs
Opening of new navigational possibilities
Impacts on infrastructure
Rising global sea-level
Thermohaline circulation
PRESSURES
STATE
PHYSICAL IMPACTS
GLOBAL IMPACTS
SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACTS
Climate change in Greenland
Vulnerability to climate change
Vulner-ability
OCTs Remarks
High ANG, ARU, BVI, FP, NLA, T&C, CAY, FPGR
MAYMONNCPIT
Low-lying areas, tourism-dependent
Threats to sea-ice, fisheries, wildlife, permafrostLarge population in low-lying areasMore intense natural eventsCyclone-prone, fishing industryRisk of drought
Medium FLKSTHSTPM
Fishery dependentSome threat to agric. & fisheriesFlooding and erosion of low-lying areas
Issue 1: Climate change – CO2 emissions
OCTs account for <0.1% of CO2 emissions, will bear disproportionate impact. But, look at per capita emissions.
Source: US Department of Energy CO2 Information Analysis Centre (CDIAC)
Per capita CO2 emissions 2003
0
5
10
15
20
25
COUNTRY
To
nn
es
Issue 2: Solid waste in OCTs
Main challengesLack of critical size to make modern WM facilities cost-effectiveLack of facilities, critical size, markets to make recycling and composting feasiblelack of public awarenessHazardous wasteProblems noted in following:ARU, CAY, MAY, NC, NLA, PF, STH (+ ASC+TDC), W&F
Issue 3: Biodiversity Conservation
The OCTs are very rich in biodiversity, including many endemic and endangered species:New Caledonia contains the highest number of endemic species in the Pacific: 2500 plants, 20 freshwater fish, 60 reptiles, 25 birds, 6 mammalsThe UK overseas territories contain at least 10 x as many endemic species as the UK itself.Gough Island, a WH site in TDC, is one of the most important sea-bird colonies in the world, with 22 species breeding on island, some threatened.
Issue 3: Biodiversity Conservation
Why conserve biodiversity?
Because of international obligations under the Convention on Biological Diversity.
Because the wildlife is one of the major assets of the islands, a source of actual or potential livelihoods and food (tourism, fishing)
Issue 3: Biodiversity Conservation
Main threats to biodiversity:Habitat loss and fragmentationIntroduced speciesOverharvesting
MEAs such as the CBD, Ramsar, Convention on Migratory Species, CITES provide instruments to help conserve biodiversity (designation of protected areas, preparation of management plans), but these have not yet been properly implemented in law by many OCTs.
Some first tentative conclusions
1. Generally no conflict between general development objectives and environmental objectives. On the contrary, the protection of the environment, marine and terrestrial habitats and wildlife is crucial to the economic and social well-being of territories.
2. Most decision-makers are aware of the need to ensure their development is sustainable. However awareness needs to be translated into formal and legal safeguards: provisions for EIA, full implementation of MEAs, etc.
Some first tentative conclusions (contd.)
3. Climate change Some OCTs are amongst the most vulnerable in the world to
climate change. All will be significantly affected. OCTs need to take all possible measures to impress on the world
community the need for strong action to reduce GHG emissions. At the same time, adaptation needs to be mainstreamed into
development planning. Possible actions include:
- form alliances with regional and international groupings to make sure the voice of the OCTs is heard by the world community;- participate in research projects for which they are suited in regional or global partnerships, so as to reduce uncertainties;- maintain credibility by setting a good example;- public awareness campaigns.