Certified Professional in Demand Forecasting (CPDF) is a global certification programme for Demand Forecasters, Planners and Managers. Over the past five years the course has benefited hundreds of participants across North America, Europe, Asia and Africa and now it is coming to Australia for the first time.

You can obtain the world’s leading Demand Forecasting qualification under the guidance of top American authority Dr Hans Levenbach. The three day program will impart the latest in forecasting techniques and processes as well as give you the professional recognition you need to further your Demand Forecasting career. Obtain the world’s leading Demand Forecasting qualification. The certificate is endorsed by the IIF (International Institute of Forecasters) and is designed to maximise

networking opportunities and learning outcomes with key players in the Demand Forecasting sector from Australia

and New Zealand.

Following the instructor led course the certificate is earned by completing nine self-paced modules that reinforce

the principles and practices learned during the course.

About Us Dr Hans Levenbach is based in New Jersey where

he is founder and President of Delphus Inc

specialising in demand forecasting and analytic

solutions for supply chain organisations. He is also

the person behind the authoritative “Forecasting

Practice and Process for Demand Management” and

the CPDF curriculum.

Hans started his career with AT&T Bell and amongst

other roles has worked as an adjunct professor in the

Business Schools of Columbia and NYU.

He is an elected fellow, former President and

Treasurer of the International Institute of Forecasters

(IIF) and serves on the editorial board of its

practitioner journal “FORESIGHT”.

Hans is also a member of APICS, INFORMS,

American Statistical Association and an elected

member of the International Statistics Institute.

Stephen Kitchen is the organiser of this event

through his independent consultancy Forwaad Pty

Ltd. Stephen has been working in the demand

forecasting field for the past decade with

organisations such as Coles Supermarkets, Coca Cola

Amatil, National Foods, Simplot, CSR and George

Weston Foods. In 2008 Stephen stepped outside his

organisational roles to advise organisations in the

area of demand management and forecasting and to

further the demand management and forecasting

industry as a whole.

Course Schedule

Wednesday March 2, 2011 2-4pm Arrival, Registration & Afternoon Tea

4pm Introductions and Ice breaker 4.30pm Part I Demand Forecasting in the Supply Chain 5pm Workshop 1 Assessing the Impact of Factors: Cases from Participants 6pm Dinner, Guest Speaker and Networking at Bar

Thursday March 3, 2011 7.30-8.30am Morning Exercise, Emails and Breakfast 8.30am Part II Data Mining & Exploration for Forecasting

9am Workshop 2 Establishing Trend and Seasonal Influences

9.30am Readout from Workshops 1 and 2

9.45am Coffee Break 10am Part III How Do We Identify and Use of Components in a TimeSeries 11am Workshop 3 - Seasonal Adjustment Ice Cream and Tourism Cases 12 noon Lunch 1pm Part IV Smoothing, Trending, and Outliers 2pm Workshop 4 Forecasting With Short-term Forecasting Models 3pm Readout from Workshops 3 and 4 3.15pm Coffee Break 3.30pm Part V Gap Analysis: Measuring and Improving Forecasting Accuracy

4pm Workshop 5 Measures of Forecast Accuracy 4.45pm Readout of Workshops 5 and 6 6pm Dinner, Guest Speaker and Networking at Bar

Friday March 4, 2011 7.30-9am Morning Exercise, Emails and Breakfast 9.00 am Part VI Tracking Tools for Model Improvement 9.30am Workshop 6 Creating a Time-Phased Order Forecast 10.30am Readout of Workshop 5 and 6 10.45am Coffee Break 11am Part VII - Practical Uses of the Forecast 12 noon Lunch

1pm Workshop 7 - A Computerised Forecasting Simulation GLOBLCase 2pm Part VIII - Implementing the Forecasting Process 2.30pm Overview of CPDF Masters Program 2.45pm Conclusion and Satisfaction Surveys

Self Paced E-learning modules 1. Establishing Data Sources for Demand Forecasting 2. Who Are the Users and How Can They Benefit from Your Forecasts? 3. How Trend Analysis Can Help Improve Forecasting Accuracy 4. Interpreting Causal Models in Business Applications 5. Achieving Success With Complex Models 6. Effective Uses of Qualitative Variables

Package The CPDF course emphasises learning and networking with fellow Demand Forecasting professionals. It is with

this in mind that the location and structure of the course have been chosen. The course is hands on so you will

need to bring along a laptop computer.

Deakin Management Centre is a world-class residential conference centre, purpose built for organisational learning

and improvement. Located on 200 acres of the Geelong Campus of Deakin University, Deakin Management

Centre is a haven from external distractions. Directions and further information can be found at

http://www.managementcentre.com.au/index.html

The fee includes: Student Manual, FREE Excel Add-ins, Complimentary book: Forecasting: Practice and Process for

Demand Management, 50% discount on a one-year subscription to IIF Practitioner Journal (Foresight), Basic

Module workshop, including stationery. Accommodation, cooked breakfast, lunch, 3 course dinner and morning

and afternoon tea. Alcohol and Espresso coffee are not included in the package.

The cost is $2,700 inclusive of GST. Discounts for payments Pre-Christmas and group bookings. For the budget

conscious twin share rooms may be available upon request.

For bookings or further enquiries please e-mail your details to stephen@forwaad.com or phone 0422 435 277 CPDF, Certified Professional in Demand Forecasting and PEER logo copyright Delphus Inc IIF symbol copyright Internation Institute of Forecasting Forwaad and Forwaad Logo copyright Forwaad Pty Ltd Course Materials may not be reporduced without writeen permission from Delphus Inc