o ak r idge n ational l aboratory u. s. d epartment of e nergy 2002 freight analysis framework 2 t....

OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORYU. S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

2002Freight Analysis

Framework2

T. Randall (Randy) Curlee, Ph.D.

Center for Transportation Analysis

Talking Freight Seminar

February 15, 2006


The ORNL FAF Team

T. Randall Curlee, Ph.D, Economics Frank Southworth, Ph.D., Geography Bruce Peterson, M.S., Geography Richard Schmoyer, Ph.D., Statistics David Vogt, Ph.D., Economics Gbadebo Oladosu, Ph.D., Economics Ingrid Busch, Ph.D., Operations Research S. M. Chin, Ph.D., Civil Engineering Ho-Ling Hwang, Ph.D., Statistics Maxine Perry, M.S., Geography


Enhanced CFSFlows Matrix

CFS Out-of-ScopeSectors

Final FAF2

Flows Table

CFS Table 17

CFS Alternatives:Railcar Waybills

Waterborne Commerce

Log LinearModel

IterativeProportional

Fitting

“True Zero”Cells from

Census

FAF2 OD Methodology


Final FAF2

Flows Table

FAF2 OD Methodology

FAF2 Dimensions* 114 origins and destinations as defined and used in the

2002 Commodity Flow Survey (CFS) plus 17 additional international gateways and 7 international regions

* Commodities defined at the 2-digit SCTG (Standard Classification of Transported Goods) level

* Modes defined as in the 2002 CFS – i.e. 11 separate modes, multimodal combinations, and unknown modes— but reported for only 7 aggregated modes in FAF

* Two four-dimensional matrices with approximately 12 million cells


101

12

57

656

60

14

114

85

103

52

28

37

58

93

75

83

56

110

25

50

23

31

35

113

7

2

74

70

53

41

88

96

80

39

108

34

8

42

92

5 9 111

1 0 2

9 8

9 9

2 4

45

104

61

5

1 3

1 1

5 1

1 0 9

47

64

1 0 0

8 2

1 0

6 6

1

4 8

2 9

1 0 5

8 7

2 0

6 8

5 45 5

7 2

7 1

2 1

8 4

9

9 7

4 6

4 0

6 9

7 7

3 8

9 0

1 9

7 9

2 2

3 2

17

9 4

1 1 2

9 1

6 7

Notes: Metropolitan areas shown in green, gateways shown in purple. Not shown: Alaska (3), Honolulu (26), Hawaii (27), and the Anchorage Gateway (115)

138 FAF Regions


FAF2 Commodities SCTG - Commodity Code Code Commodity Class 01 Live animals and live fish 02 Cereal grains 03 Other agricultural products 04 Animal feed and products of animal

origin, n.e.c. 05 Meat, fish, seafood, and their

preparations 06 Milled grain products and

preparations, and bakery products

07 Other prepared foodstuffs and fats and oils

08 Alcoholic beverages 09 Tobacco products 10 Monumental or building stone 11 Natural sands 12 Gravel and crushed stone 13 Nonmetallic minerals n.e.c. 14 Metallic ores and concentrates 15 Coal 16 Crude Petroleum 17 Gasoline and aviation turbine fuel 18 Fuel oils 19 Coal and petroleum products, n.e.c. 20 Basic chemicals 21 Pharmaceutical products

22 Fertilizers 23 Chemical products and preparations,

n.e.c. 24 Plastics and rubber 25 Logs and other wood in the rough 26 Wood products 27 Pulp, newsprint, paper, and

paperboard 28 Paper or paperboard articles 29 Printed products 30 Textiles, leather, and articles of

textiles or leather 31 Nonmetallic mineral products 32 Base metal in primary or semi-finished

forms and in finished basic shapes 33 Articles of base metal 34 Machinery 35 Electronic and other electrical

equipment and components and office equipment 36 Motorized and other vehicles

(including parts) 37 Transportation equipment, n.e.c. 38 Precision instruments and apparatus 39 Furniture, mattresses and mattress

supports, lamps, lighting fittings, and...

40 Miscellaneous manufactured products 41 Waste and scrap 43 Mixed freight — Commodity unknown


FAF2 Modes

Truck Rail Water Air, Air & Truck Truck and Rail Other Intermodal Pipeline & Unknown