nuclear in emerging europe ukti export showcase 2014
TRANSCRIPT
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2 Presentation title - edit in the Master slide
Emerging Europe
Civil Nuclear Opportunities
Jonathan Allen 27 January 2014, London
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What is Emerging Europe? • Nine countries - stretching from Slovenia to Romania,
from Poland to Croatia
• All EU regulated, part of the EU’s Single Market • 110 million consumers
• A combined GDP of over £ 1 trillion • Potential to double exports by 2020
• Lower risk profile than other distant emerging markets
• Easy and low cost access – just 2-3 hours from the UK
• Proven market for UK businesses
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Sustainable Medium-term Growth...
Average Annual GDP Growth Forecast (%)
2010-20 2020-30 2030-40
CEE Average 4.7 4.2 3.8
Dev. World 1.8 1.8 1.9
Asia 5.8 5.1 4.7
Latin America 4.9 4.5 4.1
...on a par with other emerging economies
Source: HSBC The World in 2050
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Main Challenges
• Outdated perceptions of the region among UK businesses
• Bureaucracy • Transparency • Strong and increasing global
competition across the region
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Civil nuclear opportunities across “Emerging Europe” Country New Build Life Extension Decommission Waste disposal
Bulgaria Kozloduy Unit 7 & Belene (x2)?
Kozloduy (5 & 6) Kozloduy (1-‐4) Radiana / NDF
Czech Rep. Temelin (x2) Dukovany -‐ -‐
Hungary Paks (x 2) Paks 1 -‐ LILW Repository
Poland New NNB (x2) -‐ -‐ -‐
Romania Chernovoda (Units 3 & 4)
Chernovoda (1 & 2)
-‐ Chernovoda WDF
Slovakia Mochovce (3 & 4) & Bohunice?
Bohunice V1 Jaslovské Bohunice
-‐
Slovenia Krsko (Unit 2) Krsko NNP -‐ LILW
UNCLASSIFIED
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New Build –7 countries, over £66 bn
• Poland: 2 x new 3GW (each) power plants in 2024 & 2030 (£1 bn AUKV)
• Bulgaria: New Westinghouse AP1000 reactor at Kozloduy NPP – early 2020s (£800m)
• Czech Republic: New reactor at Temelin NPP in 2024 (£500m)
• Romania: 2 x CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavodă in 2022 (£400m)
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Life Extension in 4 countries, over £2.1 bn
• Bulgaria: 20 year life extension, 2 VVER units, from 2014, £40m AUKV
• Romania: Replacing fuel channels in CANDU reactors, Cernavoda,£120m AUKV from 2018
• Slovenia: Life extension of Westinghouse PWR operating life in Krško, £15m AUKV
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Decommissioning & Waste Management £3.5 bn across 5 markets
• Bulgaria: On-going decommissioning (4 units) and waste programme with UK firm (Nuvia Ltd) co-managing, £40m AUKV
• Romania: New waste repository project, starting 2015, £40m AUKV
• Slovakia: Ongoing tendering for decommissioning 2 units, £100m AUKV
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10 It’s not just about world-class Civil Engineering....
UK Nuclear supply chain….
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Our not-so-secret weapon!
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Czech Republic: Bretislav Nitka • New Build (£17 bn AUKV)
• 2 companies (Westinghouse AP1000 and Rosatom VVER) under evaluation
• The winner should be announced in Q1 2015
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Romania: Daniella Lulache • Building of 2 CANDU 6 reactors at Cernavoda
• Legal and consulting services - construction of 3rd & 4th reactors, Cernavoda
• LIL waste repository
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Poland: Marzena Piszczek
• 2 x new 3 GW nuclear power plants in 2024 and 2030 (cca. £12 bln total cost)
• Owner’s Engineer tender (3 UK companies involved) – winner to be announced in Q1 2014
• Integrated Reactor tender to be issued in Q4 2014
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Slovakia: Peter Liska • New NPP - Jaslovské Bohunice
• Decommissioning the two units of V1 - Jaslovské Bohunice NPP
• V1’s two reactors to be decommissioned in 2025
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Bulgaria: Sashka Evtimova • 20 year life extension - Kozloduy Unit 5 & 6
• New Build - AP1000 reactor at Kozloduy
• Decommissioning - VVER reactors at Kozloduy site
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Hungary: Csilla Toth • 2 new VVER nuclear power plants (Paks NNP)
• Ongoing project for 20 year life extension of 4 existing blocks (VVER-440)
• Final disposal facility for low- and intermediate-level wastes
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Slovenia: Ales Bursic • Considering building 2nd nuclear reactor at Krško (~1.2 GW)
• Extension of operating life of Krško
• Decommissioning & Waste Management opportunities .
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Croatia: Zeljko Tomsic • Hrvatska Elektroprivreda - co-owner of 696 MWe NPP Krško
in Slovenia
• Croatia has not yet reached the decision on the construction of NNB
• Preliminary activities – not carried out yet
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21 Presentation title - edit in the Master slide
Follow up:
27 January 2014, London