nov-3733-sl-9336 carbones kom - may 10-11, 2010 – toulouse, france 1 wp000 kick-off meeting may...

NOV-3733-SL-9336 Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

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WP000

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010


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Deliverables Deliverables D0.1 : Project presentation (M 0)D0.1 : Project presentation (M 0) D0.2 : First year report to commission (M 14)D0.2 : First year report to commission (M 14) D0.3 : Second year report to commission (M 26)D0.3 : Second year report to commission (M 26) D0.4 : Final report to commission (M 36)D0.4 : Final report to commission (M 36) D0.5 : Summary for policy makers (M 36)D0.5 : Summary for policy makers (M 36)

WP000 – Project Coordination


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WP100

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010

oral presentation


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WP200

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010


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W P 2 3 0 (L S C E )S c ie n tif ic C o m p on e n ts

a n d A rch itec tu reS p e c ifica tion

W P 2 2 0 (N O V )S e rv ice P ro d u ct D e fin it ion

W P 2 1 0 (T A S F)In te rfa ce R e qu ire m e nt S tra te gy

(IN S P IR E )I/F w ith G M E S

W P 2 0 0 (T A S F)S ys te m D e s ign


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Deliverables List

Del. no. Deliverable Name WP no.

Nature

Dissemination level

Delivery date

D210.1 System Requirements synthesis and justification

200 R PU Month 6

D230.1 Scientific tools and architecture definition Document including Data models, Engineering Point of View V0, V1

200 P PU Month 6 (V0) and 12 (V1)

D220.1 Services/Product Definition V0, V1 200 R PU Month 6 (V0) and 18 (V1)


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Milestones

Milestone number

Milestone name

Work package (s) involved Expected date

Means of verification

3 Progress Meeting 1

WP100, WP200 Draft system specifications (WP200)

T0 + 6 M Draft System specification report V0

4 Annual review 1

Consolidated system specification V0 (WP200) CARBONES system V0 (WP400), carbon dataset V0 (WP500), CARBONES input data description V0 (WP300), Annual business plan analysis (WP700)

T0 + 12 M System specification report V0, CARBONES system V0 review, input data description report V0, carbon dataset catalogue V0, integrated Business plan v1


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WP200 Objectives

Main Objectives To assimilate Data and products for products delivery To interact with other existing systems (MACC, MyOcean, Geoland2) To offer coherency with existing and on-going GMES standards (INSPIRE, OGC)

Key Drivers The portal has to be Ergonomic, Open, Perennial, Evolutive, adapted to users’ need

and further development. It has to take into account existing portals (CarbonTracker, Carboscope, …)

How Conception has to be modular (processing, viewing modules) It includes tools for easily implementing new functions such as analysing, viewing,

comparing, validating, processing functions : SDK, API. It includes list of baseline elementary functions for data viewing and analysing 2 successives versions will be implemented : V1 after one year including core system implementation (SDK, Viewer, Data ingestion) V2 implementing also processing


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CARBONES Baseline Functions


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CARBONES in GMES

RegistryService

DiscoveryService

ViewService

DownloadService

Registers Service Metadata

Data set Metadata

CarbonFluxesCarbon

FluxesCarbonFluxesCarbon

Fluxes

CarbonStocksCarbon

Stocks

Service Bus

Applications and Geoportals

GeoRM Layers

Spatial Data set

Transf. Service

InvokeSDService

Framework for harmonised data sets

Carbon Cycle Data assimilation system (CCDAS)

Post-processing

Visualisation

Input data from CCDAS

Time series of fluxes/stocksMaps of fluxes, tables

Comparison

Outputs from MAC, Geoland2Validation data (forest biomass, other satellite products,...)

Other Services connected to

Carbones

RegistryService

DiscoveryService

ViewService

DownloadService

Registers Service Metadata

Data set Metadata

CarbonFluxesCarbon


Fluxes

CarbonFluxesCarbon


Fluxes

CarbonStocksCarbon

Stocks

CarbonStocksCarbon

Stocks

Service Bus

Applications and Geoportals

GeoRM Layers

Spatial Data set

Transf. Service

InvokeSDService

Framework for harmonised data sets

Carbon Cycle Data assimilation system (CCDAS)

Post-processing

Visualisation

Input data from CCDAS

Time series of fluxes/stocksMaps of fluxes, tables

Comparison

Outputs from MAC, Geoland2Validation data (forest biomass, other satellite products,...)

Other Services connected to

Carbones


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CARBONES Development Plan

The first version of the portal shall be available at T0+1 year. The portal development strategy shall take into account the full v1/v2 cycle: v1 re-use for the v2. Rapid prototyping techniques, based on existing as far as

possible, shall be proposed to have easy and quick updates following feed-back from users. Several sessions with users to be organised ?

The portal shall be build with the contributions from all the partners (text, figures) easing of the updates from remote partners.

Products and Data assimilation : Interaction with MyOcean, Geoland, MACC.


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Next Steps and preliminary schedule

CERC to analyse existing portal solutions in comparison (CARBOSCOPE, CARBONTRACKER,…)

CERC to analyse engineering solutions (ESRI, ENVI, IDL, GOOGLEMAP, ARCGIS,…)

Internal Meeting with CERC, AEA within 1 month in order to fix the technology for the framework

Interaction with users and experts (LSCE), to better understand how to transfer existing post-processing

Within 1,5 month, first DRAFT specifications of the V1 including the CCDAS interface, the viewing, the API, the SDK and related documentation

Within 8 months, following users need feedback, specification of the V2, including the final set of services, post-processing and other,…


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WP300

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010


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The aim of this work package is to provide three independent classes of data that will be used in the CARBONES system and advice on methodologies to use these data:

(a) anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, land cover type and meteorological data as model forcing

(b) Satellite and in-situ data for assimilation into the system using the Core Services Products

(c) independent validation data

(d) Definition of a future downstream carbon service

WP300: Data preparation


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Deliverables


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Milestones

Annual review 1: CARBONES input data description V0

Annual review 2: CARBONES input data description V1


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Next steps

Negotiation of sites/selecetion of sites schedule for exchange of data arrage visits between LSCE and groups contributing

data


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WP400

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010


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WP description (LSCE)


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WP400: System development

Task 410: Consolidate the existing components

Task 420: Improve the different components of the CCDAS

Task 430: Validate the successive versions of the CCDAS using the large dataset collected in WP300 and estimate the uncertainties associated to the different products of the system

Consolidate and further improve an existing

Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS)

Main contributors: LSCE, PKU, CLIMMOD


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Task 420: Improve the different components of the CCDAS

Improve Managed Ecosystems in ORCHIDEE Optimize specific parameters of Crop module & Forest MM Improve tropical cropland representation (soybean, rice,..)

Add a radiative transfert scheme in ORCHIDEE Model LAI Radiances (to be compared with Satel. Obs.)

Improve Biomass Burning prior fluxes

Ocean fluxes : toward a “mechanistic” model

Transport model (LMDZ) : increase resolution (1°x1°)

Preparation to assess the potential of new satellite data Typically BIOMASS data & Atm. CO2 data (GOSAT)


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Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development

VO - Land: ~ 20 parameters controling soil carbon stocks

and vegetation fluxes

- Ocean: Scale fluxes

- Fossil fuel & BBurning : imposed

- Period : use IERA Meteo. Reanalysis (1989 – 2009)

- Assimilated DATA :

- AVHRR fAPAR time series (Test with MODIS)

- Atmospheric data (around 80-100 sites)

- FluxNet site : NEE / LE

- Validation Data- Soil Carbon data - Ocean pCO2 data, optimized ocean flux model- Biomass burning data- Independant Atmospheric CO2 data

T + 12


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Timeline of « CARBONES » CCDAS development

V1

V2 - land: ~200 - 300 parameters

- ocean: Simplified Mechanistic model (based on PISCES)

- Several sensitivity tests

T+20

T+30

- Assimilated DATA : - Soil carbon stocks data for Initial conditions-

- ORCHIDEE improvements - Observation operator for satellite data- Managed ecosystems- Increase number of Parameters (up to 100)

- Ocean Component- Statistical model


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WP400: Deliverables

D410.1: Description document of the Carbon Cycle Data Assimilation System (CCDAS), V0 (M8) & V1 (M28).

D420.1: CCDAS system evolution report, V0 (M18) & V1 (M36)

D430.1: System validation: report on the comparison between system products and independent data; (M12) and then tied to system evolution.

D430.2: Report on error estimations: - Parameter errors on base configuration (M12) - Update errors for significant system updates (tied to Sys Ev.) - Errors on output fields (M12 & then tied to Sys Ev.)


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WP500Kick-Off MeetingMay 10-11, 2010


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Objectives Objectives

The objective of this task is to develop theThe objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package CARBONES information package and the and the CARBONES portalCARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the giving access interface and information to the Climate Users at the appropriate level. Climate Users at the appropriate level.

Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and verification tests will be implemented.verification tests will be implemented.

A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.

Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project.communities of users, during and beyond the project.

WP500 – Dataset production and visualisation


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Objectives Objectives

The objective of this task is to develop theThe objective of this task is to develop the CARBONES information package CARBONES information package and the and the CARBONES portalCARBONES portal giving access interface and information to the giving access interface and information to the Climate Users at the appropriate level. Climate Users at the appropriate level.

Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of Based on the CCDAS system developed and validated in WP400, the generation of 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and 30 year reanalyses will be performed at the different steps of the project, and verification tests will be implemented.verification tests will be implemented.

A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other A tailored, user-friendly interface will be developed, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past 20-30 years. The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which The users of the CARBONES system will use the system via a web site in which spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.spatial data will be displayed on a Googlemaps display or similar.

Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the Finally, all the necessary material will be prepared for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their CARBONES product and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. This task will also prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified prepare the dissemination of CARBONES product and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project.communities of users, during and beyond the project.



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Description of workDescription of work

Task 510: dataset generation (Task 510: dataset generation (NOVNOV, LSCE, METO,, LSCE, METO,MPI-BCG, MPI-BCG, ETH, DLO, USTUTT, PKU, ABDN, CLIMMOD)ETH, DLO, USTUTT, PKU, ABDN, CLIMMOD) Inputs: pre-existing assimilation system and first System & Inputs: pre-existing assimilation system and first System &

Products design specification (T0 + 6 months), CARBONES Products design specification (T0 + 6 months), CARBONES system V0 (T0 + 10 months), updated System & Products design system V0 (T0 + 10 months), updated System & Products design specification (T0 + 20 months), CARBONES system V1 (T0 + 30 specification (T0 + 20 months), CARBONES system V1 (T0 + 30 months)months)

Based on the pre-existing assimilation system available at the Based on the pre-existing assimilation system available at the beginning of the project, and on the System and product design beginning of the project, and on the System and product design first iteration from WP200, first iteration from WP200, generation of a first (non scientific) template of the CARBONES generation of a first (non scientific) template of the CARBONES

system output dataset, at T0 + 6 monthssystem output dataset, at T0 + 6 months Development of verification tests of the dataset numerical consistencyDevelopment of verification tests of the dataset numerical consistency Generation of the CARBONES V0 dataset at T0 + 12 monthsGeneration of the CARBONES V0 dataset at T0 + 12 months Generation of the CARBONES V1 dataset at T0 + 30 monthsGeneration of the CARBONES V1 dataset at T0 + 30 months



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Task 520: CARBONES portal development and implementation Task 520: CARBONES portal development and implementation ((CERCCERC, NOV, TAS, LSCE, METO), NOV, TAS, LSCE, METO)

This task covers the development of a tailored, user-friendly interface, This task covers the development of a tailored, user-friendly interface, allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or allowing climate modellers, other science communities, local or regional communities and the general public to understand and easily regional communities and the general public to understand and easily visualize the living carbon cycle over the past years. visualize the living carbon cycle over the past years.

Inputs : Users Requirement Analysis, first System & Products design Inputs : Users Requirement Analysis, first System & Products design specification, updated System & Products design specification (T0 + specification, updated System & Products design specification (T0 + 20 months), 20 months), → → Development of a test plan (V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 24 Development of a test plan (V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 24

months). months). → → Completion of the of the web portal graphical user interface (V0 at T0 + Completion of the of the web portal graphical user interface (V0 at T0 +

18 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months).18 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months). → → Completion of the web portal testing with delivery of a test report Completion of the web portal testing with delivery of a test report

(Simplified version V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months).(Simplified version V0 at T0 + 12 months and V1 at T0 + 30 months).



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Task 530 (NOV) : preparation of the necessary material for the dissemination of Task 530 (NOV) : preparation of the necessary material for the dissemination of the CARBONES product and services (NOV)the CARBONES product and services (NOV)

It will aim at preparing all the necessary material for the dissemination of the It will aim at preparing all the necessary material for the dissemination of the CARBONES products and services to the Climate modellers during the project CARBONES products and services to the Climate modellers during the project for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. It also for their use and evaluation of the CARBONES information package. It also prepares the dissemination of CARBONES products and services to other prepares the dissemination of CARBONES products and services to other identified communities of users, during and beyond the project. identified communities of users, during and beyond the project.

This task will then interact with the WP100 and the WP700, which will define in This task will then interact with the WP100 and the WP700, which will define in detail the user needs in terms of dissemination material. This will include:detail the user needs in terms of dissemination material. This will include: CARBONES products and services presentation documents adapted to different CARBONES products and services presentation documents adapted to different

levels of dissemination (RE, RR, PU) (version V0 at T0+12 and updated version V1 levels of dissemination (RE, RR, PU) (version V0 at T0+12 and updated version V1 at T0+30)at T0+30)

Preparation, in coordination with the WP100 and the WP700, of Users workshops, Preparation, in coordination with the WP100 and the WP700, of Users workshops, (T0+18 and T0+32),(T0+18 and T0+32),

Preparation of a CARBONES demonstration portfolio based on analyses and results Preparation of a CARBONES demonstration portfolio based on analyses and results of WP600, for final delivery.of WP600, for final delivery.

The preparation of an executive summary for policy makers.The preparation of an executive summary for policy makers.



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Deliverables Deliverables

D510.1 : CARBONES dataset V0 (M 12) D510.1 : CARBONES dataset V0 (M 12) D510.2 : CARBONES dataset V1 (M 30)D510.2 : CARBONES dataset V1 (M 30)

D520.1 : CARBONES portal simplified version for minimal dataset D520.1 : CARBONES portal simplified version for minimal dataset access : V0 (M 12)access : V0 (M 12)

D520.2 : CARBONES portal V1 (M 30)D520.2 : CARBONES portal V1 (M 30)

D530.1 : CARBONES dissemination material V0 (M 18)D530.1 : CARBONES dissemination material V0 (M 18) D530.2 : CARBONES dissemination material V1 (M 30)D530.2 : CARBONES dissemination material V1 (M 30)



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WP600

KICK-OFF MEETING

May 10-11, 2010


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WP600: Added-value demonstration

Task 610: attribution and case analysis (LSCE )

Task 620: benchmarking of GMES Core Service products (LSCE)

Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate modellers (METO)

Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback (LSCE)

demonstrate the relevance of the CARBONES 30-yr re-analysis of the carbon cycle at global and at regional scales

Main contributors: LSCE, METO


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Task 610: attribution and case analysis

Study the regional carbon cycle for key regions N. America, Europe, N. Asia, Tropics N. Atlantic, Southern Ocean

Attribution of the flux variability to specific processes(NPP, ecosystem, respiration, biomass burning)

Hot spot analysis Region that play a major role or that are most uncertain

Link to extreme events ENSO events, volcanic eruptions, like the 1991 Pinatubo one,

droughts and heat waves, like the 2003 anomaly in Europe


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Task 620: Benchmarking of GMES Core Service products

What is the benefit of combining observations

of Slow and Fast changes of C pools ?

Compare CARBONES products to

Geoland2 : LAI, Fluxes, biomass, Carbon storage

MACC : gridded fluxes


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Task 630: Demonstration of effective use by climate modellers

Evaluation of Climate model simulations (AR5 ones)against typical metrics

Identify the weaknesses / strength of the models depending on the regions As a function of the spatial scale considered

Identify missing processes

Define which region controls : Seasonal cycle, Interannual Variations, Long term mean


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Define Metrics of the Carbon Cycle Quantify model performances using “score”

Quantitative model evaluation..


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Task 640: Improvement in climate prediction available from the constraint on the carbon-cycle/climate feedback

Perform calculation of futur C fluxes 2050 usingclimate scenarios from IPCC and ORCHIDEE

Use ORCHIDEE with different sets of parameters(prior and optimized parameters)

Impact on the fluxes and their uncertainty

Contribution to the conflicting debate on the potential climate feedback on the carbon fluxes!


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WP600: Deliverables

D610.1: Report on the information brought by CARBONES about the carbon cycle. M 24

D620.1: Report on the benchmarking of the GMES Core Services. M 30

D630.1: Report on the use of CARBONES to evaluate ESMs. M 30

D630.2: Report on the use of CARBONES to improve ESMs. M 36.

D640.1: Report on the impact of CARBONES on climate prediction. M 36.

WP700 Market Intelligence Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

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WP700Market Analysis

Dr Iarla Kilbane-DaweDirector of Innovation, AEA

Rachel YardleyCARBONES Project Manager, AEA

Carbones KOM - May 10-11, 2010 – Toulouse, France

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TITLE

WP700 Market Intelligence

Current client list Sky News, Guardian Media,

EEA and in discussion with carbon traders.

Phase 1 – NRT UK aggregate Data calculated at 20 min – 7 day intervals; Based on UK gas and electricity consumption; Entirely automated using <XML> data feeds; Annual integrated figures accurate to 3% of UNFCCC data. Validated for period 2006-2009

Phase 2 – NRT UK regional / local Include activity data from road, rail and aircraft in NRT (20 min); Include energy data at local spatial scale;

Phase 3 – NRT EU27 National aggregates & US State aggregates Looking for partners to develop this.

Phase 1 supported by ESA market development funding.

Climate Change Index – commercialisation of CO2e data


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TITLE


Typical product or service development process


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TITLE


WP700 market intelligence


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TITLE


Market analysis – M6, 18 , 30 Potential customers & market segments Size of the market (e.g. WCRP modellers, UNFCCC, Media) Competitors – or is this relevant, or is it a science review? Only relevant for non-scientific customers

Identify blockages for market penetrationRoutes to entry

Challenges We don’t yet know what the final products will be Time schedule – inputs to the Month 6 report will be User

requirements report (M5) and Services/Product definition (M6) Collaborate closely with Noveltis, Met Office and TASF

D720.1 Market Intelligence Reports


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TITLE


Purpose Initially CUAG, later WCRP and other communities Explore new markets Develop relationships between users and service providers Assess needs and expectations Assess whether they are willing to pay for the services

Month 6 & circa 18, 30 First workshop to be combined with CUAG meeting Schedule subsequent workshops with other meetings

D720.2 User and service provider workshops & surveys


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TITLE


The services must be financially sustainable after the initial development AEA will provide a template business plan Use information from user surveys to identify potential revenues. Service providers provide costs data. Plans will help identify additional investment required after the end of

CARBONES to continue to evolve the products on a commercial or non-commercial basis.

Identify any marketing requirements. DRM required on the website?

What is the meaning of financial sustainability for a scientific product?

If we find in M12 that the products are not “financially sustainable” what does that mean?

D720.3 Business Development Plans


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TITLE


Delivered by TASF Month 30 Assess requirements for future work

D710.1 Future Space Missions


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TITLE


Considering the project creates scientific data services which WP700 product is most important: Market Intelligence reports, Business development plans, or User needs assessment?

AEA can revise the WP700 objectives based on what you consider to be the most important needs.

What is the most important outcome for you, the users of WP700?

nov-3733-sl-9336 carbones kom - may 10-11, 2010 – toulouse, france 1 wp000 kick-off meeting may...

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