norwegian marine insurance statistics as of 30 june 2003 page: 4.1.1
DESCRIPTION
Norwegian Marine Insurance Statistics As of 30 June 2003 Cost of Claims per Type of Vessel Total $310 mill. Total $311 mill. Page: b Total $1,891 mill.TRANSCRIPT
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 4.1.1
Total Claims per Underwriting Year
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
USD
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Total Claims (w ithout IBNR) 308,456, 342,892, 398,592,463,349, 384,903, 333,761, 309,965,310,922, 54,944,4
No. of Claims 1,417 1,525 1,989 2,077 1,707 1,443 1,416 907 197
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sum 1997-2001
19.9%
17.5%
5.3%20.1%
4.0%
1.3%
3.0%
5.6%
8.1%
15.3%
Bulk Cargo Chem./Prod. Cont./RoRo
LNG/LPG OBO Other Passenger
Suppl./Off. Tank
2001
20.0%
15.3%
5.4%
21.4%3.9%
0.9%
1.8%
5.6%
8.8%
16.9%
2002
16.8%
13.9%
8.3%
25.4%1.5%
1.6%
1.6%
7.7%
7.0%
16.2%
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Number of Claims per Type of Vessel
Total 1,416 claims Total 907 claimsPage: 4.1.2.a
Total 8,632 claims
20026.7%
14.8%
3.4%
23.6%
1.2%
0.7%0.6%
20.0%
3.5%
25.6%
2001
14.7%
25.7%
5.5%19.5%1.2%
1.1%
1.0%
7.3%
3.1%
20.9%
Sum 1997-2001
19.5%
16.8%
4.8%
15.7%2.6%
1.1%
2.2%
15.2%
2.6%
19.5%
Bulk Cargo Chem./Prod. Cont./RoRo
LNG/LPG OBO Other Passenger
Suppl./Off. Tank
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Cost of Claims per Type of Vessel
Total $310 mill. Total $311 mill.
Page: 4.1.2.b
Total $1,891 mill.
200222.0%
18.9%
16.3%
19.8%
23.0%
Sum 1997-2001
20.5%
16.7%
16.4%
23.3%
23.2%
0-5 years 5-10 years 10-15 years 15-20 years > 20 years
200122.3%
17.2%
14.6%
22.3%
23.6%
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Number of Claims per Age Group
Page: 4.1.3.aTotal 1,416 claims Total 907 claims
Total 8,632 claims
2001
32.5%
12.8%13.6%
16.5%
24.7%
200221.9%
16.4%
14.3%
26.2%
21.3%
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Cost of Claims per Age Group
Page: 4.1.3.b
Total $310 mill. Total $311 mill.
Total $1,891 mill.
Sum 1997-2001
20.9%
16.2%
11.7%23.9%
27.2%
0-5 years 5-10 years 10-15 years 15-20 years > 20 years
1997-2001
37.9%
10.7%15.5%
2.9%
11.5%
4.6%
0.4%
16.4%
Machinery Damage Collision Striking Fire and explosion
Grounding Heavy weather damage Ice damage Other types of damage
2001
38.8%
11.1%15.4%
3.2%
11.9%
4.9%
0.5%
14.1%
2002
39.1%
11.5%19.6%
2.6%
10.1%
5.2%
1.8%
10.0%
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Number of Claims per Type of Casualty
Total 8,632 claims
Total 1,416 claims
Page: 4.1.4.aTotal 907 claims
2002
28.2%
14.1%
4.6%27.1%
20.3%
2.5%
0.4%
2.8%
2001
26.3%
12.2%
9.1%12.6%
27.1%
3.3%
0.2%
9.2%
1997-2001
25.0%
11.5%
8.2%18.8%
22.2%
4.2%
0.2%
9.8%
Machinery Damage Collision Striking Fire and explosion
Grounding Heavy w eather damage Ice damage Other types of damage
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Cost of Claims per Type of Casualty
Total $1,891 mill.
Total $310 mill.
Total $311 mill.
Page: 4.1.4.b
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 4.1.5
Number of Claims per type of casualtyper 1000 vessels
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Machinery Damage
Collision
Striking
Fire and explosion
Grounding
Heavy weather damage
Ice damage
Other types of damage
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 4.1.6
Claims Cost per type of casualtyper 1000 vessels / in USD mio
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Machinery Damage
Collision
Striking
Fire and explosion
Grounding
Heavy weather damage
Ice damage
Other types of damage
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.1.1
Underwriting ResultsAll business underwritten by NoMIS members, 100%
Total Resultsin USD
-200,000,000
-100,000,000
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
600,000,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Premium
Paid Claims
Outstanding Claims
Total Claims (w ithout IBNR)
Underw riting Result
Results actual as per 30.06.03 – include no IBNR reserves
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.1.2
Underwriting ResultsAll business underwritten by NoMIS members, 100%
Average Results per Vessel Year in USD
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Premium
Paid Claims
Outstanding Claims
Total Claims (w ithout IBNR)
Underw riting Result
Results actual as per 30.06.03 – include no IBNR reserves
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.0
Calculation methods for Index Key Factors and Adjusted Rating Development1) Rating Quality Index Adjustment Factors: V = (Av.SI year x - Av. SI 1990) / 100 * 0,3
VP = Av.Prem. per vessel year - VPAPB = VP - (Av.SI 1990 * 0,257) / 100SPAB = PAPB * Av. (F)DWT per vessel 1990 / Av. (F)DWT per vessel year x
Adjusted values: Adjusted Premium = SPAB + (Av.SI 1990 * 0,257 / 100)Adjusted Standard Deductible = Av.Std.Ded. * Av.(F)DWT 1990 / Av.(F)DWT year x(Adj.Prem. + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000))rate
= (Adj.Prem.+0,5 * (Adj.Std.Ded < 500,000)) / (Av.SI1990) * 100 Rating Quality Index = (Adj.Prem + 50% (Std.Ded.< 500,000)) rate year x
/ (Adj.Prem. + 50% (Std.Ded.< 500,000)) rate 1990 * 100 for x = 1990 to 2003
2) Cash Index Factor year x = Net Premium year x+1 / Net Premium year x Net Premium in this case is the sum over all ships renewed from year x to year x+1 with a Sum Insured and a Standard Deductible within a 90% margin in relation to the previous years Sum Insured and Standard Deductible Cash Index (1990) = Factor 1990 Cash Index (year x) = Factor year x * Cash Index (year x-1) for x = 1991 to 2003
3) Loss Ratio Index = Loss Ratio year x / Loss Ratio 1990 for x = 1990 to 2002 (Loss Ratio = Total Claims / Net Premium)
4) Claims Cost Index = Claims Cost year x / Claims cost 1990 for x = 1990 to 2002
5) Claims Frequency Index = Claims Frequency year x / Claims Frequency 1990 for x = 1990 to 2002 (Claims Frequency = No. of claims / No. of vessel years)
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.0 contd.
Rating Development:Premium = Net Premium per Vessel in % of Sum Insured year x / Net Premium per Vessel in % of Sum Insured 1990,
for x = 1990 to 2003Premium + (50% of Standard Deductible < 500,000)
= (Net Premium per Vessel + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000)) in % of Sum Insured year x/ (Net Premium per Vessel + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000)) in % of Sum Insured 1990
for x = 1990 to 2003
Adjusted Rating Development:
Adjustment Factors: V = (Av.SI year x - Av. SI 1990) / 100 * 0,3VP = Av.Prem. per vessel year - VPAPB = VP - (Av.SI 1990 * 0,257) / 100SPAB = PAPB * Av.FDWT per vessel 1990 / Av.FDWT per vessel year x
Adjusted values: Adjusted Premium = SPAB + (Av.SI 1990 * 0,257 / 100)Adjusted Standard Deductible < 500,000 = (Average Standard Deductible < 500,000) * Av.FDWT 1990 / Av.FDWT year x(Adj.Prem. + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000))rate = (Adj.Prem + 50% (Adjusted Standard Deductible < 500,000)) / Av.SI 1990 * 100
Adjusted Rating Development:Premium = Adjusted Premium year x / Adjusted Premium 1990, for x = 1990 to 2003Premium + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000)
= (Adj.Prem + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000)) rate year x / (Adj.Prem. + 50% (Standard Deductible < 500,000)) rate 1990 * 100
for x = 1990 to 2003
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.1
Indexed Key Factors, 1995 = 100%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Underwriting Year
Rating Quality Index
Cash Index
Loss Ratio Index
Claims Cost Index
Claims Frequency Index
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.2
Rating Development, 1995 = 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Premium Prem.+ 50% Standard Ded.
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.3
Adjusted Rating Development, 1995 = 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Premium Prem.+ 50% Standard Ded.
Norwegian Marine Insurance StatisticsAs of 30 June 2003
Page: 5.2.4
Comment:Deductibles <=97 based on database before restructuring of underwriting years 1995-97Deductibles >= 98 based on the ”new” database
Average Standard Deductible Developmentin USD
050,000
100,000150,000200,000250,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Standard Deductible USD Std. Deductible < 500,000 USD