northern petroleum annual general meeting … · ‒french guiana ‒canada change in functional...
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20 May 2015
Northern Petroleum Annual General Meeting
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Disclaimer
May 2015 2
These presentation materials (the "Presentation Materials") are being solely issued to and directed at persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments and who are investment professionals as specified in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Financial Promotions Order") or to persons who are high net worth companies, unincorporated associations or high value trusts as specified in Article 49(2) of the Financial Promotions Order (“Exempt Persons”).
The Presentation Materials are exempt from the general restriction on the communication of invitations or inducements to enter into investment activity on the basis that they are only being made to Exempt Persons and have therefore not been approved by an authorised person as would otherwise be required by section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”). Any investment to which this document relates is available to (and any investment activity to which it relates will be engaged with) Exempt Persons. In consideration of receipt of the Presentation Materials each recipient warrants and represents that he or it is an Exempt Person.
The Presentation Materials do not constitute or form any part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue or purchase or subscribe for any shares in Northern Petroleum PLC (“Northern Petroleum”) nor shall they or any part of them, or the fact of their distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract with Northern Petroleum relating to any securities. Any decision regarding any proposed purchase of shares in Northern Petroleum must be made solely on the basis of the information issued by Northern Petroleum at the relevant time. Past performance cannot be relied upon as a guide to future performance. The Presentation Materials are being provided to recipients on the basis that they keep confidential any information contained within them or otherwise made available, whether orally or in writing in connection with Northern Petroleum or otherwise. The Presentation Materials are not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, whether to Exempt Persons or to any other class of persons. They are being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, forwarded to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any other purpose. In particular they, directly or indirectly, must not be distributed to persons in the United States of America, its territories or possessions or Australia or Canada or Japan or the Republic of Ireland or South Africa. Any such distribution could result in a violation of law in those territories.
The Presentation Materials do not constitute or form part of a prospectus prepared in accordance with the Prospectus Rules (being the rules produced and implemented by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) by virtue of the Prospectus Rules Instrument 2005) and have not been approved as a prospectus by the FCA (as the competent authority in the UK). The Presentation Materials do not contain any offer of transferable securities to the public as such expression is defined in section 102(b) FSMA or otherwise and do not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to subscribe for, underwrite or purchase securities nor shall they, or any part of them, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract with Northern Petroleum relating to any securities.
Annual General Meeting
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2014 – a year of contrast
Highlights Five wells drilled and one recompleted in Canada
Production commenced with more than 30,000 barrels of oil produced by year end
Two new Italian permits awarded, one onshore and one offshore
Sale of UK assets, increasing focus on core areas
Group restructured to significantly reduce cost base
Progress in 2015 Farm out of the recently awarded Cascina Alberto permit to
Shell Italia
Procurement and installation of reduced cost production package on 16-19 well
Continued restructure of business including office relocation
Economic production to start up and support the business
May 2015 3 Annual General Meeting
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Key financial events during 2014
Financial statements reflect key events of 2014 Production and revenue established in Canada Sale of the UK assets Significant impairments
‒ French Guiana ‒ Canada
Change in functional currency to US dollars
Cashflow and costs Cash at year end of $12 million
‒ debt of $1.3 million to Italian Government
Canadian investment dominated the spend for 2015 - $21 million ‒ land acquisition, seismic purchase, drilling and completion /
recompletion of six wells, tie-in of one well
May 2015 4 Annual General Meeting Annual General Meeting
Significant group cost review ‒ monthly G&A now reduced to approximately $250k
Net cashflow from first two wells to be brought back into production forecast to broadly cover group G&A at current prices
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Northern Petroleum today
Production led growth in Canada 30,000 acres with over 100 mmbbls original oil in place in north west Alberta
‒ current recovery only 18%
Current production capacity of 500 bopd from five wells ‒ 75-100 bopd to be on production in June
‒ an additional 150 bopd in the third quarter
‒ planning underway to bring remaining 250 bopd into economic production
Detailed planning work being undertaken to update redevelopment plan with well results
Exploration and appraisal in Italy 26 mmbbls of recoverable contingent resource in the Giove discovery to be
appraised
Very large Cygnus exploration prospect adjoining the producing Aquila oil field
Fully carried exploration programme onshore in the Cascina Alberto permit underway
Strict capital discipline Company structured to operate in the current oil price environment
‒ benefits of restructuring programme now being realised
Projects must measure up to warrant investment
May 2015 Annual General Meeting 5
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Virgo project status
Existing opportunity 30,000 acres in north west Alberta
Over 100 Keg River carbonate pinnacle reefs containing over 100 mmbbls of light oil originally in place, as calculated by Alberta Energy Regulator
Reefs originally drilled and produced in the 60s, 70s and 80s, primarily one well per reef
Total oil recovery to date is only 18%
May 2015 6
Wells to date Five wells drilled and one recompleted in
2014
Production capacity of 500 bopd from five of the six wells
Wells were shut in when oil price declined
Two wells with production capacity of 200 – 250 bopd to be returned to production
Remaining wells subject to opex optimisation
Updated redevelopment plan to be completed by end Q3
Annual General Meeting
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Virgo – 2015 work programme
Subsurface Revise subsurface model, integrating well results
Evaluate optimum redevelopment option
Monitor production well performance and incorporate results within revised model
Operations Re-instate production from wells 102/15-23 and
100/16-19
Evaluate options for reducing cost of production from other wells and return to production
Establish optimum facilities configuration for revised redevelopment plan
Commercial Establish potential for lower cost fluid processing
and transportation
Consider asset acquisition opportunities with operating synergies
May 2015 Annual General Meeting 7
2 1
1. New wells to target unswept oil at the edge of the reef
2. Re-entry of old wells
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Italy – exploration and appraisal
High exploration upside
Cascina Alberto – carried exploration programme operated by Shell Italia
‒ up to $4 million of seismic acquisition
‒ up to $50 million for the first exploration well
Southern Adriatic – area of key focus
‒ F.R39 which contains Cygnus prospect and Rovesti oil discovery
‒ F.R40 which contains Giove oil discovery
‒ five adjacent applications containing multiple leads in area of high industry interest
Sicily Channel
‒ Vesta exploration prospect, on trend with producing Vega oil field
‒ current joint industry study lead by Schlumberger
May 2015 Annual General Meeting 8
Cascina Alberto
F.R39 & F.R40 plus applications
C.R146 & C.R149
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Southern Adriatic seismic and drilling
F.R39 – Cygnus prospect Prospect identified on 2D seismic
Aquila oil field well data suggests a possible shared oil water contact
Mean prospective resource of 446 mmbbls with 12% chance of success
Farm out process to progress 3D seismic and drilling of prospect
F.R40 – Giove oil discovery Revised geological interpretation
indicates significant increase in oil in place
Mean contingent recoverable resource (2C) estimated as 26 mmbbls
Appraisal well required to test production potential and confirm fluid properties
May 2015 9
Giove oil discovery Cygnus
prospect
Aquila oilfield
Pliocene
Miocene
Quaternary
Triassic source interval
Platform
Basin Early Jurassic
Cretaceous -Late Jurassic carbonates
Aquila oil water contact
Annual General Meeting
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Investment opportunity
Over 100 mmbbls of oil in place in Alberta, with a low primary recovery factor to date
Additional recoverable oil proven through 2014 drilling programme
Production and cashflow will be re-established in Q2 2015
Development programme to grow production now being optimised
Existing land position supports in excess of 3,000 bopd
Positive changes in the Italian business environment
Broad mix of exploration and appraisal assets
Exploration programme carry in Cascina Alberto demonstrates intrinsic value
Approval to shoot 3D seismic will present specific opportunities to realise value
May 2015 Annual General Meeting 10
Canadian production
growth
Italian exploration
& appraisal
upside
Company strategy well suited to survive and grow in the existing market conditions
‒ a motivated executive team and workforce working to realise the upside
‒ cost base significantly reduced to reflect the continuing need for capital discipline
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“To be a focused exploration and production company,
achieving material growth, with a respected reputation”