normal distribution to understand the normal distribution to be able to find probabilities given the...

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Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z

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Page 1: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Normal Distribution

To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z scoreTo be able to find the Z score given the probability

Page 2: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

•Most commonly observed probability distribution

•1800s, German mathematician and physicist Karl Gauss used it to analyse astronomical data

•Sometimes called the Gaussian distribution in science.

Page 3: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Normal Distribution• Occurs naturally(e.g. height, weight,..)

• Centres around the mean

• Often called a “bell curve”

Page 4: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Normal Distribution• Spread depends on standard deviation

• Percentage of distribution included depends on number of standard deviations from the mean

Page 5: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Properties of Normal Distribution

• Symmetrical

• Area under curve = 1

Page 6: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Standard Normal Distribution

• Mean (=0

• Standard deviation ()=1

Page 7: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Standard Normal Distribution

• Z-scores are a means of answering the question ``how many standard deviations away from the mean is this observation?''

•Tables are provided to help us to calculate the probability for the standard normal distribution , Z

Page 8: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Find P(Z<1.25)

Tables give us P(Z<z)

It is vital that you always sketch a graph

P(Z<1.25) = 0.8944

Page 9: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Find P(Z>1.25)

Tables give us P(Z<z)

It is vital that you always sketch a graph

P(Z>1.25) = 1- 0.8944 = 0.1056

Page 10: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

a) Find P(Z < 1.52)

It is vital that you always sketch a graph

b) Find P(Z > 2.60)

c) Find P(Z < -0.75)

d) Find P(-1.18 < Z < 1.43)

Page 11: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

a) Find P(Z < 1.52)

SOLUTIONS

P(Z < 1.52) = 0.9357

Page 12: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

P(Z > 2.60) = 1 - 0.9053 = 0.0047

b) Find P(Z > 2.60)

Page 13: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

P(Z < -0.75) = P(Z > 0.75)

c) Find P(Z < -0.75)

P(Z > 0.75) = 1 – P(Z < 0.75)

P(Z > 0.75) = 1 – 0.7734 = 0.2266

Page 14: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

P(Z<1.43) = 0.9236

d) Find P(-1.18 < Z < 1.43)

P(Z>1.18) = 1-0.881

P(Z>1.18) = 0.119

P(-1.18<Z<1.43) = 0.9236 - 0.119 = 0.8046

Page 15: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Reversing the processGiven the probability find the value of a in P(Z<a)

P(Z<1.25) = 0.8944 P(Z<-0.25) = 0.4013

If the probability is >0.5 then a is positive

If the probability is <0.5 then a is negative

Page 16: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

a) P(Z < a) = 0.7611

It is vital that you always sketch a graph

b) P(Z > a) = 0.0287

c) P(Z < a) = 0.0170

d) P(Z > a) = 0.01 ASK ABOUT THIS ONE

Page 17: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

a = 0.71

a) P(Z < a) = 0.7611

0.7611

Page 18: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

a = 1.9

b) P(Z > a) = 0.0287

0.02870.9713

Page 19: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

z = 2.12 so a = -2.12

c) P(Z < a) = 0.0170

0.0170 < 0.5 so a is negative

0.01700.9830

Page 20: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

SOLUTIONS

Use percentage points of normal distribution table which gives P(Z>z)

d) P(Z > a) = 0.01

a = 2.3263

Page 21: Normal Distribution To understand the normal distribution To be able to find probabilities given the Z score To be able to find the Z score given the probability

Normal distribution calculator