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Research webinars on standards’ impacts No.32: The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on Biodiversity 22 November 2018, 2pm Macaw, Bolivia © Rainforest Alliance

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Page 1: No.32: The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on … · 2020-03-24 · MSA Biodiversity indicator ... › Gibson et al. 2011 ... mark.vanoorschot@pbl.nl or #PBLNL ISEAL

Research webinars on standards’ impacts No.32: The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives

on Biodiversity22 November 2018, 2pm

Macaw, Bolivia © Rainforest Alliance

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The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on Biodiversity

Researchers Discussant

Mark van Oorschot Senior researcherPBL

David d’HollanderAssociate ManagerISEAL Alliance

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Mark van Oorschot

PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment AgencyGovernment organisation

Independent policy evaluation

Bridge science-to-policy

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The influence of International Cooperative Initiatives on BiodiversityImpacts of Sustainable Forest Management

› Mark van Oorschot, Marcel Kok & Bas Arts

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Content

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› Agenda

– Convention Biological Diversity

– Role of non-state actors & VSS

› Biodiversity impacts

– Approach explorative analysis

– Sustainable Forest Management

– Knowledge gaps for M&E

› Relevance

– Dutch trade policies and VSS

– Credibility and additionality

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CBD - Convention on Biological diversity

› Targets:

– Reduce rate of global biodiversity and habitat loss

– Increase sustainable use of ecosystems by all actors…..

– …… , ensuring conservation of biodiversity & functions

– Mainstreaming biodiversity considerations in sectoral policies

› Actors:

– Traditionally large role for states in conservation & protection

– But many useful contributions come from:

Non-state actors (civilians, business, finance), that work together in..

International Cooperative Initiatives for Biodiversity (ICIs)

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Scenarios for the 4th Global Biodiversity Outlook

Resource production and biodiversity loss

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Kok et al 2014

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Entry-points

- Sustainable consumption

- Supply-chain responsibility

- Sustainable production landscapes

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Business is part of the problem…… …… but also part of the solution

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Relevance of ICIs for Biodiversity

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› CBD Post-2020 agenda

– Contribution of non-state actors

– Credibility on additional role

– Potential and effectiveness?

› Examples of ICI cases:

– Community Forest Management

– Zero-deforestation commitments

– Voluntary Sustainability Standards

Sustainable forest management (WUR - PBL)

Agro-commodities (IISD project)

Arts et al 2017

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VSS Impact assessment approach

Starting point

Impact analysis framework from Milder et al 2014

Combining general & detailed information

Top-down and bottom-up

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Impact assessment in the ICI study

Level 1:

- Hectares certified worldwide

(high data certainty)

Level 2:

- Induced change by certification

(assumptions)

Level 3:

- Solid experimental proof

(uncertainty on generalisation)

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MSA Biodiversity indicator

› Mean Species Abundance

– Index of naturalness/intactness (0 to 1)

– Coupled to human pressures

– Undisturbed situation as reference

– Alkemade & Schippers et al

Impacts forest-use, climate, infra

› Applied in scenario studies

– Comparing alternative futures and options

– Applied in land-use modelling

IMAGE and GLOBIO models

UN, FAO, OECD outlook study

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Ten Brink et al 2010

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SFM - Mechanisms of change

› On site effects

– Improvements from silvi-cultural practices

Reduced impact logging

Rotation forestry practices: seed-tree retention, HCVA identification, …..

Reforestation by plantation establishment (FSC principle 10)

› Off-site effects

– Sharing (mixed systems) or sparing (efficient mono-cultures)

Efficiency: high-productive plantations

Avoided deforestation

Wider landscape effects

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Level 1: Growth in global certified SFM area

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van Oorschot et al 2014

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Level 3: Evidence from the knowledge baseSome proof–of-concept

› van Kuijk et al. 2009

– Improved silvicultural treatments

› Gibson et al. 2011

– Conservation value of secondary forests

› Putz & Zuidema et al. 2012

– RIL effects on biodiversity, carbon and regrowth

› Albakidze et al 2011

– HCVA identification and protection

› And many more …..

› Ongoing certification impact reviews

– Komives et al. 2018

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Level 2/3 : Combined calculations on additionalityBiodiveristy in SFM-areas = sums of managed area, weighted for biodiversity-quality

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IMPACTS OF CONVENTIONAL RESIDUAL LOSS in AREA (10e6 ha) LOSS x AREA (10e6 ha*MSA)

MANAGEMENT MSA MSA tropics temperate boreal tropics temperate

Selective logging 70% -30% 18 39 - -5,5 -11,6 - -17

Rotation forestry 50% -50% - 97 172 - -48,3 -85,8 -134

Plantations 30% -70% 5 58 - -3,2 -40,6 - -44

23 193 172 -8,7 -100,6 -85,8 -195 -50%

POTENTIAL CERTIFICATION IMPACTS POSITIVE IMPACTS AREA (10e6 ha) IMPACT x AREA (10e6 ha*MSA)

min max tropics temperate boreal tropics temperate boreal

1. RIL application 10% 20% 18 39 - 2,7 5,8 - 8,5 on-site improvement

2. Better rotation forestry 10% 20% - 97 172 - 14,5 25,7 40 on-site improvement

3. Plantation (reforestation effect) 20% 20% 2 29 - 0,5 5,8 - 6 restoration potential

4. HCVA set-aside in plantations 5% 40% 1 7 - 0,2 1,3 - 2 on site avoided loss

5. Avoided deforestation - sparing not quantified - regional avoided loss

3,4 27,4 25,7 57 29% total potential effect

39% 27% 30%

-138 -36% final situation - with SFM

Deforestation alternative => conversion to cropland 23 193 172 16,0 174,0 120,1 310,1

Assumption: certification impacts have general applicability

Arets et al. 2010; Potts et al 2014

Distribution over forest management types

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First rough estimate of SFM impacts

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› Uncertainty & knowledge gaps

– Low-hanging fruit

Additionality?

Historical forest governance

Performance based certification

– Avoided deforestation

Hard to quantify

Land-use changes data

Evaluate landscape approaches

– Geographical variation

Impact studies for different forestand managment types

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Relevance of VSS impacts to policy

Dutch policies for sustainable trade build on ICI-performance

› Aide and Trade agenda – Amsterdam declaration on deforestation-free supply-chains

– Many ICIs included: IDH, CDP, TFA, EUSTTC, ISLA

› Accountability and reliability– EU Directive on reporting & transparency for large enterprises

– GRI Reporting standard & VSS-use

› Promotion of international CSR – International-CSR convenants (8 sectors) include VSS commitments

› Proxy indicator for monitoring policy effects– Market uptake of standards => Quantified impact

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Market uptake of certified natural resources

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PBL – People and Earth, 2017

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How to tackle the credibility crisis?

› Conditions for legitimacy and policy support (C Termeer)

– Broad societal support (MSI)

– Traceability of supply-chains

– Independent control

– Be transparent on success AND failure

– Show additionality and impacts

› “Two-way” traffic

– VSS building trust and

– Governments endorsing and giving support

– ISEAL as platform for meta-governance

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[email protected]

www.pbl.nl or #PBLNL

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Bas Arts et al. 2017 The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on Biodiversity (ICIBs) WUR – Wageningen University ResearchPBL – Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving

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Homogenisation process and MSA indicator

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Emerging governance landscape for biodiversity

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Trend - from public to private and multi-stakeholder initiatives

Potential and effectiveness?

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Discussion with David d’Hollander

Photo: Cotton field on a sunny day © Better Cotton InitiativeCecropia, Belize © Lana Bernberg, Rainforest Alliance

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Thoughts? Questions?Comments?

Photo: © Natural forest in Bulgaria © Forest Stewardship Council, Milan ReíkaField in Bulgaria © Forest Stewardship Council, Milan Reíka

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ISEAL Research WebinarsJoin us for Autumn research webinar series from October to November 2018.

19th October 2018: The Systemic Impacts of Voluntary Sustainability Standards

25th October 2018: Do private coffee standards ‘walk the talk’ in improving socio-economic and environmental sustainability?

15th November 2018: Understanding of the Conservation Impacts of Voluntary Sustainability Standards.

22d November 2018: The Impact of International Cooperative Initiatives on Biodiversity.

29th November 2018: Social and environmental monitoring of the ASC® certification in the south of Chile.

Find out more at ISEAL’s Events webpage

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www.isealalliance.org/

Thank You!

Natural forest © Forest Stewardship Council, Milan Reíka