no slide title - anglo american plc/media/files/a/anglo...dps cagr: 16% ebitda cagr: 19% •...

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Anglo American plc 1 This presentation is being made only to and is directed only at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents. ANGLO AMERICAN CREATING LONG TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE Merrill Lynch Conference May 2006

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Page 1: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc1

This presentation is being made only to and is directed only at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.

ANGLO AMERICANCREATING LONG TERMSHAREHOLDER VALUE

Merrill Lynch Conference May 2006

Page 2: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc2

Anglo American

A focused mining group

(i) Overview

Page 3: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc3

A focused mining group

Platinum DiamondsBase

Metals CoalIndustrial minerals

Ferrous Metals

Paper and Packaging Gold

Precious metals and minerals

Bulk and Base Metals

Mondi to be separated

and listed on LSE in

2006/2007

Shareholding in AGA

reduced to 41.8%

Anglo American

Page 4: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc4

100

150

200

250

300

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Strong operational performance

EPS CAGR: 21%

DPS CAGR: 16%

EBITDA CAGR: 19%

• Compound annual growth rates

Page 5: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc5

Share price performance

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

5/24/1999 03/07/2000 12/19/2000 10/05/2001 7/24/2002 05/09/2003 2/20/2004 12/03/2004 9/21/2005

Anglo: +205% since listing

FTSE 100: (3%) since Anglo listing

Page 6: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc6

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Gearing¹ 14.4% 27.9% 32.0% 25.4% 17.0%EBITDA interest cover² 58.4x 50.5x 9.3x 18.5x 20.0x

Net Debt

2.0

5.6

8.6 8.2

5.0$bn

Strong balance sheet

¹ Net debt/Net Debt+Net Assets less investments in associates² 2001-2003 EBITDA interest cover under UK GAAP

Page 7: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc7

Total dividend up 29% to 90c per share in 2005

Special dividend of 33cps

Buyback doubled to $2bn

Buyback to date: $600m

Returns to shareholders

Page 8: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc8

Anglo American

A focused mining group

(ii) Driving the growth

Page 9: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc9

Zinc +105%

Platinum +31%

Coal +45%

Copper +19%

Diamonds +36%

2000-2005 production growth

Delivering production growth

Page 10: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc10

Base Metals

$10 -15bn of future projects

Selected major authorised projects. Selected future projects unshaded. 100% of subsidiaries and AA plc’s share of JV’s and associates. Full production dates.

Anglo Platinum AngloGold Ashanti Coal

Industrial Minerals Paper & PackagingFerrous Metals

Project pipeline

$5.8bn of approved projects

CERREJÓN 2$43m

INYANDA$30m

FINSCH$130m

KROONDAL$138m

GRASSTREE$107m

TICOR 1$137m

2006

SASA marine$52m

TICOR 2$54m

XIWANCoal

COLLAHUASIEXPANSION

Copper

SISHEN SOUTHIron ore

GROSVENORCoal

QUELLAVECOCopper

MORANBAHSOUTHCoal

Diamonds

2007

TWICKENHAMPlatinum

LOS BRONCES EXPANSION

Copper

MORRO SEM BONENickel

MONASH ENERGYCoal

GAHCHO KUEDiamonds

MAFUBE$132m

Future growth – strong project pipeline

EL SOLDADO$80m

UNKI$84m

MOAB KHOTSONG

$288m

LAKE LINDSAY$361m

SADDLER’SCREEKCoal

BARRO ALTONickel

SOUTH AFRICAEXPANSION

Coal

GAMSBERGZinc

FALEMEIron ore

CUIABÁ$51m

DAWSON $426m

SNAP LAKE$230m

2008 2009

VOORSPOED$80m

SISHENEXPANSION

$559m

PPRUST NORTHreplacement

$230m

BODDINGTON$181m

LEBOWA$179m

PPRUST NORTHexpansion

$692m

CULLINANEXPANSIONDiamonds

ISIBONELO $65m

MARIKANA JV$18m

CERREJÓN 1$50m

MOTOTOLO JV$100m

MPONENG$80m

VICTOR$356m

BLACK MTN$110m

CHAGRES$21m

BUNDOORA $49m

MEREBANK$174m

GROOTEGELUK$55m

Page 11: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc11

+60%

+120%

+80%

Potential production increase should allprojects be approved

Zinc

Nickel

Copper

Base Metal projects

• Barro Alto – feasibility study for 33ktpa nickel project to be completed andapproval sought during 2006 US$1000m

• Los Bronces - Potential expansion to over 400ktpa, FS underway for completion in 2007, permit applications in process US$750m

• Collahuasi - Potential debottlenecking to increase production by 20% US$150m

• Quellaveco - feasibility study completed in 2000 and project placed on hold, awaiting permits etc. Options under review US$1000m

Page 12: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc12

Further base metal project pipeline

• Gamsberg - New discovery at Gamsberg East 40m @ 7.7%Zn and 10g/tAg, further targets to be tested - US$1000m

• Ore resources at Collahuasi are sufficient to further double copper production, active exploration programmes for water are in place

• Strong greenfield nickel laterite pipeline

• Morro Sem Bone - Pre-feasibility study underway -estimate 47Mt @ 1.76% Ni

• Jacare - Advancing to resource definition - estimate 430Mt @ 1.33% Ni

• Additional drilled resources in Chile

• Los Bronces 700Mt @ 0.8% Cu

• El Soldado 70Mt @ 0.8% Cu

Page 13: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc13

Platinum projects

• Studies continue on:- Ga Phasha - Pandora - Der Brochen - Twickenham - Styldrift - Booysendal

Future projects

• Kroondal ($138m)• Mototolo ($100m) and Marikana ($18m) JVs concluded• Lebowa Merensky replacement project ($179m)

Projects in progress

5 yr production growth• 2000-2005 (refined pt): production increased by 31% (CAGR –

5.5%)

Platinum: volume growth ahead of demand

22.22.42.62.8

33.23.4

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

m oz

Projects completed- BRPM & JV with Royal Bafokeng - Polokwane- Modikwa - ACP- Western Limb Tailings - PMR expansion

• PPRust North replacement project ($230m)• PPRust North expansion project ($692m)

Projects approved

Page 14: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc14

Coal:significant project growth

• $516 million Lake Lindsay metallurgical coal project approved- Increases coking coal production from 6mtpa to 10mtpa

Coal: strong volume growth

80859095

100105110115

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

mt

• Further unapproved projects:- South Africa expansion - Australia: Monash- China: Xiwan and other Saddlers Creek- Canada: Hillsborough Moranbah South

Grosvenor

Projects under development

Future projects

• $835 million Dawson expansion on track- Increases coking/thermal coal production from 7mtpa to 12.7mtpa

• Cerrejon expansion to 28mtpa to be completed by end 2006- Approval given to expand to 32mtpa

5 yr production growth• 2000-2005: production increased by 45%

• Metallurgical coal capacity to increase by c.50% in next three years

• $264m Mafube JV approved

Page 15: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc15

Sishen

SEP 1

Sishen South Ph 1 Sishen South Ph 2

SEP 1A

Thabazimbi

Phoenix

SEP 2 Phase 1

Pellets

Faleme

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Prod

uctio

n (M

tpa)

Scoped: 42 Mtpa

Feasibility: 9.0 Mtpa

Pre-Feasibility: 27.9 Mtpa

Production set to increase from 33mtpa to 56mtpa in 5 years:

Iron ore growth strategy

Page 16: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc16

• SASA marine ($115m) and Voorspoed ($177m) projects approved

Diamond project growth

• $791m Victor project approved in August 2005

- 6m carats over the life of mine

- Full production in 2009

• $513m Snap Lake project- 19m carats over the life of mine- Full production in 2008

• Further projects in Botswana and Canada

Future projects

Projects under development

De Beers 5 yr production growth• 2000-2005: production increased by 36%

Page 17: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc17

Capacity increases

• Long lead times

• Generally 4-6 years delay from decision to full production

Year 1 3 4 6 ½ 8

Pre Feasibility Feasibility Permitting Construction Commissioning& ramp up

Page 18: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc18

2030405060708090

100110

Jan-9

9Ju

l-99

Jan-0

0Ju

l-00

Jan-0

1Ju

l-01

Jan-0

2Ju

l-02

Jan-0

3Ju

l-03

Jan-0

4Ju

l-04

Jan-0

5Ju

l-05

Jan-0

6

Zn p

rice

(US

$/lb

)

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Zn p

rodu

ctio

n (t)

Skorpion production Zn price (nominal)

FS started

Capacity increases

Projectapproval

Constructionstarted

Productionstarted

Designcapacity

Page 19: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc19

Anglo American

A focused mining group

(iii) Strategic update

Page 20: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc20

Shareholding in AGA reduced from 50.8% to 41.8%

Registered secondary offering of 16.3 million shares plus 3.4 million shares

under a greenshoe option completed in April 2006

Proceeds of $973 million

Shares sold at a 21.4% premium to price pre 26 October 2005 strategy

announcement

41.8% stake currently worth $6.3bn

AngloGold Ashanti

Page 21: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc21

Strategic review: Mondi

Mondi to be listed in 2006/7 on LSE

Separation options being explored

Financial, legal and other

preparatory work underway

Support for growth options to be

continued

Page 22: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc22

New structure and strengthened management team to drive improvements

Focus on scale and leadership positions to deliver performance

Intensive review well underway, phase one completeGrowth and turnaround opportunities identified

Sales of underperforming and non core businesses being initiated

Phase 2 review underway

Bolt-on acquisitions being pursued, strengthening route to market

Strategic review: Tarmac

Page 23: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc23

Strategic review

Sale process proceeding

Indicative bids received

Short listed buyers currently completing due

diligence

Tongaat Hulett operating profit up 90%

Tongaat Hulett Board announced:

Hulamin to be unbundled and listed

BEE equity participation to be introduced in both Tongaat-

Hulett and Hulamin

Page 24: No Slide Title - Anglo American plc/media/Files/A/Anglo...DPS CAGR: 16% EBITDA CAGR: 19% • Compound annual growth rates 5 Anglo American plc Share price performance 0 50 100 150

Anglo American plc24

Summary

• Record operating performance in 2005

• One of the strongest project pipelines in the industry

• Delivering on strategic restructuring

• $2.5bn capital return to shareholders

• Positive outlook for global economic prospects and metals