no slide title– transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. other infrastructure ......

77
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT NATIONAL TRANSPORT NATIONAL TRANSPORT MASTER PLAN 2050 MASTER PLAN 2050 Presentation to Portfolio Committee Presentation to Portfolio Committee on Transport: on Transport: 4 May 2010 4 May 2010 NATMAP NATMAP Transport for 2050 Transport for 2050

Upload: others

Post on 13-Aug-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTDEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORT

NATIONAL TRANSPORTNATIONAL TRANSPORT MASTER PLAN 2050MASTER PLAN 2050

Presentation to Portfolio Committee Presentation to Portfolio Committee on Transport:on Transport:4 May 20104 May 2010

NATMAP NATMAP –– Transport for 2050Transport for 2050

Page 2: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Table of Contents

1. Introduction – what is NATMAP?2. Vision 20503. Transport – status quo4. South Africa – future scenarios5. Transport operations

• Passenger operations• Freight operations

6. Infrastructure7. Key financial, legal and institutional actions8. Critical projects9. Actions required from Portfolio Committee

Page 3: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

1. Introduction – what is NATMAP?

NATMAP 2050

Page 4: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Project goal

• National Transport Master Plan (NATMAP) 2050“…to develop a dynamic, long term, sustainable land use /

multi-modal transportation systems framework for the development of networks infrastructure facilities, interchange termini facilities and service delivery”

• NATMAP to be:– Demand responsive to

• Socio-economic growth strategies, or• Any sectoral integrated spatial development plan

– An action agenda for the whole country until 2050

Page 5: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Project approach

Phase 3: Forward Planning• Demand projection

RoadRailAirPort

• Evaluate alternatives

Phase 3: Forward Planning• Demand projection

RoadRailAirPort

• Evaluate alternatives

Phase 4: Action Agenda• Programmes, projects, costs• Policies• Structures

Phase 4: Action Agenda• Programmes, projects, costs• Policies• Structures

2005

2050

Phase 1: Status Quo•Transport Infrastructure

RoadRailAirPort

•Land-use•Economic activity•Population

Phase 1: Status QuoPhase 1: Status Quo•Transport Infrastructure

RoadRailAirPort

•Land-use•Economic activity•Population

Phase 2: Analysis•Future Model

Land-useEconomic ActivityPopulationInfrastructure capacity

•Analyse issues & problems

Phase 2: Analysis•Future Model

Land-useEconomic ActivityPopulationInfrastructure capacity

•Analyse issues & problems

DELIVERABLES•Round Table Ph1•Report 1

•Round Table Ph2•Report 2

•Round Table Ph4•Report 4

•Round Table Ph3•Report 3

Page 6: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

2. Vision 2050

Page 7: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Vision 2050

“By 2050, transport in South Africa will meet the needs of freight and passenger customers for accessible, affordable, safe, frequent, high quality, reliable, efficient and seamless transport operations and infrastructure.

“It will do so by continuously upgrading infrastructure and services ahead of demand, as well as in an innovative, flexible and economically and environmentally sustainable manner.

“Transport will support and enable government strategies, particularly those for growth development, redistribution, employment creation and social integration, both in South Africa and in the Southern African Region.”

Page 8: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Goals to support vision

1) To provide integrated land use and transport solutions2) To promote economic development3) To promote rural development giving priority to presidential

nodes4) To maximize the utilization of existing infrastructure facilities5) To maximize the economic return on investment in transport6) To promote integration of transport infrastructure and services7) To minimize the impact on the environment and reduce the

carbon-footprint of transport8) To provide energy-efficient transport, using energy sources that

are sustainable in the long term9) To provide affordable transport to end users, operators and

government

Page 9: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Goals to support vision

10) To provide transport that is equitable to all stakeholders11) To develop transport infrastructure that are meeting

international standards and are technologically sustainable

Page 10: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

3. Transport – status quo

Page 11: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Road infrastructure

• Road infrastructure condition– SANRAL network generally good to fair– Provincial paved roads generally fair to poor– Huge maintenance backlog in some areas, e.g. coal

haulage area in Mpumalanga• Traffic usage

– Growth of traffic outstripped extension of paved network– Significant amounts of heavy traffic on roads

• Heavy vehicle overloading• Road safety issues, exacerbated by poor road

condition, absence of clear road marking etc.

Page 12: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail infrastructure

• Rail infrastructure condition– Heavy haul lines well maintained, good condition– Rest of network in fair condition; some lines however not

maintained • Rail network generally underutilised• Rolling stock is old• Rail gauge – SA use narrow gauge (outdated)• Institutional setup

– PRASA providing passenger services– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services

Page 13: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Other infrastructure

• ACSA airports– 10 airports (including the 3 major international airports)– Generally good condition and service– Some airports are (or will be in near future) approaching

saturation, e.g. ORTIA and Cape Town• Ports & pipelines

– Port throughput is approaching capacity in some cases– Poor road access to some ports (e.g. roads to Durban and

Cape Town are severely congested)– Pipeline network at capacity; freight diverted to road. Busy

with NMPP

Page 14: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Some major challenges

• Infrastructure– Lack of expenditure on road maintenance– Overloading on roads– Condition of rail infrastructure (non-heavy haul lines)– Rail infrastructure management systems are ineffectual

(isolated systems, old or incomplete data)– Need to cater for growth in demand

• Road – high traffic growth• Rail – underutilisation• Ports – high growth in containers (Durban),

Page 15: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Some major challenges

• Operations– Monopoly control of rail transport (distorts charges)– Unsatisfied demand for rail taken up by road (less efficient)– Technical regulation of freight transport– Standard of public transport is declining– Customers are dissatisfied

Page 16: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

4. South Africa – future scenarios

Page 17: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Demography and Economy

• Study performed by Global Insight and BMR on behalf of NATMAP 2050

• 3 scenarios investigated– Demographic scenarios

• High (centralised population, low HIV/Aids, higher international in-migration)

• Medium (migration levels similar to current trends, HIV/Aids assumptions of greatest likelihood)

• Low (decentralised population, high HIV/Aids)– Economic scenarios

• Also High (positive), Medium and Low (negative) variants

Page 18: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Demography and Economy

• Major findings– Population will grow from 47 million (2005) to about 60

million people by 2050• Significant migration to Gauteng and Western Cape, from

other provinces• EAP to increase from 19 million (2005) to 26 million (2050)• Unemployment to decrease from 38% (2005) to 8.5% (2050)

– GDP expected to grow between 5% and 6% per year

Page 19: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Land use

Page 20: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Energy

Oil scarcity is inevitable, the only question is when and by how much. All indications are that the time horizon is about 20 years, at which point the available fuel will have reduced to about 50% of what it is today.

0

50

100

150

200

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Inde

x: 20

08 =

100

Well planned journey scenario gap between fuelsupply and demand

Liquid fuel supply BAU demand

1

0

50

100

150

200

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Inde

x: 20

08 -1

00

Bumpy road scenario gap between fuel supply & demand

Liquid fuel supply BAU demand

4

Page 21: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Energy

Peak oil projections

TRANSPORT INTERVENTIONS

Road based measures only

Road, rail and air based measures

Mode specific measures and

mode shifts

Move to new technologies

Well planned journey

Entirely sufficient

Not required Not required Not required

Taking the back roads

Insufficient Barely sufficient Not required Not required

Riding the wave

Insufficient Insufficient Sufficient Not required

Bumpy road Insufficient Insufficient InsufficientEntirely

sufficient

Page 22: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

5. Transport operations

Page 23: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Passenger transport: SPTN

• Development of integrated, high quality public transport– Linking all cities and towns of national significance– Consists of integrated PT network of primary and

secondary routes– Providing mobility and accessibility– Using optimal modal mix – mode appropriate to each

link/corridor– Accessed via high-quality modal transfer facilities– It is only a framework for further refinement– Extension of IRPTN’s of 12 cities– Phased development over time

Page 24: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Passenger transport: 2050 PT potential

Page 25: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Passenger transport: appropriate mode

Page 26: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Freight transport: selected strategies

• Road freight– Operator registration– RTQS implementation

• Loads (weighbridge network and enforcement strategy)• Vehicles (COR – roadside inspection)• Drivers (training and driver hours regulation) etc

• Rail and port freight– Reorganisation (see FILM proposals)– Open market, industry involvement– Develop customised rolling stock– Skills training (technical, operational and managerial)– Develop intermodal interfaces and facilities

Page 27: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Freight transport: rail demand

Page 28: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Freight transport: road demand

Page 29: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

6. Infrastructure

Page 30: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Road infrastructure

Page 31: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Road: selected recommendations

• Road maintenance– Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”)– Elimination of backlog – about R50 billion– Periodic and routine maintenance – about R12 billion/year– (See proposals on funding)

• Promote public transport investment– Regional passenger rail network (take pax off road)– Develop public transport services on SPTN (increase vehicle

occupancy)• Priority bus or normal bus services

– (See passenger operations proposals)

Page 32: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Road: selected recommendations

• Capacity upgrades– Add lanes when roads reach LOS E (reported per province)

• New constructions / major upgrades– When feasible, in high economic centres (e.g. PWV routes in

Gauteng)– In isolated cases, in line with land use directives (e.g.

Makhado-Giyani-Phalaborwa-Mbombela-Richards Bay)

Page 33: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail: access to infrastructure

• NATMAP goal: maximise utilisation of existing infrastructure

• Current network only accessible to TFR & PRASA• Recommendation is that network is made accessible

to other operators to attract private initiative in service delivery and investment in rolling stock and infrastructure

• Recommend phased approach starting with ringfencing of rail operations

• Transnet branch line strategy first step in this direction

Page 34: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail infrastructure

• Vertical separation of infrastructure and operations– Recommend the immediate institution of rail infrastructure

owning entity (RIA) (similar to e.g. the road and airport modes)

• Will immediately take over branch lines and be responsible for concessioning third party operators on it

• Will immediately acquire concessioning experience to manage further rollout of modern rolling stock

• Will eventually absorb the entire lane network in the country and allow existing freight and passenger agencies, and third party operators, to operate on the network

Page 35: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail: standard gauge strategy

• Corridor analysis, formulated strategy to phase in standard gauge rail on 1435mm as an ultimate extension of Gautrain rail project

• Priority corridors for high speed rail– Moloto corridor– Durban Johannesburg corridor– Johannesburg Polokwane corridor– Johannesburg Cape Town corridor

Page 36: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail: 2050 plans

Page 37: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Rail: selected recommendations

• Need to introduce rail gauge strategy in phased approach (all new rail developments)

• Implementation of passenger rail initiatives– Funding for Moloto rail line– Feasibility studies for Durban Johannesburg, and Pretoria

Polokwane rail lines• Operations – provide access to private operators• Monitor, update plans in view of future developments:

– Green House Gasses– Supply of fuel and electricity– New coal projects in other countries– New ore development in other countries

Page 38: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Airports: ORTIA

• Current capacity of 24-28 mill p/a reached by 2015• At ultimate phase of master plan, ORTIA will have:

– 4 runways, with adequate taxiways and aprons– Midfield and existing passenger terminals– Improved road access and additional parking– Gautrain access– Cargo facilities, etc.

• Ultimate capacity of about 60 mill p/a

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2007

2010

2012

2015

2017

2020

2022

2025

2027

2030

2032

2035

2037

2040

2042

2045

2047

2050

Annu

al P

asse

negr

sM

illio

ns

Year

ORTIA Future Demand and Capacity Passenger Demand

Consolidated Airport Capacity

Optimised Ultimate Airport Capacity

Completion of Ultimate Phase

Completion of Phase 2

Phase 2 - Runway 3 complete

Completion of Phase 1

Interim Development

2029 -Demand = Ultimate Capacity (at least 60 MPA)

Page 39: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Airports: Cape Town and King Shaka

• Cape Town International Airport– Current capacity 15 mill p/a, reached by 2018– Master plan being implemented (including replacement of

main runway, and construction of second runway)– Ultimate capacity of about 45 mill p/a,

reached by 2038• King Shaka International Airport

– Opened on 1 May 2010– Single runway system, initial capacity of about 7.5 mill p/a– Master plan for further development (including second

runway and terminal building)– Ultimate capacity of 45 mill p/a

reached by 2050

Page 40: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Airports: selected recommendations

• Capacity upgrades at airports– All airports evaluated for demand and capacity– Specified future developments (airside, landside) required

to cater for demand• New airport requirements

– Gauteng, at least one other major airport before 2050– Cape Town, estimated from 2040– Durban, estimated from 2050

Page 41: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Ports: capacity enhancement

Cape Town

11

Ngqura

Page 42: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Ports: capacity enhancement

39

DurbanBay of Natal

DurbanSouth

Richards Bay

Page 43: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Ports: Selected Projects

• Joint study by KZN DOT, National Ports Authority and ETA to choose location of container terminals– Durban Bayhead / Durban South / Richards Bay– Cape Town / Saldanha

• Container terminal expansion at priority sites• Detailed planning and implementation of ports

expansion need to be integrated with ITPs/IDPs of cities and PLTF of provinces to ensure that– Road and rail access is provided in time– Land is reserved– City development and land use opportunities are

maximised

Page 44: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Pipelines

• Major current developments– NMPP (to be completed December 2012)– Kendal Matola pipeline (expected completion within next

year)

Page 45: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

7. Key financial, legal and institutional actions

Page 46: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

FILM Issue Analyses Outcomes• Whilst NATMAP 2050 identified and analysed a number of ‘original’ issues,

these were frequently an exacerbation of FILM issues already identified as meriting resolution and reform in the White Paper of 1996 and MSA of 1999

– Institutional fragmentation hinders coherence and focus by DoT on policy formulation and strategic planning

– Application of a fair and equitable user-pay principle w.r.t “economic” infrastructure where economically justified and financially viable

– Inter-modality, multi-modal integrated economic regulation and system- wide mechanism to deliver large infrastructure investments

– Comprehensive and multi-tiered benchmark to link funding allocations to agreed national objectives and timelines

– Customer/user centricity, sustainable, stable and consistent funding– Unwinding of the unequal delivery legacy w.r.t access to passenger

transportation and cost recovery (MSA’s “Urban Passenger Vision for 2020 – Public Transport First”)

– Crowding-in the private sector– Firm-level efficiencies and systemic cross subsidization which

perpetuate poor operating practices

Page 47: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

NATMAP 2050 FILM Strategies• SA is a developing economy responding both to socio-economic and basic

needs demand imperatives as well as economic global-village nations’ competition for finite transportation funding resources

• SA’s economy relies on competitively priced freight and passenger mobility to be globally competitive

• Fundamental to SA’s ethos in the funding of provision of transportation are equity, efficiency, adequacy and ease of administration & compliance

• Fiscal equivalence and scale is important, but when internalization of externalities require central provision, but diseconomies of large-scale operation call for local provision, the necessary condition for Pareto optimality is then of a size that minimizes unit costs

• Efficient pricing is mandatory, i.e., pricing should fully reflect all individual and long-term marginal social costs, with all external costs being internalized.

• Maximize utility of available and foreseeable availability of funding, institutional and management capacity

• Optimize “yield” i.t.o equitable provision of multi-modal transportation infrastructure and services, efficiently, adequately and within a productive taxation and user charge regime

• Homogenous and iterative economic regulation of all modes

Page 48: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

NATMAP 2050 FILM Strategies• Raise financing efficiency through economic and multi-modal evaluation of

projects or/and programmes irrespective of the sphere of government that promotes/sponsoring or owns or in whose sphere of influence the investment may fall

• Rank all investment proposals against expressed policy and declared priority imperatives as articulated by national, provincial and local authority governments as well as “neutral” technical financial viability values – such as IRR or NPV and productivity gains. The evaluation must pay particular attention to any inter-, intra-modal cannibalistic effects of investments as well as resultant transfer of economic activity from one location to another – key is the resultant net gains to society as a whole

• Recoupment of “real costs” of infrastructure provision, whilst ensuring fair representation of user requirements, and raising the effectiveness and co- ordination of institutional interventions at all levels/spheres

• W.r.t capacity, the centralized Transportation Investment Clearing House (TICH) to provide multi-skilled professional services to evaluate all major investments envisaged, irrespective of sphere of government sponsoring any project/programme, mode or functional demand (freight or passenger)

• Institutional & Legislative follow-through

Page 49: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Proposed new institutions / legal reviews

• Multimodal Policy Forum in DOT• Transport Investment Clearing

House (TICH)• Provincial Transport Investment

Funds (PTIF’s)• Transport Economic Regulator (with

modal divisions)• Road Weight Distance Charging

Entity• Rail Infrastructure Agency

• National Planning and Implementation Act

• Enabling legislation for some new entities

• Changes to existing legislation• Review/alignment of Provincial

legislation

Page 50: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Changes to existing institutions

• Allow for more competition between operators (Transnet, PRASA and National Ports Authority)

• “Client” representation on agency boards (SANRAL & PRASA)• Expand portfolios and capitalise on successes of entities (i.e.

SANRAL & ACSA)• Improve effectiveness of entities (i.e Provincial Roads

Departments/Agencies)• Expand responsibilities for strategic policy provision of DOT (for

Rail, Aviation & Marine divisions)• Review responsibilities (i.e SA Maritime Safety Authority)• Re-organise DOT for Regulated Competition

Page 51: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Funding mechanism

• Infrastructure creation, expansion and rehabilitation capital investments– Public / fiscal appropriation– Access and user charges– Long-term PSP instruments – BOT, securitisation– Economic evaluation and lifecycle costing– Multi-modal integration– Institutional and management capacity provisions– Policy goal achievement prescription– Economic regulation

Page 52: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Funding mechanism

• Infrastructure operating expenditure– Right of access

• License fees that discriminate between commercial and private use, freight and passenger conveyance

• Environmental externalities recoupment according to degradation caused

“When you get your permit, you get to sit over here –

in the driver’s seat”

Page 53: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Right of access: licensing fees

Year

Proposed Externalities Surcharge(R million)

GP KZN WC EC FS MP NW LP NC RSA

2010 26329 12028 11269 6648 5007 6116 5278 5577 2416 80668

2011 28440 12992 12172 7181 5408 6607 5702 6024 2609 87136

2012 30720 14034 13148 7757 5842 7136 6159 6507 2818 94122

2013 33183 15159 14203 8379 6310 7709 6653 7029 3044 101669

2014 35844 16375 15341 9051 6816 8327 7186 7593 3289 109821

Proposed Externalities Surcharge(R billion)

2015- 2030 1184 541 507 299 225 273 237 251 108 3628

2031- 2050 6115 2793 2617 1544 1163 1420 1226 1295 561 18738

Page 54: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Externalities surcharge

Year

Proposed Externalities Surcharge(R million)

GP KZN WC EC FS MP NW LP NC RSA

2010 2182 958 962 527 392 471 419 429 200 6539

2011 2356 1035 1039 570 423 509 453 463 216 7064

2012 2545 1118 1123 615 457 549 489 501 233 7630

2013 2749 1207 1213 665 494 593 529 541 252 8242

2014 2970 1304 1310 718 533 641 571 584 272 8903

Proposed Externalities Surcharge(R billion)

2015- 2030 98 43 43 23 17 21 18 19 8 294

2031- 2050 506 222 223 122 90 109 97 99 46 1519

Page 55: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

User charge

Year

Proposed User Charges (R million)

GP KZN WC EC FS MP NW LP NC RSA

2010 68685 16998 14732 4242 2682 4724 2859 2550 558 1180302011 74192 18361 15913 4582 2897 5102 3089 2755 602 1274932012 80141 19833 17189 4949 3130 5511 3336 2975 651 1377162013 86567 21423 18567 5346 3380 5953 3604 3214 703 1487582014 93508 23141 20056 5774 3652 6431 3893 3472 759 160685

Proposed User Charges (R billion)

2015- 2030 3091 765 663 190 120 212 128 114 25 5311

2031- 2050 15954 3948 3422 985 623 1097 664 557 129 27382

Page 56: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

NATMAP 2050 funding mix

• Right of access– Formula – basic/commercial-private/freight-passenger and

outcome– Formula – externalities and outcome– Application schedule

• User charge– Formula – basic/commercial-private/freight-passenger and

outcome– Formula – externalities and outcome– Application schedule

Page 57: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Funding requirement: national projectsTotal Funding Requirement (Capital) of National Projects - All Modes(R million): 261,869

Page 58: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Funding requirements: prov projectsTotal Funding Requirement of All Provincial Projects – Modes(R million): 515,756

Page 59: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 16,453 16,453 0 16,453 0

Treasury/Share of

Access and User

charges

2011 10,962 10,962 0 10,962 02012 7,644 7,644 8,486 16,130 -8,4862013 8,409 8,409 5,157 13,566 -5,1572014 9,250 9,250 5,826 15,076 -5,826

2015-2030 61,407 61,407 -61,4072031-2050 45,278 45,278 -45,278

Roads – SANRAL

Page 60: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 13,219 13,219 0 13,219 0

Utilise share of Access and User Charges

2011 13,999 13,999 0 13,999 02012 14,825 14,825 6,770 21,595 -6,7702013 15,700 15,700 4,718 20,418 -4,7182014 16,626 16,626 4,964 21,590 -4,964

2015-2030 24,106 24,106 -24,1062031-2050 30,319 30,319 -30,319

Roads – Provincial (of national importance)

Page 61: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 0 528 0 528 0

NDOT + Provincial

DOT

2011 0 278 0 278 02012 0 654 654 -6542013 0 703 703 -7032014 0 692 692 -692

2015-2030 3,366 3,366 -3,3662031-2050 15 15 -15

Facilities

Page 62: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 10,874 10,874 0 10,874 0 Deficit if any, Group

Balance Sheet ,

Bond, Debt Funding, PSP for

Operations

2011 11,130 11,130 0 11,130 02012 8,812 8,812 3,431 12,243 -3,4312013 8,313 8,313 2,697 11,010 -2,6972014 7,335 7,335 2,803 10,138 -2,803

2015-2030 45,275 45,275 -45,2752031-2050 67,308 67,308 -67,308

Rail freight

Page 63: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 7,688 7,688 0 7,688 0

Government Guarantee, Treasury

2011 8,608 8,608 0 8,608 02012 8,608 8,608 41 8,649 -412013 8,608 8,608 55 8,663 -552014 8,608 8,608 216 8,824 -216

2015-2030 97,892 97,892 -97,8922031-2050 117,126 117,126 -117,126

Rail passenger

Page 64: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 6,717 6,717 0 6,717 0 Deficit if any, Group

Balance Sheet ,

Bond, Debt Funding, PSP for

Operations

2011 4,670 4,670 0 4,670 02012 5,113 5,113 2,533 7,646 -2,5332013 4,305 4,305 3,150 7,455 -3,1502014 1,720 1,720 3,001 4,721 -3,001

2015-2030 40,742 40,742 -40,7422031-2050 21,864 21,864 -21,864

Ports

Page 65: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 6,556 6,556 0 6,556 0 Deficit if any, Group

Balance Sheet ,

Bond, Debt Funding, PSP for

Operations

2011 3,722 3,722 0 3,722 02012 2,368 2,368 0 2,368 02013 491 491 0 491 02014 189 189 0 189 0

2015-2030 02031-2050 0

Pipelines

Page 66: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 304 304 0 304 0

Bond, Debt Funding, PSP for

Operations

2011 574 574 0 574 02012 2,099 2,099 1,134 3,233 -1,1342013 5,090 5,090 1,405 6,495 -1,4052014 5,057 5,057 2,493 7,550 -2,493

2015-2030 58,195 58,195 -58,1952031-2050 19,739 19,739 -19,739

Airports

Page 67: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Comparison of revenue & expenditure

CategorySources of Funding(R mill)

Agency /Govnm projects

Additional NATMAP Projects (R mill)

Total Projects

Deficit /Surplus

Action (in Case of Deficit)

2010 7048 7,048 0Deficit if any

to be complemen-

ted by Treasury and

PSP

2011 8966 8,966 02012 9752 352 10,104 02013 178 178 02014 98 98 0

2015-2030 183 183 02031-2050 159 159 0

All planning, legal, institutional, passenger transport projects

Page 68: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

8. Critical projects

Page 69: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• Gauteng– Upgrading of road infrastructure for better connectivity to

ORTIA – PWV15, K86 link, K88 link– Johannesburg Durban high speed passenger rail link– Primary modal transfer facilities at ORTIA, Joh CBD,

Pretoria CBD and Pretoria Station– Study for upgrading / expansion of K29 – Mabilongwe road

route / Johannesburg – Brits interprovincial road– Study for determining need for second major airport for

Gauteng– Construction and maintenance of class 2 routes in all

municipalities

Page 70: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• Limpopo– Pretoria Polokwane rail passenger link– Feasibility and project management for development of a

multi-modal logistics hub in Polokwane and OSBP in Musina

– Pre-feasibility: determination of aero-city concept, ICC and reposition of PIA

– Conceptual planning of a commuter service between Mokopane and Polokwane

– Construction of R33 between N1 intersection through Modimolle to Lephalale to improve development of east- west corridor

– Upgrade of R37 linking Burgersfort via Lydenburg to N4 corridor and Maputo

Page 71: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• Western Cape– Expand and upgrade the port of Saldanha– Doubling of Huguenot tunnel– Expansion of Cape Town port and upgrade road and rail

access to port– Feasibility study for a second airport near Cape Town

• Eastern Cape– Improved railing (standard gauge rail) between Port

Elizabeth (PE) and East London (EL)– Relocate some facilities from Port of PE to Port of Ngqura– Implementation of Wild Coast Meander route– EL freight bypass (R72) with Gonubie bridge

Page 72: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects• Mpumalanga

– Moloto rail passenger development– Upgrade of coal haulage network– Doubling of Overvaal tunnel– Rapid transit system along R40 corridor (pax rail)– Rapid transit system along N4 corridor (pax rail)

• Free State– Develop and Implement a Dry Grain/Maize Silo Strategic Gravel

Roads Upgrade Programme in order to Upgrade strategic Gravel roads that link dry grain producing farmers with dry Grain silos / elevators (all 5 Districts).

– Provincial Primary Intermodal Public Transport Facilities (Priority Bus) Harrismith & Bloemfontein)

– Road Safety audits and Remedial Measures Reports (N1, N6, N5, N3, R74, R711, R34, Tourist Routes: Xhariep Route, Diamond & wine Route, Maloti Route

– Bloemfontein – Thaba Nchu Rail Line Upgrade

Page 73: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• KwaZulu Natal– New Airport at King Shaka– Richards Bay Airport Upgrade– Upgrade and Expand Richards Bay Port– Upgrade and Expand Durban Port– Improve capacity of the coal line between Richards Bay -

Piet Retief– Feasibility study: Johannesburg - Durban High Speed Rail

Line– New Multi-Modal Pipeline (NMPP) between Durban and

Gauteng

Page 74: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• Northern Cape– Upgrade Rail Line Between Hotazel – Kamfersdam

(Kimberley)– Parking and Road improvements at Upington Airport – Kimberley Airport Terminal Upgrade– Develop primary modal transfer facilities at Upington,

Britstown and Kimberley

Page 75: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Critical projects

• North West – Upgrade N12 between Warrenton and Klerksdorp– Add capacity on N12: 1 lane per direction, Between

Potchefstroom and Klerksdorp – Develop primary modal passenger transfer facilities at

Mafikeng and Rustenburg – Develop secondary modal transfer facilities at Vryburg,

Ventersdorp, Klerksdorp, Brits and Potchefstroom – Develop a regional passenger rail system:N4 corridor

(Rustenburg, Brits, Gauteng province) – Develop a regional passenger rail system:N12 corridor

(Klerksdorp, Potchefstroom, Gauteng province) – Add capacity on N18: 1 lane per direction, between

Setlagole and Vryburg

Page 76: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

9. Actions required from Portfolio Committee

Page 77: No Slide Title– Transnet providing infrastructure and freight services. Other infrastructure ... – Focus on strategic network (“roads of national importance”) – Elimination

Portfolio committee actions

• Concurrence and approval of NATMAP 2050 as planning tool for the country

• Note & approval for proposed high-speed rail projects– Johannesburg Durban– Johannesburg Polokwane– Johannesburg Cape Town– Moloto corridor

• Approval of vertical separation proposals– Immediate institution of Rail Infrastructure Agency (RIA)

• Approval for priority projects per province• Approval of proposed institutional changes