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New York State Energy Planning Board U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and NYS Market Impact Charles M. Wesley Program Manager, NYSERDA April 2, 2012

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Page 1: New York State Energy Planning Board · 02-04-2012  · New York State Energy Planning Board U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and NYS Market Impact Charles M. Wesley

New York State Energy Planning Board

U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and

NYS Market Impact

Charles M. Wesley Program Manager, NYSERDA

April 2, 2012

Page 2: New York State Energy Planning Board · 02-04-2012  · New York State Energy Planning Board U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and NYS Market Impact Charles M. Wesley

Presentation Overview

• Natural Gas Resource Basins

• Dry Gas & Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs)

• Prices

– EIA Average Annual Outlook

– Henry Hub Spot Price

– NY Citygate Prices

– Winter Demand Price Impacts

• Northeast Pipeline Expansion Projects

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Page 4: New York State Energy Planning Board · 02-04-2012  · New York State Energy Planning Board U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and NYS Market Impact Charles M. Wesley

Cont.

4%

Methane

68%

Natural

Gasoline

2%Butanes

4%

Propane

9%

Ethane

13%

TYPICAL UNPROCESSED GAS

Methane 68%

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

2%

Non-associated offshore

Projections History

Associated with oil

Coalbed methane

Net imports

Non-associated onshore

Shale gas

2009

11%

1%

9% 7%

9% 9%

20%

14%

8%

8%

6%

46%

Alaska 1%

Tight gas 28% 22%

Shale gas offsets declines in other U.S. supply to meet consumption growth and lower import needs

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U.S. dry gas trillion cubic feet per year

Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2011

AEO2011, April 2011

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Page 12: New York State Energy Planning Board · 02-04-2012  · New York State Energy Planning Board U.S. Natural Gas Production: A Resource Assessment and NYS Market Impact Charles M. Wesley

New Jersey – New York Expansion Project

Purpose:

Extends Texas Eastern reach farther into New Jersey and into New York City for the first time

Project Scope:

800 MMcf/d expansion connecting Northeastern PA Marcellus supplies with a new delivery point in Manhattan

CapEx: ~$1.2 billion

Customers:

Chesapeake Energy (20 years)

Consolidated Edison (15 years)

Statoil Natural Gas (20 years)

Project Status:

Filed FERC application Dec 2010

In-Service: 2H13

Facilities: 15.9 miles of new 30” pipe extending from Staten Island to Manhattan, NY Replacement of approximately 5 miles of pipe with 42” pipe on Texas Eastern

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Natural Gas Storage Volumes

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Questions and Discussion