new trends in urban planning and development and their...
TRANSCRIPT
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New Trends in Urban Planning and
Development and their Impact on Parking,
Transit and Community Transportation
Presented by:
R. C. “Rick” Mobley, ASLA, AICP
April 2013
Senior Transportation Consultant
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Objectives
• Explore new trends in development for office, retail and
residential uses in urban areas
• Examine trends in changing development patterns and
densities
• Review current response to these new trends related to
transportation infrastructure
• Evaluate and plan for what our industry/community
response should be to these new trends
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Where Have We Been ?
• Dense urban areas
• Exploration of the West
• Growth of the western
cities
• Suburbanization
• Sprawl
• New Urbanism
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Dense Urban Areas
• Typically populated by newly
arrived immigrants to the U.S.
• Horses
• Trains
• Trolleys
• Canals
• Ships
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Exploration of the West
• Pioneers forming agriculturally
focused communities
• Horses
• Wagons
• Trains
• The beginning of exploitation of vast
resources including timber,
minerals, agricultural production and
other raw commodities.
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Exploration of the West
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Exploration of the West
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Growth of the Western
Cities
• Commodity Hubs
• Support of Local Mercantile
businesses
• Improved transportation and
communications to the
outposts
• Electrification
• Water resources development
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Growth of the Western
Cities
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Suburbanization
• Proliferation of single family
homes
• Advent of the Auto
• Self Sufficient Communities
with a central business district
• Phone (land line)
• “A chicken in every pot and a
car in every garage”
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Sprawl
• Development of Edge Cities
• Higher speed transit and
commuter rail
• Reliance on the auto (multi auto
households)
• Fax machines, FedEx, UPS,
DHL, USPS next day
• Air Quality issues realized
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New Urbanism
• Smart Growth, New
Community Design, Neo-
traditional design etc.
• Focus on multi-modal
accessibility
• Sustainability/
Environmental
stewardship
• Home computers, internet,
cell phones cable and
satellite communications
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New Urbanism
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Where are we Headed ?
• Demographic Changes
• Changes in Development
Patterns
• Transportation Changes/
Evolution
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Demographic Changes
• Older population
• Young professionals
• Empty nesters
• Solopenures
• Cultural Diversity
• Demand for Modal
Choices
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Changes in Development
Patterns
• Re-Densification
• Livable Centers
• Mixed Uses
• Refocus on Transit
• Walk able, bike able
communities
• Megalopolis
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Relocate to Areas with Excellent Public
Transportation
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Transportation Changes /
Evolution
• Transportation Demand
Management (TDM)
• Transportation Systems
Management (TSM)
• Parking Management
• Transit Oriented Development
(TOD)
• Vehicle Technology
• Transit Advancements
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Transportation
Changes/Evolution
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What Do We Face as an
Industry?
• Denser Urban Environments
• Different Work Environments
• Different Retail Experiences
• Changes in Transportation
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Denser Urban
Environments
• Lower auto ownership
• Higher Transit ridership
• Mixed Uses for
live/work/play
environments
• More multi-modal
opportunities
• Escapees from the city
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Vehicle-Miles Traveled Per Capita
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Willingness to Give Up Auto
Ownership as Cost Not Justified by
Usage
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Denser Urban
Environments
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Different Work
Environments
• Satellite Offices
• Work Form Home
• Virtual Offices
• Shared work spaces
• Community work spaces
(collaboration spaces)
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Different Retail
Experiences
• Big – Boxalypse
• Corner stores and support
retail
• Show rooms
• On line shopping
• Front door delivery
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Changes in Transportation
• Multi-modalism
• Multi-modal hubs
• Proliferation of transit in
different forms/technologies
• Transportation Systems
Evolution (complete streets,
super streets)
• Commuter/high speed rail
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So How Do We Respond ?
• Take advantage of technology and implement TDM
and TSM techniques across all modes
• Emphasize Shared use Facilities (roads, sidewalks,
parking)
• Take advantage of transit oriented development and
become more multi-modal in approach to solutions
• Recognize needs of different users and respond
appropriately in providing transportation solutions
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Gasoline Sales Versus
Price Per Gallon
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Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven and
Gasoline Prices
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Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on
All Roads
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Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on
All Roads
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Monthly Unemployment Rate and the
Employment-Population Ratio Age 16 &
Over
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Estimated Vehicle Miles Driven on
All Roads
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Comments and Questions
?