new leadership in energy - eurelectric · 2019. 6. 6. · autogrid inspire energy gi energy axiom...
TRANSCRIPT
5/29/2019
1
WYTSE KAASTRA
MANAGING DIRECTOR,
ACCENTURE
NEW LEADERSHIP IN ENERGY
1
THE UTILITIES INDUSTRY IS IN THE MIDST OF EPIC DISRUPTION
Copyright © 2019 Accenture All rights reserved.
DEMAND ELECTRIFICATION
Global EV Fleet (Million Cars)1,4
Small-scale PV (GW)2
2016 2040
1,387128
10.4%CAGR
2016 2040
530
2
26.2%CAGR
0.2% SHARE
33% SHARE
Wind & Solar Production (TWh)1
2016 2040
7,4321,284
7.6%CAGR
4% SHARE
19% SHARE
40% SHARE TOTAL
RES
SUPPLY DECARBONIZATION
Sources: 1© OECD World Energy Outlook 2017, International Energy Agency—used by permission; 2“Digitalization of Energy Systems,” Bloomberg New Energy Finance, via Siemens, November 2017, www.siemens.com; 3Accenture estimates; 4”All Forecasts
Signal Accelerating Demand for Electric Cars,” Bloomberg New Energy Finance, July 19, 2017; Accenture analysis.
Heat pumps Europe (Million)
10
1
18%CAGR
2016 2030
NEED FOR FLEXIBILITY
IN 2030
30-45%
extra Flexibility
20-30% fewer
operating hours
More volatility
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2
IN LIGHT OF PERVASIVE TRENDS, A NEW POWER MODEL IS EMERGING
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CENTRALIZED DECENTRALIZED
A HYBRID OF CENTRALIZED AND DECENTRALIZED, BIDIRECTIONAL ENERGY FLOW
TRANSMISSION/ INTERCONNECTOR SERVICES
Prosumers (PV)
Demand-response
Storage
Smart Charging/V2G
Renewables/PPA
Grid-scale storage
EV public supply
RENEWABLE GENERATION
BACK-UP GENERATION/STORAGE
CONVENTIONAL BASE LOAD GENERATION
NON-CUSTOMER-
SIDE
PARTICIPATION
CUSTOMER-SIDE
PARTICIPATION
AGGREGATION DIGITAL BROKERENERGY MANAGEMENT
DISTRIBUTION
PLATFORM
OPTIMIZATION
4
VALUE EXISTS BY INVESTING IN THE NEW CONNECTED ENERGY EXPERIENCE
Copyright © 2019 Accenture All rights reserved.
Transmission and
distribution 45-50%
Renewables 9-11%
Fossil + nuclear 17-19%
DOWNSTREAM
RISES TO
25%
Connected Energy
Services 25%
eMOBILITY
EUROPE MARKET SIZE
24%28%
48%
€52B -
€73B
1
3
2DER
Flexibility
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UTILITIES AND NEW ENTRANTS ARE INVESTING IN CONNECTED ENERGY SOLUTIONS FOR FUTURE GROWTH
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INVESTMENTS IN EMOBILITYCONNECTED HOME PRODUCTS & SERVICES DEVELOPMENT OF DER* AND FLEXIBILITY SOLUTIONS
*DER: Distributed Energy Resources
Illustrative
VattenfallInCharge EV charging
network
Centrica Hive1m customers with
Hive’s home solutions
EssentHome security services
Volkswagen ElliNew business unit for
energy and charging
GBatteriesAdvanced vehicle
battery charging
AmazonSmart home program
Southern PowerGreen CX solutions for
energy efficiency
Arcadia Power, AudiRenewable energy &
charging
FortumPlugsurfing acquisition
ShellNewMotion acquisition
OriginPowerwall partnership
with Tesla
EnecoCrowdnett (home
batteries network)
Enel XEnerNoc Acquisition
NationalGridDistributed energy
marketplaces funds
Google NestSmart home devices
PowerpeersBuys directly from the
energy source
NextEra EnergyRenewable energy
solutions and storage
ShellLimejump and Sonnen
acquisition
OhmConnectMaking DR easy, fun and
user-friendly
TNBRenewable energy &
district cooling solutions
CentricaReStore Acquisition
TelstraInvestments in energy
efficiency, solar/storage
Iberdrola, IKEASmart Solar Package
EngieMajor stake in Kiwi Power;
Tiko acquisition
Source: Accenture analysis.
OIL & GAS MAJORS ARE LOOKING AT THE POWER SECTOR TO DRIVE NEW VALUE OUT OF ELECTRIFICATION
Shell, Total and BP are being especially active in M&A and capital investments to accelerate a breakthrough into the power segment.
POWER RETAIL RENEWABLES ENERGY MGT. E-MOBILITY
SHELL FIRST UTILITY SILICON RANCH
CLEANTECH SOLAR
SUNSEAP
MP2 ENERGY
AUTOGRID
INSPIRE ENERGY
GI ENERGY
AXIOM ENERGY
SONNEN
LIMEJUMP
NEWMOTION
GREENLOTS
TOTAL DIRECT ENERGIE SUN POWER
EREN
SAFT
GREENFLEX
IONIC MATERIALS
AUTOGRID
G2MOBILITY
BP PURE PLANET LIGHTSOURCE FREEWIRE
STOREDOT
Sources: "Shell looks to become world's largest electricity company by 2035," SNL Gas Week, 18 March 2019. Factiva Inc. All Rights Reserved.; Accenture analysis.
Copyright © 2019 Accenture. All rights reserved.
"Shell looks to become
world's largest electricity
company by 2035"
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“WE WANT TO CHANGE THE WAY PEOPLE USE ELECTRICITY BY
OFFERING DATA-DRIVEN ENERGY SOLUTIONS”
VOLKSWAGENHAS SET UP “ELLI” TO PROVIDE GREEN POWER, EV CHARGING AND STORAGE SOLUTIONS
Beyond Tesla, traditional automakersare positioning to manage all customer needs at the interface between energy and mobility.
Source: https://www.elli.eco/en/about-us
7Copyright © 2019 Accenture. All rights reserved.
THOUGHT MUST BE GIVEN TO PIVOTING WISELY TO ACHIEVE GREATER PERFORMANCE AND CREATE NEW VALUE
Copyright © 2019 Accenture All rights reserved.
B
D
C
A
EN
TER
PR
ISE V
ALU
E
TRADITIONAL
BUSINESS
NEW
BUSINESS
TIME
TRANSFORM THE CORE
Drive optimization to fuel growth
ACutting-edge solutions based on digital to transform
core processes and unlock trapped value reducing
costs – Digital retail including customer service
GROW THE CORE
Release trapped value to sustain growth
B
Increase revenue around the commodity:
a) expand to new markets, and
b) boost current market share by cross-selling new
services – DER, Energy Efficiency / Management
SCALE THE NEWC
New downstream opportunities around new customers &
flexibility trends – Flexibility, P2P Platforms, eMobility
WISE PIVOTD
To get the timing, scale, performance management and direction of investments right
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5
THREE STRATEGIC PLAYS PROVIDE NEW VALUE DRIVERS FOR THE ENERGY COMPANY OF TOMORROW
Copyright © 2019 Accenture All rights reserved.
Conventional generator Grid operator (TSO/DSO) Commodity-centric supplierCU
RR
EN
TN
EW
Large-scale renewables,
seasonal storage,
hydrogen, biofuels
LARGE-SCALE
RENEWABLE
GENERATION
INTELLIGENT PLATFORM
OPTIMIZER
CONNECTED DOWNSTREAM
ENERGY SERVICES
Smart DSO – Manage congestion
Accommodate DER in the grid
Flex markets
Data hub for market facilitation
Biogas, Hydrogen distribution
Energy efficiency
Decentral energy resources
Electric vehicles
Flexibility services
STRATEGIC IMPERATIVES TO LEAD IN THE NEW
Copyright © 2019 Accenture All rights reserved.
DEPLOY DISTINCTIVE
CAPABILITIES FOR THE NEW
POWER MODEL
PIVOT “WISELY”BRING INNOVATION TO THE
REGULATORY PITCH
DEVELOP NEW CUSTOMER-
CENTRIC BUSINESS MODELS
BUILD AN INNOVATION
ARCHITECTURE
MASTER THE END TO END
NEW POWER MODEL WITH A
GLOCAL VIEW
5/29/2019
6
THANK YOU
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