ncctg n9831 may 2005 update perez ea, suman vj, davidson n, martino s, kaufman p, on behalf of...

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NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

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Page 1: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

NCCTG N9831May 2005 Update

NCCTG N9831May 2005 Update

Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of

NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Page 2: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Perez E. Protocol NCCTG-N9831. H=trastuzumab (4mg/kg loading dose, followed by 2mg/kg); doxorubicin dose 60mg/m2; cyclophosphamide, 600mg/m2; paclitaxel, 80mg/m2

q3w=every 3 weeks; qw=weekly

NCCTG N9831 Schema

RRAANNDDOOMMIIZZEE

Radiation and/or hormonal therapy as indicatedRadiation and/or hormonal therapy as indicated

Paclitaxel qw x 12Paclitaxel qw x 12Arm A:Arm A: AC q3w x 4AC q3w x 4

Paclitaxel qw x 12Paclitaxel qw x 12Arm B: Arm B: AC q3w x 4AC q3w x 4 H qw x 52H qw x 52

AC q3w x 4Paclitaxel qw x 12 Paclitaxel qw x 12

++H qw x 12H qw x 12

Arm C:Arm C: H qw x 40H qw x 40

Page 3: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Statistical PlanAddition of H to AC T

• Two pairwise comparisons

• Goal

– To detect a 33% increase in median DFSfrom 6.3 to 8.4 years

• Final analysis

– At 663 events for A vs C comparison

– At 789 events for A vs B comparison

Control: AC TSequentialAC T H

Concurrent AC T + H H

Control: AC T

T=paclitaxel; DFS=disease free survival

vs

vs

Page 4: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Statistical Plan Timing of H Initiation

• Pairwise comparison

• Goal

– To detect a 29% increase in median DFSfrom 7.3 to 9.4 years

• Final analysis

– At 590 events for B vs C comparison

SequentialAC T H

Concurrent AC T + H H

vs

Page 5: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Cardiac Testing

Time (months)

LVEF measurement

6 9 18–210 3

Arm B: AC x 4 Paclitaxel H

Arm A: AC x 4 Paclitaxel

Arm C: AC x 4 Paclitaxel + H H

LVEF=left ventricular ejection fraction; LLN=lower limit of normal

Pre-AC Post-AC

No H if symptoms or LVEF ↓ >15% or ↓ to <LLN

RRAANNDDOOMIMIZZEE

Page 6: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Impact of Joint Analysis on N9831 April 2005

• Joint analysis with B-31: Concurrent approach

• DMC asked for an unplanned interim analysis comparing Arm B (sequential) vs Arm C (concurrent) to assist in patient management

DMC=data monitoring committee

AC AC T + H T + H HH significantly improves significantly improves disease-free and overall survival vs disease-free and overall survival vs controlcontrol: : AC AC T T

Page 7: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Patient/Event Status at Time of Joint Analysis April 2005

• Patients

– Enrollment goals met (n: >3300)

700 patients on chemotherapy

• 2701 patients entered prior to 1/1/2005

– Median follow up: 1.5 years

• Total disease-free survival events

– A and B: 220 (of 789 needed)

– B and C: 147 (of 590 needed)

Page 8: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Pairwise Comparison

Number of events

Log rank p-value*

HR* (95% CI)

AC → T vs AC → T + H → H

395 3x10–12 0.48 (0.39-0.60)

Pairwise Comparison

Number of events

Log rank p-value*

HR* (95% CI)

AC → T vs AC → T → H

(n=1964)**

220 0.2936 0.87 (0.67-1.13)

AC → T → H vs AC → T + H → H (n=1682)**

137

0.0114 0.64 (0.46-0.91)

Results Disease-Free Survival

*Stratified – nodal status and receptor status**for patients randomized before 1/1/2005

*Stratified – nodal status and receptor status

Joint Analysis

N9831 Analysis

A B

BC

Page 9: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Disease-Free Survival: A vs BN9831

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

00 1 2 3 4

YearsNumber of patients followedA 979 629 353 168 15B 985 637 403 169 20

AC AC →→ T TEvents=117Events=117

Hazard ratio=0.87Hazard ratio=0.87Stratified logrank Stratified logrank 2P2P=0.2936=0.2936

AC AC →→ T T →→ H HEvents=103Events=103

%

Page 10: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Disease-Free Survival: B vs CN9831

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

00 1 2 3 4

YearsNumber of patients followedB 842 501 285 162 20C 840 520 285 178 17

AC AC →→ T T →→ H H Events=84Events=84

AC AC →→ T + H T + H →→ H HEvents=53Events=53

%

Hazard ratio=0.64Hazard ratio=0.64Stratified logrank Stratified logrank 2P2P=0.0114=0.0114

Page 11: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Pairwise Comparison

Number of events

Log rank p-value*

HR* (95% CI)

AC → T vs AC → T + H → H

154 0.015 0.67 (0.48-0.93)

Pairwise Comparison

Number of events

Log rank p-value*

HR* (95% CI)

AC → T vs AC → T → H

79 0.4752 0.85 (0.55-1.33)

AC → T → H vs AC → T + H → H

56

0.2696 0.74 (0.43-1.26)

Overall Survival

*Stratified – nodal status and receptor status

*Stratified – nodal status and receptor status

Joint Analysis Results

N9831 Analysis Results

AB

BC

Page 12: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Other Relevant Factorsfor Patient Management

• HER2 testing

• Cardiac tolerability comparisons based on planned analyses

Page 13: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

HER2 Testing in N9831• Modest level of concordance between local and

central laboratories for both IHC and FISH

– With HercepTest™: 81% (78-83%)

– With FISH: 87% (84-90%)

• High level of agreement between central and reference laboratory results for HER2

– 94.5% for IHC (0, 1+, 2+)

– 95.1% for FISH (not amplified)

• Accurate HER2 testing is critical given the degree of trastuzumab benefit as a component of adjuvant therapy

Updated from Perez EA, et al. ASCO 2004 (abstract 567)

Page 14: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Cardiac Monitoring Plan

• Monthly formal review of LVEF, clinical data

• Interim analyses after 100, 300, and 500 patients per arm

– completed AC and followed at least 6 months

• ~ 9 months from registration

Perez EA, et al. ASCO 2005 (abstract 556)

Page 15: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

• Difference in the incidence of cardiac events (CHF and cardiac deaths) between non-H and H arms is <4%

• 9 month analysis; 500 per arm with nl LVEF or LVEF decrease 15% from baseline (after AC)

– 0.0% (95% CI,0.0-0.7%) for control

– 2.2% (95% CI,1.1-3.8%) for control vs sequential

– 3.3% (95% CI,2.0-5.1%) for control vs concurrent* therapy with paclitaxel

Effect of the Introduction of H on Cardiac Tolerability

Perez EA, et al. ASCO 2005 (abstract 556)

* at month 9, concurrent pts have received 3 additional months of H compared to sequential

Page 16: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

Effect of Introduction of H on Disease Recurrence

Conclusions• 52% decreased recurrence with concurrent

vs control treatment (P=3X10-12) (joint analysis finding)

• 13% decreased recurrence with sequential vs control treatment (P=0.2936)

• 36% decreased recurrence with concurrent vs sequential treatment (P=0.0114)

• More follow up is needed to determine whether this trend continues

Page 17: NCCTG N9831 May 2005 Update Perez EA, Suman VJ, Davidson N, Martino S, Kaufman P, on Behalf of NCCTG, ECOG, SWOG, CALGB

NCCTG N9831Next Steps

• Pre-specified interim analyses at 50%, 67%, and 75% of events still planned

• Continued exploration of predictive factors for cardiac toxicity

• Continued patient follow up