nba: shooting guard + small forward selection

16
Course 5: NBA Strategy Shooting Guard and Small Forward Selection www.rotoql.com 1

Upload: rotoql

Post on 13-Feb-2017

312 views

Category:

Sports


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

Course 5: NBA Strategy

Shooting Guard and Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com1

Page 2: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

Lesson Overview

2

I. SG and SF selection fundamentals

II. Advanced SG and SF research tips

Page 3: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

I. SG and SF Fundamentals

Page 4: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

Key Elements

4

Stat Notes

Minutes Recent minutes will tell how much opportunity is available

Pace Teams who run will have more chances to score

Usage Rate Point guards control team usage rates

3-Point Rate Ability to make 3s has more upside at these positions

Defense vs. Position All-in-one matchup indicator, featured in RotoQL app

Def. Personal Fouls Is the defender prone to giving up free points?

Value When players are injured, use projected minutes to find value

Page 5: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

Fantasy Production

5

Position Average FD Points*

Point Guard 39.5

Shooting Guard 35.3

Small Forward 36.3

Power Forward 41.74

Center 42.93

* Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotogrinders

Page 6: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

Scoring System

6

Stat DK Points FD Points

2-point FG +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

3-point FG +3.5 PT +3.0 PT

Free throw +1.0 PT +1.0 PT

Rebound +1.25 PT +1.2 PT

Assist +1.5 PT +1.5 PT

Steal +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

Block +2.0 PT +2.0 PT

Turnover -0.5 PT -1.0 PT

Double-double +1.5 PT N/A

Triple-double +3.0 PT N/A

Lineup8 players (PG, SG, SF, PF, C, G, F, Util)

9 players (PG, PG, SG, SG, SF, SF, PF, PF, C)

● Be aware of scoring dependency and 3-point reliance

● FanDuel features two shooting guards in their lineups

Page 7: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

Avg stats put up by SG against every NBA team*

7* Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotowire

Page 8: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

Avg stats put up by SF against every NBA team*

8* Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Rotowire

Page 9: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

True DvP vs Defensive Rating & Pace

9

* Data from 2015-2016 NBA season from Fantasy Labs

DR - opponent team’s defensive rating or points allowed per 100 possessions

Pace - possessions per game

Page 10: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

II. Advanced SG / SF Research Tips

Page 11: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

SG-Usage

11Source: RotoworldNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2014-15 NBA Season

9-cat-z-scores

Usage (%)

Page 12: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

SF-Usage

12Source: RotoworldNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2014-15 NBA Season

9-cat-z-scores

Usage (%)

Page 13: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

Top 20 Z-Scores for SG

13Source: numberFireNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2015-16 NBA Season

Page 14: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

Top 20 Z-Scores for SF

14Source: numberFireNote: data is from FanDuel’s 2015-16 NBA Season

Page 15: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

NBA Lineup Example

15* Data Provided from DraftKings

Page 16: NBA: Shooting Guard + Small Forward Selection

www.rotoql.com

www.rotoql.com

More Resources

Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL

• rotoql.zendesk.com

Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire

• rotoql.com/qlwire

If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU

• rotoql.com/university

16