nazaha markets daily report: march 2, 2011

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  • 8/7/2019 Nazaha Markets Daily Report: March 2, 2011

    1/31 Official launch: March 25, 2011 Visit us online: http://nazahamarkets.com/wordpress/

    Markets Overview:Stocks listed in the energy-rich Gulf states dropped, some sharply, onWednesday as they reeled under the impact of sweeping unrest inmany Arab countries. Oil prices continue to go up, not benefitting theregion this time.

    Equities Markets:

    Stocks in Saudi Arabia fell

    sharply Wednesday as the

    benchmark TASI index closed

    down 3.9%, leading Middle

    Eastern markets broadly lower.

    Elsewhere in the region,

    Dubais DFM stock index sank

    3.5% to 1,374.43, while the

    Abu Dhabi Securities

    Exchanges General Index

    declined 1.8% and the Qatar

    Exchanges QE Index gave up

    3.6%.

    In Jordan, the Amman

    Stock Exchanges benchmark

    ASE Indexslipped 1.3%.And late in the day, the

    Istanbul Stock Exchanges

    XU100 Indexwas 0.8%higher.

    In Tunisia, where a revolt

    forced President Zine El

    Abidine Ben Ali into exile on

    Jan. 14 and sparked uprisings

    in other countries including

    Egypt, the market regulator

    suspended trading for the

    second time since the leaders

    ouster on Feb. 28 after protests

    forced the prime minister to

    resign. The benchmark

    Tunindex has fallen 11 percent

    since trading resumed after a

    two-week suspension. The

    countrys regulator hasnt said

    when the bourse will open

    again.

    The Egyptian stock market

    is still closed and is scheduled

    to re-opens on March 6, 2011.

    At the time if this writing, the

    Market Vectors Egypt Index

    ETF was down by

    -2.16%.Egypts bourse, hometo the worlds worst

    performing benchmark index

    this year, risks losing

    international investment after

    failing to resume trading amid

    protests from local investors

    who fear deeper losses.

    Moroccos MADEX Free

    Float Index declined 0.3

    percent at 3:09 p.m. in

    Casablanca.

    Disclaimer:Views and opinionsexpressed on NazahaMarkets are those ofthe authors alone anddo not in any way

    represent the officialviews, positions oropinions of theemployers both pastor present of theauthor in question, orany other institutionsand corporationsassociated with theauthor. Neither theinformation nor anyopinions contained orexpressed above andelsewhere on NazahaMarkets constitutes orshould be construedas a solicitation oroffer by NazahaMarkets to buy or sellany securities or otherfinancial instrumentsor to provide anyinvestment advice orrecommendations.Nazaha Markets shallnot be liable for anyclaims or losses of anynature, arisingindirectly or directlyfrom use of theinformation on oraccessed through thesite. Please see fulldisclaimers here.

    NAZAHAREPORTMARKETSOVERVIEWBETAVERSION

    March2,2011

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  • 8/7/2019 Nazaha Markets Daily Report: March 2, 2011

    2/32 Official launch: March 25, 2011 Visit us online: http://nazahamarkets.com/wordpress/

    In Asia, The FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index fell

    2.96, or 0.2 percent, to 1,499.28, its first drop in three

    days. AirAsia Bhd. (AIRA MK), Southeast Asias

    biggest budget carrier, and Malaysian Airline System

    Bhd. (MAS MK) dropped as oil prices above $100 a

    barrel raised concerns fuel costs will increase. AirAsia

    slid 6.3 percent to 2.40 ringgit, the steepest drop since

    Feb. 22. Malaysian Airline fell 2.2 percent to 1.82

    ringgit, the lowest close since Feb. 19, 2010.

    The Jakarta Composite index fell 27.78 points, or

    0.8 percent, to 3,484.84, the first drop in four days.

    The ISE National 100 Index of stocks reversed

    early gains and closed 0.1 percent lower at 61,282.87

    at 5:30 p.m. in Istanbul. Bonds fell, sending the yield

    on two-year bonds 15 basis points higher to 8.78

    percent, the highest since June 2010 according to the

    RBS Istanbul Benchmark Bond Index. The lira

    weakened 0.2 percent to 1.6014 per dollar. The trade

    gap in January was $7.3 billion, 89 percent more than

    the same month in 2010 and bigger than the median

    estimate of $4.1 billion in a Bloomberg survey of six

    analysts. The gap suggests Central bank Governor

    Durmus Yilmazs efforts to restrain domestic demand

    arent yet working.

    Fixed-Income and Sukuk Markets:

    Fears that turmoil in the Middle East and North

    Africa could spread to Saudi Arabia and other major

    oil producers helped push up the cost of insuring

    sovereign debt issued by Middle Eastern governments

    against default on Wednesday, according to data

    provider Markit. The spread on five-year Saudi

    Arabian credit default swaps, or CDS, widened to

    basis points from 136 basis points on Tuesday, Ma

    said. That means it would now cost $143,000 a ye

    to

    insure $10 million of Saudi government debt agai

    default for five years, up $7,000 from Tuesday. Th

    spread on Bahrain CDS widened 12 basis points t

    313, while Lebanon widened 9 basis points to 365

    Qatar widened 4 basis points to 119. (MarketWatc

    Fitch Ratings has downgraded UAE-based Du

    Bank's (DB) Individual Rating to 'D/E' from 'D' a

    maintained it on Rating Watch Negative (RWN).

    In other news, National Central Cooling Co.,

    United Arab Emirates company known as Tabree

    said it will receive 3.1 billion dirhams ($844 millio

    from Mubadala Development Co. as part of a

    recapitalization. The agreement with Abu Dhabi

    investment arm provides Tabreed with long-term

    capital comprised of 1.7 billion dirhams in

    subordinated mandatory convertible notes maturi

    2019 and a subordinated convertible loan facility f

    as much as 1.4 billion dirhams maturing at the en

    December 2012, he said. (Bloomberg).

    The Fitch agency on Wednesday

    downgraded Tunisia's long-term debt

    rating to BBB-, with a negative outlook,

    due to the uncertainty over the troubledcountry's stability and economic policy.

    NAZAHAMARK

    ETSMarch2,2011

    We are in the final

    stages of our

    recapitalization

    program, Chief

    Financial Officer

    Stephen Ridlington

    of Dubai Bank said

    on a conference call

    today. The program

    will leave Tabreed

    with a stable long-

    term capitalstructure and the

    funding to complete

    its business plan

    and support the

    growth of the

    company.

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  • 8/7/2019 Nazaha Markets Daily Report: March 2, 2011

    3/33 Official launch: March 25, 2011 Visit us online: http://nazahamarkets.com/wordpress/

    It is clear that Saudi Arabia has enough

    spare capacity to make up for the

    current estimated (800,000 barrels a day)

    shortfall from the disruptions in Libya

    as well as any further reductions,

    analysts at J. P. Morgan said in a note toclients Tuesday. As Saudi Arabia was

    already in the process of raising output

    ahead of the disruption, the process of

    restarting capacity may take less time.

    Oil prices climbed nearly 3% Tuesday as violence in

    Libya and the potential spread of the turmoil in the Middle

    East and North Africa continued to feed concerns over

    global oil supplies, prompting futures prices to mark the

    highest closing level in over two years.

    Light sweet crude for April deliveryrose $2.66, or 2.7%,to close at $99.63 a barrel on the New York MercantileExchange. Thats the strongest closing level for a most active

    contract since September 2008. (Market Watch)

    Gold also benefited from the geopolitical problems in

    the Middle East and North Africa.

    Spot bullion hit an intra-day high of $1,434.45, just 20

    cents below the record high hit in the previous session. It

    had since edged lower and quoted at $1,429.85.

    Spot silver struck $34.74 an ounce, its highest since

    early 1980. It was trading at $34.55 by 0614 GMT.

    Prompt delivered Europe physical coal prices were little

    changed on Wednesday after a day of thin trading. No fresh

    deals were reported and few bids and offers were seen.

    Despite volatility in oil prices and fears of further

    disruption to Libyan oil supply, coal, gas and power markets

    remained sluggish. (Reuters)

    Major North American markets tumbled on Tuesday as

    concern about the continuing turmoil in Libya and other

    oil-producing countries sent commodity prices higher,

    renewing fears that the economic recovery could be stalled.

    Commodities

    NAZAHAMARK

    ETSMarch2,2011

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