national economic accounts: what’s new and what’s coming carol e. moylan national economic...

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National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

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Page 1: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming

Carol E. MoylanNational Economic Accounts Data Users’

ConferenceOctober 15, 2007

Page 2: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

2www.bea.gov

Purpose of this Users’ Conference

For BEA to hear from you. For us to provide information to

you about: BEA’s national accounts BEA’s plans Issues that BEA faces

To give you an opportunity to meet us.

Page 3: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

3www.bea.gov

BEA Strategic Plan

Priorities for national economic accounts: Addressing data gaps and other

shortcomings Improving consistency and

integration with other accounts Improving consistency with

international standards.

Page 4: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

4www.bea.gov

What’s New?

Research and development satellite account Updated estimates released September 2007

(article in October 2007 Survey of Current Business).

First look at industry-level, regional, and international estimates of R&D investment.

Plan for implementation in benchmark input-output accounts and NIPAs for 2012/2013.

Integrated NIPA and Flow of Funds Accounts Joint project by BEA and Federal Reserve staff. Article in February 2007 Survey. Plans for regular update of estimates.

Page 5: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

5www.bea.gov

What’s New? (cont’d)

Improved documentation for users: Release of paper reconciling growth rates

between the CPI and the PCE price index. Release of “Measuring the Economy: A

Primer on GDP and the National Income and Product Accounts.” This document is for novice users of the national accounts.

Release of “Introduction to the NIPAs (MP-1).” This is a more comprehensive introduction to the national accounts.

Page 6: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

6www.bea.gov

Ongoing Research

Examples include: Health satellite account

a need for improved measures to guide policy discussions

Classification of personal consumption expenditures Modernization & improved

international comparability Issues in compensation and profits

Page 7: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

7www.bea.gov

What’s Coming?

NIPA comprehensive revision –July 2009 — incorporate 2002 benchmark input-output accounts)

Updated international standards — System of National Accounts (2008)

Beginning in 2010 — flexible annual revisions.

Page 8: National Economic Accounts: What’s New and What’s Coming Carol E. Moylan National Economic Accounts Data Users’ Conference October 15, 2007

8www.bea.gov

Strategic projects

Major conceptual changes that will be fully implemented after 2009:

Capitalize research & development Scheduled for 2013 comprehensive revision

Production account Part of updated SNA Joint work with BLS productivity program Estimates of labor and capital services for

all sectors.