national drought management authority baringo …

BARINGO EW BULLETIN, SEPTEMBER 2014 [email protected] – website: www.ndma.go.ke 1

BARINGO: CENTRAL/ NORTH/ EAST POKOT/ MARIGAT / MOGOTIO DISTRICTS: - WARNING STAGES

Seasonal Calendar

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Dry season: - (Land preparation, minimal calving, lambing & kidding) Long rains: - (Planting, most kidding & lambing and minimal calving & honey harvesting) Short rains: - (Most calving & honey harvesting and minimal kidding & lambing, pre-harvest & harvesting)

Livelihood Zone

Warning stage

Trend

Pastoral- all species Alarm

No change

Agro pastoral

Alert

Improving

Irrigated Cropping

Alert

Worsening

County

Alert

No change

NATIONAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT AUTHORITY BARINGO COUNTY

DROUGHT MONITORING AND EARLY WARNING BULLETIN – SEPTEMBER 2014


SITUATION OVERVIEW The drought situation is currently unpredictable. Rains were received in the first week of September in the highlands and in the low lands there was little to no rainfall. This has made the situation worsen as much as the rains for July into August had started improving the existing situation (pasture and forage) water pans still have water, however levels decreasing at a fast rate due to high evaporation and increased use. Average rainfall received was 73.1 for 4 days for 6 recording stations. Temperatures increased from an average of 32 to average of 34 especially in the lowlands. The project area received sporadic rains earlier in the month with the lower Kerio valley region, Churo- Tangulbei and Kinyach sentinel sites receiving higher amount of rainfall consequentially recharging pans to around 80%. The upper parts of project area which include Akoret, Silale, Kapunyany, Kapenguria, Maron, Kapedo and Orus areas are currently dry with existing water pans recharge at between 50-65%. This is anticipated to support the community through a period of utmost 4 weeks, with the onset of dry period expected in October/ November.

The recorded amount of rainfall received was 73.1mm for an average of 4 days from 6 recording stations. (Kinyach = 185mm in 3 days, Marigat = 26.5mm in 3days, Chemolingot = 48mm in 4days, and Salabani = 6.5mm in 1day, Komolion = 119mm in 3days, Kabarnet = 53.6mm in 8days.

Prevailing food insecurity in pockets of East Pokot, eg Chesitet, Kapedo, Katikit, Ngaina, Kapenguria and Yatya.

Main diseases affecting livestock is ECF in Cattle and CCPP and PPR in small stock.

Milk production increased from 132 bottles to 162 bottles (750 ml bottles).

The average price of cattle had a marked improvement from Ksh. 7472 in August to Ksh 12539 in September.

The average goat price increased from Ksh. 1,803 in August to Ksh. 2,207 in September showing appreciation.

The average sheep price increased from Ksh. 1,575 in August to Ksh. 1,893 in September showing appreciation.

Pastoral- all species livelihood zone is the only livelihood zone that normally has sales in camels. 8 Camels were sold in September at an average of Ksh 11,800 an increase from that of last month.

Milk consumption by household members increased in all livelihood zones. The average consumption increased from an average of 118.5 bottles to 145.5 bottles.

The average maize price per Kg during the month was Ksh 47.2, it decreased from that of August.

The average price of Posho per Kg during the month was Ksh 55.4,

The average price of beans per kg during the month was Kshs 107.5 Kshs 4.1 more than that of August.

The average daily wage rate per casual for the month was Kshs. 161, Kshs. same as that of August 2014.

There was a decrease in income from Livestock sales compared to that of August. It decreased from 26% to 25%.

There is slight overall improvement in Mid Upper Arm Circumference (MUAC) from 19.2% in August to 18.7% in September.


In September 1 CSG meeting was held on 17th September 2014 at the County Governor’s

boardroom. In the meeting, the early warning information was disseminated and current

drought status and the running programs under the Drought contingency fund and the status

and way forward as what is yet to be done where and projected dates for achievement of

targets.

Logistics regarding preparations for International Day for Disaster Reduction were discussed at

length. Members were made aware that the county was honoured to Host the IDDR National

Event which will be on 16th October at Marigat High school. This will be preceded by a 3 day

symposium and an excursion to Lake Baringo to witness effects of floods on different facilities

and people’s lives in Kampi Samaki Area.

Recommendations to district authorities/ DSG and national KFSSG

The GOK/ WFP and other Aid Agencies to put more efforts to ensure that communities in East Pokot, Baringo North and in the mixed farming livelihood zone are cushioned from the Drought effects to their livelihoods.

The Education department The following schools still have water challenges due to lack of water despite the rains experienced during the month; -

SUB COUNTY SCHOOLS

EAST POKOT FGCK Tukolkol, Sokut. Alem, Apakito and Chepanda in Maron. Loiwat

high school. Chesotim, Korelach, Kreeze, Adomeyon,

BARINGO NORTH Karimo, Sibilo, Barketiew, Yatya, Kakir, Ngaratuko, Koiboware, Chemoe,

Kosile, Rormoch, Moionin, Koindoi, Chepkewel.Rondinin, Kamencho,

Piretwonin

MARIGAT Lorok and Loitip school – most children with typhoid.

Schools affected by insecurity and Migration:

SUB COUNTY SCHOOLS

EAST POKOT Chesotim, Korelach, Kreeze, Adomeyon, Kapau Pri, Kangor, Chesawach,

Takawira, Napur. (Akoret). Nyakwalela, Maron, Alem, Chepanda,

Apakito, FGCK Tukolol, Ngaina, Chesotim, Korelach, Kiezee, Adomeyon

MARIGAT Kiserian Sec, Kiserian Pri, Sokotei Pri.

A request for urgent water trucking was raised but so far residents have not been attended to yet the situation will get worse.

A number of schools have had an upsurge in number of students due to school feeding

program. There are reported cases of overstretching of the schools meals programs as a result

of increased ECD enrolment and migrations.


A number of schools have challenges with access to water for drinking, cooking and hand

washing/hygiene especially now that students are back in session.

Request from Kamurio Primary for roofing of girls dormitory.

Agriculture/Crop production So far there is very little to no crops, and very minimal yield where any crops were planted. Mainly we have seed maize for Kenya seed around the irrigation area, Perkera and Sandai.

There is shortage of food in especially Pastoral livelihood zone.

Farmers need good quality seeds in Kollowa as they prepare land for planting season.

The Livestock department

There is slight improvement of animal body condition across the livelihood zones. One is

able to count between 1-3 ribs on livestock and about 0-2 in goats.

The veterinary department / Agencies There is need to investigate and attend to CCPP, CBPP, FMD and ECF cases in the county. There have been vaccination efforts by MoLDF in the ongoing drought response program.

Main diseases affecting livestock is ECF and FMD in Cattle and CCPP and PPR in small

stock.

The MOH/ MPHS/ Stakeholders

Need to increase Water Sanitation and Hygiene education to county residents.

Kinyach and Kapunyany dispensaries affected by water shortage.

There is still general food insufficiency at the household level arising from high food

commodity prices that has rendered some households unable to meet their daily needs.

Residents of Chesawach are requesting to have a clinic constructed close by because they currently have to walk 90 Kms to Chemolingot Hospital or 40-50Kms to Kamurio Clinic for treatment. Influx of people into health centre to receive plummy nut, including the old aged.

DISEASE AREAS REPORTED

1. MALARIA Maron, Kinyach, Kapenguria, Ngambo, Endao, Orus, Katikit. Kiserian, Kapunyany, Nakoko

2. DIARHOEA Loiwat, Kapunyany, Kapenguria, Ngambo, Sintaan, Lesua, Kiserian.

3. SKIN DISEASES Kapenguria

5. TYPHOID. Kinyach, Kiserian. Yatya, Katikit, Kapenguria

6. URTI Loiwat, Akoret, Komolion

7. BRUCELLOSIS Kinyach, Tilingwa, Kobot, Chemitany, Kapenguria


The Public Works Engineer to put more efforts to ensure that roads in the county are

rehabilitated to permit food and other logistics reach communities.

Residents of Akoret have for a long time requested for an improvement of the road to

Kamurio because even during drought, it is hard for the water trucks to access Kamurio

hence end up missing on drought water trucking response. In line with the same, it has led

to increased food prices and very high terms of trade. They request for assistance at this

time where they are hit with acute water shortage and food insecurity.

The Road through Kakapul has been damaged even more from the rains experienced in

August. This needs to be attended to urgently. Hazardous to motorists.

The District game warden: Requests from residents for the human –wildlife conflict to be monitored. There is human wildlife conflict in the areas mentioned below.

There has been livestock predation by wild animals as indicated below:

Residents of East Pokot propose that the National Reserve/ Game wardens office should have a satellite station in East Pokot that would help address issues of Livestock predation by wild animals and other related Human wildlife conflicts. There has been public outcry than nothing is being done, and no response to issues raised. Snakes have been a menace to residents with many snake bites reported. 4 people in September, however no deaths from these.

ANIMAL AREAS REPORTED ANIMALS AFFECTED ANIMALS/ LIVES LOST

1. Baboons , Katikit, Maron Sheep,Goats 8 Goats – Katikit 52 Goats – Katikit (Pukaruru and Chemartas communities)

2. Lynx Maron Sheep

3. Hyena Maron Sheep and Goats

4. Snakes Maron 2 camels and threat to human – 4 snake bite reported cases

5. 2 Crocodiles Loiwat waterpan, Komolion

Humans, and livestock

1- Man killed in Komolion

These are informal reports to be verified/ confirmed through the normal KWS/ County Reserve reporting procedures.010

Current interventions 1) Non-food interventions.

Expansion of irrigated crop production under irrigated agriculture.

Promotion of drought tolerant crops (THVC).

Water harvesting for crop production (water pans)

2) Food Aid


Currently relief food is being distributed in East Pokot, Marigat, Baringo North and Baringo Central Sub-counties where the most vulnerable people are targeted. The pipelines are many but not streamlined;

World Vision Kenya – (PRRO – FFA) – Marigat.

World Vision Kenya – (PRRO – FFA) – Kollowa and Tangulbei.

GFD through Presidency

Schools meals program- 1 meal/child/day

ACTED food vouchers targeting Households in Chesitet, Kapedo and Amaya

– Response to Drought. This will be done for 2 more months.

Baringo County government.

Health facility SFP-Therapeutic feeding but weak linkage to GFD

Stability

1.1 Rainfall

The recorded amount of rainfall received was 73.1mm for an average of 4 days from 6 recording stations. (Kinyach = 185mm in 3 days, Marigat = 26.5mm in 3days, Chemolingot = 48mm in 4days, and Salabani = 6.5mm in 1day, Komolion = 119mm in 3days, Kabarnet = 53.6mm in 8days.

1. Rain was received more in Kinyach and Kipsaraman, at different times during the month. East Pokot Sub County however received the least amount of rainfall. The amount of rainfall received is below normal. The high rainfall amounts on the highlands ended up causing swelling and flooding of Nginyang River thus a challenge to transportation to and From Chemolingot.

Source: NDMA/ Organizations and Kenya Meteorological department rain gauge data stations:

6.1 Natural Vegetation & pasture and Browse Condition 7 The pasture and browse condition is generally fair across the project area with Kaptuya, Katikit

and Kinyach Sentinel sites having better pasture. This has attracted livestock from other drier areas causing both in-migration and out-migration. Livestock from Lonyek and samburu- Baringo borders are currently moving towards Kaptuya area whereby pasture exhaustion is likely to happen in the next 2-3 weeks. This will force a move into volatile Arabal Mukutani


zone to access good pasture, therefore conflict and insecurity is imminent around mid October onwards. As such there is need for security teams around to intervene timely to avoid situation occurring.

8 The livestock in Akoret Maron, Loyamorok and Maron are now moving towards Kositei, Ribkwo and Chepanda with likelihood of further movement to Kalabata area. Those in Ngoron and Kapenguria have moved to Kadengoi and are expected to further move into Kainuk –kasarani area, hence conflict flare ups are looming.

The general condition of pasture and browse remained constant in all livelihood zones.

The browse could last for about 3 months in Agro pastoral livelihood zone, however in Pastoral livelihood zone, it could last for about 2 months.

The average distance grazing areas decreased to 3.7 km from 4.6km. Pastoral livelihood zone cover more distances to grazing points (5.7 km) an decrease from last month’s and more than Irrigated cropping (0.7 km), previous month was 1 Km and Agro-Pastoral (4.7) last month was (5.9 km) a decrease of about 1.2 Km.

SUB-COUNTY

FROM TO DISTANCE

1. EAST POKOT Katikit, Maron, Kapunyany

Kulol,Napur, Ameyan, Nakoko, Chepanda, Silale hills. Katikit from Maron. Ribko, Lorwatum, Kositei, Donge

70-90Kms

2. BARINGO NORTH

3. MARIGAT Kiserian Sirata, Logumgum, Loru, Lesuwa, Sokotei

MARCH 2014 APRIL 2014 MAY 2014 JUNE 2014 JULY 2014 AUGUST 2014 SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE DISTANCE TO GRAZING AREA.

DISTANCE TO GRAZING AREA.






AGROPASTORAL 8.4 9.2 9.4 7.8 7.4 5.9 4.7

IRRIGATED CROPPING 3.3 4.7 3.7 0 1 1 0.7

PASTORAL – ALL SPECIES 7.1 9.2 8.8 8.2 6.0 6.8 5.7

AVERAGE 6.3 7.7 7.3 8.0 3.0 4.6 3.7

6.1 Water Sources & Availability

During the last four weeks the water availability decreased all livelihood zones due to decreased rainfall. Spatial coverage was also poor. There was very little recharge of water bodies (water pans) in all livelihood zones. 60-70% of the pans and seasonal rivers are recharged.

There are many boreholes that have been marked for repair to be done under the drought contingency response currently ongoing.

Kamurio Borehole in Akoret was supported by NDMA through the drought response program currently ongoing. The water experts are currently analysis water quality and work at equipping it thereafter.


Assistance by NDMA in fueling diesel powered boreholes especially in Mukutany to assist farmers close the rainfall gap so as to at least get some harvest from the planted crops.

There have been water challenges in Chemolingot for about 2 months now, since the water pump failed. This is a challenge to the residents and Health too.

Areas Affected by Water Shortage:

SUB-COUNTY

1. EAST POKOT Chepelow, Chepringiriom, Napur, Kalpesa, Atirir and Pkaruru

2. BARINGO NORTH

Kapenguria, Ngambo, Sintaan, Lesua, Kiserian.

3. MARIGAT Kapenguria

In need of attention:

Orusion Handpump broken.

Kakonykony and Katupen Springs silted needs de-silting. MARCH

2014 APRIL 2014 MAY 2014 JUNE 2014 JULY 2014 AUGUST

2014 SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE DISTANCE TO NEAREST WATER SOURCE.

DISTANCE TO NEAREST WATER SOURCE.






AGROPASTORAL 4.3 5.3 4.8 4.2 4.3 3.4 3.9

IRRIGATED CROPPING 2.3 3.3 2.7 0 1 1 0.7

PASTORAL – ALL SPECIES 3.0 4.4 3.5 2.9 3.5 3.3 2.7

AVERAGE 3.2 4.3 3.7 3.6 5.5 2.6 2.4

1.4 Emerging Issues

Prevailing food insecurity in pockets of East Pokot, eg Chesitet, Kapedo, Katikit, Ngaina, Kapenguria and Yatya.

Now that some areas are experiencing rainfall, there are rivers that get flooded eg Nginyang causing a challenge for travelers.


1.1.1 Insecurity/ Conflict/ Human displacement

There is need to be on alert regarding insecurity/conflict and displacement due to migrations as animals move about in search of pasture.

1.1.3 Other factors affecting livelihoods

There is urgent need to enhance inter community dialogue and security monitoring to be

enhanced to reduce risk of damages/loss especially around grazing communal grazing

areas.

Closure of Marigat and Amaya livestock markets.

1.5 Implications on Food Security

Insecurity makes it difficult for communities to access food from the markets or access markets to sell livestock, hence poor (low) prices. This also increases food commodity prices.

2. Food Availability.

2.1 Livestock Production 2.1.1 Livestock body condition The condition of livestock across the project area looks good especially in Churo, Tangulbei and Kerio valley region. The small stock is also in good body condition due to availability of fair browse and pasture. There is no major livestock disease reported in project apart from the FMD outbreak that had affected livestock especially cattle which is now contained through the serious NDMA coordinated vaccination campaign that was carried out from the beginning of this month. The livestock markets that were closed as quarantine measure are expected to open soon.

Livestock health has started improving in all the livelihoods in the county.

One can count between 2-4 ribs in cows and 0-2 in goats.

There were few reported cases of livestock diseases and loss of livestock through death mainly caused by bloating brought about by consumption of grass that’s tender.

2.1.2 Livestock diseases

Main diseases affecting livestock is ECF in Cattle and CCPP and PPR in small stock. The FMD reported in Marigat, Mogotio Amaya and Baringo North resulted in quarantine being declared in these sub-Counties. In Marigat, FMD Type-1 was diagnosed and vaccinations were carried out in August. However Marigat Livestock Market has not been reopened. The disease is still being monitored and vaccinations done with a view to lifting the quarantine.

Vaccination done in Amaya, Tangulbei, Churo Nginyang, as part of Drought Response.

DISEASE AREAS REPORTED ANIMALS AFFECTED

LIVESTOCK LOST

1. CCPP Loiwat, Kapenguria, Kolloa, Nyalil Buch (Endao). Kinyach, Kiserian, Yatya, Orus, Kaptuiya

Goats and Sheep.

15 goats in Loiwat. 13 sheep + 56 Goats in Yatya


2. PPR Chesawach, Chekererat, Lelkiron, Akoret, Yatya, Sibilo, Orus

Goats, Sheep and cattle.

3. ECF Loiwat, Kerio river basin, Kapenguria, Kinyach, Tangulbei, Kaptuiya, Orus, Kiserian, Yatya

Cattle 5- Kinyach

5. Foot and Mouth Disease

Kapenguria, Loruk, Ngambo, Kaptuiya, Tangulbei, Kiserian

Cows

6. Diarrhoea Kapenguria Goats and Sheep.

7. Worms Kiserian. Kapenguria Goats and Sheep.

8. Lung Disease Kinyach

Goats

9 Miscarriages Nyalil Buch and Barkibi – Endao

Goats

10 Bloating Loiwat

Cows 5

11. Red Water Kamurio, Kapenguria 100+ cows in Kapenguria

12. “Nagana” (Caused by Tse-tsefly)

13. Mange Yatya Goats 70 Goats

2.1.3 Milk production

Milk production increased from 132 bottles to 162 bottles (750 ml bottles). It is highest in pastoral zone with 278 compared to 46 bottles in Agro pastoral, an increase from last month’s production of 232 bottles in the pastoral livelihood zone and from 32 to 46 in Agro pastoral livelihood zone. This is attributed to slight improvement in pasture and browse during the month in all livelihood zones.

MARCH 2014

APRIL 2014

MAY 2014

JUNE 2014

JULY 2014

AUGUST 2014

SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE PROD (750 ml) Bottles

PROD (750 ml) Bottles






AGROPASTORAL 42 24 32 30 6 32 46

IRRIGATED CROPPING 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 162 149 124 109 187 232 278

AVERAGE 102 86.5 78 69.5 66 132 162

2.2 Crop production 2.2.1 Timeliness & status of crop

There are few people who planted in anticipation however there was very minimal germination of which dried up and are now very discouraged and thus expect very low or no harvest later this year.

2.2.2 Pest and diseases


There were no pests and diseases.

2.2.3 Harvest

There is no harvesting at this time of the year.

2.2.4 Implications on food security

Milk production at household is still low however showing improvement. The low production has placed the health of the under-five year’s children at risk.

3. Access to Food 1.1 Livestock marketing

3.1.1 Cattle prices (From household level) MARCH


2014 SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF CATTLE

AVERAGE PRICE OF CATTLE






AGROPASTORAL 18,092 18070 12891 13220 7969 8540 13000


PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 13,120 10,413 8194 7716 6748 6404 12078

AVERAGE 15,606 14,241 10542 10468 6239 7472 12539

N = 480 HH

The average price of cattle had a marked improvement from Ksh. 7472 in August to Ksh 12539 in September. The price increase was attributed to better, pasture and body condition. The price was higher than the long term mean by 29.6 % as shown on the graph.

Agro Pastoral livelihood zone had the highest average cattle price of Kshs. 13,000 owing to easier access to markets. Pastoral all species livelihood zone had the lowest average price of Kshs. 12,078. The cattle price is above normal at this time of the year.


1.1.2 Goats price (From household level)

N = 480 HH MARCH


2014 SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF GOAT.

AVERAGE PRICE OF GOAT.






AGROPASTORAL 3052 2341 2115.7 2084.6 1652.6 1863 2308


PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 2205 2133 1810.6 1543.5 1684.2 1743 2111

AVERAGE 2159 2237 2542 1814 1668 1803 2207

The average goat price increased from Ksh. 1,803 in August to Ksh. 2,207 in September showing appreciation. The price is above the long term mean by 20.3 %.

Agro Pastoral livelihood zone had the highest average price of Kshs. 2,308 while Pastoral all species livelihood zone had the lowest price average of Kshs. 2,111 partly owing to unstable markets. The prices are above normal at this time of the year.

3.1.3 Sheep prices (From household level)

MARCH 2014

APRIL 2014

MAY 2014 JUNE 2014 JULY 2014 AUGUST 2014 SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF SHEEP

AVERAGE PRICE OF SHEEP






AGROPASTORAL 2321 1701 1424 1568 1367 1557 1719

IRRIGATED CROPPING

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES

1999 1734 1738 1359 1302 1593 2068

AVERAGE 2628 1718 1580.8 1463 1335 1575 1893


N = 480 HH

The average sheep price increased from Ksh. 1,575 in August to Ksh. 1,893 in September showing appreciation. The price was higher than the long term mean by 32.3 %.

Pastoral all species livelihood zone had the highest average price of Ksh 2,068 while Agro-Pastoral livelihood zone had the lowest price of Ksh 1,719.The prices are above normal at this time of the year however below that of same time last year.

3.1.4 Camel prices (The animal is rarely sold and only reared in pastoral livelihood zone)

Pastoral- all species livelihood zone is the only livelihood zone that normally has sales in camels. 8 Camels were sold in September at an average of Ksh 11,800 an increase from that of last month.

3.2 Livestock sales JUNE 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE NUMBER OF CATTLE SOLD

NUMBER OF SHEEP SOLD

NUMBER OF GOATS SOLD

NUMBER OF CAMELS SOLD

TOTAL

AGROPASTORAL

20 22 112 0 154

IRRIGATED CROPPING

0 0 0 0 0


25 29 333 2 389

TOTAL 45 51 445 2 543

JULY 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE NUMBER OF

CATTLE SOLD NUMBER OF SHEEP SOLD



TOTAL

AGROPASTORAL

8 11 53 0 72

IRRIGATED CROPPING

1 0 0 0 1


76 24 351 19 470

TOTAL 85 35 404 19 543

AUGUST 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE NUMBER OF




TOTAL

AGROPASTORAL

5 7 68 0 80

IRRIGATED 0 0 0 0 0


CROPPING


50 20 304 6 380

TOTAL 55 27 372 6 460

SEPTEMBER 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE NUMBER OF




TOTAL

AGROPASTORAL

6 12 37 0 55

IRRIGATED CROPPING

0 0 0 0 0


29 36 217 8 282

TOTAL 36 48 254 8 337

The volume of livestock sales Total decreased from last month. Sales for Cattle and Goats decreased while for Sheep and Camels increased slightly. This can be attributed to closure of livestock markets in Amaya and Marigat.

Pastoral all species livelihood zone had the highest sales as they have livestock as their main source of livelihood while Irrigated cropping livelihood zone had the lowest sales owing to fewer livestock in this zone and an outbreak of foot and mouth disease hence closure of livestock market (Marigat).

3.3 MILK CONSUMPTION LIVELIHOOD ZONE MILK CONS

MARCH 2014 MILK CONS APRIL 2014

MILK CONS MAY 2014

MILK CONS JUNE 2014

MILK CONS JULY 2014

MILK CONS AUGUST 2014

MILK CONS SEPTEMBER 2014

AGROPASTORAL 42 24 29 30 5 29 42


PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 158 142 121 102 174 208 249

AVERAGE 100 83 75 66 60 118.5 145.5

Milk consumption by household members increased in all livelihood zones. The average consumption increased from an average of 118.5 bottles to 145.5 bottles. The increase is attributed to slight increase in amount of milk. Milk consumption is highest in pastoral zone at 249 bottles compared to 42 in Agro pastoral and 0 in irrigated cropping.

CALVING AT HOUSEHOLD LEVEL.

JUNE 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE CATTLE BIRTHS CAMEL BIRTHS GOAT BIRTHS SHEEP BIRTHS

AGROPASTORAL 46 0 66 127 239

IRRIGATED CROPPING 13 0 50 45 108

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 160 27 301 853 1341

TOTAL 219 27 417 1025 1688

JULY 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE CATTLE BIRTHS CAMEL BIRTHS GOAT BIRTHS SHEEP BIRTHS




TOTAL 222 13 939 191 1365


AUGUST 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE CATTLE BIRTHS CAMEL BIRTHS GOAT BIRTHS SHEEP BIRTHS




TOTAL 169 34 969 250 1422

SEPTEMBER 2014 LIVELIHOOD ZONE CATTLE BIRTHS CAMEL BIRTHS GOAT BIRTHS SHEEP BIRTHS




TOTAL 201 52 820 225 1298

3.4 Crop prices (Market prices) 3.4.1 Maize FEBRUARY

2014 MARCH

2014 APRIL 2014

MAY 2014

JUNE 2014

JULY 2014

AUGUST 2014

SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF MAIZE

AVERAGE PRICE OF MAIZE







AGROPASTORAL 43.9 41.7 50 47.8 48.3 50 51.7 47.2

IRRIGATED CROPPING 40.0 43.3 43.3 45 0 43.3 45 0

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 59.6 55.2 52.9 54.2 61.5 56.5 55.2 49.4

AVERAGE 47.83 46.7 48.7 49 54.9 49.9 50.6 47.2

N = 480 HH

The average maize price per Kg during the month was Ksh 47.2, it decreased from that of August. The average price was more than the long term mean by 15.1 %.

Pastoral-all species livelihood zone had the highest average price of Kshs. 49.4 owing to erratic accessibility of the commodity in the local markets, due to non-availability of Maize in the zone. While irrigated cropping livelihood zone had the lowest price of Kshs. 47.2 owing to easy accessibility of the commodity in the local markets. The average maize price per kg is above normal.


3.4.2 Posho (maize meal)

MARCH


2014 SEPTEMBER

2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF POSHO

AVERAGE PRICE OF POSHO






AGROPASTORAL 51.1 55 57.2 58.3 58.6 60.8 58.9

IRRIGATED CROPPING 48.3 48.3 50 0 50 50 0

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 58.8 56 60.2 71.3 63.5 58.9 57.4

AVERAGE 52.73 53.1 55.8 64.8 57.4 56.6 55.4

The average price of Posho per Kg during the month was Ksh 55.4, A slight decrease from that of the previous month which was Ksh 56.6

Posho average prices were highest in the Agro - pastoral livelihood zone (Ksh 58.9) due to erratic availability of maize in the local markets while it was lowest in Pastoral - all species livelihood zone where it retailed for (Kshs 57.4) owing to easier availability in the local markets. The price of Posho is above normal compared to this time in a normal year.

3.4.3 Beans price (market price)


N = 480 HH MARCH

2014 APRIL 2014

MAY 2014 JUNE 2014 JULY 2014 AUGUST 2014

SEPTEMBER 2014

LIVELIHOOD ZONE AVERAGE PRICE OF BEANS

AVERAGE PRICE OF BEANS






AGROPASTORAL 106.7 110 108.3 116.7 112.2 105 102.5

IRRIGATED CROPPING 90 86.7 86.7 0 80 0 0

PASTORAL - ALL SPECIES 109.6 106.2 111.9 125.9 115.9 118.2 112.4

AVERAGE 102.10 101.6 102.3 121.3 102.7 111.6 107.5

The average price of beans per kg during the month was Kshs 107.5 Kshs 4.1 more than that of August.

Beans prices were highest in the Pastoral all species livelihood zone (Kshs. 112.4) due to erratic availability of the commodity in the local markets while it was lowest in the Agro-pastoral livelihood zone (Kshs. 102.5) owing to stable availability of the commodity in the local markets. Beans prices are above normal compared to this time in a normal year.

3.5 Income 3.5.1 Main source of income

The average daily wage rate per casual for the month was Kshs. 161, Kshs. Same as that of August 2014.

Agro pastoral livelihood zone had the highest wage rate of Kshs 173, while Pastoral livelihood zone had the lowest wage rate of Kshs 149.

Most of the trade in charcoal, wood products and petty trading was recorded in Pastoral- all species livelihood zone, this clearly brings out unavailability substantial income from livestock sales for the households in this zone as much as they are more involved in sale of livestock as a source of income compared to the other livelihood zones.

There was a noted decrease in trade of livestock from 26% to 25% and increase in sale of charcoal from 17% to 19%.

N = 480 HH

3.5.2 Livestock income There was a decrease in income from Livestock sales compared to that of August. It decreased from 26% to 25%. Pastoral-all species livelihood zone had the highest livestock income due to high number of animals sold in the markets, while it was lowest in Irrigated cropping livelihood


zone owing to reduced activity and closure of Marigat livestock market due to Quarantine for FMD. Irrigated livelihood zone also have few animals and don’t sell them often.

3.5.3 Other sources of income

Sale of honey, charcoal and selling fish were the other sources of income during the month with approximately a fraction of the household’s members sampled engaged as fishermen around Lake Baringo (Komolion community), Tangulbei division and honey sellers in a wide area of the three livelihood zones, however, there is very little honey at the moment due to the dry spell. It is noted that there was an increase in number of people selling charcoal.

3.6 Terms of trade (cereal - meat price ratio % - purchasing power) - (market based)

N = 480 HH

Terms of trade was above the long-term mean by 8.2%. The price ratio was highest in Agro-pastoral livelihood zone (68%). This is due to uncertainty due to decrease in agricultural produce and increase in food prices.

3.7 Implications on food security The improving prices of livestock has brought some hope to people. There is slight improve in purchasing power. Pastoral-all species livelihood zone needs attention owing to low animal prices obtained compared to high prices incurred to purchase cereals.

4. Utilization of Food 4.1 Nutrition status (children at risk of getting malnutrition)


N = 2,267 children

SENTINEL SITE JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPT TREND MUAC

SEPTEMBER BREAKDOWN

MUAC <115

MUAC 115-124

MUAC 125-134

TOTAL

AKORET 37.2 11.8 19 14.9 ↓ AKORET 0 0 21 141

ENDAO 21.8 22.4 9.7 10.9 ↑ ENDAO 0 1 11 110

KAPENGURIA 21.6 15.6 42.8 47.6 ↑ KAPENGURIA 4 32 33 145

KAPTUIYA 13.9 11.8 7.7 12.1 ↑ KAPTUIYA 0 0 14 116

KAPUNYANY 19.3 6.3 6.1 8.2 ↑ KAPUNYANY 0 0 11 134

KATIKIT 14.1 33 30.3 27.3 ↓ KATIKIT 0 8 31 143

KINYACH 9.2 6.9 8.3 15.8 ↑ KINYACH 0 0 25 158

KISERIAN 8.3 18.9 15.5 15.7 ↑ KISERIAN 0 1 20 134

KOLLOA 20.7 24.8 27.7 23.8 ↓ KOLLOA 2 2 25 122

KOMOLION 33.6 34.3 30.6 33.1 ↑ KOMOLION 0 7 43 151

LOIWAT 16 25.7 29 8.6 ↓ LOIWAT 0 3 10 151

MARON 11.7 24.3 36.4 34 ↓ MARON 0 5 44 144

NAKOKO 13 10.1 9 9.7 ↑ NAKOKO 0 1 14 154

NGAMBO 0.9 11.9 8.2 9.2 ↑ NGAMBO 1 1 8 109

ORUS 7 5.6 6.9 9 ↑ ORUS 0 0 13 145

YATYA 15.3 17.6 19.5 18.9 ↓ YATYA 0 1 24 132

AVERAGE 16.5 17.6 19.2 18.7 TOTAL 7 62 347 2189

There is slight overall improvement in Mid Upper Arm Circumference (MUAC) from 19.2% in August to 18.7% in September; however Kapenguria area is still leading with 47.6% an increase from 42.8% last month and this is as a result of severe malaria cases of children and inaccessibility of milk since animals have migrated downwards towards Kainuk in search of pasture. Loiwat area reported a sharp decrease from 8.3% last month to 15.8% reason being good pasture and browse have increased the accessibility among children less than 5 years in the area. NB; Malaria cases


were reported in almost all sentinels sites, therefore action needs to be taken to control the outbreaks The average September MUAC level was 18.7, 0.5 less than that of August. The level of malnutrition went above the long term mean by 0.7 which is 3.8%. The nutritional status of the children shown by the percentage, in the sampled areas slightly improved during the month. From the pattern, there is a steady increase since June. This is not in tandem with milk production and consumption however there is still reduced availability of food at the household level especially in the Pastoral livelihood zone. The number of children with MUAC 135mm and below increased from 425 in July to 347 in September. Malnutrition levels.

Kapenguria = 42.8%, Kiserian = 15.5%, Kolloa = 27.7%, Komolion = 30.6%, Loiwat = 29.0%, Maron = 36.4%, Katikit = 30.3% and Yatya = 19.5%.

MUAC, the county’s average MUAC is above long term average at this time of the year.

There were 7 children with MUAC below 115 ie 4 Kapenguria and 2 Kolloa and 1 in Ngambo. The number has increased from 2 to 4 in Kapenguria and from 1 to 2 in Kolloa.

4.2 Health

Unstable food security and to low production of milk from the animals as a result of

insufficient forage and deteriorating health of the animals.

There is a general food insufficiency at the household level arising from high food

commodity prices that has rendered some households unable to meet their daily needs.

4.3 Flagged areas

Sentinel sites with high MUAC levels which is an indication of Nutritional levels that need

to be addressed with particular attention to Kapenguria!

Poor sanitation and hygiene levels need to be addressed.

Food insecurity. – Lack of food at household level especially in Pastoral livelihood zone.

Kolloa, Katikit, Komolion, Yatya, and Kapenguria have many indicators showing that the

situation is not good, from high cereal prices, poor cattle, goat and sheep prices.

5. SECURITY

There were 3 people killed and 15 injured in separate events in Kapedo, this arose from

clan/ tribal animosity also linked to resource sharing conflict.

Current intervention measures

5.1 Non-food interventions

Vaccination of Livestock.

Water tanks for schools hit by lack of water.

Promotion of drought tolerant crops (THVC).

Water harvesting for crop production (water pans)


5.3 Other coping strategies and Response mechanisms. The coping mechanisms employed by the vulnerable population cutting across all the livelihood zones during the month were borrowing food from relatives, Reduction in size of meals & skipping some, purchase food on credit. This was employed by 68% and increase from last month’s 67%, of the sampled households while only 25 % of the households sold their livestock. Compared to the previous month, the number of people selling livestock decreased.

Attempt to destock through commercial sales: depressed prices undermining this effort:

6. Recommendations i. There is need for provision of water services, repair of boreholes, protection of springs etc.

especially in areas hit by water shortage.

ii. Residents in conflict/ cattle rustling prone areas need more security personnel deployed

especially at a time when there may be increased conflict for resources like water and

grazing land. Residents request for increased security and surveillance however say that

there is very slow response from the government.

iii. The Health/Nutritional sector working committee to establish criteria for geographical and

beneficiary targeting and integrate to the four established food and nutritional programs

(facility based SFP, School Meals Programme, FFA, and GFD by Presidency)

iv. There is a request from the Nutrition sector to have MUAC/ Nutrition monthly monitoring

done in Mulok, Mugurin and Kisanana in Mogotio Sub-county and Esageri and Bondeni in

Koibatek. These can be taken up as part of the NDMA Monthly monitoring and supported

by partners / Stakeholders in the county.

Warning Stages NORMAL: Environmental, Livestock and pastoral welfare indicators show no unusual fluctuations and

remain in the expected seasonal range. ALERT: Environmental indicators show unusual fluctuations outside expected seasonal ranges.

This occurs within the entire county, or within localized regions; OR: Asset levels of households are still too low to provide an adequate subsistence level and

vulnerability to food insecurity is still high. ALARM: Environmental and livestock/agricultural indicators fluctuate outside expected seasonal

ranges, affecting the local economy. This condition occurs in most parts of the county, and directly and indirectly threatens food security of pastoralists and/or agro-pastoralists.

EMERGENCY: All indicators are fluctuating outside normal ranges. Local production systems are

collapsed as well as the dominant economy within the county. This situation affects the asset status and purchasing power of the population to an extent that welfare levels have been seriously worsened resulting in famine threat.

national drought management authority baringo …

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