national construction vital statistics

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Construction Vital Statistics Page 1 of 2 June 2014 July 2014 Aug. 2014 Sept. 2014 Oct. 2014 Construction Backlog Indicator (Months) Current Backlog 8.5 2nd Qtr. 8.8 3rd Qtr. Backlog from a year ago 8.2 8.2 (Associated Builders & Contractors) 1 Construction Owner Confidence Index Sales Expectations 68.2 1st half '14 Profit Margin Expectations 60.0 StaffingLevel Intentions 65.0 (Associated Builders & Contractors) National Unemployment Rate Overall current month 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8% Overall year over year 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% Construction current month 8.2% 7.5% 7.7% 7.0% 6.4% Construction year over year 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 9.0% (Bureau of Labor Statistics - BLS) Housing Permits and Starts National Permits - Total -4.2% 8.1% -5.6% 1.5% 4.8% Permits - Total from twelve months earlier 2.7% 7.7% 5.3% 2.5% 1.2% 1 - Family - change from previous month 2.6% 0.9% -0.8% -0.5% 1.4% 1 - Family - change year over year 0.6% 3.9% -0.8% 1.1% 2.4% 5 + Units - change from previous month -17.1% 23.6% -13.4% 7.0% 8.0% 5 + Units - change year over year 6.7% 15.4% 17.5% 6.3% -1.5% Starts - Total -9.3% 15.7% -14.4% 6.3% -2.8% Starts - Total from twelve months earlier 7.5% 21.7% 8.0% 17.8% 7.8% 1 - Family - change from previous month -9.0% 8.3% -2.4% 1.1% 4.2% 1 - Family - changeyear over year -4.3% 10.1% 4.2% 11.0% 15.4% 5 + Units - change from previous month -11.3% 33.0% -31.5% 18.5% -15.5% 5 + Units - change year over year 39.3% 49.5% 19.2% 30.3% -6.8% (U.S Census Bureau & Dept. of Housing and Urban Dev) Nonresidential Construction Material Prices

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Page 1: National Construction Vital Statistics

Construction Vital Statistics Page 1 of 2

June 2014 July 2014 Aug. 2014 Sept. 2014 Oct. 2014Construction Backlog Indicator (Months)               Current Backlog  8.5 2nd Qtr. 8.8 3rd Qtr.     Backlog from a year ago 8.2 8.2   (Associated Builders & Contractors)          

1 Construction Owner Confidence Index         Sales Expectations 68.2 1st half '14         Profit Margin Expectations 60.0         StaffingLevel Intentions 65.0     (Associated Builders & Contractors)          National Unemployment Rate           Overall current month 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 5.9% 5.8%       Overall year over year 7.5% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%   Construction current month 8.2% 7.5% 7.7% 7.0% 6.4%       Construction year over year 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 9.0%       (Bureau of Labor Statistics - BLS)        Housing Permits and Starts         National           Permits - Total -4.2% 8.1% -5.6% 1.5% 4.8%   Permits - Total from twelve months earlier 2.7% 7.7% 5.3% 2.5% 1.2%          1 - Family - change from previous month 2.6% 0.9% -0.8% -0.5% 1.4%          1 - Family - change year over year 0.6% 3.9% -0.8% 1.1% 2.4%          5  +  Units - change from previous month -17.1% 23.6% -13.4% 7.0% 8.0%          5  +  Units - change year over year 6.7% 15.4% 17.5% 6.3% -1.5%   Starts - Total -9.3% 15.7% -14.4% 6.3% -2.8%   Starts - Total from twelve months earlier 7.5% 21.7% 8.0% 17.8% 7.8%          1 - Family - change from previous month -9.0% 8.3% -2.4% 1.1% 4.2%          1 - Family - changeyear over year -4.3% 10.1% 4.2% 11.0% 15.4%          5  +  Units - change from previous month -11.3% 33.0% -31.5% 18.5% -15.5%          5  +  Units - change year over year 39.3% 49.5% 19.2% 30.3% -6.8%  

(U.S Census Bureau & Dept. of Housing and Urban Dev)    Nonresidential Construction Material Prices               Current Month  0.1% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% -1.1%       Change year over year 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5%   (Producer Price Index - PPI)          Nonresidential Construction Spending               Current Month  1.1% May-14 -2.8% Jun-14 2.5% Jul-14 -1.2% Aug-14 -1.0% Sep-14     Change year over year 6.4% 4.6% 8.6% 6.0% 4.2%   (U.S. Census Bureau)            

Page 2: National Construction Vital Statistics

Construction Vital Statistics (cont.)Page 2 of 2

June 2014 July 2014 Aug. 2014 Sept. 2014 Oct. 2014

2 AIA - Architecture Billing Index 53.5 55.8 53.0 55.2 53.7  

3 Dodge Momentum Index - Commercial Building 142.0 128.3 122.1 121.1 130.2  

4 Interest Rates            

     I-Month LIBOR 0.1524% 0.1544% 0.1560% 0.1541% 0.1535%  

     WSJ Prime Rate  3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25% 3.25%  

     5 Year US Treasury Rate 1.60% 1.66% 1.69% 1.38% 1.66%  

    10 Year US Treasury Rate 2.54% 2.58% 2.42% 2.16% 2.63%  

           

1 Reading above 50 indicate growth, while readings below 50 are unfavorable

2 Any Architecture Billing Index Score above 50 signifies growth - it is a leading economic indicator that provides an approximately

nine to 12 month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction spending activity.

3 It is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to

lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. Since reaching bottom in July 2011 at a level of 77.1 (2000=100),

the index has been trending up.

4 Rates as of mid month.