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NASA RESEARCH PRIORITIES NASA RESEARCH PRIORITIES SCIENTIFIC RETURN SCIENTIFIC RETURN Aquarius Science Goal To understand the regional and global processes that couple changes in the water cycle and ocean circulation and influence present and future climate. Science Objectives: Seasonal cycle & year-to-year variability Discovery & Exploration Salinity mapping of unmeasured regions & features unknown to science Water Cycle Salinity response to surface water fluxes Ocean Circulation & Climate Tropics Climate feedback processes, El Niño, La Niña Mid-Latitudes Subduction and mode water formation High-Latitudes Deep water formation processes Aquarius Measurement Objectives: Resolve key ocean and climate phenomena at 100 km and larger spatial scales, monthly and longer time scales. Earth System Variability & Trends: How are global precipitation, evaporation, and the cycling of water changing? Earth System Responses & Feedback Processes: How can climate variations induce changes in the global ocean circulation? Global Water Cycle Precipitation Evaporation Ice Freeze/Melt Land Runoff Change Change Water Flux Water Flux Seawater Density Seawater Density Impact Impact Ocean Circulation Surface Height Barrier Layers El Niño/La Niña Thermohaline Flow Changes in global ocean circulation and heat transport have lasting climate impact Changes in global ocean circulation and heat transport have lasting climate impact 86% of evaporation & 78% of precipitation occur over the ocean, dominating the water cycle 86% of evaporation & 78% of precipitation occur over the ocean, dominating the water cycle Aquarius Salinity Measurements Will Provide the Missing Parameter that Links Two Major Climate System Components: Aquarius Sea Surface Salinity (SSS) Salinity responds to changes in the surface water fluxes and, in turn, alters the surface density field that drives ocean currents Observing ocean salinity is the only way to measure how water cycle changes effect the ocean & its circulation Measured in practical salinity units (PSU) Aquarius will show details of global SSS variability, shown with this March-April-May map from an ocean model. Compare with lower map that shows all historical data for March-April- May. Aquarius will aid understanding of: • Seasonal cycle & mixing in climate models • Salinity transport by currents • Ocean state & freshwater budget • SSS impact on tropical climate models & El Niño • SSS impact on ocean subsurface dynamics • Ice-ocean interaction • Processes that keep the Atlantic relatively salty Surface salinity is linked to the water cycle: Mean SSS is highest where evaporation exceeds precipitation (E-P >0), and is lowest where there is excess precipitation, especially in the tropics (PSU) It’s the right time for Aquarius: • Global array of profiling floats will follow surface salinity and density response at depth Aquarius will complete a satellite-based climate observing system (i.e., rain, wind, sea level, sea surface temperature) SSS (PSU) E - P (m/yr)

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NASA RESEARCH PRIORITIESNASA RESEARCH PRIORITIES SCIENTIFIC RETURNSCIENTIFIC RETURN

Aquarius Science Goal – To understand the regional and global processesthat couple changes in the water cycle and ocean circulation and influence

present and future climate.

Aquarius Science Goal – To understand the regional and global processesthat couple changes in the water cycle and ocean circulation and influence

present and future climate.

Science Objectives:Seasonal cycle & year-to-yearvariabilityDiscovery & Exploration Salinity mapping of unmeasuredregions & features unknown to scienceWater CycleSalinity response to surface water fluxesOcean Circulation & Climate• Tropics Climate feedback processes,El Niño, La Niña• Mid-Latitudes Subduction andmode water formation• High-Latitudes Deep waterformation processes

Science Objectives:Seasonal cycle & year-to-yearvariabilityDiscovery & Exploration Salinity mapping of unmeasuredregions & features unknown to scienceWater CycleSalinity response to surface water fluxesOcean Circulation & Climate• Tropics Climate feedback processes,El Niño, La Niña• Mid-Latitudes Subduction andmode water formation• High-Latitudes Deep waterformation processes

Aquarius Measurement Objectives:Resolve key ocean and climate

phenomena at 100 km and larger spatialscales, monthly and longer time scales.

Aquarius Measurement Objectives:Resolve key ocean and climate

phenomena at 100 km and larger spatialscales, monthly and longer time scales.

Earth System Variability &Trends: How are global

precipitation, evaporation, and thecycling of water changing?

Earth System Variability &Trends: How are global

precipitation, evaporation, and thecycling of water changing?

Earth System Responses & FeedbackProcesses: How can climate variations

induce changes in the global oceancirculation?

Earth System Responses & FeedbackProcesses: How can climate variations

induce changes in the global oceancirculation?

Global Water CyclePrecipitationEvaporation

Ice Freeze/MeltLand Runoff

Global Water CyclePrecipitationEvaporation

Ice Freeze/MeltLand Runoff

ChangeChange

Water FluxWater Flux SeawaterDensity

SeawaterDensity

ImpactImpact

Ocean CirculationSurface HeightBarrier Layers

El Niño/La NiñaThermohaline Flow

Ocean CirculationSurface HeightBarrier Layers

El Niño/La NiñaThermohaline Flow

Changes in global oceancirculation and heat transporthave lasting climate impact

Changes in global oceancirculation and heat transporthave lasting climate impact

86% of evaporation & 78% of precipitation occurover the ocean, dominating

the water cycle

86% of evaporation & 78% of precipitation occurover the ocean, dominating

the water cycle

Aquarius Salinity Measurements Will Provide the Missing Parameter thatLinks Two Major Climate System Components:

Aquarius Salinity Measurements Will Provide the Missing Parameter thatLinks Two Major Climate System Components:

AquariusSea Surface

Salinity (SSS)

• Salinity responds to changes in the surface water fluxes and, in turn, alters thesurface density field that drives ocean currents• Observing ocean salinity is the only way to measure how water cycle changeseffect the ocean & its circulation

• Salinity responds to changes in the surface water fluxes and, in turn, alters thesurface density field that drives ocean currents• Observing ocean salinity is the only way to measure how water cycle changeseffect the ocean & its circulation

Measured in practical salinity units (PSU)

Aquarius will show details ofglobal SSS variability, shown withthis March-April-May map froman ocean model. Compare with

lower map that shows allhistorical data for March-April-

May.

Aquarius will show details ofglobal SSS variability, shown withthis March-April-May map froman ocean model. Compare with

lower map that shows allhistorical data for March-April-

May.

Aquarius will aidunderstanding of:

•Seasonal cycle & mixing inclimate models

•Salinity transport by currents•Ocean state & freshwaterbudget

•SSS impact on tropical climatemodels & El Niño

•SSS impact on oceansubsurface dynamics

•Ice-ocean interaction•Processes that keep theAtlantic relatively salty

Aquarius will aidunderstanding of:

•Seasonal cycle & mixing inclimate models

•Salinity transport by currents•Ocean state & freshwaterbudget

•SSS impact on tropical climatemodels & El Niño

•SSS impact on oceansubsurface dynamics

•Ice-ocean interaction•Processes that keep theAtlantic relatively salty

Surface salinity is linked tothe water cycle: Mean SSS is

highest where evaporationexceeds precipitation (E-P >0),

and is lowest where there isexcess precipitation, especially

in the tropics

Surface salinity is linked tothe water cycle: Mean SSS is

highest where evaporationexceeds precipitation (E-P >0),

and is lowest where there isexcess precipitation, especially

in the tropics

(PSU)

It’s the right time forAquarius:

•Global array of profilingfloats will follow surfacesalinity and densityresponse at depth

•Aquarius will complete asatellite-based climateobserving system (i.e.,rain, wind, sea level, seasurface temperature)

It’s the right time forAquarius:

•Global array of profilingfloats will follow surfacesalinity and densityresponse at depth

•Aquarius will complete asatellite-based climateobserving system (i.e.,rain, wind, sea level, seasurface temperature)

SSS (PSU)

E - P (m/yr)