nanometrics investor presentation -...
TRANSCRIPT
Nanometrics Investor Presentation
Needham 16th Annual Growth Conference
Timothy J. Stultz, President and CEO
January 16, 2014
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Forward-Looking Statements
This communication contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to statements regarding Nanometrics’ (“us” “our” or
“the Company”) future financial results, including, but not limited to our market share; industry demand and growth.
These statements are not guarantees of future performance, involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are
difficult to predict, and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Therefore, actual
outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed herein. In any forward-looking statement in which
Nanometrics expresses an expectation or belief as to future results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith
and believed to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that the result will be achieved. The risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: our ability to achieve desired product mix and pricing; our ability to achieve
desired market position; growth in target industries; levels of capital expenditures in our target industries; customer
adoption of certain technologies; market acceptance and timing of acceptance of our new products; interruptions or
changes to supply chain; our ability to identify, complete and integrate acquisitions; and other economic, business,
competitive and/or regulatory factors affecting Nanometrics’ businesses generally, including those set forth in
Nanometrics’ filings with the SEC, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for its most recent fiscal year, its most recent
Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and its Current Reports on Form 8-K. All forward-looking statements included in this
communication are based on information available to Nanometrics on the date hereof. We disclaim any intent or
obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events, or
otherwise.
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Flagship Products:
Industry-Leading
and Highly
Differentiated
NANO: Leading Solutions for In-Line Process Control
Non-Destructive, Optical Technologies Ellipsometry Scatterometry Interferometry Photoluminescence Inspection
Atlas / Lynx
Addressing Leading-Edge
Applications and Critical
Technology Inflection Points
SPARK NanoCD UniFire IMPULSE
3D Device Structures: FinFET / V-NAND /
Advanced Packaging
Complex Lithography: Multiple Patterning / EUV
Advanced Materials: High-K / Metal Gates
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2013 Key Initiatives
FinFET OCD Proliferation
V-NAND Penetration
Advanced 3D Packaging Adoption
Increase Foundry Penetration
Selections, Qualifications or Tool-of-Record
Achievements
Expanded to 3 Key Accounts
3 Atlas OCD Accounts
1 IMPULSE Account
Expanded to 7 UniFire Accounts and 2 SPARK Accounts
Expanded to 4 Atlas OCD Accounts and 3 UniFire Accounts
1 IMPULSE Account
Initiatives and Tailwinds Exiting 2013
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Increased Penetration into Pure-Play Foundry
Portion of NANO Foundry Revenues Serving Pure-Play Foundries
FY '11
Pure-Play Foundry
Other Foundry
FY '12
Pure-Play Foundry
Other Foundry Pure-Play
Foundry
Other Foundry
FY '13 [Outlook]
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3D Technologies Driving Growth Opportunities
Node Shrinks Continue
FinFET Memory Density Increasing
V-NAND 3-D Device Integration
Advanced Packaging Foundry Penetration
3D on all
Roadmaps
For 16nm
and below
Expanded Role of Integrated Metrology
CMP
Lithography
Etch
Deposition
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V-NAND Transition Drives Increased Demand for Process Control
Samsung – August 2013
Flash Memory Summit
■ V-NAND Architecture Enables:
– Scalable bit density
– Lower power consumption
– Higher data rates
– Lower cost/bit
■ Process Implications:
– ~20% increase in process
steps favoring:
• Deposition
• Etch
• Process control
– V-NAND enabling architecture
steps are OCD-controlled:
• Many layer etch
• High aspect ratio structures
– V-NAND extensions drive
additional control:
• 24 layer – Now
• 32 layer – 2015
• 48 layer – Future
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All Leading-Edge Logic is Converting to FinFET
■ Market Drivers:
– Increasing adoption at Foundry
– Product design wins ramping
for market
– Technology integration in 2014
– Production ramps in 2015
■ Process Implications:
– FF process flow is more
complex than planar
– 3D architecture poses complex
metrology challenges
– Increasing reliance on OCD for
critical layer process control
Samsung Analyst Day – 2013
ARM TechCon 2013
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NANO is the Leader in OCD Solutions for FinFET
ATLAS II+ – Process Control for
all Critical Steps
– Fab Deployment:
• Transistor
• Lithography
• Contact
• BEOL
10nm: Replacement Channel Future: NanoWire
16/14nm: FinFET
IMPULSE – Integrated Solutions
for Critical Lot and
Wafer-to-Wafer Control
– Fab Deployment:
• CMP
• Track
• Etch Lithograpy: (Track) Gate Etch:
(Critical Etch) Metal CMP:
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Accelerating Adoption of OCD at the Leading Edge
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
YE 2009 YE 2010 YE 2011 YE 2012 YE 2013
NA
NO
Pro
du
ctio
n O
CD
Re
cip
es
4X nm 37 %
3X nm 50 %
2X nm 102 %
1X nm 185 %
CAGR by node:
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Device
Type Node
Sampling
Steps/
Parameters
Relative
Intensity
(current node)
Segment
Opportunity/
10K wspm
NAND 1X/1Y 10/5 1.0 $4M - $6M
VNAND 1X 12/5 1.1 $5M - $7M
DRAM 3X/2X 20/5 1.2 $5M - $8M
FOUNDRY 2X/2Y 20/10 1.6 $6M - $10M
FOUNDRY 1X/1Y 25/10 2.0 $8M - $12M
LOGIC 2Y/1X 30/10 2.4 $10M - $15M
OCD: Key Enabling Technology for All Device Types
Source: Company Estimates wspm: wafer starts per month capacity
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Expanding Role of Advanced Process Control (APC)
Metrology Data
Feedback Loop
■ APC Drives Increased
Opportunity for:
– Standalone Systems
– Integrated Thin Film & OCD
– In-Situ Thin Film Systems
Adoption of In-line,
Integrated & In-Situ
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Advanced 3D Packaging – An Emerging Market
■ Advanced Packaging Enables:
– Higher performance
– Lower power consumption
– Smaller form factor
Interposer / 2.5D
3D Stacked Die
Multi-Die Package
■ Metrology Opportunities:
– High value point in process
sequence requires ~ 100%
inspection – either full wafer or
field-by-field
– UniFire qualified for TSV and
micro-pillar applications
– SPARK qualified for wafer bond
uniformity applications
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TSV Formation
Backside TSV Reveal &
Passivation
Cu Pillar Formation
Wafer Thinning
µBump De-Bonding
SPARK 3D Stacking
UniFire + SPARK: The Complete Solution
– Backside processing
– De-bonding
– Edge trim, glue
dispense
– Temporary bonding
integrity
– Post-thinning
inspection
– De-bonding residuals
Wafer to Carrier
Bonding
UniFire – TSV and µBump
– Via lithography
metrology
– Via etch critical
dimension/depth
– Bump topography
– Wafer-wafer overlay
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Positive Spending Environment Entering 2014
$34.8 $24.0 $13.2 $30.2 $33.7 $29.1 $28.9 $33.0 $0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Est.
Wafer Fab Equipment Spending (WFE) $B
Source: Average WFE estimate from at least 10 industry analysts as of December 2013.
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Rapid Consolidation of Semiconductor Capital Spending
Source: Capex by company obtained from press releases, SEC filings and conference call transcripts. Total Capex for
each period is an average from at least 10 industry analysts as of December 2013.
3%
10% 5% 6%
11%
9% 18% 18% 4%
14%
19% 22%
6%
4%
12%
19%
76%
63%
45%
35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2000 2007 2011 2014 Est
All Others
TSMC
Samsung
Intel
SK Hynix
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0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11 Q3'11 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13
Samsung Qtrly Capex % of Total Spent NANO Revs Rec'd from Samsung as % of 4yr Total
Process Control Spending Patterns During Investment
Cycle Drive Underperform/Outperform Periods
Quarterly Revenues from Samsung and Samsung Capex (Each as a % of Total Across 3 Year Cycle) Calculated as Rolling Average of Current Quarter, Last Quarter, Forward Quarter
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Several Quarters of Sequential Revenue Growth Expected
$ in
Mill
ion
s
* Midpoint of Q4’13 revenue and non-GAAP gross margin guidance provided as of October 29, 2013. ** Non-GAAP gross margin excludes Amortization of Intangible Assets and, for Q3’13, certain E&O charges. A non-GAAP reconciliation is attached to this presentation and also is available at www.nanometrics.com.
Gro
ss Margin
%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
$-
$5.0
$10.0
$15.0
$20.0
$25.0
$30.0
$35.0
$40.0
$45.0
$50.0
$55.0
Q4'12 Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13
Midpoint *
Revenues Non-GAAP GM% ** Product GM% Service GM%
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Outperformance Period Currently Underway
Strong Growth Trajectory Entering 2014
Significant Achievements and Tailwinds Exiting 2013
Technology Changes Driving Growth Opportunities
OCD Leadership Position and Increasing Industry Adoption
Expanding Penetration into Foundry
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Revenue Segmentation Reflects Concentration of Spending
25%
40% 0
11%
25%
South Korea N. America EMEA ROW
Total Revenues
by Geography Q3 ‘13
44%
24% 0
0
32%
South Korea N. America ROW
59% 11%
7%
23%
Automated Integrated Mat. Char. Service
65% 7%
7%
21%
Automated Integrated Mat. Char. Service
Total Revenues
by Product/Svc
8%
29%
40%
14%
9%
DRAM Flash Logic/IDM Foundry LED/Discrete/Si
10%
27%
32%
23%
7%
DRAM Flash Logic/IDM Foundry LED/Discrete/Si
Product Revenues
by End Market
FY 2012
Mat. Char. = Materials Characterization Metrology Systems