nan yeld , robert prince and alan cliff 22 nd september

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"The National Benchmark Tests Project: what is it, what can it tell us, and in what ways does this information add to or challenge that provided by the National Senior Certificate?" Nan Yeld, Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd September

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"The National Benchmark Tests Project: what is it, what can it tell us, and in what ways does this information add to or challenge that provided by the National Senior Certificate? ". Nan Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd September. Three measures. Numbers admitted in each category - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

"The National Benchmark Tests Project: what is it, what can it tell us, and in what ways does this information add to or

challenge that provided by the National Senior Certificate?"

Nan Yeld, Robert Prince and Alan Cliff

22nd September

Page 2: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Three measures

• Numbers admitted in each category– Student profile in course (indication of need)

• Performance in each category– Probability of passing if in that category

• Odds – Probability of a pass over probability of a fail

Page 3: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Profile

MAM1010FAdmit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 2 8 10Intermediate Bottom 0 0 11 67 78Intermediate Top 0 0 9 155 164Proficient 0 0 0 66 66

0 0 22 296 318

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

Page 4: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Pass (at 50%) rate

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [296] COM

Basic [10] No Passes 0.3 20%Intermediate Bottom [78] 0.3 0.7 60%Intermediate Top [164] 0.9 0.8 83%Proficient [66] 0.9 94%

50% 80% 78%NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 5: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Pass/Fail (at 50%) ratio

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [296] COM

Basic [10] 0.0 0.3 0.3Intermediate Bottom [78] 0.4 1.9 1.5Intermediate Top [164] 8.0 4.7 4.9Proficient [66] 15.5 15.5

1.0 3.9 3.5NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 6: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Maths vs NBT QLMAM1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 1 8 9Intermediate Bottom 0 0 1 26 27Intermediate Top 0 0 9 76 85Proficient 0 0 11 189 200

0 0 22 299 321

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [299] COM

Basic [9] No Passes 0.5 44%Intermediate Bottom [27] No Passes 0.7 67%Intermediate Top [85] 0.4 0.7 66%Proficient [200] 0.6 0.9 85%

50% 79% 77%

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [299] COM

Basic [9] 0.0 1.0 0.8Intermediate Bottom [27] 0.0 2.3 2.0Intermediate Top [85] 0.8 2.2 1.9Proficient [200] 1.8 6.3 5.7

1.0 3.8 3.4

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NSC Mathematics Level

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 7: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Maths vs NBT AL MAM1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 0 1 1Intermediate Bottom 0 0 0 7 7Intermediate Top 0 0 0 27 27Proficient 0 0 22 264 286

0 0 22 299 321

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [299] COM

Basic [1] 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [7] 0.9 86%Intermediate Top [27] 0.7 67%Proficient [286] 0.5 0.8 78%

50% 79% 77%

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [0] 6 [22] 7 [299] COM

Basic [1] No FailsIntermediate Bottom [7] 6.0 6.0Intermediate Top [27] 2.0 2.0Proficient [286] 1.0 4.1 3.5

1.0 3.8 3.4

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

AL L

EVEL

N

BT A

L LEV

ELN

BT A

L LEV

EL

NSC Mathematics Level

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 8: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Eng HL vs NBT Maths MAM1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 1 3 5 9Intermediate Bottom 0 12 30 31 73Intermediate Top 1 19 78 66 164Proficient 0 0 27 39 66

1 32 138 141 312

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [1] 5 [32] 6 [138] 7 [141] COM

Basic [9] No Passes No Passes 0.4 22%Intermediate Bottom [73] 0.8 0.6 0.5 59%Intermediate Top [164] 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 83%Proficient [66] 0.9 1.0 94%

100% 88% 75% 78% 78%

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [1] 5 [32] 6 [138] 7 [141] COM

Basic [9] 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3Intermediate Bottom [73] 3.0 1.5 1.1 1.4Intermediate Top [164] No Fails No Fails 3.9 4.5 4.9Proficient [66] 8.0 38.0 15.5

7.0 3.1 3.5 3.5

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 9: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Eng HL vs NBT QLMAM1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 1 5 1 7Intermediate Bottom 0 7 8 8 23Intermediate Top 0 10 39 36 85Proficient 1 15 87 97 200

1 33 139 142 315

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [1] 5 [33] 6 [139] 7 [142] COM

Basic [7] 1.0 0.4 No Passes 43%Intermediate Bottom [23] 0.7 0.9 0.4 65%Intermediate Top [85] 0.9 0.6 0.7 66%Proficient [200] 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 85%

100% 85% 76% 77% 77%

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [1] 5 [33] 6 [139] 7 [142] COM

Basic [7] No Fails 0.7 0.0 0.8Intermediate Bottom [23] 2.5 7.0 0.6 1.9Intermediate Top [85] 9.0 1.3 2.3 1.9Proficient [200] No Fails 6.5 5.7 5.5 5.7

5.6 3.1 3.4 3.4

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 10: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

MAM1010F NSC Eng HL vs NBT AL MAM1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 1 0 1Intermediate Bottom 0 2 3 0 5Intermediate Top 0 5 12 8 25Proficient 1 26 123 134 284

1 33 139 142 315

MAM1010FPass rate 4 [1] 5 [33] 6 [139] 7 [142] COM

Basic [1] 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [5] 1.0 0.7 80%Intermediate Top [25] 1.0 0.6 0.6 68%Proficient [284] 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 78%

100% 85% 76% 77% 77%

MAM1010FPass/Fail 4 [1] 5 [33] 6 [139] 7 [142] COM

Basic [1] No FailsIntermediate Bottom [5] No Fails 2.0 4.0Intermediate Top [25] No Fails 1.4 1.7 2.1Proficient [284] No Fails 4.2 3.4 3.6 3.6

5.6 3.1 3.4 3.4

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

AL L

EVEL

N

BT A

L LEV

ELN

BT A

L LEV

EL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 11: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Profile

ECO1010FAdmit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 1 4 9 14Intermediate Bottom 0 1 20 110 131Intermediate Top 0 0 16 235 251Proficient 0 0 0 135 135

0 2 40 489 531

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

Page 12: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Pass rate

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [489] COM

Basic [14] No Passes 1.0 0.7 71%Intermediate Bottom [131] 1.0 0.7 0.8 82%Intermediate Top [251] 0.9 0.9 94%Proficient [135] 1.0 99%

50% 80% 93% 92%NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 13: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Maths vs NBT Maths Pass/Fail ratio

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [489] COM

Basic [14] 0.0 No Fails 2.0 2.5Intermediate Bottom [131] No Fails 2.3 5.5 4.7Intermediate Top [251] 7.0 15.8 14.7Proficient [135] 66.5 66.5

1.0 4.0 12.6 10.8NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 14: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Maths vs NBT QLECO1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 2 14 16Intermediate Bottom 0 1 4 39 44Intermediate Top 0 1 17 118 136Proficient 0 0 17 320 337

0 2 40 491 533

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [491] COM

Basic [16] 1.0 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [44] No Passes 0.8 0.8 77%Intermediate Top [136] 1.0 0.6 0.8 82%Proficient [337] 1.0 1.0 96%

50% 80% 92% 91%

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [491] COM

Basic [16] No Fails No FailsIntermediate Bottom [44] 0.0 3.0 3.9 3.4Intermediate Top [136] No Fails 1.4 5.6 4.4Proficient [337] No Fails 23.6 24.9

1.0 4.0 11.6 10.1

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NSC Mathematics Level

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 15: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Maths vs NBT AL ECO1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 0 1 1Intermediate Bottom 0 0 1 11 12Intermediate Top 0 1 2 41 44Proficient 0 1 37 438 476

0 2 40 491 533

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [491] COM

Basic [1] 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [12] 1.0 0.9 92%Intermediate Top [44] No Passes 1.0 0.8 80%Proficient [476] 1.0 0.8 0.9 92%

50% 80% 92% 91%

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [0] 5 [2] 6 [40] 7 [491] COM

Basic [1] No FailsIntermediate Bottom [12] No Fails 10.0 11.0Intermediate Top [44] 0.0 No Fails 4.1 3.9Proficient [476] No Fails 3.6 13.6 11.5

1.0 4.0 11.6 10.1

NSC Mathematics Level

NBT

AL L

EVEL

N

BT A

L LEV

ELN

BT A

L LEV

EL

NSC Mathematics Level

NSC Mathematics Level

Page 16: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Eng vs NBT MathsECO1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 2 5 4 11Intermediate Bottom 0 12 11 10 33Intermediate Top 1 16 63 53 133Proficient 1 24 129 177 331

2 54 208 244 508

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [2] 5 [54] 6 [208] 7 [244] COM

Basic [11] 1.0 1.0 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [33] 0.6 0.9 0.7 73%Intermediate Top [133] 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 81%Proficient [331] 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 96%

100% 85% 89% 93% 91%

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [2] 5 [54] 6 [208] 7 [244] COM

Basic [11] No Fails No Fails No FailsIntermediate Bottom [33] 1.4 10.0 2.3 2.7Intermediate Top [133] No Fails 7.0 3.5 4.9 4.3Proficient [331] No Fails 23.0 15.1 43.3 24.5

5.8 8.0 14.3 9.8

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 17: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Eng HL vs NBT QLECO1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 0 1 0 1Intermediate Bottom 0 2 3 2 7Intermediate Top 1 7 14 13 35Proficient 1 45 190 229 465

2 54 208 244 508

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [2] 5 [54] 6 [208] 7 [244] COM

Basic [1] 1.0 100%Intermediate Bottom [7] 1.0 1.0 0.5 86%Intermediate Top [35] 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 74%Proficient [465] 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 92%

100% 85% 89% 93% 91%

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [2] 5 [54] 6 [208] 7 [244] COM

Basic [1] No FailsIntermediate Bottom [7] No Fails No Fails 1.0 6.0Intermediate Top [35] No Fails 6.0 3.7 1.6 2.9Proficient [465] No Fails 5.4 8.5 21.9 11.6

5.8 8.0 14.3 9.8

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

AL L

EVEL

N

BT A

L LEV

ELN

BT A

L LEV

EL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 18: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

ECO1010F NSC Eng HL vs NBT AL ECO1010F

Admit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 0 2 2 8 12Intermediate Bottom 0 22 48 53 123Intermediate Top 1 26 114 100 241Proficient 1 3 42 83 129

2 53 206 244 505

ECO1010FPass rate 4 [2] 5 [53] 6 [206] 7 [244] COM

Basic [12] 0.5 1.0 0.6 67%Intermediate Bottom [123] 0.8 0.8 0.9 82%Intermediate Top [241] 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 93%Proficient [129] 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 98%

100% 87% 89% 94% 91%

ECO1010FPass/Fail 4 [2] 5 [53] 6 [206] 7 [244] COM

Basic [12] 1.0 No Fails 1.7 2.0Intermediate Bottom [123] 3.4 3.8 6.6 4.6Intermediate Top [241] No Fails 25.0 9.4 24.0 14.1Proficient [129] No Fails No Fails 20.0 No Fails 63.5

6.6 8.0 16.4 10.5

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NSC EngHomeLang Level

NSC EngHomeLang Level

Page 19: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Prelim Observations

• Students with NSC Mathematics levels (esp. 7) have very variable performance in Quantitative (Science, Commerce, Engineering and Mathematics) courses at the first semester stage and the NBT Mathematics levels (Basic, Intermediate Bottom, Intermediate Top and Proficient) provide a nuanced gradation of this level.

Page 20: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Prelim Observations cnt.

• Students achieving a Proficient or Intermediate Top level on the NBT Mathematics test have very good prospects of achieving good performance (determined in various ways) in Mathematics first year courses.

Page 21: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Prelim Observations cnt.

• Analyses that look at NSC and NBT Maths for performance in key Science subjects (Chem, Phy, etc...) and Commerce subjects (Maths, Ecos, etc.. ) and Engineering (Maths, Mec, etc, ...) have similar patterns emerging.

Page 22: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Prelim Observations cnt.

• The analyses for QL and AL also provide valuable insights to nuance NSC performance.

• The analyses of the NSC and NBT results provide, in my opinion, real information for informing selection, placement and teaching and learning.

Page 23: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Faculty point vs NBT Math4 (<42); 5 (43 & 44); 6 (45 & 46); 7 (>47)

GPAAdmit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 28 6 6 9 49Intermediate Bottom 88 51 42 68 249Intermediate Top 22 35 71 176 304Proficient 1 3 12 125 141

139 95 131 378 743

GPAPass rate 4 [139] 5 [95] 6 [131] 7 [378] COM

Basic [49] 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.7 59%Intermediate Bottom [249]0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 80%Intermediate Top [304]0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 92%Proficient [141] No Passes 1.0 1.0 1.0 97%

71% 76% 89% 95% 87%

GPAPass/Fail 4 [139] 5 [95] 6 [131] 7 [378] COM

Basic [49] 1.3 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.5Intermediate Bottom [249]2.8 2.4 5.0 16.0 4.1Intermediate Top [304]4.5 4.8 13.2 21.0 12.2Proficient [141] 0.0 No Fails No Fails 40.7 34.3

2.5 3.1 7.7 20.0 6.7

Faculty Score

Faculty Score

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

Faculty Score

NBT

MAT

HS LE

VEL

Page 24: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Faculty point vs NBT QL4 (<42); 5 (43 & 44); 6 (45 & 46); 7 (>47)

GPAAdmit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 18 10 8 8 44Intermediate Bottom 55 20 17 26 118Intermediate Top 41 29 37 89 196Proficient 22 35 69 256 382

136 94 131 379 740

GPAPass rate 4 [136] 5 [94] 6 [131] 7 [379] COM

Basic [44] 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.8 73%Intermediate Bottom [118]0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 72%Intermediate Top [196]0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 83%Proficient [382] 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 95%

71% 74% 89% 95% 87%

GPAPass/Fail 4 [136] 5 [94] 6 [131] 7 [379] COM

Basic [44] 2.6 1.5 7.0 3.0 2.7Intermediate Bottom [118]2.1 2.3 4.7 3.3 2.6Intermediate Top [196]4.1 2.2 3.1 11.7 4.9Proficient [382] 1.4 6.0 33.5 84.3 19.1

2.4 2.9 7.7 20.1 6.6

Faculty Score

Faculty Score

NBT

QL L

EVEL

NBT

QL L

EVEL

Faculty Score

NBT

QL L

EVEL

Page 25: Nan  Yeld , Robert Prince and Alan Cliff 22 nd  September

Faculty point vs NBT QL4 (<42); 5 (43 & 44); 6 (45 & 46); 7 (>47)

GPAAdmit 4 5 6 7 COM

Basic 4 2 0 0 6Intermediate Bottom 10 4 5 10 29Intermediate Top 45 11 8 37 101Proficient 77 77 118 332 604

136 94 131 379 740

GPAPass rate 4 [136] 5 [94] 6 [131] 7 [379] COM

Basic [6] 0.5 1.0 67%Intermediate Bottom [29]0.7 0.3 1.0 1.0 79%Intermediate Top [101]0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 74%Proficient [604] 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 90%

71% 74% 89% 95% 87%

GPAPass/Fail 4 [136] 5 [94] 6 [131] 7 [379] COM

Basic [6] 1.0 No Fails 2.0Intermediate Bottom [29]2.3 0.3 No Fails No Fails 3.8Intermediate Top [101]2.5 4.5 1.7 3.6 2.9Proficient [604] 2.5 3.1 8.8 32.2 8.6

2.4 2.9 7.7 20.1 6.6

Faculty Score

Faculty Score

NBT

AL L

EVEL

NBT

AL L

EVEL

Faculty Score

NBT

AL L

EVEL