Nahost/Nordafrika-WebMonitor Nr. 09/2020 SWP-Informationsservices Jürgen Rogalski, 07.02.2020

Der Nahost/Nordafrika-WebMonitor ist ein unentgeltliches, kompaktes Informationsprodukt mit aus-gewählten Hinweisen auf aktuelle Stellungnahmen, Dokumente und Analysen zu allen (außen-) poli-tisch relevanten Fragen und Entwicklungen der Region. Bei allen Titeln gibt es einen Link, meistens di-rekt zum Volltext. Grundlage der Erstellung ist ein überwiegend festgelegtes Set an Quellen: Webseiten, Blogs, Zeitschriften etc. Der Auswahl-Fokus liegt neben Dokumenten auf wissenschaftlichen bzw. wis-senschaftlich basierten Beiträgen. Neben Titeln mit konkretem Länder- bzw. Regionalbezug werden auch solche berücksichtigt, deren Thematik relevant ist für die Region. Der WebMonitor wird i.d.R. ein- bis zweimal wöchentlich erstellt, nicht aber bei Abwesenheit des Bearbeiters.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Israel / Palästina: US-"Friedensplan" ........................................................................................................ 2 > Israel / Palästina: Sonstige Themen .......................................................................................................... 5 > Israel ........................................................................................................................................................................ 5 > Östlicher Mittelmeerraum: Erdgasvorkommen ................................................................................... 7 > Libanon ................................................................................................................................................................... 7 > Syrien....................................................................................................................................................................... 8 > Syrien / Irak ...................................................................................................................................................... 11 > Irak ........................................................................................................................................................................ 11 > Golfstaaten / GKR / Golfregion ................................................................................................................. 13 > Golfstaaten - Rotes Meer / Horn von Afrika ........................................................................................ 13 > Kuwait .................................................................................................................................................................. 13 > VAE ........................................................................................................................................................................ 14 > Saudi-Arabien ................................................................................................................................................... 14 > Jemen .................................................................................................................................................................... 14 > Iran ........................................................................................................................................................................ 15 > Ägypten ............................................................................................................................................................... 17 > Libyen ................................................................................................................................................................... 17 > Tunesien .............................................................................................................................................................. 18 > Algerien ............................................................................................................................................................... 19 > Marokko .............................................................................................................................................................. 19 > Marokko / Westsahara ................................................................................................................................. 19 > EU - Mittelmeerraum / MENA-Region / Afrika: Migrationspolitik / Flüchtlinge ............... 20

> USA - MENA-Region ....................................................................................................................................... 20 > Russland / Türkei - MENA-Region .......................................................................................................... 20 > Türkei / MENA-Region ................................................................................................................................. 21 > UNSC ..................................................................................................................................................................... 21 > Krisen und Konflikte im Überblick (global) ........................................................................................ 21 > Regionalpolitik / regionale Sicherheit (MENA-Region) ................................................................. 21 > Kriegswirtschaft / Wiederaufbau (MENA-Region) .......................................................................... 22 > Kriege / Kriegsführung (allg.) ................................................................................................................... 23 > Rüstungskontrolle / Waffenhandel / Kleinwaffen (global) .......................................................... 23 > Autoritäre Herrschaft / Protestbewegungen (allg./global) ......................................................... 23 > Nationalismus / soziale Bewegungen (allg./theoret.) .................................................................... 23 > Staatsbürger / Staatsbürgerschaft (MENA-Region) ........................................................................ 24 > Terrorismus / Jihadismus / -bekämpfung ........................................................................................... 24 > Wirtschaft / Entwicklung ............................................................................................................................ 25

> Israel / Palästina: US-"Friedensplan" Palestinian Rights Committee’s Work All the More Urgent Due to Proposed New United States Plan for Middle East Peace, Members Say - Permanent Observer for State of Palestine Mentions Plans for Proposal’s Rejection UNGA, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/gapal1429.doc.htm Vgl. Elections Crucial for Renewed Legitimacy, Secretary-General Tells Palestinian Rights Com-mittee, While Stressing That Jerusalem Remains Final-Status Issue UN, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/sgsm19959.doc.htm >>> TSI - Two-State Index, January 2020 Geneva Initiative, 02.2020, ca. 3 S. http://www.publicators.com/app/dbrowse.asp?id=5211760596_306307887&ac-tion=&lang Settlement Report Inhalt u.a.: - UN Security Council Drafts Resolution on Trump Plan & Prepares for Meetings with Kush-ner, Abbas FMEP, 06.02.2020, ca. 10 S. https://fmep.org/resource/settlement-report-february-6-2020/

Data on Annexation and Populated Land Swaps under the Trump Plan Peace Now, 05.02.2020, 6 S. http://peacenow.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/Trump%E2%80%99s-%E2%80%9CPeace%E2%80%9D-Plan_-A-Unilateral-Resolution-Is-No-Solution-2.pdf The sanctification of antiquity sites in the Jerusalem section of the ‘Peace to Prosper-ity’ plan Emek Shaveh, 04.02.2020, 4 S. https://alt-arch.org/en/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Sanctification-of-antiquity-sites-in-the-Jerusalem-section-of-the-%E2%80%98Peace-to-Prosperity%E2%80%99-plan.pdf Kushner's All or Nothing Mapping Geared To Squeeze Israel Aaron Lerner IMRA, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. http://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=73634 Initial Palestinian reactions to the “deal of the century” (Updated to February 2, 2020) ITIC, 03.02.2020, 17 S. https://www.terrorism-info.org.il/app/uploads/2020/02/E_024_20.pdf >>> The Trump Plan for Israeli-Palestinian Peace Won’t Bring Peace, So What Was the Purpose? - Survey of experts Diana Buttu, Mkhaimar Abusada, Aaron David Miller, Hussein Ibish, Zaha Hassan Diwan, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80968 Can the EU resuscitate the two-state solution? Ahmad Melhem Al Monitor, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/palestine-eu-deal-of-century-two-state-solution-israel-us.html Resolving Mission Impossible - Podcast Aaron David Miller "What I told Jared Kushner when he solicited my advice for his Palestinian-Israeli peace plan. ..." Diwan, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 Min. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80966 We Need a Corrective to Old Catechisms on Peace. Trump’s Plan Isn’t It Robert Satloff WINEP/American Interest, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/we-need-a-corrective-to-old-catechisms-on-peace.-trumps-plan-isnt-it

Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 1): Borders and Jerusalem David Makovsky WINEP, 04.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/continuity-vs.-overreach-in-the-trump-peace-plan-part-1-borders-and-jerusal Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives Ghaith al-Omari WINEP, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/continuity-vs.-overreach-in-the-trump-peace-plan-part-2-security-refugees-a Trump’s Middle East plan: What does America stand for? Shibley Telhami Brookings, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2020/02/04/trumps-middle-east-plan-what-does-america-stand-for/ Trump’s Unfair Middle East Plan Leaves Nothing to Negotiate - An Imposed, Unrealis-tic Solution Will Not Hold Martin Indyk FA (online), 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/israel/2020-02-04/trumps-unfair-middle-east-plan-leaves-nothing-negotiate US-Israel peace plan: Palestinians should abandon posturing and think tactically Raghida Dergham The National, 02.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.thenational.ae/opinion/comment/us-israel-peace-plan-palestinians-should-abandon-posturing-and-think-tactically-1.972547 “Deal of the Century”: What Is It and Why Now? ACRPS, 03.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.dohainstitute.org/en/PoliticalStudies/Pages/Trump-Administration-Plan-for-the-Palestinian-Israeli-Conflict.aspx The Trump-Netanyahu Deal: A Historical Perspective of the US-Israeli plan to Liquidate the Palestinian Question - Event Summary Azmi Bishara ACRPS, 03.02.2020, 1 S. https://www.dohainstitute.org/en/Events/Trump-Netanyahu-Deal-to-Liquidate-the-Pales-tinian-Question/Pages/index.aspx Can the Netanyahu Government Annex Parts of the West Bank? Elena Chachko

Lawfare, 31.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.lawfareblog.com/can-netanyahu-government-annex-parts-west-bank Moving Beyond the Apartheid Analogy in Palestine and South Africa Loubna Qutami "The Trump administration's so-called "Deal of the Century" is a greenlight for Israelis to annex Palestinian land, carve up Palestine and further disenfranchise Palestinians. Many observers have said the plan amounts to apartheid. ..." MERIP online, 03.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://merip.org/2020/02/moving-beyond-the-apartheid-analogy-in-palestine-and-south-africa-trump/ The Confederation Alternative for Israel and Palestine Dahlia Scheindlin TCF, 03.02.2020, 8 S. https://production-tcf.imgix.net/app/uploads/2020/02/05150145/Scheindlin_Is-rael_FN.pdf > WAO Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Israel / Palästina: Sonstige Themen Truth is stranger than science fiction: Palestine +100 Hadani Ditmars "... a recent collection of Palestinian science fiction proves both prescient and eerily contem-porary. ..." MEI, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.mei.edu/publications/truth-stranger-science-fiction-palestine-100 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Israel PM Netanyahu speaks with UK PM Johnson "... congratulated PM Johnson on the occasion of Brexit ..." MFA Israel, 06.02.2020 https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/PressRoom/2020/Pages/PM-Netanyahu-speaks-with-UK-PM-Johnson-6-February-2020.aspx >>> Netanyahu’s Africa blitz: photo-ops and pleasing the US Rina Bassist Al Monitor, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S.

https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/israel-us-uganda-sudan-africa-benjamin-netanyahu-high-tech.html Israeli and Sudanese leaders meet in secret, agree to start normalising ties "Benjamin Netanyahu met Sudan's Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Uganda where they agreed to start normalising ties, Israeli PM's office says ..." MEE, 03.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-and-sudanese-leaders-meet-hail-path-nor-malisation-ties Turkey and Israel: Can Pragmatism Defeat "Bad Blood"? Burak Bekdil BESA, 06.02.20201, 3 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/1439-EastMed-Games-Bekdil-fi-nal.pdf At the Opening of the New Decade, Regional Challenges Test Israel's Strength - Main Insights from the INSS 13th Annual International Conference Udi Dekel INSS, 06.02.2020, 7 S. https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/no.-1256.pdf >>> The Mountain Ridge Will Save Tel Aviv from Ecological Disaster Gershon Hacohen "Most of the talk about the ravages of last month’s floods in Israel’s coastal cities concerns the responsibility of state authorities that failed to invest sufficiently in infrastructure devel-opment. But that is only part of the story. ..." BESA, 07.02.2020, 2 S. https://besacenter.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/1442-Mountain-Spine-Will-Save-Tel-Aviv-from-Collapse-Hacohen-English-final.pdf The International League for the rescue of the Jews in Arab countries Moshe Naor "... discusses the campaign by the International League for the Rescue of the Jews in the Arab Countries (1948- 1950), formed by organisations representing Sephardi and Mizrahi Jews in Israel and the Herut party and aimed at preventing damage to the status of the Jews in the Arab states and promoting their emigration to Israel. ..." In: Israel Affairs (online first), 01.2020, 18 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/13537121.2020.1720114 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Östlicher Mittelmeerraum: Erdgasvorkommen Impact of the Memorandum With Libya Upon the Eastern Mediterranean Equation Recep Yorulmaz ORSAM, 01.2020, 16 S. https://orsam.org.tr//d_hbanaliz/Bakis_No_105_eng.pdf > WAO

لعسكریةغاز شرق المتوسط: األبعاد االقتصادیة وا Aljazeera Centre for Studies, 05.02.2020, ca. 5 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/ar/article/4560 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Libanon Why protesters want Lebanon’s new government to pass a new electoral law Michal Kranz Al Monitor, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/lebanon-protesters-new-electoral-law-ruling-political-elite.html Counterfeit change: Lebanon’s new government Kareem Chehayeb "Even if the new government intends to introduce significant reforms, the elite will more than likely block any measures that challenge entrenched interests. ..." ECFR, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_counterfeit_change_lebanons_new_government Lebanon has formed a controversial new government in a polarised, charged atmosphere, and protesters are not going to be easily pacified by its promises Rami Khouri Belfer Center, 22.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/lebanon-has-formed-controversial-new-gov-ernment-polarised-charged-atmosphere-and حكومة حسان دیاب ما بین الصراعات النخبویة والتظاھرات الشعبیة سامي عطااللLCPS, 02.2020, ca. 2 S. http://lcps-lebanon.org/featuredArticle.php?id=266

المالي ما بین كلیة التحلیل وجزئیة الفعل السیاسي الفساد Osama Diyab Jadalyya, 03.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/40630/الفساد-المالي-ما-بین-كلیة-التحلیل-وجزئیة-الفعل-السیاسي

Which Kind of Armed Forces? Dina Arakji "Lebanon’s military is among the most transparent in the region, but there is still room for improvement. ..." Diwan, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://carnegie-mec.org/diwan/80964 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Syrien Security Council: Syria UNSC, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/sc14100.doc.htm Briefing Pedersen: https://www.unog.ch/unog/website/news_media.nsf/(httpNews-ByYear_en)/93DD54741A464733C12585070030B5C4?OpenDocument Joint Statement by High Representative/Vice-President Josep Borrell and Commis-sioner for Crisis Management Janez Lenarčič on the situation in Idlib, Syria EEAS, 06.02.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/74195/joint-statement-high-representativevice-president-josep-borrell-and-commissioner-crisis_en Ambassador James Jeffrey On the Situation in Syria - Special Briefing US DoS, 05.02.2020, ca. 5 S. https://www.state.gov/ambassador-james-jeffrey-on-the-situation-in-syria/ UN Commission of Inquiry on Syria: Parties to the conflict must act immediately and collec-tively to bring meaningful respite to civilians in northwest Syria UN-OHCHR, 04.02.20201 https://www.ohchr.org/en/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=25520&LangID=E Escalation of Violence in Idlib Michael R. Pompeo US DoS, 04.02.2020 https://www.state.gov/escalation-of-violence-in-idlib/ Humanitare Hilfe in Syrien AA, 04.02.2020 https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/aussenpolitik/humanitaere-hilfe-syrien/2303004 أبو الغیط یحذر من تداعیات التصعید الخطیر في شمال غرب سوریاAL, 05.02.2020 http://www.lasportal.org/ar/news/Pages/NewsDetails.aspx?RID=2366

Identical letters dated 28 January 2020 from the Permanent Representative of the Syrian Arab Republic to the United Nations addressed to the Secretary-General and the President of the Security Council "... regarding the Turkish regime’s ongoing violations and attacks against the sover-eignty and territorial integrity the Syrian Arab Republic ..." UNSC, 30.01.2020, 2 S. https://undocs.org/S/2020/75 OPCW: Independent Investigation into Possible Breaches of Confidentiality - Report Re-leased OPCW, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. + Links https://www.opcw.org/media-centre/news/2020/02/opcw-independent-investigation-possible-breaches-confidentiality-report Progress in the elimination of the Syrian chemical weapons programme - Report by the Di-rector-General of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons UNSC, 30.01.2020, 7 S. https://undocs.org/S/2020/82 Recent Developments in Northwest Syria - Flash Update UN-OCHA, 06.02.2020, 2 S. https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/nw_syria_flash_update_6feb2020.pdf Zur möglichen Umsiedlung syrischer Flüchtlinge durch die Türkei "... ist die ungewohnliche Konstellation, dass eine Besatzungsmacht Staatsangehorige eines teilweise besetzten Staates in dessen Staatsgebiet umsiedeln mochte, aus besatzungsrechtli-cher Perspektive nicht unbedenklich. In Ermangelung volkerrechtlich verbindlich beurteil-ter, zumindest ahnlich gelagerter Prazedenzfalle verzichtet das vorliegende Gutachten aller-dings auf eine abschließende eigene Bewertung des Sachverhalts aus Sicht des humanitaren Volkerrechts." (S. 10). BT-WD, 30.01.2020, 10 S. https://www.bundestag.de/re-source/blob/681368/24636e0cc9da1fc93f22496313fa71ab/WD-2-007-20-pdf-data.pdf >>> Map of military influence in Syria Jusoor, 01.02.2020 https://www.jusoor.co/public/details/%D8%AE%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B7%D8%A9-%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%86%D9%81%D9%88%D8%B0-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%B3%D9%83%D8%B1%D9%8A-%D9%81%D9%8A-%D8%B3%D9%88%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A9-01-02-2020/560/en >>>

The Eleventh Hour for Idlib, Syria’s Last Rebel Bastion ICG alert, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/elev-enth-hour-idlib-syrias-last-rebel-bastion Recent escalations in Idlib present Russia with tall order Kirill Semenov Al Monitor, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/russia-syria-turkey-idlib-choice.html What brought Iranian forces to Idlib front? Hamidreza Azizi Al Monitor, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/iran-battlefield-idlib-syria-soleimani.html Amid Humanitarian Crisis, Syrian Regime Intensifies Idlib Offensive Mona Yacoubian USIP, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.usip.org/index.php/publications/2020/02/amid-humanitarian-crisis-syrian-regime-intensifies-idlib-offensive آخر مناطق "خفض التصعید": نھایة السیاسة أم بدایتھا؟ ولید النوفل, آالء نصارSyria Direct, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://syriadirect.org/ar/news/آخر-مناطق-خفض-التصعید-نھایة-السیاسة-أ/ Idlib and Its Environs: Narrowing Prospects for a Rebel Holdout Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi WINEP, 02.2020, 18 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/uploads/Documents/pubs/PolicyNote75-Tamimi.pdf > WAO >>> Damascus battles economic collapse as the Syrian pound plummets Danny Makki MEI, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. + Links https://www.mei.edu/publications/damascus-battles-economic-collapse-syrian-pound-plummets Reconstructing the nation, one dome at a time Will Christou, Rohan Advani Syria Direct, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://syriadirect.org/news/reconstructing-the-nation-one-dome-at-a-time/

From denial to discipline: Syrian government responds to the economic crisis Rohan Advani, Walid Al Nofal Syria direct, 27.01.2020, ca. 5 S. https://syriadirect.org/news/from-denial-to-discipline-syrian-government-responds-to-the-economic-crisis/

2019ین األول الواقع الحوكمي وإعادة اإلعمار في مناطق النظام السوري خالل شھر تشر Omran for Studies, 28.01.2020, 22 S. https://www.omrandira-sat.org/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A5%D8%B5%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%AA/%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%AA%D9%82%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%B1/down-load/515_613d2bcafd71a9a3c9d913210f11bbbf.html New Forms of Old Hate: Confronting Assad’s Anti-Semitism in Germany Rawan Osman Fikra Forum, 06.02.2010, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/new-forms-of-old-hate-confront-ing-assads-anti-semitism-in-germany Queer/Humanitarian Visibility: The Emergence of the Figure of The Suffering Syrian Gay Refugee Fadi Saleh In: Middle East Critique (online first), 02.2020, 21 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/19436149.2020.1704501 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Syrien / Irak Tenth report of the Secretary-General on the threat posed by ISIL (Da’esh) to interna-tional peace and security and the range of United Nations efforts in support of Mem-ber States in countering the threat UNSC, 04.02.2020, 17 S. https://undocs.org/S/2020/95 > WAO Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Irak On Attacks Against Protesters in Iraq Michael R. Pompeo US DoS, 06.02.2020

https://www.state.gov/on-attacks-against-protesters-in-iraq/ Iraq and U.S. Policy CRS, 03.02.2020, 3 S. https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/IF10404.pdf Deutsches Engagement fur die Stabilisierung und den Wiederaufbau im Irak Kleine Anfrage der Fraktion BUÜ NDNIS 90/DIE GRUÜ NEN BT, 31.01.2020 Vorgang und Download: http://dipbt.bundestag.de/extrakt/ba/WP19/2585/258590.html >>> The Evolution of Iraq’s Protests: Excessive Force Pushes Protesters to Adapt Maryam Alhassani Fikra Forum, 04.02.2020, ca 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/the-evolution-of-iraqs-protests-excessive-force-pushes-protesters-to-adapt Centering Iraq Policy on Human Rights and Fair Elections Michael Knights WINEP, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/centering-iraq-policy-on-hu-man-rights-and-fair-elections Iraq Is the One War Zone Trump Doesn’t Want to Leave Kathy Gilsinan Defense One, 03.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020/02/iraq-one-war-zone-trump-doesnt-want-leave/162832/ A Crisis of Governance: Explaining Iraq’s Protest Movement Kamaran M. Palani Al Sharq Forum, 12.2019, 10 S. https://research.sharqforum.org/download/12631/ > WAO The Iraqi protest movement: social mobilization amidst violence and instability Irene Costantini In: British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies (online first), 01.2020, 18 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/13530194.2020.1715788 Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum: political parties, opportunity and timing Sara D. Mustafa In: British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies (online first), 01.2020, 17 S.

Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/13530194.2020.1724077 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Golfstaaten / GKR / Golfregion Trump’s Curious Multilateralism - His administration may end up besting its predecessors’ records in bringing partners together in the Persian Gulf Bilal Y. Saab FP, 28.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/28/trumps-curious-multilateralism/ Seven Ironies of Reconstructing a New Security Paradigm in the Gulf Mohammed Cherkaoui Aljazeera Centre for Studies, 30.01.2020, 22 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/sites/default/files/articles/documents/2020-02/Seven%20Ironies%20of%20Reconstructing%20a%20New%20Security%20Para-digm%20in%20the%20Gulf_0.pdf > WAO The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region IMF, 06.02.2020, 55 S. Übersicht und Download: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Departmental-Papers-Policy-Pa-pers/Issues/2020/01/31/The-Future-of-Oil-and-Fiscal-Sustainability-in-the-GCC-Region-48934 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Golfstaaten - Rotes Meer / Horn von Afrika Fluctuating Saudi and Emirati Alignment Behaviours in the Horn of Africa Federico Donelli & Giuseppe Dentice In: The International Spectator (online first), 02.2020, 17 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2019.1706389 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Kuwait Building the New Kuwait: Vision 2035 and the Challenge of Diversification Sophie Olver-Ellis

LSE, 01.2020, 25 S. http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/103198/1/Olver_Ellis_building_the_new_Kuwait_published.pdf > WAO Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > VAE The strategic extension of the United Arab Emirates: Determinants, objectives and some implications for the Horn of Africa Jamal Machrouh PCNS, 01.2020, 7 S. https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/PB%20-%2020-05%20%28Ja-mal%20MACHROUH%29.pdf > WAO Fluctuating Saudi and Emirati Alignment Behaviours in the Horn of Africa Federico Donelli & Giuseppe Dentice In: The International Spectator (online first), 02.2020, 17 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2019.1706389 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Saudi-Arabien Muzzling critical voices: Politicized trials before Saudi Arabia's Specialized Criminal Court ai, 06.02.2020, 53 S. https://www.amnesty.org/download/Documents/MDE2316332020ENGLISH.PDF > WAO >>> Fluctuating Saudi and Emirati Alignment Behaviours in the Horn of Africa Federico Donelli & Giuseppe Dentice In: The International Spectator (online first), 02.2020, 17 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/03932729.2019.1706389 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Jemen

Yemen: Statement by the Spokesperson on the resumption of medical flights out of Sana'a EEAS, 04.02.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/74168/yemen-statement-spokesperson-resumption-medical-flights-out-sanaa_en UN experts: Uptick in Houthi obstacles to Yemen aid delivery The New Humanitarian, 03.02.2020, ca. 2 S. http://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/news/2020/02/03/Yemen-Houthis-aid-worker-safety >>> Empowering Women in Yemen's Countryside: Securing Ibb Abdullah Ali Fikra Forum, 05.02.2020, ca 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/empowering-women-in-yemens-countryside-securing-ibb Yemen: Order of Battle Trumps Peace Nabeel Khoury Arab Center Washington DC, 03.02.2010, ca. 2 S. http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/yemen-order-of-battle-trumps-peace/ A fight for survival in a new landscape: Can Yemen’s GPC recover after Saleh? Ibrahim Jalal MEI, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. + Links https://www.mei.edu/publications/fight-survival-new-landscape-can-yemens-gpc-reco-ver-after-saleh Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Iran Press release following High Representative/Vice-President Josep Borrell’s official visit to Iran EEAS, 04.02.2020 https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/74025/press-release-following-high-representativevice-president-josep-borrell%E2%80%99s-official-visit-iran_en Iran: Remarks by High Representative/Vice-President Josep Borrell at the press conference during his visit to Tehran EEAS, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/73972/iran-remarks-high-representativevice-president-josep-borrell-press-conference-during-his-visit_en

>>> Trump’s Iran Strategy Isn’t Working as Well as He Thinks Kori Schake Defense One, 02.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020/02/trumps-iran-strategy-isnt-working-well-he-thinks/162817/ What is Congress Willing to Do to Avoid War with Iran? Marcus Montgomery Arab Center Washington DC, 06.02.2010, ca. 2 S. http://arabcenterdc.org/congressional_corner/what-is-congress-willing-to-do-to-avoid-war-with-iran/ Operation Iranian Freedom: What Would Happen If America Invaded Iran in 2026? A terri-ble idea. Phil Walter Diane Maye Nathan Finney The National Interest, 30.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/operation-iranian-freedom-what-would-happen-if-america-invaded-iran-2026-118781

فاوض أو قبولھ مع واشنطنتاللعبة الخطرة لروحاني بین رفض ال فاطمة الصماديAljazeera Centre for Studies, 29.01.2020, 8 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/sites/default/files/articles/documents/2020- pdf.اللعبة%20الخطرة%20لروحاني%20بین%20رفض%20التفاوض%20أو%20قبولھ%20مع%20واشنطن/01 >>> Iran’s 2020 Parliamentary Elections Andrew Hanna USIP, 05.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/feb/03/iran%E2%80%99s-2020-parliamentary-elections Issues in Iran’s Parliamentary Election Garrett Nada USIP, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/feb/05/issues-iran%E2%80%99s-parliamentary-election Trends in Parliamentary Elections USIP, 30.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/jan/30/trends-parliamentary-elections Iran’s Regional Armed Network Kali Robinson

CFR, 28.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.cfr.org/article/irans-regional-armed-network Iran-Report 02/20 Bahman Nirumand hbs, 02.2010, 26 S. https://www.boell.de/sites/default/files/2020-02/Iran_Report_02_20.pdf Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Ägypten Egypt: Death of American Citizen and Congressional Response Jeremy M. Sharp CRS, 04.02.2020, 4 S. https://www.everycrsre-port.com/files/20200204_IN11216_4aa9fc073d6cca37901316e9053fbf60f22e8be6.pdf > WAO >>> Global tech and domestic tactics: Egypt’s multifaceted regime of information controls Joey Shea TIMEP, 31.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://timep.org/commentary/analysis/global-tech-and-domestic-tactics-egypts-multi-faceted-regime-of-information-controls/ نحو "إعالن مبادئ" یضمن حقوق الفالحین في میاه النیلSakr Al-Nour Jadaliyya, 03.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.jadaliyya.com/Details/40628 األمن القومي المصري: الصراع في لیبیا وشرق البحر المتوسط علي حسین باكیرAljazeera Centre for Studies, 06.02.2020, 9 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/sites/default/files/articles/documents/2020- pdf.األمن%20القومي%20المصري%20الصراع%20في%20لیبیا%20وشرق%20البحر%20المتوسط/02 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Libyen ‘Convergence’ over lasting Libya ceasefire, as negotiator urges against ‘provocative’ acts UN, 06.02.2020 https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/02/1056882

>>> Faut-il une nouvelle opération Sophia? La Libye a besoin de persévérance, pas d'actions impulsives Tobias Pietz FRS, 04.02.2020, 3 S. https://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202002.pdf Impact of the Memorandum With Libya Upon the Eastern Mediterranean Equation Recep Yorulmaz ORSAM, 01.2020, 16 S. https://orsam.org.tr//d_hbanaliz/Bakis_No_105_eng.pdf

األبعاد االقتصادیة والعسكریةغاز شرق المتوسط: Aljazeera Centre for Studies, 05.02.2020, ca. 5 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/ar/article/4560 المحركات الداخلیة لألزمة اللیبیة: مدخل تحلیلي إسماعیل القریتليAljazeera Centre for Studies, 04.02.2020, 8 S. https://studies.aljazeera.net/sites/default/files/articles/documents/2020- pdf.المحركات%20الداخلیة%20لألزمة%20اللیبیة%20مدخل%20تحلیلي/02 Luttes de pouvoir, réseaux transnationaux et reconfigurations territoriales dans le Fezzan, Libye Ali Bensaad In: Maghreb - Machrek, 2019/2 (N° 240), S. 121-138. Abstract und Bestellung: https://www.cairn.info/revue-maghreb-machrek-2019-2-page-121.htm Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Tunesien After Long Delay, Government May Publish Truth Commission’s Final Report, Official Says Meshkal, 29.01.2020, ca. 2 S. http://mesh-kal.com/2020/01/29/after-long-delay-government-may-publish-truth-commissions-final-report-official-says/ Despite freedoms seen as growing, Tunisians show limited citizen engagement Afrobarometer, 17.01.2020, 10 S. http://afrobarometer.org/sites/default/files/publications/Dispatches/ab_r7_dis-patchno336_perceived_freedom_llimited_citizen_engagement_in_tunisia.pdf

>>> Will Tunisia have a seat in future Libyan dialogues? Elizia Volkmann Al Monitor, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/tunisia-reject-berlin-conference-libya-talks-algeria.html Gouvernance politique, diversité du genre et transition démocratique: leçons tunisiennes Bilel Kchouk et Amel Ben Rhouma In: Maghreb - Machrek, 2019/2 (N° 240), S. 93-120. Abstract und Bestellung: https://www.cairn.info/revue-maghreb-machrek-2019-2-page-93.htm Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Algerien Kamel Daoud, fossoyeur du « reve algerien » Adlene Mohammedi "Hativement erige en France en decrypteur de l’Algerie ... l’ecrivain Kamel Daoud croit ex-pliquer «l’echec» du soulevement populaire algerien dans un texte publie par Le Point du 9 janvier. ..." Orient XXI, 07.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://orientxxi.info/magazine/kamel-daoud-fossoyeur-du-reve-algerien,3604 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Marokko Dossier: Politique de développement local et international du Maroc Inhalt u.a.: - Les ambitions regionales marocaines en Afrique Sub-saharienne : une diplomatie royale / Jean-Yves Moisseron et Jean-François Daguzan In: Maghreb - Machrek, 2019/2 (N° 240), S. 5-91. Übersicht, Abstracts und Bestellung: https://www.cairn.info/revue-maghreb-machrek-2019-2.htm Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Marokko / Westsahara Africa Insiders: Morocco slowly tightens its grip on Western Sahara

African Arguments, 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. + Links https://africanarguments.org/2020/02/06/africa-insiders-morocco-tightens-grip-west-ern-sahara-territorial-waters/ Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > EU - Mittelmeerraum / MENA-Region / Afrika: Migrationspolitik / Flüchtlinge Faut-il une nouvelle opération Sophia? La Libye a besoin de persévérance, pas d'actions impulsives Tobias Pietz FRS, 04.02.2020, 3 S. https://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202002.pdf Refugees as assets not burdens: The role of policy Dany Bahar and Meagan Dooley Brookings, 02.2020, 34 S. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/refugees_as_assets_not_bur-dens_final.pdf Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > USA - MENA-Region The Cost of an Incoherent Foreign Policy - Trump’s Iran Imbroglio Undermines U.S. Priorities Everywhere Else Brett McGurk FA (online), 22.01.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2020-01-22/cost-incoherent-foreign-policy Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Russland / Türkei - MENA-Region Escalation in Syria and Libya tests limits of Erdogan-Putin ties Cengiz Candar Al Monitor, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2020/02/turkey-russia-syria-libya-idlib-limits-putin-erdogan-ties.html Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis

> Türkei / MENA-Region Les series televisees, nouveau terrain d’affrontement entre Turcs et Arabes Moustapha Bassiouni Orient XXI, 06.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://orientxxi.info/magazine/les-series-televisees-nouveau-terrain-d-affrontement-en-tre-turcs-et-arabes,3591 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > UNSC Prioritisation and Sequencing of Council Mandates: Walking the Walk? SCR, 20.01.2020, 20 S. https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/prioritisation_sequencing_mandates_report.pdf >>> Navigating the Storms at the UN Security Council Richard Gowan "Tensions are mounting among the permanent five members of the UN Security Council. Af-ter a series of rows over the Middle East, and with further disputes on the horizon, the five should convene a September summit as proposed by France and Russia to contain their dif-ferences. ..." ICG, 05.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/navigating-storms-un-security-council Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Krisen und Konflikte im Überblick (global) CrisisWatch ICG, 04.02.202019, ca. 20 S. https://www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Regionalpolitik / regionale Sicherheit (MENA-Region) The Muslim World’s Question: ‘What Happened to Us?’ Kim Ghattas "Understanding the events of 1979 is crucial for those trying to figure out a better future for today’s Middle East. ..."

The Atlantic, 25.01.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/01/muslim-world-saudi-iraq-iran-egypt-lebanon/605431/ Buchhinweis/Neuerscheinung: Black Wave - Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the Forty-Year Rivalry That Unraveled Culture, Religion, and Collective Memory in the Middle East Kim Ghattas Henry Holt and Co, 01.2020, ca. 400 S. Übersicht und Bestellung: https://www.indiebound.org/book/9781250131201 THE SEARCH FOR A NEW REGIONAL ORDER IN THE MIDDLE EAST: REALITY & ASPIRA-TIONS Al Sharq Forum, 02.2020, 157 S. https://research.sharqforum.org/download/14653/ > WAO Conflict escalation in the Middle East revisited: thinking through interstate rivalries and state-sponsored terrorism Akbar Khan & Han Zhaoying In: Israel Affairs (online first), 01.2020, 15 S. Abstract und Download für SWP: https://doi.org/10.1080/13537121.2020.1720115 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Kriegswirtschaft / Wiederaufbau (MENA-Region) Fractured stability: war economies and reconstruction in the MENA Luigi Narbone Inhalt: - No Exit: Conflict, Economic Governance, and Post-Conflict Reconstruction in Fierce States / Steven Heydemann - Reconstructing Syria, Reinventing Peacebuilding? / Achim Wennmann - Syria: What Kind of Reconstruction Process? / Joseph Daher - From War Economy to Reconstruction: The Case of Iraq / Anne Hagood - Construction Jihad: Wartime and Post-War Reconstruction and Development in Lebanon / Eric Lob - Saudi Free Trade Zones: Conflict resolution and reconstruction in Yemen and Iraq / Rob-ert Mogielnicki - How China Sees Its Stabilising Role in MENA / Christina Lin - Conclusion - A changing landscape of post-conflict reconstruction: Some lessons for policy-makers / Steven Heydemann and Luigi Narbone EIU, 2019, 101 S. https://cadmus.eui.eu/bitstream/handle/1814/64127/Fractured_stability.pdf

> WAO Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Kriege / Kriegsführung (allg.) Current dynamics of urban military operations Niklas Masuhr "Intense and protracted combat in towns and cities seems to confirm predictions that urban areas will increasingly become the primary battlefields of wars and conflicts. ..." CSS, 02.2020, 4 S. https://css.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/gess/cis/center-for-securities-studies/pdfs/CSSAnalyse257-EN.pdf Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Rüstungskontrolle / Waffenhandel / Kleinwaffen (global) Spread of 1 Billion Small Arms, Light Weapons Remains Major Threat Worldwide, High Rep-resentative for Disarmament Affairs Tells Security Council UNSC, 05.02.2020, ca. 3 S. https://www.un.org/press/en/2020/sc14098.doc.htm Vgl. Small arms and light weapons - Report of the Secretary-General UNSC, 30.12.2019, 16 S. https://undocs.org/en/S/2019/1011 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Autoritäre Herrschaft / Protestbewegungen (allg./global) Dictators in Trouble - Democracy Isn’t the Only System Under Stress Thomas Carothers FA (online), 06.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2020-02-06/dictators-trouble Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Nationalismus / soziale Bewegungen (allg./theoret.) Nationalism and social movements: a complex interface Elsa Tulin Sen In: Maghreb - Machrek, 2019/2 (N° 240), S. 139-156.

Abstract und Bestellung: https://www.cairn.info/revue-maghreb-machrek-2019-2-page-139.htm Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Staatsbürger / Staatsbürgerschaft (MENA-Region) Buchhinweis/Neuerscheinung (Paperback): The Crisis of Citizenship in the Arab World Roel Meijer, Nils Butenschøn (eds.) Leiden (Brill), 01.2020, 544 S. Übersicht und Bestellung: https://brill.com/view/title/34049 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Terrorismus / Jihadismus / -bekämpfung Tenth report of the Secretary-General on the threat posed by ISIL (Da’esh) to interna-tional peace and security and the range of United Nations efforts in support of Mem-ber States in countering the threat UNSC, 04.02.2020, 17 S. https://undocs.org/S/2020/95 > WAO >>> Profile of Haji Abdullah, who succeeded Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi as ISIS’s new leader ITIC, 21.01.2020, 5 S. https://www.terrorism-info.org.il/app/uploads/2020/01/E_016_20.pdf The Persistent Threat from the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda: The View from the UN Edmund Fitton-Brown WINEP, 06.02.2010, ca. 2 S. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/the-persistent-threat-from-the-islamic-state-and-al-qaeda-the-view-from-the Insecurity in the Sahel: Europe’s next fight against jihadism Andrew Lebovich ECFR, 05.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_insecurity_in_the_sahel_eu-ropes_next_fight_against_jihadism The Role of Aid and Development in the Fight Against Extremism Leanne Erdberg

USIP, 04.02.2020, ca. 2 S. https://www.usip.org/publications/2020/02/role-aid-and-development-fight-against-ex-tremism 2020: Challenges in Counter-Extremism Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, 01.2020, ca. 30 S. https://institute.global/policy/2020-challenges-counter-extremism Norwegian Police Security Service Study on Terrorist Plots Disrupted in the West: Transla-tion and Analysis Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi's Blog, 06.02.2020, ca. 10 S. http://www.aymennjawad.org/2020/02/norwegian-police-security-service-study-on Opposition to the Islamic State: Testimony on the Erroneous Killing of a Former Member Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi's Blog, 29.01.2020, ca. 10 S. http://www.aymennjawad.org/23767/opposition-to-the-islamic-state-testimony-on Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis > Wirtschaft / Entwicklung Global Economic Prospects, January 2020: Slow Growth, Policy Challenges The World Bank, 01.2020, 334 S. Übersicht und Download: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/33044 Zurück zum Inhaltsverzeichnis Alle WebMonitore ab November 2019 sind im pdf-Format hier online zugänglich. Dieser WebMonitor wurde in Zusammenarbeit mit Pelican Mourad erstellt. Mit den besten Grüßen, Jürgen Rogalski -- Jürgen Rogalski M.A. Informationsservices Fachreferent Naher/Mittlerer Osten und Afrika Tel. +49 30 88007-318 juergen.rogalski@swp-berlin.org Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit

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