myanmar’s great chance for 100% renewable energy” · global cooling but at todays warming at...

The global renewable energy revolution

Myanmar’s great chance for 100% renewable energy”

Hans-Josef Fell President of Energy Watch Group

Member of German Parliament 1998-2013

Yangon, Myanmar July 13th, 2017

Hans-Josef Fell Member of German Parliament (1998-2013)

President of Energy Watch Group



Where oil is, is mostly war





COP 21: Stop Climate warming at 1,5 C

The better choice is:

Global Cooling

But at todays warming at 1,3°C is already unacceptable: aridity and forest fires, floods and storms, sea level rising





ECMWF: Global Warming 2016: 1,3 °C

http://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2017/ 2016-was-warmest-year-yet-ecmwf-data-show

Paris goal 1,5°C possibly reached at 2020 ? What to do then? More Emissions?

http://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/news/2017/







The crises of climate warming & energy dependency can only be solved by two

parallel strategies: 1. Stop greenhouse gas emissions

(not only a reduction of emissions)

switch to 100% renewables

completely stop the use of fossil and nuclear energies in energy, chemistry, transport, agriculture

2. Take out carbon from the atmosphere

convert plants to humus soil (biocoal)

reforest big areas, green the deserts

organic agriculture

The Target must be 330 ppm CO₂

This leads to global cooling, instead of global warming





Average cost for Generation, Distribution and Storage:

5,2 ct/kWh

Source: Energy Watch Group (2015): The projections for the future and quality in the past of the World Energy Outlook for solar PV and other renewable energy technologies.

100% Renewables in Eurasia





Political support stimulates renewable growth Share of renewable electricity in Germany

3.4 4.7

6.2 6.6 7.7 7.6

9.3 10.2

11.6

14.2 15.1

16.3 17

20.4

23.7 25.2

27.4

31.5 31.7

35.1

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

Share

in P

erc

ent

Outlook in 2000 for2010:

Source: BMWi, AGEE-Stat, BEE

Hans-Josef Fell – MdB (1998-2013)

Präsident der Energy Watch Group

Annual electricity demand 2011:

ca. 1.600.000 kWh

Annual supply through RE 2011:

ca. 7.600.000 kWh

Annual heat demand 2011

ca. 3.200.000 kWh

Annual supply through REN 2011:

ca. 2.880.000 kWh

7 Years ´Energiewende´ in Großbardorf

Inhabitants financed it with cooperative



Germany

Nov 2016, COP22, Marrakech:

48 countries (Climate Vulnerable Forum)

decided for 100% RE target

More Countries e.g.: Denmark; Sweden;

Costa Rica; Iceland; Cape Verde

Cities with 100% RE target e.g.:

Barcelona; Masdar City; Munich;

Masheireb; Downtown Doha; Vancouver;

San Francisco; Copenhagen; Sydney;

Companies with 100% RE target e.g.:

Google, Coca-cola, Ikea, Wallmart



Renewable Energy as a Job Engine in Germany

Nuclear sector

38.000

Source: BEE /BMU 2011





German reality: expansion of green power improves grid stability

0

0,05

0,1

0,15

0,2

0,25

0,3

0,35

0

5

10

15

20

25

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Blackout of power grid in minutes

(SAIDI)

Amount of green power in %

source: Bundesnetzagentur (2015); http://www.bundesnetzagentur.de/DE/Sachgebiete/ElektrizitaetundGas/Unternehmen_Institutionen/Versorgungssicherheit/Stromnetze/Versorgungsqualität/Versorgungsqualität-node.html ; BMU, BEE, bdew





Simulation West India Summer Month hourly generation profile with 100% Renewables

http://energywatchgroup.org/

new-study-low-cost-energy-system-india-without-nuclear-coal-base-load-2030-feasible/







Simulation West India Monsoon Month hourly generation profile with 100 % renewables

http://energywatchgroup.org/ new-study-low-cost-energy-system-india-without-nuclear-coal-base-load-2030-feasible/





Quelle: Plan 8, 2014

First wind park in Germany with Vanadium Redoxflow storage. Wind power surplus is used in times of lacking wind. Technical Management by Plan 8 GmbH. www.plan-8.de

Batterie Storage Tinningstedt

http://www.plan-8.de/







High efficient and cheap hydropower; zero fish mortality; no big dams

http://www.aquatem.de/

Q = 3 * 8.00 m³/s H = 3.30 m P = 3 * 220 kW





PV and Wind now cheapest Energy

Quelle: https://www.pv-magazine.de/2017/07/05/

studie-photovoltaik-und-windkraft-spaetestens-2030-in-allen-g20-staaten-guenstigste-stromquelle/

https://www.pv-magazine.de/2017/07/05/








Installed solar home systems in Bangladesh

3583 6783 11413 19213 33004 51646 79637 127976

203863

317599

518218

755672

1020014

1312478

1550135

1655201

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Solarpower helps to reduce poverty

Financing: Microcredits

Source: Grameen Shakti, SOLAR HOME SYSTEM,

http://www.gshakti.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=58&Itemid=62

http://www.gshakti.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=58:solar-system&catid=39:green-solutions&Itemid=62

http://www.gshakti.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=58:solar-system&catid=39:green-solutions&Itemid=62





Chinas Growth of Solar is tremedous

Cumulativ installed Solar in GW

•2010: 0,86

•2016: 77

•Official target 2020: 105

•Analysts forecast: 180

Source: AECEA, Frank Haugwitz





Agro PV in China, Yinchuan; Desert Gobi

Source: Gimbel, BayWa Re





Shadowing saves water, drip irrigation: Food can grow in former desert

Drip Irrigation

Source: Gimbel, BayWa Re

Hans-Josef Fell

Member of German Parliament (1998-2013)


Hans-Josef Fell



Western Oilcompanies: since oil price decline mostly only losses

Source: Energy Watch Group, Werner Zittel

Hans-Josef Fell



Hans-Josef Fell



Double pitfall for fossil/nuclear business

Rising oil/gas/coal/uranium prices

•Energy consumers switch to renewables

Declining oil/gas/coal/uranium prices

•Financers stop financing

•State budget on the way to bankruptcy

Both leads to economic pressure for fossil/nuclear companies

$3.4 trillion fossil fuel assets are flagged for divestment by more than 500 institutions and 2,040 individuals from 43 countries





Leonardo di Caprio 17.4.2017 in Shanghai at Presentation of new BYD E-cars





Global Cooling/Globale Abkühlung Strategies for Climate Protection/Strategien gegen die Klimaschutzblockade

Source: Beuth

http://www.beuth.de/de/artikel/globale-abkuehlung

www.globalcooling- climateprotection.net

Thank You Very Much for Your

Attention!

www.hans-josef-fell.de

www.energywatchgroup.org

http://www.hans-josef-fell.de/





myanmar’s great chance for 100% renewable energy” · global cooling but at todays warming at...

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