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TRANSCRIPT
Mutual Fund ScreenerFor the quarter ended June 2016
ICRA Online LtdA Group ICRA company
Mutual Fund Screener – What’s Inside
01
Industry
QAAUM
02
Inflow Outflow
Analysis
03
Sector
Update
05
Industry
Insights
06
Regulatory
Update
04
Category
Performance
INDUSTRY QAAUM
Section I
Industry QAAUM crosses Rs. 14 lakh crore
Industry QAAUM grew for the 11th consecutive period in Q1FY17
The 6.5% QoQ growth in QAAUM driven by inflows in equities and short term debt funds
31 fund houses reported QAAUM
growth in Q1FY17 compared with
27 in the last quarter
Growth in QAAUM for the quarter ended Jun 2016
AMCs Range
Top 5 5% to 12%
Next 5 1% to 8%
Next 10 -21% to 11%
Rest -19% to 27%
Source: AMFI; ICRA Online Research. AMC list based on Jun 2016 QAAUM
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Jun-16,
1,441,027
Mar-16,
1,353,443
Jun-15,
1,207,801
1,050,000
1,100,000
1,150,000
1,200,000
1,250,000
1,300,000
1,350,000
1,400,000
1,450,000
1,500,000
Jun-16 Mar-16 Jun-15
In R
s. C
rore
Mutual Fund Industry (QAAUM)
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research; QAAUM –Quarterly Average Assets
Under Management
QoQ
6.5%
YoY
19.3%
ICICI Prudential MF retains pole position
with QoQ growth of 9.9%
The share of top-10 AMCs (in terms of QAAUM) rose to 80.5% compared with 79.5% in the last quarter
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19
3,2
96
19
2,7
76
16
7,0
09
14
9,0
93
11
9,8
78
11
2,1
69
67
,59
3
62
,87
4
54
,09
1
41
,41
6
15
5,5
22
16
5,0
13
14
4,6
93
12
5,5
02
83
,69
3
92
,73
0
74
,31
2
48
,07
7
54
,49
8
36
,03
6
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
200,000IC
ICI
Pru
den
tial
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
HD
FC
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
Rel
ian
ce M
utu
al F
un
d
Bir
la S
un L
ife
Mutu
al
Fu
nd
SB
I M
utu
al F
un
d
UT
I M
utu
al F
un
d
Fra
nkli
n T
emp
leto
n
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
Ko
tak
Mah
ind
ra
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
IDF
C M
utu
al F
un
d
DS
P B
lack
Rock
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
Yo
Y G
row
th (
In %
)
AU
M (
In R
s. C
rore
)
Top 10 AMCs
Jun-16 Jun-15 YoY
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
QAAUM of six fastest growing AMCs below
Rs. 10,000 crore
DHFL Pramerica AMC was not included in the list of top 10 fastest growing AMCs as its YoY growth
of 923% was fuelled by the acquisition of Deutsche MF.
Mirae Asset and Motilal Oswal almost
doubled corpus in the last one year and
registered highest % change in QAAUM
(YoY) of 100.7% and 97.6%, respectively
Among the larger AMCs (QAAUM > Rs.
40,000 crore), Axis, Kotak Mahindra, and
SBI Mutual Fund have shown exceptional
growth in corpus
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0.00%
30.00%
60.00%
90.00%
120.00%
0
35,000
70,000
105,000
140,000
SB
I M
utu
al F
un
d
Ko
tak
Mah
ind
ra M
utu
al
Fu
nd
Ax
is M
utu
al F
un
d
L&
T M
utu
al F
un
d
Bar
od
a P
ionee
r M
utu
al
Fu
nd
Ind
iab
ull
s M
utu
al F
und
Mo
tila
l O
swal
Mu
tual
Fu
nd
BN
P P
arib
as M
utu
al F
und
Mir
ae A
sset
Mu
tual
Fun
d
Ed
elw
eiss
Mu
tual
Fun
d
Yo
Y G
row
th (
In %
)
QA
AU
M (
In R
s. C
rore
)
Top 10 fastest growing AMCs
Jun-16 Jun-15 YoY
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
Private sector joint ventures (predominantly Indian)
manage 58% of QAAUM
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INFLOW OUTFLOW ANALYSIS
Section II
Net inflow/outflow during the quarter
Income funds saw net inflow of Rs. 38,833
crore in the quarter
Gilt funds witnessed net outflow of Rs. 1,202
crore in the quarter
-40,000 -30,000 -20,000 -10,000 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000
Income
Infrastructure Debt Fund
Equity
Balanced
Liquid/Money Market
GILT
ELSS-Equity
Gold ETFs
Other ETFs
FoF Investing Overseas
In Rs. Crore
Category wise net inflow/outflow during Q1FY17 vis-a-vis
Q1FY16 & Q4FY16
Q4FY16 Q1FY16 Q1FY17
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
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90
,44
1
85
,72
7
-27
,51
6
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Q1FY17 Q1FY16 Q4FY16
In R
s. C
rore
Net inflow/outflow
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
Equity mutual funds see net infusion of
Rs. 9,479 crore in Q1FY17
The equity segment saw net inflows in five out of six months in CY16
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-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Jun
-13
Dec
-13
Jun
-14
Dec
-14
Jun
-15
Dec
-15
Jun
-16
In R
s. C
rore
Equity net inflow/outflow for the last 3 years
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
SECTOR UPDATE
Section III
Sectoral update
Top five sectors constituted more than 62% of the total
equity AUM
Highest inflow was seen in Paper (32%) and Fertilizers
& Pesticides (17%) sectors
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0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Jun-16 Mar-16 Jun-15
Eq
uit
y A
UM
(In
Rs.
Cro
re)
Top 5 sectors (as on Jun 30, 2016) - Equity exposure
Financial Services Energy Consumer Goods Construction Pharma
Source: AMFI, ICRA Online Research
0.00
10,000.00
20,000.00
30,000.00
40,000.00
50,000.00
ICICI
Prudential
Mutual Fund
HDFC Mutual
Fund
Reliance
Mutual Fund
Birla Sun Life
Mutual Fund
SBI Mutual
FundEq
uit
y A
UM
(In
Rs.
Cro
re)
Equity exposure of Top 5 AMC's in Top 5 Sectors (as
on Jun'16)
Financial Services Automobile IT Energy Consumer Goods
Financial Services continued to be the most preferred
sector with more than 14% increase in inflow
More than 27% of the equity AUM was invested in the
sector
CATEGORY PERFORMANCE
Section IV
Equity funds generate positive real returns in last 10 years
Benchmark indices (Nifty and Sensex) posted their highest quarterly gain since Jun 2014, which positively impacted
equity-oriented mutual funds
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3.6
4
22
.10
12
.96
13
.14
-1.0
2
11
.67
9.9
2
2.2
7
21
.34
11
.33
14
.43
2.0
3
21
.04
12
.61
12
.10
-0.2
2
13
.28
8.5
7
9.6
4
-5.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year
Ret
urn
s (i
n %
)
Performance of equity oriented mutual fund categories
Diversified Funds Global Funds Sector Funds ELSS Index Funds
Source: ICRA Online Research; Data as/of Jun 30, 2016
Greater than or Equal to 1 year Compound Annualized returns
Expectations of accommodative monetary policies across the globe
push bond yields down during the quarter
RBI’s focus on transmission of past rate-cuts through improvement in banks’ liquidity conditions supported short-term
funds
Long-term funds benefitted as central banks across the globe indicated they would take necessary measures to
mitigate the effect of BREXIT
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7.8
7
7.8
1
7.8
5 8.6
3
8.7
7
8.2
6
8.0
6
8.6
79.3
8
8.7
5
8.4
1
8.6
1
0.00
3.00
6.00
9.00
12.00
3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Year
Ret
urn
s (i
n %
)
Performance of Short Term Debt oriented Mutual
Fund categories
Liquid Funds Ultra Short Term Funds Short Term Funds
Source: ICRA Online Research; Data as/of Jun 30, 2016
Less than 1 year Simple Annualized returns, Greater than or Equal to 1 year
Compound Annualized returns
8.9
2
7.8
9 8.9
1
7.5
8
9.7
4
8.0
2 9.0
1
7.9
2
0.00
3.00
6.00
9.00
12.00
1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year
Ret
urn
s (i
n %
)
Performance of Long Term Debt oriented Mutual
Fund categories
Income Funds Gilt Funds
Source: ICRA Online Research; Data as/of Jun 30, 2016
Greater than or Equal to 1 year Compound Annualized returns
INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
Section V
B15 locations generate 16.2% of the industry AUM in Jun 2016
Activity beyond the top 15 cities (referred to as B-15)
has increased in recent years, which indicates expansion
of the investor base. Improved distribution and
regulatory changes to the fee structure have helped in
increasing participation in smaller places
26%
64%
74%
36%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
T15 B15
In %
Higher equity participation in B-15 cities (As on Jun 2016)
Equity Oriented Scheme Debt Oriented Scheme
58%
33%42%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
T15 B15
In %
67% of the B15 assets are from individual category
Institutions Individuals
90%
10%
76%
24%
0%
50%
100%
T15 B15
In %
24% of the individual investors are from B15
Institutions Individuals
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Instrument allocation pattern in debt segment
Source: ICRA Online Research
2.4
41.3
18.8
5.4
12.3
9.4
0.3 0.9
9.2
2.2
40.2
19.1
2.2
17.1
9.4
0.1 0.4
9.4
2.3
36.7
20.0
5.3
13.911.9
0.6 0.9
8.5
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Equity Bond/Debentures GILT Money Market CD CP Cash Current Assets Others
In %
Jun-16 Mar-16 Jun-15
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Average maturity goes below FY16 levels
Higher interest rate–cut expectations in FY16 led to higher average maturity
Once rate-cut started transmitting, average maturity reduced in Q1FY17
0.00
4.00
8.00
12.00
16.00
20.00
Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16
In Y
ears
Average maturity trends in Income, GILT-long term (LT) & GILT-short term (ST) funds
Average Maturity_Income Funds Average Maturity_GILT LT Average Maturity_GILT ST
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Liquidity analysis of last 12 months
Jun 2016 May 2016 Apr 2016 Mar 2016 Feb 2016 Jan 2016 Dec 2015 Nov 2015 Oct 2015 Sep 2015 Aug 2015 Jul 2015
Equity 1.72 1.84 1.99 1.85 1.85 1.84 2.07 2.08 2.00 2.05 2.05 2.04
Speciality 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.05
Gilt 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.11 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05
Liquid 19.06 20.31 20.96 13.61 21.66 19.38 18.84 19.17 18.64 16.07 19.52 19.92
Balanced 0.19 0.17 0.17 0.09 0.20 0.21 0.24 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.17
ETF 0.53 0.49 0.52 0.58 0.57 0.53 0.50 0.48 0.54 0.57 0.53 0.51
Fund of Funds 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.19 0.18
Dynamic/Asset
Allocation0.24 0.26 0.25 0.19 0.11 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.21 0.30
Debt 9.34 9.49 10.04 9.60 10.21 9.97 9.35 10.03 9.92 9.72 11.08 11.02
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RBI’s financial stability report (Jun 2016):
The mutual fund perspective
The mutual fund sector is expanding to a greater section
of the investor population
Other than SCBs, insurance companies and AMCs are the
two most dominant sectors
As of Mar 2016, AMCs had 19% exposure to the Banking
sector
Debt-oriented MF schemes’ exposure to corporate bonds
increased 4% in Sep 2015-Mar 2016
Exposure to corporate bonds that were downgraded in the
last six months increased marginally from 1.6% to 1.8% in
the same period
AMCs’ exposure to Banking sector
(Rs.
Billion)
Investment in
short-term
instruments
Investment in
capital instruments
Investment in bonds and
other long-term
instruments
PSBs 1058 140 153
PVBs 357 550 137
FBs 25 690 300
Debt mutual funds’ AUM and exposure to corporate bonds
Source: RBI’s Financial Stability report-Jun 16
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REGULATORY UPDATE
Section VII
Regulator remains pro-active during the quarter
SEBI eases MF redemption
restriction norms
SEBI could allow e-commerce
companies to sell MFs
SEBI to introduce online
option for registration of MFs
SEBI to ease ad and MF
scheme sale norms
No restriction on redemption requests of up to Rs. 2 lakh
AMCs can impose restrictions for the balance amount only for a specified
period
Online registration of brokerage firms, mutual funds, and other market
intermediaries to be launched
It will cover submission of inspection and action taken reports, periodic
filings, and payment of fees as well
SEBI exploring e-portals for easy availability and reducing the cost of
mutual funds
Proposal for digitisation of financial services submitted in May 2016
SEBI planning to ease norms regarding advertisement, promotion, and sale
of MF schemes
Standard risk statement norms for AMCs might ease and certain restrictions
on MF branding activities could be removed
ICRA Online Limited 23
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