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Multiplier Effect duuissam%uu%odnisns%~usflsv~ii~ '3 a

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Page 1: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

Multiplier Effect duuissam%uu%odnisns%~usflsv~ii~ '3 a

Page 2: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

Multiplier Effect P ~ ~ U U I U O D B I ~ U U ~ ~ ~ I ~ ~ S ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ S W ~ ~ ~ ~

~ 8 o i u d 22 wqn~n iuu 2559 C(dsz~unorziHuum~6~u~bdu~oun"uuim~ni~daub~~o~~~iu~m"

r jou&~si~nwms wInuoyu~nsouaafiudud5zuim +luau 12,750 ~ iuu in ~ i o i i f i u u i 1 ~ u u i m ~ n i 5

f i n d l a k u l G ~ u i m i m o u 3 u auini5dani5~nwm5uaza~n5&ni5~nwm3 uazau in imldnu hsnadiu

l d f / ~ ~ 5llfllk4 ' l ~ d l ~ ~ 4 ~ d ~ ~ ~ l ~ ~ ~ 1 ~ 5 5 ~ ~ d ~ ~ ~ l ~ 5 l ~ d l ~ d 5 ~ i l " l ~ 4 ~ d 5 S ~ l ~ W.PI. 2561 ~ l d l ~ ~ F l b ~ € l

6uyufidw"n'usuinisio~d (di~naiuravi~ni5mmz5"~uum"s, 2559) ~ m u u i m ~ n i ~ " d u ~ ~ ~ o m " a n d i a lm'uri

ni~uouf ius iaur~~olG~dGsiu~~d~i iu 30,000 uinoiog $uGu 3,000 u i ~ d i ~ i u ~ d ~ l i i 4 i u l ~ ~ 4 n - h

30,000 u i n i o i l umubiiu 100,000 u i n i o i f i~uiaezuoufiudau~~~o~4uGu 1,500 uiw igu ian iu l6

nisrjivo,wa~on dszynd Cuni lnai uiuniy.1um5' l~$uluuiun1.1~&~8u~m~oa~owa"n~uni~$u~m$ou

~ n 3 v ~ i i o l G f i u h &~~uni~1ou~ iu~ io inn im~~n~u~d~n imd~zv ivub~um5a r8n%oisruiiisu?m5nisfhn" A 4 w oonu i w u i i ~auwuauam~dszna~idin"~doz~~u?dnam' (Demand) ~ ~ o m ? i u 6 o t n i ~ u ~ ~ n m ~ u m " i

donaz{u1~~ i i~n is~u ium"?~ idbm5w~i io dt?m~uluw8mriorn'uaa~auniu~ud~zb~m (Gross Domestic d 4

Product: GDP) k u ~ n u u ~ i u d i i i ~ ~ f l ~ iyo ~ ~ d ~ l ~ s " , 5 ~ $ d l ~ ~ ~ ~ d ~ ~ ~ ~ 8 ~ 5 i ~ ~ m " ' 2 1 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ a t n i e ~ 8 u z d ~viuiludii~ou3msdnim%"~~ii~d~o ~uo~un~u~KiuGuoinn i~ l~~ iu"uoanimi~ on i i f i u l t l 'K i i u io

Iuszuu~a?w@io ~ . r ~ z n ~ 1 ; { u l M . ~ i i ~ n i ~ ~ ~ u ~ ~ u u ~ i o ~ i i ~ i i o n . 1 ~ u n i ~ ~ ~ ~ v ~ i i o ~ ~ ~ $ u ~ a z d i l 4 $ A S 4

mm1~13v~iiovwum"a i ? i n m s o u i u m " ~ " u ~ a n i m ~ i . ~ ~ ~ 1 ~ w ~ ~ o ~ ~ ~ u o u u ~ a ~ i u i n n 1 i ~ ~ u d n i m i ~ l ~ d i u ~ ~ u ~ u

lumouan ~unsd~~~u~dmiunuu?~ iudn im~~~a~a"dn i~~~un i~~$d iun ims"~daun~z{u~~~~v~ ' io n'jd ~8041 GDP d ~ d u ~ u ~ i ~ i ~ 6 ~ u ~ i u d i u n i n ~ ~ ~ ~ 6 u $ u l u m o u ~ ~ s n iipldauar;liunii "wan?gmvoani5l$

diunin%jn M?0 "Multiplier effect of government spending" (ninmsi qmia f f , 2552)

Multiplier Effect 8 ~ ~ ~ 1 5

64 9 di Muhiprier Effect MUI~B~ ~ a ~ ~ ~ o r ~ ~ ~ z u u ~ f i l r ~ , s ' i 9 O n ~ i u i ~ ~ b ~ o o ~ u i ~ d 5 i n ~ n i ~ ~ ~ b n ~ ~ u

4 4 24' miuwqvibn5viaian<.uoaar'i$nbnuai (Keynesian Economics) wuwu,siunaiui?noin John Maynard

Keynes ~n~ f i sv ,sn i~n ia~a iYanqv Tuuiuoawqv~,jdgnriiuiT~unilr~~~"uniaz~fi~v,siiomnffi ~ d a T & i i ~

Page 3: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

m s w ~ ~ o m n d i ~ 5 n v a a d ~ m ~ o u Ro i i n i su~md in i i dmasoa~~u ~ily~inisiisaiul~ulia.dJ"m~lo ir"iuauuin 3~m~os~o~m"ss~nsdw"isiudi~am"u b~ue~al% Real GDP din+-dnasoa~guuin win\i i inis

nsa{umaiu~osnis~u~i~~aau~ni~dw~rnIuai~ bi?uni.mii~~iu~odo~um"i~u~s~~~m~Guin& ~ i o i i r i s

niszisoonuin$u h s i n i s d u u o s GDP i;oaZIs$u Imuliijmaiunmm"un"iufiu~.35~) w?oni~uimqnGyq

~5uaaw"n (qa i i ainiii5s~av, 2549, u. 1)

Keynesian Theory ~ ~ u n q ~ ~ n i s ~ f i s v a m i ~ r n f d ~ ~ n i ~ a ' n i s ~ ~ ~ m ~ o u n i ~ q d a ~ d (Demand

Driven Side) u i n n i i n i s ~ ~ w i n i n b o n v u ~ ~ o n i m ~ ~ ? o (Supply Side) ~H'oni3uviuai?rotfion55u

nis~nsvzfio i~uinrinoala'a'rBunaln54"in"~luni~n"1~um~lu~~iun"iunisl~iiuGar"i~y q ~H'o~~ut-Ymm 3 nis~o5y~iuIrnuos GDP uan~unisn"in"uuluuiu~isnisfiuuosauimisnnis oii? n15n°i~um8m5inon~w

uluuiu~~oni~~~~lmo$1~ii~niiusniwuna~s.lljuludas~aniri19 q mnnnaaos~nsw@io (wuu Cluns

rU 0€!6UI, 2552, U. 231-232)

i i~~i~yn"qmuoanis~. i iwqw~~is~f i~v~niam Keynesian Theory Ro nisZs~fi5vzsgiooonrinm

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ i i ? ~ ~ l ~ ~ 5 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ M i ~ ~ d ~ ~ n ' L H ' ~ ~ w " b ? ~ n " i ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ d 5 ~ 1 8uoacii~d~~onssudo~dos~is

~nsw~f lodu q ~ $ u ni6i laciu visonisncr?udodu~i~snixGm ~9u& iil~"~nhs~finsiu1n"uin8u ~tIu

modddnu 7 v l i n d ~ u n i i Multiplier Effect (nlafinff o~yasdiisun, 2552)

dai4vaq Mukipher Effect

Multiplier Effect ~naiurii~yioni5n"i~umu~uui~uos5",6~7au~uynqmw,na.dJ"u nriiaRo l u n s ~ d W c i

w n ~ ~ ~ m u o a d ~ a ~ ~ n ~ ~ i n i ~ ~ n v i i i ~ i u i n n i i ~ s a u u R i i i i d i r v i i 6 ' c i o u ! l ~ ~ ~ u i i ni i l . i i i iud 3

b$u$u%osnlm5",6 1 UIM ~ l ~ l 5 0 ~ ~ ~ { ~ ~ ~ d 5 ~ ~ 1 ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ 1 ~ ~ n " i b b ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ i 5 i ~ (Crowdinq-in effect)

dsoa$awa~~bfi~w~fiouuiu~ab~u$u~s 2 urn ~ ~ u 1 n n i i ~ u d n i n ~ ~ 2 Q ~ i u l ~ 1 m o u ~ ~ ~ n MUIUR?IU~I .[U~IS

nsa{urmsv2?ouo~~uinm"sn~iaoiooa~~~~u~~u~u~w"us 3,000 u i n i o n u u i i i i ~ ~ w f j ~ ~ m " e J a ~ u u i o u 4 ~iin~aiu~aouuuosniaa~m5v~iiiluin$u (r~riludasih) ? o n s s u n i s ~ f i s w ~ i i o d 9 i ~ ~ ~ o s o i o o ~ u u i u ~ ? ~ ~

duydi 30,000 u i ~ ~ : o 300,000 u i n ~ ( f i iann qnaainff, 2552)

Page 4: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

wnns~wuvos Multiplier Effect

o ~ u l u m l u n q w ~ Keynesian Theory $ w ~ m o z ~ n ~ u ~ o $ i t u 5 d d i u ~ ~ o a d ~ u L ~ u ~ i o d i o b ~ 0 b ~ n vz 4 ~ ~ i u i a a n i ~ ~ a i i u ~ i o i n e ? ~ o ~ u i n n i i ~ i ~ ~ n i s w i m a ~ q n d i j o ~ ~[iijlsiimiu ~ u ~ a i u ~ g u ~ j i a qsiioaiilila

ld"l~gu~du1!ufil6 lunwm3qriuhu ~~n~u~lnm~i immaiuf3n~ i~~ l i l "a~u i~~maiu Id~~duau~o~s iu l6

~ ~ o ~ o i n l n " m i n n i s d d ~ e r u ' ~ ~ a n i a a ~ m s w ~ i i ~ d ~ i o m n d i n t l u o u i m m n is~u iusotn iaaomonu

nid~fisw$o (Recession or Depression) oa~'im$u lmuduil inni~kdil$i iu~~lu7~mds~il" i3"uoon 01s d i o i ~ i s ~ I L ~ U M I ~ M % ~ ~ U ~ I ~ U L % U m~onoukdi~$i iud~~u~~wu' i iu~on 012 5 0 8 ~ 6 o ~ d ~ i 3 u n j W d

Y Y 4 4 ~m$adl$Ivh?i rdodsa~~~uliso~iumaiuld~~duaudaiil~'imvulm ~anoamiuui iio $wSmilavqn

nissuiunisnsyu nnfiikniswlm a n n i s & $ a ~ ~ ~ u ua~kdammwiu~~onmdili. j iu wnnsanudoa

~ ' i ~ i u m i u u i (miunqw~ domino effect) AEI ~w iu$~n~~n6 id~dn~ ia~o : :w" in isam~i~6 i i~ iusodmubod

ntuin$u ;rqJn.lhilun"iiodiia 7 iiozanrjoumiuadd niaani~r ln$icc~uifoa~~uuin~umiua"i~~ na iudu

ato~d~zi i l$aoiunisd~aai iua~lddou 7 (olm8nA o/~~sdirsua, 2552)

Page 5: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

d d ilqwidoi~~"iIw"nis~Cuimsnis~i~nis~un"~n~~abZn"~~a i io (uiInnaa~du~nlnq~nsii"i~qIunis 2 4; nsz~u~~svg~ooio~~mnaiuU$uIo W"iIiilin6iItiiiULju u i i i ~ z n i u i ~ n u o ~ u d o I ~ u ~ m s i m o n ~ u u ~ m i

0 - 2 uciwin(u3lnnlulCdiu ~an~sucio~do~doadauIw"~'imnis"~u~um"ait~'ouIu~nmuu ~cdiguiamimwijl?' 1 4 dY fioiooalurnnuu wio~iimucioioIi~iuiou~doi1du6 i ~ u i a o i o o z i i u i n s n i s ~ ~ u ~ ? u ~ i ~ ~ i u ~ d ~ i u o i f i

ni~amniGlw"hn~nq4Ao kswi~ i i (~ '~~ol ; i iRuamuin~u M"iIw"dauamnisdamnuqiu ~ ~ i o i o o z h ~ w a a ma v 3 f i6 w i n u i u h s L ~ c n " ~ a a ~ w s i a b u ~ ~ o M " i l ~ r ~ u ~ u a m & n " ~ 8 u a n i w m d o ~ d i s o ~ u i n n i l i u

Multiplier Effect r ~ u u ~ u u i u n i s m k d ~ n o z ~ n i i u i ~ ~ b ~ ~ ~ m d s o ~ ~ o ~ u n i s n s ~ ~ u b ~ s w g ~ o v o a

i gu i a ~mu~in~z~d?uu~~uun"uu~uuiuvo~~guiadwiuui~oz~u~i~u' iuuiu~~mdau"~~i~ Iunriuiguia

wssnd3aaidilnu' d~8u~nwola~4unisuenRuIw"~~ii~du~~uan"u ziaunriui'umiu 1 uCoziinii lr i f iu d ~ r i ~ ~ z d u ~ n w o r a n i s ' L w " ~ 6 u ~ u ~ ~ ~ G a ~ ~ ~ d n o ~ ~ u ~ ~ u ~ u u ~ 6 o ~ w " ~ ' i m n i s w ~ m ~ ~ a z ~ i w ~ i u nl i ia~du nntyu

wdCiu ~ h i i u oQijl~i;miu ~~n~nr~u~inisiiiju~~nd~aIduon1u~nw~zlw"~diiu"u d~acliauoiooaI5

r ju$ Ih~ I imst~u~m~szaam'~~uia i f I~ 014 IunsG~6Tuuuuonlju~ifiuI~oouu~udozI~IQiiumiu

Iqdsaaam'uoaiguia ~lo~unsGuonfiuIw"n"u~~iiimaiur~omiouwi~nisRu uimsnisrXlndiafioiow

L idsrnuwadido~v i id~?s nd ia lo uwuCifiuui.lndiaoaId~~ur~uulusauu~~~sw~fio fiozldoqluriq! ' dv oouwiwB~~wu ~ u " u ~~wsp ianasoahL~un isuon~~~oo inn l~~bonf iuun"a i io n isnsz~uIGqmnis i i

Ru$~n i iad I f i f lC i iuo?q ~ m s ~ ~ u d o a ~ o n r $ u ~ j u a ~oio~flu~duoc~do~diia"uwunoi~~rwu wio I v d a nis~iwu~n~u~~i~u1ulunisIw"fiu~w"~rn~wumaiuBi~4uc;io~ICo?;1 1 ~du nunnciu fdnnsoadiiyms

waiumu duiiu tqd n i s ~ ~ o n r ? ~ ~ a o i ~ s z U ~ u ~ i C i a i u ~ ~ n t o I ~ o ~ n r ~ w ~ ~ d s z U ~ a ~ i ~ ~ o i z o ~ ~ m u ~ ~ u ~ u K i

dw8mludsa~w~ ~du haaiswiowalrioinawnsdcii.~ 7 i i u o i ~ i s i i ~ 7 ~8u6u

uono in i ~wn0nnis~ i~~uuIuu lun isna"~uo~igu in~~olw"rEm~m~in is~o3~~?u1m~i~~msv~i io

h u h ~ a u GDP o 1 n s i u ~ 1 u m i u u u a n ~ v ~ ~ ~ s w g ~ i a m i u o ~ ~ i ~ n ~ m u 6 d ~ ~ d ~ u ~ i i i i u I u n i n i i 7 rdu a ' A dY ninmiadou uazninqsAe ~ f l u h u i A i u a u ~ 4 d i GDP ~~ri?~d~uu~~uuGa~auwrwuuuii~8uni~~?u~m

w i ~ i i i u ~ n ~ w ~ f i ~ u n ~ d s z ~ w n ~ u uCoz~flnd~z~uclu7u~~4"~o~n7s~~n"ilqwin"iu~msw~'iomn~i uiwansawu 2

(Impact) dnio~fimtumiuui Rn oio~ilw"~iim~su?Inmiiuuuinvu ~wsi~~~~d3guin~~~sd"uIdu"~nis I t i i i~

~unimmia~ou$~?unji?da~R" (Demand) L~UZ!I<Q Im~tlotiinaiu~do~ulunisICiiur~u"~~oild~a"~~iclu

oz~8u~a~u~n~nuM"iI~~flnn1sICi1uvO.~n1m~u 1 miuui

Page 6: Multiplier Effect นโยบายยอดนิยมในการกระตุ้นเศรษฐกิจ · Multiplier Effect P~~UUIUODBI~UU~~~I~~S~~~~~SW~~~~ ~8oiud

nw iun5 N OQBVI. (2532). n i s ~ i w i s a i u f i ~ a j g ~ i ~ L ~ u C ~ I n i s ~ h l i ~ ~ i u f i ~ ~ i p i ~ ~ ~ n i ~ 1

( i u h f a d I). n ~ e ~ m : u ~ G M ~ R ~ R v D ~ ~ I ~ ~ u ~ .

wafis ysimu. (u.d.d.). nis~~%isnisGuaaaznis~~a. i l u h 19 ~YU?IAU 2559

81n http://www.igetweb.com/www/mpallchonburi/private - folder/pa630%20pollapatl.pdf

fiiam5i -qna?ia6. (4 zuimu 2552). wm'it~wananisdiunicrig (Multiplier effect of government spending).

8u~%..4 13 s"uaimu 2559 8in http~//sa~tra.blo~spot.com/2009/03/multipliereffecti)f-government.html

~irinciu~nui~ni~ntu~S"~uum~. (22 i lq~tniuu 2559). ui l~wzi~uumi Lioa UI~~ISL~UIIUI.~~~~~ ~ i ~ i ~ I ~ ~ n ~ ~ u ~ f i ~ a n i s ~ a ~ : : a ~ ~ u ~ ~ ~ f i ~ ~ ~ n i u a . i l u ~ u 19 ~U~IPIU 2559 in

http://www.cabinet.soc.go.th/

qaiR sinihseraa. (2549). oa4u~~5w~iiomndi1rn"~)cilb. ~isfiisfioiCuws::dnm#1. 4(1), 67.

olorh6 o~q?e6fi5rsun. (6 ~ U ~ A U 2552). Keynesian Theory = uonrjuncquuswj'no. 3ud;u

9 i%iaimu 2559 8in http~/w.manager.co.th/iBizChanneW1ewNe~~.asp~?NewsID=9520000025549