MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , M a r c h 2 0 2 0

May 22, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Retail Trade

M a r c h 2 0 2 0

Highlights

Manitoba’s retail sales across all industries totalled $1,639.8 million for March 2020. The retail sales figure for March was 8.0% lower than the previous month. Manitoba’s decrease from February to March placed fourth among all provinces. [Based on seasonally adjusted data, thus removing its seasonal patterns]

When compared to March of 2019, Manitoba sales were down 8.9%.

In comparison of 12-month periods ending in March, Manitoba sales rose 0.9%.

Retail sales growth in Manitoba is led by health & personal care stores and offset by declines in motor vehicles.

Monthly Retail Trade Survey

The Monthly Retail Trade Survey collects sales, e-commerce sales, and the number of retail loca-tions by province, territory, and selected Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) from a sample of retailers.

Retail sales estimates are a key monthly indicator of consumer purchasing patterns in Canada. Furthermore, retail sales are an important component of the Gross Domestic Product, which measures Canada's production, and are part of many economic models used by public and pri-vate agencies. The Bank of Can-ada relies partly on monthly retail sales estimates when mak-ing decisions that influence in-terest rates. Businesses use re-tail sales estimates to track their own performance against indus-try averages and to prepare investment strategies.

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&lang= en&db=imdb&adm=8&dis=2&SDDS=2406

Percent change, Feb 20 – Mar 20 (Seasonally Adjusted)

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

Manitoba saw a 8.0% de-

crease in retail sales from

February to March, repre-

senting the fourth highest

change among all provinces

(Saskatchewan led the coun-

try with a 1.5% decline).

Canada’s total percent

change was –10.0%, while

Quebec sales saw the biggest

contraction among provinc-

es, down 15.7% over the one

-month period.

Retail Trade Statistics: The monthly retail trade statistics are collected and disseminated by Statistics Canada. For the

purpose of this bulletin, the retail trade statistics are unadjusted for inflation.

From March 2019 to March

2020, Manitoba’s 8.9% de-

crease in retail sales placed

fourth among all provinces,

and was better off com-

pared to Canada’s decrease

of 10.9% over the same

period. British Columbia

placed first with a 5.5% de-

crease, while Quebec’s de-

crease of 16.7% ranked last

among all provinces.

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

Percent change, Mar 19 – Mar 20 (Unadjusted)

*See appendix tables for a compre-

hensive list of retail trade statistics

-8.9

-10.9

-18.0

-16.0

-14.0

-12.0

-10.0

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

BC NL ON MB NB CA PE SK NS AB QC

year-over-year change (%)

-8.0

-10.0

-18.0

-16.0

-14.0

-12.0

-10.0

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

SK NL BC MB ON NB CA NS PE AB QC

month-over-month change (%)

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , M a r c h 2 0 2 0

May 22, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Positive contributors:

Health and personal care stores in Manito-

ba led the country, up 13.1% between peri-

ods. The industry increase across the nation

was 1.9%. Health and personal care stores

contributed 0.7% towards Manitoba’s over-

all increase.

Gasoline sales in Manitoba also led the

country with a 4.2% rise in sales between

periods. Gasoline sales across the nation

were down 3.3%. Gasoline stations contrib-

uted 0.5% towards Manitoba’s overall in-

crease.

Negative contributors:

Motor vehicle and parts dealers was one of

four industries to experience a decline in

sales, down 3.9% between periods. Total industry sales across Canada declined by 0.4%. Motor vehicles had a negative

impact of 1.0% toward Manitoba’s overall increase.

Electronics and appliance stores sales fell 26.3% between periods. At the national level, industry sales fell 9.0%. Elec-

tronics and appliance stores had a negative impact of 0.6% on Manitoba’s overall increase.

Industry impact on Manitoba’s 12 month rolling sum increase

A 12 month rolling sum is calculated by summing up the sales figures for a 12 month period, up to and including the cur-

rent month. The 12 month sales figure is then compared with the same 12 month period from the previous year to de-

termine percent change. When using a 12 month rolling sum, sales data is seasonally unadjusted. For example, the sales

from December 2015 – December 2016 were $100,000. The sales from December 2016 – December 2017 were $125,000,

resulting in a 25% increase in 12 month rolling sum sales.

Manitoba placed fifth among all provinces with a 0.9%

increase in sales based on a 12 month rolling sum. This

was down 0.6% percentage points from the 12 month roll-

ing sum increase of 1.5% recorded in February. Manitoba

was slightly below Canada’s nationwide increase of 1.0%.

Manitoba’s ranking can be attributed to high sales from

health and personal care stores (+13.1%) offset by low

sales from Motor vehicles and parts dealers (-3.9%). Note:

Excluding gasoline sales, Manitoba retail sales would be up

0.4% and ranked seventh among provinces.

Prince Edward Island led the country with a 3.4% increase

in sales, while Alberta trailed all provinces with a 1.5%

decrease in sales.

Contact: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics mbs@gov.mb.ca

MBS intranet website: http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

MBS public website: http://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/

*See appendix tables for a comprehensive list of retail trade statistics

Retail sales growth, 12 month rolling sum [Apr 2018—Mar 2019] - [Apr 2019—Mar 2020]

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

1.0 0.9

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

PE ON NB NS CA MB QC BC NL SK AB

change, 12 month rolling sum (%)

Contributions by industry, Manitoba Retail sales (up 0.9%) [Apr 2018—Mar 2019] - [Apr 2019—Mar 2020]

Source: Statistics Canada, Table: 20-10-0008-01

-1.0-0.6

-0.2-0.1

0.00.1

0.40.4

0.50.5

0.7

-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0

Motor vehiclesElectronics & appliances

Clothing storesSports, hobby & music stores

FurnitureMisc. retail stores

General merchandise storesFood & beverage stores

Building MaterialsGasoline stations

Health & personal care stores

(%)

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , M a r c h 2 0 2 0

May 22, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 1A: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Unadjusted March 2020

Mar Feb Mar Feb to Mar 2019 to

2019 2020r 2020p Mar 2020 Mar 2020

Canada 48,712 42,902 43,424 1.2 -10.9

Newfoundland and Labrador 703 606 648 6.9 -7.8

Prince Edward Is land 189 165 168 1.8 -11.1

Nova Scotia 1,279 1,088 1,104 1.5 -13.7

New Brunswick 1,033 913 924 1.2 -10.6

Quebec 10,480 9,041 8,732 -3.4 -16.7

Ontario 17,991 16,105 16,530 2.6 -8.1

Manitoba 1,703 1,477 1,553 5.1 -8.9

Saskatchewan 1,585 1,328 1,390 4.7 -12.3

Alberta 6,582 5,749 5,594 -2.7 -15.0

Bri ti sh Columbia 6,983 6,268 6,601 5.3 -5.5

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 3 4

Table 1B: Retail sales, Canada and provinces - Seasonally adjusted March 2020

Mar Feb Mar Feb to Mar 2019 to

2019 2020r 2020p Mar 2020 Mar 2020

Canada 51,409 52,316 47,074 -10.0 -8.4

Newfoundland and Labrador 774 758 745 -1.7 -3.8

Prince Edward Is land 212 218 192 -11.9 -9.4

Nova Scotia 1,389 1,387 1,230 -11.3 -11.4

New Brunswick 1,120 1,134 1,022 -9.9 -8.8

Quebec 11,083 11,182 9,432 -15.7 -14.9

Ontario 19,107 19,889 18,104 -9.0 -5.2

Manitoba 1,759 1,783 1,640 -8.0 -6.8

Saskatchewan 1,655 1,598 1,574 -1.5 -4.9

Alberta 6,884 6,825 5,940 -13.0 -13.7

Bri ti sh Columbia 7,247 7,356 7,014 -4.6 -3.2

Manitoba Rank (out of 10 provinces) 4 5

millions of dollars % change

millions of dollars % change

r revised

Release date: May 22, 2020

p prelimilary

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding, as well as excludes the three territories

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , M a r c h 2 0 2 0

May 22, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 2: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted March 2020

Mar Feb Mar Feb to Mar 2019 to

2019 2020r 2020p Mar 2020 Mar 2020

Retail trade 1,703 1,477 1,553 5.1 -8.9

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 468 398 332 -16.6 -29.0

Automobi le dealers 403 350 273 -21.9 -32.2

New car dealers 371 313 255 -18.4 -31.2

Used car dealers 32 37 18 -51.7 -44.1

Other motor vehicle dealers 29 17 24 42.6 -14.9

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 36 31 35 10.9 -4.8

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 46 43 44 3.3 -5.5

Furni ture s tores 33 31 32 0.9 -4.6

Home furnishings s tores 13 11 12 10.0 -7.7

Electronics and appl iance s tores 24 19 23 20.4 -5.3

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 95 74 104 40.1 9.5

Food and beverage s tores 368 330 418 26.7 13.5

Grocery s tores 296 265 340 28.3 14.9

Supermarkets and other grocery (excl . convenience) s tores 273 247 321 29.9 17.3

Convenience s tores 22 18 19 5.7 -15.4

Specia l ty food s tores 11 10 11 5.8 -3.9

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 61 55 67 23.0 9.9

Health and personal care s tores 114 103 121 18.3 6.4

Gasol ine s tations 229 210 194 -7.7 -15.0

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 67 55 35 -36.8 -48.3

Clothing s tores 51 42 26 -37.9 -49.4

Shoe s tores 10 7 4 -44.0 -60.0

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 6 6 5 -21.6 -19.3

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 30 24 21 -12.0 -29.9

Genera l merchandise s tores 232 185 213 15.1 -8.0

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 36 36 47 28.9 29.5

Release date: May 22, 2020

p prelimilary

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

. . not available for a specific reference period

millions of dollars % change

MBS Reports R e t a i l T r a d e , M a r c h 2 0 2 0

May 22, 2020 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Table 3: Retail sales by industry, Manitoba - Unadjusted

Accumulative totals: Year-to-date and 12 month rolling sum

Jan 19 Jan 20 Apr 18 Apr 19

to to to to Contributing

Mar 19 Mar 20 Mar 19 Mar 20 Growth (3)

% change % change %

Retail trade 4,559 4,511 -1.0 20,977 21,155 0.9 0.9

Motor vehicle and parts dealers 1,198 1,100 -8.1 5,558 5,341 -3.9 -1.0

Automobi le dealers 1,040 944 -9.2 4,767 4,503 -5.5 -1.3

New car dealers 975 872 -10.6 4,468 4,191 -6.2 -1.3

Used car dealers 65 72 11.3 299 312 4.4 0.1

Other motor vehicle dealers 58 57 -0.8 319 308 -3.6 -0.1

Automotive parts , accessories and ti re s tores 100 99 -1.2 472 531 12.5 0.3

Furniture and home furnishings s tores 125 128 3.1 581 584 0.5 0.0

Furni ture s tores 87 93 6.7 402 424 5.5 0.1

Home furnishings s tores 38 36 -5.4 180 160 -10.8 -0.1

Electronics and appl iance s tores 72 65 -9.5 448 330 -26.3 -0.6

Bui lding materia l & garden equipment & suppl ies 242 262 8.1 1,484 1,589 7.1 0.5

Food and beverage s tores 1,033 1,096 6.0 4,454 4,542 2.0 0.4

Grocery s tores 836 895 7.0 3,447 3,554 3.1 0.5

Specia l ty food s tores 30 29 -5.2 170 150 -11.8 -0.1

Beer, wine and l iquor s tores 167 172 3.0 837 838 0.2 0.0

Health and personal care s tores 326 335 2.7 1,192 1,349 13.1 0.7

Gasol ine s tations 619 610 -1.4 2,668 2,780 4.2 0.5

Clothing and clothing accessories s tores 166 142 -14.3 880 847 -3.8 -0.2

Clothing s tores 128 109 -14.6 676 642 -5.0 -0.2

Shoe s tores 23 17 -25.1 127 119 -6.1 0.0

Jewel lery, luggage and leather goods s tores 16 16 4.0 77 85 11.0 0.0

Sporting goods , hobby, book and mus ic s tores 82 68 -16.4 424 400 -5.6 -0.1

Genera l merchandise s tores 577 581 0.7 2,779 2,860 2.9 0.4

Miscel laneous s tore reta i lers 119 123 3.6 509 534 4.9 0.1

March 2020

. . not available for a specific reference period

(2) Compares the sum of the 12 months ending this month with the sum of the 12 months ending one year earlier.

(1) Compares the sum of the months beginning in January to the latest month available with the same period one year earlier.

Source: Prepared by the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics, adapted from Statistics Canada, table 20-10-0008-01 (formerly CANSIM 080-0020)

Note: Figures may not add up to totals as a result of rounding

(3) Contributing growth rates indicate how much a components’growth contributed to the overall growth for an indicator. In the context of retail

12 month rolling sum (2)

contributing growth rates equals the retail trade growth rate.

trade, contributing growth rates indicate how much the components of retail trade contributed to the overall growth of retail. The sum of the

x suppressed to meet the confidentiality requirements of the Statistics Act

r revised

Year-to-date (1)

millions of dollars

p prelimilary

millions of dollars

Release date: May 22, 2020