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TRANSCRIPT
MPO Board Members (voting):
City of Belmont, City of Bessemer City, Town of Boiling Springs, City of Cherryville, Town of Cramerton, Town of Dallas, City of Gastonia (2),
City of Kings Mountain, City of Lincolnton, City of Lowell, City of Mount Holly, Town of Ranlo, City of Shelby, Town of Stanley, Cleveland County,
Gaston County, Lincoln County, NCDOT Board of Transportation
MPO Board
Agenda Packet
Thursday, July 26, 2018
6:30 pm
Gastonia Police Department—Community Room
200 Long Avenue, Gastonia, NC
1. Set Agenda
2. Determination of Quorum and Good Standing
3. Approval of June 28, 2018 Minutes
4. Introduction of Members and Guests
5. Public Comment
6. 2018-2027 MTIP Amendments, 2045 MTP Amendments and Air Quality
Conformity Determination
7. Performance Measures—PM2 & PM3 Targets
8. Other Business
a) P5.0 Board Subcommittee
b) CATS West Corridor Transit Study—Public Comment Opportunities
c) NCDOT Update—Division 12 Staff and TPD MPO Coordinator
d) Transit Ridership Update
GCLMPO Agenda Staff Contact: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
704.854.6604 / [email protected]
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BESSEMERCITY
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Gastonia, NCMPO BOARD MEETING LOCATION:Gastonia City Police Dept.200 E. Long Ave.Gastonia, NC
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Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
AGENDA
The MPO Board of the Gaston-Cleveland-Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) will
meet Thursday, July 26, 2018 in the Gastonia Police Department Community Room. The Police
Department is located at 200 Long Avenue in Gastonia, NC. Dinner will be served at 5:45 PM and
the meeting will begin at 6:30 PM. The following is the agenda for the meeting:
1. Set Agenda
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
The agenda needs to be set to include adding “New” or “Other Business.”
2. Determination of Quorum and Good Standing
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
The bylaws for the MPO require a quorum of 50% of voting members. This requires
attendance of at least nine (9) of the following members:
[ ] City of Belmont
[ ] City of Bessemer City
[ ] Town of Boiling Springs
[ ] City of Cherryville
[ ] Town of Cramerton
[ ] Town of Dallas
[ ] City of Gastonia (1/2)
[ ] City of Gastonia (2/2)
[ ] City of Kings Mountain
[ ] City of Lincolnton
[ ] City of Lowell
[ ] City of Mount Holly
[ ] Town of Ranlo
[ ] City of Shelby
[ ] Town of Stanley
[ ] County of Cleveland*
[ ] County of Gaston
[ ] County of Lincoln
*Not in Good Standing (Missed three or more consecutive meetings)
[ ] NC Board of Transportation*
According to the MPO Board Bylaws, the NC Board of Transportation member is the only
voting member that does not count towards the quorum.
3. Approval of Minutes
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Review and adopt the minutes from the regularly scheduled meeting of June 28, 2018.
ACTION REQUESTED: Approve as presented.
4. Introduction of Members & Guests
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
All guests shall introduce themselves at this time.
5. Public Comment
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Any public comment will be presented and addressed at this time. Each person desiring to
speak shall fill out a form prior to the beginning of the MPO meeting. Each person has three
(3) minutes to speak. 5
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
6. 2018-2027 MTIP Amendments, 2045 MTP Amendments and AQ Conformity Determination
Presenter: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
The GCLMPO’s Metropolitan Transportation Improvement Program (MTIP) and 2045
Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) need to be amended to reflect modifications that
have been made to the 2018-2027 State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP). Due to
the amendments, an air quality conformity determination is also required.
ACTIONS REQUESTED:
1. Approve 2018-2027 MTIP Amendments, 2045 MTP Amendments, and Draft Conformity
Determination Report to be released for public comment.
2. Approve a 30-day public comment period (September 1-30, 2018).
7. Performance Measures – PM2 & PM3 Targets
Presenter: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
Federal transportation legislation requires that State DOTs and MPOs adopt performance-
based planning as a component of the metropolitan planning process.
ACTIONS REQUESTED:
1. Approve state targets for PM2 and PM3 to be released for public comment.
2. Approve a 30-day public comment period (September 1-30, 2018).
8. Other Business
a. P5.0 Board Subcommittee
b. CATS West Corridor Study-Public Comment Opportunities
c. NCDOT Update – Division 12 Staff and TPD MPO Coordinator
d. Transit Systems Ridership
9. Adjournment
If you have any additional items or questions regarding this agenda, please contact Randi
Gates at 704-854-6604 or [email protected], or Julio Paredes at 704-866-6980 or
6
MEETING MINUTES Gaston-Cleveland-Lincoln
Metropolitan Planning Organization (GCLMPO) Board
June 28, 2018
The scheduled Board meeting of the Gaston-Cleveland-Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization was held on
Thursday June 28, 2018 from 6:30 pm – 8:12 pm at the Gastonia Police Department located at 200 Long Avenue,
Gastonia, NC.
Members Present
Henry L. Beam III City of Cherryville, Mayor
Robin Conner Town of Ranlo, Commissioner
Ken Ervin City of Lowell, Council Member
Johnny Hutchins Cleveland County, Commissioner
Keith Miller City of Kings Mtn., Council Member
Scott Neisler City of Kings Mtn., Mayor, MPO Chair
Martin Oakes Lincoln County, Commissioner
Becky Smith City of Bessemer City, Mayor
Danny Sparrow Town of Stanley, Mayor Pro Tem
Martha Stowe City of Belmont, Mayor Pro Tem
Richard Turner City of Belmont, Council Member, MPO Vice-Chair
Reid Washam Town of McAdenville, Council Member
Staff Present
Randi Gates GCLMPO, Principal Transportation Planner
Julio Paredes GCLMPO, Planner
Kristen Wheeler GCLMPO, Administrative Assistant II
Guests Present
Steve Blakley Kimley-Horn, Senior Vice President
Ahmad El-Khatib NCDOT-TPD, Transportation Engineer
Dean Ledbetter NCDOT Div. 12, Corridor Development Engineer
Chris Martin Cleveland County, Planning Director
Jennifer Portanova NCDOT, State Systems Operations Engineer
Jim Walker Attorney at Law
7
Absences (x = Absent) / Not In Good Standing
1. Set Agenda
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Mr. Neisler stated that it was time to set the agenda. Mr. Oakes requested to add an item, separating project
R-5859 into two (2) projects, to the agenda.
Mr. Oakes motioned to approve the agenda as amended. Mr. Turner seconded and the motion
passed unanimously.
2. Determination of Quorum and Good Standing
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
At approximately 7:00 pm Mrs. Gates determined that a quorum had been met.
3. Approval of Minutes
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Mr. Neisler opened the floor for motions to approve the May 24, 2018 minutes.
Mr. Beam motioned to approve the minutes as presented. Mr. Sparrow seconded and the motion
passed unanimously.
4. Introduction of Members & Guests
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Mr. Neisler asked that all members and guests introduce themselves.
Member Jan Mar
May
Jun
City of Belmont ------ ------ ------ ------
City of Bessemer City ------ ------ ------ ------
Town of Boiling Springs ------ ------ x x
City of Cherryville ------ ------ ------ ------
Town of Cramerton ------ ------ ------ x
Town of Dallas ------ ------ x x
City of Gastonia (1/2) x ------ x x
City of Gastonia (2/2) ------ ------ x x
City of Kings Mountain ------ ------ ------ ------
City of Lincolnton x ------ x x
City of Lowell ------ ------ ------ ------
City of Mount Holly ------ ------ ------ x
Town of Ranlo ------ x ------ ------
City of Shelby ------ ------ ------ x
Town of Stanley ------ x ------ ------
Cleveland County ------ ------ ------ ------
Gaston County ------ x x x
Lincoln County ------ ------ x ------
NCDOT – Board of Transportation x ------ x x
8
5. Public Comment
Presenter: Scott Neisler, MPO Board Chair
Mr. Jim Walker noted that there was a large piece of property recently purchased in Charlotte and Amazon
has announced their intention of using that land for a new warehouse. Mr. Walker stated that the GCLMPO
has helped contribute to the infrastructure necessary to make this happen and that he appreciates all the
work the GCLMPO has put in. Mr. Walker stated that he hopes, as the GCLMPO continues to grow the
municipalities within it, that opportunities will come to “this side” of the river. Mr. Walker closed by thanking
the Board for their support of the I-85 widening project as well as Build a Better Boulevard.
CONSENT AGENDA
6. 2018-2027 MTIP Modifications
C-5600 STATEWIDE
VARIOUS, STATEWIDE
CMAQ PROJECTS TO
IMPROVE AIR QUALITY
WITHIN NONATTAINMENT
AND MAINTENANCE
AREAS.
ADD ENGINEERING, RIGHT
OF WAY, CONSTRUCTION,
OPERATIONS AND
IMPLEMENTATION IN FY 20
NOT PREVIOUSLY
PROGRAMMED, AT REQUEST
OF TRANSPORTATION
PLANNING BRANCH.
ENGINEERING
FY 2018 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $204,000 (S(M))
FY 2019 - $1,664,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $416,000 (S(M))
FY 2020 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $204,000 (S(M))
RIGHT-OF-WAY
FY 2018 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $204,000 (S(M))
FY 2019 - $1,664,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $416,000 (S(M))
FY 2020 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $204,000 (S(M))
CONSTRUCTION
FY 2018 - $4,902,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $1,225,000 (S(M))
FY 2019 - $9,983,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $2,496,000 (S(M))
FY 2020 - $4,901,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $1,226,000 (S(M))
IMPLEMENTATION
FY 2018 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $204,000 (S(M))
FY 2019 - $1,664,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $416,000 (S(M))
FY 2020 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $204,000 (S(M))
OPERATIONS
FY 2018 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $204,000 (S(M))
FY 2019 - $1,664,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $416,000 (S(M))
FY 2020 - $817,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $204,000 (S(M))
$41,221,000
9
C-5601 STATEWIDE
VARIOUS, CMAQ PROJECTS
TO IMPROVE AIR QUALITY
ACROSS MULTIPLE
NONATTAINMENT AND
MAINTENANCE AREAS. ADD
ENGINEERING, RIGHT OF
WAY, CONSTRUCTION,
OPERATIONS AND
IMPLEMENTATION IN FY 20
NOT PREVIOUSLY
PROGRAMMED, AT REQUEST
OF TRANSPORTATION
PLANNING BRANCH.
ENGINEERING
FY 2018 - $117,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $30,000 (L)
FY 2019 - $239,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $60,000 (L)
FY 2020 - $118,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $29,000 (L)
RIGHT-OF-WAY
FY 2018 - $117,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $30,000 (L)
FY 2019 - $239,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $60,000 (L)
FY 2020 - $118,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $29,000 (L)
CONSTRUCTION
FY 2018 - $703,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $176,000 (L)
FY 2019 - $1,433,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $358,000 (L)
FY 2020 - $704,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $176,000 (L)
IMPLEMENTATION
FY 2018 - $117,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $30,000 (L)
FY 2019 - $239,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $60,000 (L)
FY 2020 - $118,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $29,000 (L)
OPERATIONS
FY 2018 - $117,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2018 - $30,000 (L)
FY 2019 - $239,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2019 - $60,000 (L)
FY 2020 - $118,000 (CMAQ)
FY 2020 - $29,000 (L)
$5,922,000
Mr. Martin Oakes questioned if all of the projects listed under C-5600 were to address air quality and
Mrs. Gates explained that, yes, all CMAQ projects address air quality.
Mr. Ervin motioned to approve the consent agenda as presented. Mr. Oakes seconded and the
motion passed unanimously.
REGULAR AGENDA
7. I-85 Integrated Corridor Management (ICM) Presentation
Presenter: Jennifer Portanova, State Traffic Systems Operations Engineer, NCDOT
Ms. Portanova presented on the Integrated Corridor Management (ICM) project along I-85 in Mecklenburg
and Gaston Counties from Exit 10 to Exit 33. ICM is a way of better managing traffic using existing infrastructure
and all of the roadway network rather than one roadway only. To manage congestion on that particular
portion of I-85 NCDOT hopes to use traveler information, signal system timing and various other tools in tandem
to optimize the flow of traffic.
10
Solutions can range from high tech, high cost technology, message boards and software to low tech, manual
solutions that can be activated at will. For I-85 NCDOT will first deploy low tech solutions to address incidents
and how to most effectively manage those. Though the original plan was to implement the ICM plan several
years prior to the I-85 widening project, the project being moved up in the TIP will afford the opportunity for
the plan to be used prior to, during and following the completion of construction.
ICM has been used for years in hurricane evacuations and construction projects but has not been tested as
thoroughly for preventive use, as it will be for I-85, so NCDOT hopes to show its usefulness in everyday situations.
NCDOT found that there are roughly ninety-four (94) signals along this specific section of I-85 but only about
eight (8), in Belmont and Gastonia, are coordinated. NCDOT hopes to coordinate all the signals as part of
the process to flush traffic that would be shifted from I-85 to US-74 during an incident or construction.
Though coordinating with multiple agencies and implementing the technology necessary will be a challenge,
the fact that North Carolina owns all the freeways and arterials simplifies the management. The project will
use CMAQ funding to add cameras in Gastonia, on US-74, two (2) new overhead message boards to help
with traveler information, signal timing plans, setting up protocols and developing response plans.
Implementation is tentatively scheduled for spring 2019.
Ms. Portanova stated that overhead message signs and, ideally, GPS routing will be used to deliver directions
to travelers. If people aren’t using GPS for their commute then overhead messages will alert people of a
better route being available. Certain apps, such as Waze, can be used in tandem with these other options
to keep up with traffic in real-time.
A short discussion regarding the current resurfacing of I-85 ensued, followed by a question and answer portion
of the presentation.
8. SPOT P5.0 Local Point Assignment—Regional Impact Tier
Presenter: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
Mrs. Randi Gates noted that it is time to assign local input points to the Regional Impact Tier projects. The
point assignments are the same as presented at the May meeting where the point assignments were
approved to release for public comment. A 15-day public comment period was held from May 25 – June 8,
2018 as well as three (3) public meetings, one (1) in each county. An interactive map was available on the
GCLMPO website where comments were also received. Over seventy-five (75) comments were received and
GCLMPO staff replied to each.
Multiple negative comments were received regarding project H171317, the NC-273 widening in Mt. Holly. The
GLCMPO is not proposing to add input points to that project as it did not score high enough in the Local Input
Point Methodology to receive points from the MPO. The comments have been shared with NCDOT Division
12 which could change their stance on adding points to the project.
The subcommittee has recommended the assignment of 100 (maximum) Regional Impact local input points
to the top eighteen (18) projects in the Regional Impact tier based on the ranking process. No deviations
from the process are recommended at this tier.
Two Statewide Mobility projects were not fully funded in P5.0, and thus are eligible for consideration of
Regional Impact local input points. The subcommittee recommended that local input points should not be
applied to these projects because the assignment of local input points to these projects would encourage
the use of a substantial portion of Regional Impact funds to be spent on Statewide Mobility projects if funded
in the STIP.
Mr. Martin Oakes noted that on the interactive map when there is an intersection and road project marked
together you can only see one (1) of the projects and that there may be a presentation issue. Mrs. Gates
responded that Mr. Julio Paredes will look into this issue.
11
Mr. Johnny Hutchins inquired who makes up the subcommittee that ranked the projects. Mrs. Gates explained
that the subcommittee is made up of members of the TCC; staff, planning directors and sometimes city and
town managers from all three (3) counties. Mr. Hutchins then stated that in previous years a subcommittee of
the TCC submitted projects to a subcommittee of the Board before the project rankings were decided
because the TCC, nor any of its subcommittees, have decision-making power for the Board. Mrs. Gates
explained that the subcommittees of the TCC make recommendations to the TCC who in turn make
recommendations to the Board but the Board has the final say.
Mr. Neisler inquired if there was a deadline by which the SPOT P5.0 Local Point Assignments for the Regional
Impact Tier have to be submitted or if there is time for the Board to convene a subcommittee of its own to
review the points allocations. Mrs. Gates noted that all assignments must be uploaded into the SPOT 5.0
system by July 27, 2018 which is the day after the July Board meeting; it was timed to bring to the June Board
meeting to ensure that staff could meet the deadline even if there were technical or other unexpected issues
with the system.
Mr. Richard Turner asked if cascading projects such as H170691(NC 273/South Point Rd. Intersection
Improvements), or projects that were submitted by Division 12, would have a good chance of getting support
and/or funding in the Division Needs Tier. Mrs. Gates noted that she can only speculate but typically projects
are supported by whomever submits them. Mrs. Gates deferred to Mr. Dean Ledbetter to continue to address
project H170691 further. Mr. Ledbetter said that, at the time, no Division Needs points are allotted for project
H170691 unless public comment or other cascading projects were to change. Mr. Turner then asked why
Division 12 would submit the project but not plan to support it in the Division Needs tier. Mr. Ledbetter
explained that, though they submitted and fully supported it in the Regional Impact tier, the project’s
quantitative score from the State is not high enough that additional support from either the MPO or Division
12 would get it funded and there are other projects in the Division tier where the points from Division 12 could
have more impact. The final outcome of this discussion was that the Board would like to have its own
subcommittee review the point assignments in the Division Needs tier.
Mr. Martin Oakes requested that the Board remove the 100 local input points from project R-5859 (NC 16
Business Widening), due to the lower quantitative score. A discussion regarding how to reassign those points
for maximum impact ensued, including the option of donating the points to a neighboring MPO. Ultimately
the Board decided to add the points taken from project R-5859 to project H170792 (NC 273/Lucia Riverbend
Hwy. Intersection Improvements).
Mr. Oakes motioned to approve the responses to the public comments received. Mr. Ervin
seconded and the motion passed unanimously.
Mr. Oakes motioned to approve local input point assignments for Regional Impact tier projects
with the amendment of removing the 100 local input points from project R-5859 and adding them
to project H170792. Mr. Sparrow seconded and the motion passed unanimously.
9. CTP Map Amendment
Presenter: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
Mrs. Randi Gates stated that the GCLMPO received a formal request from the Town of Dallas to amend the
CTP maps for pedestrian facilities and on-street bike facilities along NC 279. Design has started on the already
funded NC-279 widening project from downtown Dallas and into the Gastonia area. The Town of Dallas would
like bike lanes and sidewalks added to this project; in order for NCDOT to consider that request the project
must be on the GCLMPO’s CTP map. The GCLMPO has worked with the Town of Dallas, Gaston County and
the City of Gastonia to make sure all three (3) jurisdictions involved approve the amendment. Amending the
GCLMPO’s map does not require that the facilities be added so there is no monetary commitment expected
from any of the communities at this time. For the sake of ease and cost savings, the ideal time to add these
bike and pedestrian facilities would be during the widening of NC-279.
Mr. Hutchins motioned to approve the CTP Map Amendment as presented. Mr. Oakes seconded and
the motion passed unanimously.
12
10. City of Gastonia BUILD Grant—Letter of Support
Presenter: Randi Gates, Principal Transportation Planner
Mrs. Randi Gates noted that the City of Gastonia, City of Lowell and Gaston County are jointly applying for a
BUILD grant; a federal grant that replaced the TIGER program. The application submitted last year was not
funded so has been edited and will be resubmitted. The project being submitted is a boulevard-like facility
to connect Lineberger Rd. via an above grade crossing of I-85 to NC-7 in Lowell. This connection would open
over 400 acres of developable land. Once the land is developed east-west connections will be made from
Main St. in Lowell at Exit 22 on I-85 to Aberdeen/Cox Rd. The project is included in the CTP. A letter of support
from the MPO is being requested. The MPO will also seek resolutions of support from the three (3) government
agencies that have partnered on the project.
Mr. Hutchins motioned to approve the City of Gastonia BUILD Grant Letter of Support as presented.
Mr. Turner seconded and the motion passed unanimously.
11. New Business – Splitting Project R-5859
Mr. Martin Oakes stated that Lincoln County would like to split R-5859 (NC 16 BUS Widening) into two (2)
separate projects for submittal into the next round of prioritization (P6.0). The project as it is currently scoped,
from Fairfield Forest Road to NC 73 does not score well. Mr. Oakes believes that if the project is split into two
segments: a) NC 73 to Unity Church Road and b) Unity Church Road to Fairfield Forest Road, the project will
score much higher and have a better chance at getting funded.
Mrs. Randi Gates noted that she, Mr. Richard Permenter and Mr. Mark Stafford, the NCDOT Division 12
Engineer, spoke after the March Board meeting about this issue and decided that in advance of the next
round of prioritization, staff would test score this project as two separate segments. Ms. Gates introduced Mr.
Dean Ledbetter, the new Corridor Development Engineer for NCDOT Division 12. She noted that his role was
created to help the more rural areas develop projects that are going to score better prior to submittal during
prioritization. Mr. Ledbetter, Ms. Gates, and representatives from Lincoln County will look further into this
project as two separate segments.
Mr. Oakes motioned to approve requesting NCDOT split project R-5859 into two (2) projects as
presented. Mr. Turner seconded and the motion passed unanimously.
12. Other Business
a. CMAQ Grant Award—Gaston County
i. Mrs. Randi Gates received notification at the end of May that the project the GCLMPO
submitted for the FY19 CMAQ funding was awarded. This project will add sidewalks along
Neal Hawkins Rd. to connect to Martha Rivers Park. A total of 1.48 million dollars from CMAQ
was awarded and Gaston County will provide a 20% local match of roughly $372,000.00 for
a total project cost amount of 1.86 million dollars. Design will begin in FY19 with construction
beginning in FY20.
b. NCDOT Update – Division 12 Staff and TPD MPO Coordinator
Mr. Dean Ledbetter had the following updates:
i. I-5000 is about 27% complete. Scheduled completion date November 2019.
ii. I-85 milling and paving from Exit 22 to Mecklenburg County is still ongoing. There will be
some nighttime lane closures.
iii. Right of way is complete for the passing lane project on NC-279 and construction is set to
begin this year.
iv. R-5712 (NC 16 BUS / Unity Church Road/Triangle Circle Intersection Improvements) design
in underway.
Mr. Ahmad El-Khatib had the following updates:
i. Any CTP amendments that were approved since the 2017 adoption are slated to be
before the NC Board of Transportation at the December meeting.
c. Transit Systems Ridership
Provided for information only.
13
13. Adjournment
There being no further business Mr. Neisler opened the floor for motions to adjourn.
Mr. Beam motioned to adjourn the meeting. Mr. Sparrow seconded and the motion passed
unanimously.
14
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Agenda Item #6
To: Board Members and Interested Persons
From: Randi P. Gates, AICP, Principal Transportation Planner
Date: July 26, 2018
Subject: 2018-2027 MTIP Amendments, 2045 MTP Amendments and AQ Conformity
Determination
BACKGROUND: The GCLMPO’s Metropolitan Transportation Improvement Program (MTIP) needs
to be amended to reflect the following modifications that have been made to the 2018-2027
State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP).
I-5719GASTON
COUNTY
I-85, US 321 TO NC 273. WIDEN TO EIGHT
LANES. (COORDINATE WITH I-5713)
ACCELERATE ROW FROM FY 22 TO FY 21
AND CONSTRUCTION FROM FY 24 TO FY
21.
RIGHT-OF-WAY
FY 21 - $18,800,000 (T)
FY 22 - $18,800,000 (T)
FY 21 - $ 2,900,000 (T)
CONSTRUCTION
FY 21 - $10,750,000 (T)
FY 22 - $51,062,000 (T)
FY 23 - $51,063,000 (T)
FY 24 - $51,063,000 (T)
FY 25 - $51,062,000 (T)
$255,500,000
U-5821GASTON
COUNTY
NC 279 (NEW HOPE RD), SR 2478
(TITMAN RD) TO SR 2435 (UNION-NEW
HOPE RD). WIDEN TO 4-LANES.
COST INCREASE EXCEEDING $2 MILLION
AND 25% THRESHOLDS
RIGHT-OF-WAY
FY 19 - $36,400,000 (T)
UTILITIES
FY 19 - $ 3,300,000 (T)
CONSTRUCTION
FY 21 - $ 8,950,000 (T)
FY 22 - $ 8,950,000 (T)
$57,600,000
B-5961GASTON
COUNTY
SR 1421 (MARYS GROVE RD), REPLACE
BRIDGE 350097 OVER UT OF MUDDY
FORK CREEK.
PROJECT ADDED AT REQUEST OF
STRUCTURES MANAGEMENT UNIT
RIGHT-OF-WAY
FY 20 - $ 67,500 (STBGOFF)
CONSTRUCTION
FY 21 - $675,000 (STBGOFF)
$742,500
I-5916CLEVELAND
COUNTY
I-85, SOUTH CAROLINA LINE TO GASTON
COUNTY LINE. PAVEMENT
REHABILITATION.
ACCELERATE CONSTRUCTION FROM FY
23 TO FY 21 AT REQUEST OF DIVISION
CONSTRUCTION
FY 21 - $5,294,000 (NHPIM)
$5,294,000
In addition to the MTIP amendments, the GCLMPO’s 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP)
needs to be amended to reflect the change in scope of the NC 279 Widening Project (U-5821).
The adopted 2045 MTP indicates a widening to 3-lanes. The 2045 MTP also needs to be amended
to reflect the accelerated timeline of the I-85 Widening Project (I-5719).
15
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
An air quality conformity determination is also required due to the Clean Air Act’s requirement
that an MPO’s plans and programs conform to the purpose of the state implementation plan (SIP)
for achieving air quality standards. Conformity to the purpose of the SIP means that the
transportation activities will not cause new violations of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS), worsen existing violations, or delay timely attainment of the NAAQS.
As required by the GCLMPO’s Public Participation Process, the MTIP amendments, MTP
amendments and draft Air Quality Conformity Determination Report will be released for public
comment from September 1 – 30, 2018. In addition, there will be at least three public comment
opportunities for the general public to review and comment on the documents. MPO staff is
currently working to schedule the public meetings.
TCC ACTION: Recommended approval as presented.
BOARD ACTIONS REQUESTED:
1. Approve 2018-2027 MTIP Amendments, 2045 MTP Amendments, and Draft Conformity
Determination Report to be released for public comment.
2. Approve a 30-day public comment period (September 1-30, 2018).
ATTACHMENTS:
1. 2045 MTP Amendments
2. Metrolina Area Transportation Conformity: Pre-Analysis Consensus Plan (8-Hour Ozone)
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TIP Project Reason for 2045 MTP Amendment County STI TierTIP ID
Project Length
(mi)
Preliminary ROW Date
Preliminary Construction Date
Programmed Amount (2018-2027)
Current MTP Horizon Year
Recommended MTP Horizon Year
I-85 WideningThe project is being accelerated. Accelerate ROW from FY 22 to FY 21 and construction from FY 24 to FY 21.
Gaston Statewide I-5719 9.8 2021 2021 $257,509,000 2025No change requested to
MTP Horizon Year
NC 279 WideningThe project scope has changed from widening to a 3-lane to widening to a 4-lane. The cost has also increased due to the change in scope.
Gaston Division U-5821 3.8 2019 2021 $57,600,000 2025No change requested to
MTP Horizon Year
Anticipated Adoption: October 25, 2018
Modify MTP Project Details
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Page left blank intentionally.
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Metrolina Area Transportation Conformity: Pre-Analysis Consensus Plan (8-Hour Ozone)
June 22, 2018
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Prepared Cooperatively Between the
Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization, Cabarrus Rowan Metropolitan Planning Organization, the Gaston Cleveland Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization and
the Rocky River Rural Planning Organization North Carolina Department of Transportation
and the Federal Highway Administration
Metrolina Area Transportation Conformity:
Pre-Analysis Consensus Plan June 22, 2018
The Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization (CRTPO) and the North Carolina Department of Transportation (NCDOT-representing rural portions of the Metrolina maintenance area are proposing the following plan and procedures to conduct a transportation conformity analysis. This plan is being submitted to the interagency consultation partners for soliciting consensus before commencement of a full-scale transportation conformity analysis. The plans and procedures may be revised as the MPO’s and NCDOT proceed with the analysis. After consensus is reached; notification of changes will be made to the interagency consultation partners. Metrolina Area MPOs (for this conformity process):
Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization (CRTPO) Cabarrus Rowan Metropolitan Planning Organization (CRMPO) Gaston Cleveland Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization (GCLMPO)
Donut Areas: Rural portion of Union county outside of the MPO area
The following pollutants will be included in this conformity determination:
1997 8-Hour Ozone 2008 8-Hour Ozone
Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) and Metropolitan Transportation Improvement Program (MTIP)
1. Existing Land Use and Demographics: For CRTPO, CRMPO, GCLMPO and rural (donut) Union County
Staff collected data as outlined in Attachment A. An economist was contracted to produce population, household, and employment estimates in five-year increments from 2010 to 2050 using a top down approach. The Regional partners then applied local knowledge to finalize the county totals in their areas and produce the Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) level base year data. CRMPO also applied local knowledge to produce their TAZ level projections. CRTPO and GCLMPO used the Metrolina CommunityViz Model 16v1.0 as a base year data management tool and applied the model to develop TAZ level projections. The Metrolina CommunityViz Model was developed under contract to the Centralina Council of Governments and City Explained, Inc.
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Data sources include the following:
• 2010 Census data; and 2014 / 2015 Census Estimates• 2010-2014 American Community• Survey• 2015 InfoUSA employment data;• Institute of Transportation Engineers Trip Generation Manual, Ninth Edition;• 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data• Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data;• Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) data;• area school system data;• building permit data;• tax data;• zoning; and• land use plans
2. MTP Model Validation (Base) Year:2015
3. MTIP Years: 2018-2022
4. MTP Horizon Year: 2045
5. MTP Travel Demand Intermediate Years:
a. 2008 O3 Maintenance SIP: 2025 (MTP)*/2026* (regional emissions analysiscomparison) & 2035
*The 2025 and 2026 project lists are identical. There are NO additional projects that come online in 2026.The MPO’s will keep the 2025 HY project list in their MTP’s but provide an explanation in the conformitydetermination report (CDR) that the project lists are identical for both 2025 (MTP) and 2026 (regionalemissions analysis-REA). 2026 is used in the CDR-REA because it is a 2008 Ozone SIP budget year and anMRM model run year (no interpolation) comparison
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6. Transportation Conformity Analysis Years (1997 and 2008 8-Hour Ozone) The Tables below summarize transportation conformity analysis methods and years for the different parts of the Metrolina non-attainment/maintenance areas. Specific conformity year information is listed in the following tables:
1997 O3 Maintenance SIP Emission comparison years
County
Area model status
Area emissions
budget status
Emissions analysis source 20252 (modeled)
2035 (modeled)
2045 Horizon
(modeled) Mecklenburg-Union MPO/Rocky River RPO MVEBs (all of Mecklenburg and Union County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1
O3 O3
O3
Cabarrus Rowan MPO (Cabarrus and Rowan County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1 O3 O3 O3
Gaston Urban Area MPO/Lake Norman RPO (Gaston Iredell (part) and Lincoln County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1 O3 O3 O3
1. The baseyear of the MRM is 2015
2. 2025 is a SIP MVEB for NOx and VOC
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2008 O3 Maintenance SIP
Emission comparison years
County
Area model status
Area emissions
budget status
Emissions analysis source 20262 (modeled)
2035 (modeled)
2045 Horizon
(modeled) Charlotte Region TPO-Rocky River RPO MVEB (all of Mecklenburg and portions of Union and Iredell County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1 O3 O3 O3
Cabarrus Rowan MPO (portions of Cabarrus and Rowan County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1 O3 O3 O3
Gaston Cleveland Lincoln MPO (portions of Gaston and Lincoln County in the maintenance area)
Modeled all
2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Plan MRM1 O3 O3 O3
3. The baseyear of the MRM is 2015
4. 2026 is a SIP MVEB for NOx andVOC
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Additional table notes and explanations: County:
1997 Ozone: The Metrolina area is maintenance for the 1997 Ozone Standard which consists of 6 whole counties and 1 partial counties (Mecklenburg (MUMPO), Union (MUMPO), Union (RRRPO-donut), Gaston (GMPO), Cabarrus (CRMPO) Rowan (CRMPO), Lincoln (LNRPO) and Iredell (LNRPO-partial).
2008 Ozone: The Metrolina area is maintenance for the 2008 Ozone Standard which consists of 1 whole county and 6 partial counties (Mecklenburg (CRTPO), Union (CRTPO-partial), Union (RRRPO-donut), Gaston (GCLMPO-partial), Cabarrus (CRMPO-partial) Rowan (CRMPO-partial), Lincoln (GCLMPO partial) and Iredell (CRTPO-partial).
*Note: a dount area is an area outside the MPO boundary but within the non-attainment/maintenance area. Model Status: Mecklenburg, Union, Cabarrus, Rowan, Gaston, and Lincoln, plus one partial county (Iredell) are completely within the Metrolina Regional Model (MRM) boundary. Emissions analysis years:
• 1997 8-hour Ozone Standard Maintenance SIP: 2025 (modeled) 2035 (modeled) & 2045 (modeled)
• 2008 8-hour Ozone Standard Maintenance SIP: 2026 (modeled) 2035 (modeled) & 2045 (modeled)
Emission analysis source: The VMT and speeds for the regional emissions analysis (REA) will be derived from the MRM. Emission Comparison Years:
Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget Test o 1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP: (Gaston, Mecklenburg, Cabarrus, Rowan,
Union, Lincoln, and Iredell-partial) 2025 (modeled-compare to 2025 MVEB), 2035 (modeled- compare to 2025 MVEB), and 2045 (modeled-compare to 2025 MVEB)
o 2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP: (Gaston-partial, Mecklenburg, Cabarrus-
partial, Rowan-partial, Union-partial, Lincoln-partial, and Iredell-partial, 2026 (modeled-compare to 2026), 2035 (modeled- compare to 2026 MVEB), and 2045 (modeled-compare to 2026 MVEB)
List of Specific Conformity Years
1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP Horizon: 2045 a. 1997 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP MVEB Years: 2013 & 2025
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b. Emission comparison years (NOx and VOC): 2025 (modeled), 2035 & 2045
2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP Horizon: 2045 a. 2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance SIP MVEB Years: 2014 & 2026 b. Emission comparison years (NOx and VOC): 2026 (modeled), 2035 & 2045
7. Non-attainment / Maintenance Counties: 1997 8 Hour Ozone Maintenance Area: Gaston, Mecklenburg, Cabarrus, Rowan, Union,
Lincoln, and Iredell (partial) 2008 8 Hour Ozone Maintenance Area: Gaston Co. (partial)., Mecklenburg Co., Cabarrus
Co. (partial), Rowan Co.(partial), Union Co.(partial), Lincoln (partial), and Iredell Co. (partial)
8. Land-Use Demographics Projections/Forecast:
Land-use demographic projections for the region were developed using both a top-down and bottom-up approach.
An economist was contracted to develop regional and county level population, household, and employment projections for 5-year increments from 2010 to 2050 through a top-down forecasting approach. The economist’s forecasting model is based on the metropolitan growth of 43 mid-sized US regions and calibrated to trends and capture rates in the Metrolina region over the past 40 years. Refer to the METROLINA REGIONAL DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC DATA AND DATA FORECASTS (DRAFT REPORT), December 12, 2012, by Stephen J. Appold, PhD for more detailed information. MPO and RPO staff then applied local knowledge reflecting current local policies and plans to finalize county-level control totals for 2025, 2035, and 2045.
TAZ level 2025, 2035, and 2045 population, household, and employment data was projected for CRTPO and GCLMPO through a top-down /bottom-up forecasting approach using the Metrolina CommunityViz Model 16v1.0. CRMPO applied local knowledge through a manual process to allocate projected data to the TAZ level. For both approaches, data inventoried for the base year was used as quantitative inputs to the process of deriving projections. Qualitative inputs to the projections to both processes include future land use plans, building permits data, transportation plans and other capital improvements plans (such as water and sewer extensions and schools construction), and other factors limiting development (such as soils, floodplains, and water supply watershed regulations). Refer to the Draft Metrolina CommunityViz Model 16v1.0 Technical Document, June 14, 2016, by Matt Noonkester, AICP, City Explained, Inc. for detailed information. 9. Travel Demand Model: Metrolina Regional Model (MRM) The regional travel demand model is a four-step model developed for a 2-state, 12- county (9 whole, 3 partial) region (refer to Attachment B). The modeling area encompasses 4 MPOs and 1 RPOs. As described previously, a multitude of land use and demographic data was collected as input into the model. Additional data collected includes transit and highway network data as well as multiple travel surveys. Transit data collected includes routes, headways, and travel times. Refer to Attachment C for the highway network data dictionary. Following is a list of the travel surveys completed:
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2001 (Freeway) and 2013 (non-freeway and freeway) External Travel Survey; 2012 Household Travel Survey; 2013 On-board Transit Survey of Express and Local Buses and South Corridor Light Rail
Transit (LRT) Survey and Counts; 2010 Inrix Speed Data; and 2013-2016 Vehicle Classification Counts
10. Mode Split / Mode Choice:
The nested logit mode-choice model is structured similar to the Houston-Galveston Area Council’s regional travel model. Nesting and mode constants were developed using CATS’s on-board ridership survey conducted in 2013.
Transit paths include in-vehicle travel time, out-of-vehicle time (walking / driving and waiting), transfers, and direct cost (fare, parking). Four trip purposes are modeled. For the Home-Based Work, Home-Based-Other, and Home-Based University trip purposes, the potential transit Council’s regional travel model. Nesting and mode constraints were developed using CATS’s on-board ridership survey conducted in 2013. Walk, drive, and drop-off approaches are handled in the nesting structure. Parking is provided at selected suburban stations. The mode choice model was developed under contract with AECOM Consult
11. Local Street Count & VMT Estimate: Vehicle miles of travel (VMT) – the sum of the distance that each vehicle travels during a specified period (day, year, etc.) – is the most typical measure of the level of travel in an area. Like most statistics, it is still impossible to actually measure. To do so, all vehicles would have to be monitored all day. The most common method of estimating VMT uses traffic counts. We have a large count database from CDOT, NCDOT, and SCDOT including counts from 2000 – 2016. Each count will be factored to the base year (2015). Average Daily Traffic volumes will be factored to Average Weekday volumes. The adjusted base-year weekday counts are then aggregated by County and functional class. The average (mean) volume for each county / functional class will be multiplied by the number of road miles to obtain VMT. For future year estimates, the travel demand model, calibrated to the base year counts and VMT, will provide VMT for thoroughfares (VMT = assigned volume * length).
Local streets make up 60%-70% of the roadway miles, but a much smaller fraction of VMT. Most serve to accumulate traffic from neighborhoods. The bulk of the trip is then made on thoroughfares (that are modeled). Few local streets are included in the model. Counts are sporadic and usually concentrated on local streets experiencing traffic problems. Many of the local streets are represented by zonal centroid connectors in the model. We will use the centroid connectors times 2 to better approximate actual local VMT. VMT derived with this method compares favorably with local VMT estimated using street miles and assumed volumes. The centroid method provides a better method of relating VMT to high growth TAZs.
12. Rural (Donut) Area Projects
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The rural areas do not develop long range transportation plans like the MPOs. The rural area projects that are included in the conformity regional emissions analysis (REA) come from the State TIP. It is NCDOT’s position that projects that are in the State TIP and have right of way or construction phases scheduled in the first seven years should be included in the REA. In addition, for rural areas adjacent to an MPO the MPO may extend projects outside their boundary to a logical terminus. The MPO may include the portion outside of their MPO boundary in the financial element of their MTP.
13. VMT Adjustments:No VMT adjustments are used.
14. Motor Vehicle Emissions BudgetsTwo ozone maintenance areas are included within the seven-county Metrolina area:
a. 1997 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS Maintenance AreaThe North Carolina portion of the Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill Moderate Nonattainment Areafor the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS was redesignated as attainment on December 2, 2013 withan effective date of January 2, 2014. The area includes six full counties (Cabarrus, Gaston,Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union) and one partial county (Iredell). The maintenance SIPfor the area includes the NOx and VOC MVEBs for three budget areas shown in the tablesbelow.
NOx Budgets: 1997 8-hour Ozone NAAQS
Budget Area MVEB Year
Comparison Years & MVEB (kg/day) 2026 2035 2045
Cabarrus Rowan MPO (Cabarrus, Rowan) 2025 11,953 11,953 11,953
Gaston Urban Area MPO/ Lake Norman RPO (Gaston, Iredell (part), Lincoln)
2025 12,541 12,541 12,541
Mecklenburg Union MPO/ Rocky River RPO
(Mecklenburg, Union)
2025 35,728 35,728 35,728
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VOC Budgets: 1997 8-hour Ozone NAAQS
Budget Area MVEB Year
Comparison Years & MVEB (kg/day) 2026 2035 2045
Cabarrus Rowan MPO (Cabarrus, Rowan) 2025 6,510 6,510 6,510
Gaston Urban Area MPO/ Lake Norman RPO (Gaston, Iredell (part), Lincoln)
2025 7,047 7,047 7,047
Mecklenburg Union MPO/ Rocky River RPO
(Mecklenburg, Union) 2025 17,378 17,378 17,378
b. 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS Maintenance Area. The Charlotte-Gastonia-Salisbury, North Carolina Marginal Nonattainment Area for the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS was redesignated as attainment on July 28, 2015 with an effective date of August 27, 2015. The maintenance plan was revised, with modifications to the NOx and VOC MVEBs, with an effective date of October 15, 2015. The maintenance area consists of 1 whole county and 6 partial counties (Mecklenburg (CRTPO), Union (CRTPO-partial), Union (RRRPO-donut), Gaston (GCLMPO-partial), Cabarrus (CRMPO-partial) Rowan (CRMPO-partial), Lincoln (GCLMPO partial) and Iredell (CRMPO-partial). Motor vehicle emissions budgets (MVEBs) were established for three sub-areas within the Metrolina area which are generally defined by MPO jurisdictional boundaries. The MVEBs are show in the table below.
NOx Budgets: 2008 8-hour Ozone NAAQS
Budget Area MVEB Year
Comparison Years & MVEB (kg/day) 2026 2035 2045
Cabarrus Rowan MPO 2026 3,749 3,749 3,749 Gaston Cleveland Lincoln
MPO 2026 2,996 2,996 2,996
Mecklenburg Union MPO/ Rocky River RPO
2026 9,946 9,946 9,946
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VOC Budgets: 2008 8-hour Ozone NAAQS
Budget Area MVEB Year
Comparison Years & MVEB (kg/day) 2026 2035 2045
Cabarrus Rowan MPO 2026 3,762 3,762 3,762 Gaston Cleveland Lincoln
MPO 2026 2,755 2,755 2,755
Mecklenburg Union MPO/ Rocky River RPO 2026 9,690 9,690 9,690
15. Control Strategies: Emission reduction credits will be taken for the following on-roadmobile SIP commitments or Federal programs. Currently there are no TCMs in the Metrolina AreaSIPs.
Strategy Methodology/Approach I/M Program Accounted for in the MOVES model Tier 2/Tier 3 vehicle’s Emission Standards Accounted for in the MOVES model Low Sulfur Gasoline and Diesel fuels Accounted for in the MOVES model Heavy Duty Vehicle Rules 2004 and 2007 Accounted for in the MOVES model Low RVP Gasoline Accounted for in the MOVES model On board vapor recovery Accounted for in the MOVES model
16. MOVES Model Settings: The following model-input parameters will be used in theconformity analysis.
1997 Eight Hour Ozone Standard Maintenance Area*: Cabarrus, Gaston, Lincoln,Mecklenburg, Rowan, Union and Iredell (partial)
2008 Eight Hour Ozone Standard Maintenance Area*: Cabarrus (partial), Gaston (partial),Lincoln (partial), Mecklenburg, Rowan (partial), Union (partial) and Iredell (partial)
MOVES Model (MOVES2014a)
MOVES Model Settings: The following MOVES model-input parameters will be used in the conformity analysis performed by DAQ.
Parameter Details Data Source a. Emissions Model Version(s): (MOVES2014a) or latest
b. Emission Model Runs: Typical Summer Weekday (NOx and VOC)
c. Evaluation month: July (NOx and VOC)
d. Time Periods: VMT and speeds modeled for 4 daily travel periods
29
(see item #24 below) will be processed according to USEPA guidance to generate hourly speed and VMT distribution data in the required MOVES input formats.
e. Pollutants Reported: NOx, VOC
f. Emissions Budget Years: 1997 NAAQS: 2025 (NOx and VOC)
2008 NAAQS: 2026 (NOx and VOC)
g. Emissions Analysis Years: 1997 NAAQS: 2025, 2035 and 2045 2008 NAAQS: 2026, 2035 and 2045
h. Temperature and Relative Humidity: 1997 NAAQS: July 2010 monthly average
24-hour temperature and relative humidity profiles from the Charlotte-Douglas International Airport (KCLT). 2008 NAAQS: July 2014 monthly average 24-hour temperature and relative humidity profiles from the Charlotte-Douglas International Airport (KCLT).
i. Vehicle Classes: 13
j. VMT mix: Statewide mix based on 2016 data using the method
in the August 2004 USEPA Guidance.
k. Speed Distribution: Regional Model MRM18v1.1
l. Source type (vehicle type) age distribution: The latest available 2016 vehicle registration data provided by NCDOT, which also includes a breakdown of the number of vehicles by model year, will be used to create the required source type age distribution input file for each county. As per EPA guidance, the source type age distribution will not be projected for future years.
m. I/M Program: The following I/M program parameters will apply: compliance rate = 96%, waiver rate = 5% with an exemption for vehicles from the 3-year latest model years.
n. RVP: July 9.0 psi for all counties
o. Source Type (vehicle type) Population: Vehicle population estimates will be developed for each future modeling year based on the latest available 2016 vehicle registration data provided by NCDOT. This data includes the total number of registered vehicles by county, divided into nine source type categories. The data will first be reorganized into thirteen source type categories (i.e. passenger cars, light commercial trucks, combination long-haul trucks, etc.) as required for MOVES2014a. These source type population estimates will then be projected for each required modeling year, using the same base and future year-county human population data that were used in the TDM model, according to the following formula:
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Total Vehicle Population future year = Total Vehicle Population base year * (Human Populationfuture year / Human Population base year)
p. Strategies: None
17. Emissions analysis units, conversion factors, significant figures, rounding andtruncating conventions:Units= Kilograms or GramsGrams to tons conversion factor= Divide x grams by 907184.7 to get tonsRound to 2 decimal places
18. CMAQ Projects: Not Applicable
19. Regionally Significant Projects (Federal and Non-Federal): Not Applicable
20. List of Exempt Projects and Non-Regionally Significant Projects (Federally Funded):Not Applicable
21. Conformity Schedule: (A draft conformity schedule has been developed and is providedas an attachment to this document)
22. Conformity Determinations: Two organizations will be responsible for makingconformity determinations in two distinctive parts of the Metrolina non-attainment/maintenance areas:
i. The CRTPO within its metropolitan area boundary (MAB) -all ofMecklenburg County and parts of Union and Iredell County
ii. The CRMPO within its metropolitan area boundary (MAB)iii. The GCLMPO within its metropolitan area boundary (MAB) -iv. The NCDOT for the rural areas are comprised of the parts of Union County
that are outside of any MPO MABEach of these responsible organizations must make a conformity determination for its respective area in order for all of the areas to be designated in conformity.
The following resolutions will be needed for this conformity process: • CRTPO/CRMPO/GCLMPO
o 2045 MTP amendment adoptiono 2018-2022 TIP amendment adoptiono Conformity Determination for the 2045 MTP amendmento Conformity Determination for the 2018-2022 TIP amendment
• NCDOT Conformity Determination for the donut area of Union
23. Other Any reference to York County in this document has been removed since EPA has madethe 8-hour ozone designations. Although a portion of York County, South Carolina wasdesignated as part of the bi-state Charlotte 8-hour ozone nonattainment area, they are allowedto demonstrate transportation conformity independent of the North Carolina portion of thisnonattainment area. Therefore, the planning assumptions and methodologies used for the
31
York County, South Carolina portion of this nonattainment area is reflected in a separate transportation conformity determination that is generated by the Rock Hill-Fort Mill Area Transit Study Metropolitan Planning Organization.
The techniques used for this conformity process are the following: VMT and speed will be done for 4 times of day (the 4 times of days are summed
for the regional emissions analysis)• 6:30 am - 9:30 am• 9:30 am - 3:30 pm• 3:30 pm - 6:30 pm• 6:30 pm - 6:30 am
o For the MOVES modeling component, the times of day will consist of whole hours andare as follows:
• 6:00 am – 9:00 am• 9:00 am - 3:00 pm• 3:00 pm - 6:00 pm• 6:00 pm - 6:00 am
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Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Agenda Item #7
To: Board Members and Interested Persons
From: Randi P. Gates, AICP, Principal Transportation Planner
Date: July 26, 2018
Subject: Performance Measures – PM2 & PM3 Targets
BACKGROUND: Federal transportation legislation requires that State DOTs and MPOs adopt
performance-based planning as a component of the metropolitan planning process:
A key component of the process is the establishment of federal performance measures.
Within each performance category, a series of performance measures has been identified
at the federal level.
State DOTs and MPOs are required to define targets that correspond with each identified
measure.
In most cases, NCDOT establishes the target first, then the MPO has 180 days to establish
its targets. The congestion mitigation targets are an exception – NCDOT and GCLMPO are
both due at the same time.
GCLMPO adopted the state’s targets for PM1 (Safety) on January 25, 2018.
GCLMPO concurred with the preliminary targets for the Peak-Hour Excessive Delay (PHED)
and the Percent Non-SOV Travel as part of PM3 as set forth by NCDOT on March 22, 2018.
NCDOT established its targets for PM2 & PM3 on May 18, 2018, thus the GCLMPO’s targets
for PM2 & PM3 are due no later than November 14, 2018.
Federal regulations (23 CFR Part 490) require States to set targets for interstate and non-interstate
National Highway System (NHS) pavement condition, NHS bridge condition, travel time reliability,
freight reliability, and emissions reduction.
NCDOT’s 2018 targets for PM2 & PM3 are as follows:
Performance Measure 2 Year Target
1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019
4 Year Target
1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021
PM2:
Interstate Pavement Condition (Good) 37.0 %
Interstate Pavement Condition (Poor) 2.2 %
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement Condition
(Good)
27.0% 21.0%
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement Condition
(Poor)
4.2% 4.7%
NHS Bridge Condition (Good) 33.0% 30.0%
NHS Bridge Condition (Poor) 8.0% 9.0%
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Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
The emission reduction measures for peak-hour excessive delay per capita and percent of non-
SOV travel were agreed upon in a coordinated manner with SCDOT, Cabarrus-Rowan MPO,
Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization, Gaston-Cleveland-Lincoln MPO, and
Rock Hill-Fort Mill Area Transportation Study.
Performance Measure 2 Year Target
1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019
4 Year Target
1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021
PM3:
Interstate Level of Travel Time Reliability 80.0% 75.0%
Non-Interstate NHS Level of Travel Time
Reliability
70.0%
Interstate Truck Travel Time Reliability 1.65 1.70
CMAQ – Percent of Non-Single Occupant
Vehicle (SOV) travel
21.0% 21.0%
CMAQ – Annual Hours of Peak-Hour Excessive
Delay (PHED) per Capita
34.0
CMAQ - On-Road Emission Reduction from
CMAQ Projects
CO: 11.522 kg/day
VOC: 0.252 kg/day
NOx: 2.360 kg/day
CO: 23.044 kg/day
VOC: 0.504 kg/day
NOx: 4.720 kg/day
TCC ACTION: Recommended approval as presented.
BOARD ACTION REQUESTED:
1. Approve state targets for PM2 and PM3 to be released for public comment.
2. Approve a 30-day public comment period (September 1-30, 2018).
ATTACHMENT:
1. NCDOT Performance Targets Handout
34
What is Transportation Performance Management (TPM)
A strategic approach that
uses system information
to make investment and
policy decisions to
achieve transportation
system performance goals
� NCDOT has an existing data-
driven TPM process that
includes Strategic Transportation
Investments (STI) and
tracking of organization and
system performance.
� TPM is intended to create a
data-driven process within
transportation planning and
programming, answering:
where do we want to go,
how are we going to get there,
what will it take, and
how did we do?
MAP-21 (2012) established the Federal framework for TPM and the
FAST Act (2015) codified the process and requirements for USDOT, State
DOTs, transit providers, and MPOs.
1
35
TPM-Related Rules Regulatory Chapter
Statewide and Non-Metropolitan
Planning; Metropolitan Planning
23 CFR 450 & 771,
49 CFR 613
Safety Performance Measures
(PM1)
23 CFR 490
(Subpart A & B)
Highway Safety Improvement
Program (HSIP)23 CFR 924
Highway Asset Management Plans
for NHS23 CFR 515 & 667
Pavement and Bridge Condition
Measures (PM2)
23 CFR 490
(Subpart A, C & D)
Performance of the NHS, Freight,
and CMAQ Measures (PM3)
23 CFR 490
(Sub. A, E, F, G, H)
Transit Asset Management Rule 49 CFR 625, 630
Establishes goals and TPM
framework
Highway Safety:Data collection, reporting,
target setting and
programming approach
Highway Assets:Data collection, reporting,
target setting and
programming approach
System Performance:Reporting and target setting
for highway mobility, freight,
and emissions
Transit Assets: Data collection, reporting,
target setting and
programming for FTA recipients
MAP-21 & FAST Act – TPM Rulemakings
TPM Rules for USDOT:
� Establish measures; identify data sources;
define metrics
� Report to Congress
� Stewardship and oversight
TPM Rules for States & MPOs:
� Interagency coordination
� Establish targets
� Support national goals and consider
measures and targets in long range plans
� Report progress to USDOT (States)
2
36
TPM Target Setting Organization
Establish
baseline
Analyze
trends
Factors
and risks
Target
parameters
Forecast
performance
Set roles/
responsibilities
Define target
purpose
Benchmark
to peers
Consider
stakeholders
Technical Process
Business Process
In October 2017, NCDOT Transportation Planning Division (TPD) started to compile data and
organize internal and external partners to address the TPM requirements. The process included
regular coordination with a Work Group and Subject Matter Experts as well as collaboration
with FHWA to confirm requirements and with Metropolitan Planning Organizations to ensure
their role within the process. This integrated approach helped develop targets - based on the
latest available data and federal guidance - to support a technical and business process. NCDOT
leadership provided strategic direction to staff at key milestones.
Task Jan Feb March April May June
Agency
Assessment
Target Setting
Approaches
Recommended
Targets
Documentation
Briefings
Work Group Meeting Briefings (External / Exec) Target submission to FHWA
NCDOT TPM Process ReportBriefings (BOT)
SME readiness and data interviews
Target collaboration, initial targets
Target finalization
37
4
TPM Target Setting Process
Assess…
Evaluate Possible
Targets…
Recommend
Targets….
Document…
Baseline NCDOT preparedness,
current practice, data and tool gaps
Performance trends, internal and
external factors, analysis tools, future
projections, target setting process
2 & 4-year numerical targets,
leadership and stakeholder review,
refinement and rationale
Steps, decisions, process
evolution/documentation
This process supports a transparent, repeatable, and engagement based approach
understood by NCDOT stakeholders, including the MPOs. It enables approach
streamlining into the future – as the federal process is continuous, with system
performance tracking occurring annually and target setting revisited biannually.
38
National Highway
System
(relevant system
for PM2 and PM3
measures and
targets)
NCDOT
maintained
system
5
Primary Roads
Secondary Roads
National Highway
System (NHS)
NC Designation
Route Miles
% NHS
Route Miles
Primary 13,785 30%
Secondary 64,831 0.3%
Interstate 1,340 100%
Total 79,956 7%
Note: values rounded for approximation
System Definition
7.0% NHS route mile share of total NCDOT maintained miles
39
2019 and 2021 statewide targets set2019 and 2021 statewide targets set
FY2018 targets adopted
Targets set annually
TPM (FHWA & FTA) Measures & Targets
17 total FHWA measures (PM1, 2, 3)
o Describes the applicability of the measures
o Identifies data needed to support measures
o Includes target due dates
o Describes performance period, reporting
requirements and timeline
o Defines significant progress determination
Final Rules (FHWA – 23 CFR 490)
States Set
Targets By
NCDOT Status
PM1 – Safety
(5 measures)Aug. 31, 2017
Completed – 2018 targets established in
Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP)
PM2 – Pavement/Bridge
(6 measures)May 20, 2018
Completed – Pending submission to FHWA,
NCDOT set 2-year and/or 4-year targets
PM3 – System Performance
(6 measures)May 20, 2018
Completed – Pending submission to FHWA,
NCDOT set 2-year and/or 4-year targets
Transit Assets Jan. 1, 2017Completed – 2017 targets and Transit Asset
Management Plan
Performance measure: an
expression based on a metric used
to establish targets and to assess
progress toward targets
Target: a quantifiable level of
performance or condition to be
achieved within a time period
�
�FTA
FH
WA
PM1 - Highway Safety
Performance Measures
1. Number of fatalities
2. Fatality rate (per 100
million VMT)
3. Number of serious
injuries
4. Serious injury rate (per
100 million VMT)
5. Number of non-
motorized fatalities and
serious injuries
PM2 – Pavement/Bridge Performance
Measures
6. % of pavements on the Interstate system in
good condition
7. % of pavements on the Interstate system in
poor condition
8. % of pavements on the non-Interstate NHS
in good condition
9. % of pavements on the non-Interstate NHS
in poor condition
10. % of NHS bridges classified as in good
condition
11. % of NHS bridges classified as in poor
condition
PM3 - System Performance / Freight /
CMAQ Performance Measures
12. % of person miles on the Interstate
system that are reliable
13. % of person miles on the non-Interstate
NHS that are reliable
14. % of Interstate mileage providing for
reliable truck travel times
15. Annual hours of peak-hour excessive
delay per capita
16. Percent of non-single occupant vehicle
travel
17. Total emissions reduction (CMAQ
projects)
��
6
40
Interstate Pavement Condition (Good)
7
Ap
pro
ac
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mp
tio
ns
•Funding stability
•State-driven targets, not Federal budget
allocations
•Overall Interstate VMT growth and truck VMT
growth
•Maintain balance, levels of percent good v. fair
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st, 2018
through December 31st, 2021
•NCDOT transition to full-extent data collection in
2017, enabling improved performance tracking.
•Pavement Management Unit, Division of
Highways
•Note, the actual 2-year condition (2018 and
2019) will become the baseline condition for
the first performance period for this measure.
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
37.0%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
% of Interstate
pavement in Good
condition
Percentage of Interstate pavement
in “Good” condition:
Total interstate lane miles in good
condition based on IRI (measure of
pavement smoothness), cracking
percent, and rutting or faulting. All
condition metrics must exhibit good
to classify pavement as good.
Federal guidance is still being
reviewed for measure/metric
computational analysis and
application. NCDOT
completing transition to full
extent data collection to
support IRI elemental data
review.
50%
60%
70%
80%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Interstate Pavement Condition (Good)
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data (including data collection methods).
•Evaluate trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
41
Interstate Pavement Condition (Poor)
8
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
2.2%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
% of Interstate pavement in
Poor condition
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Interstate Pavement Condition (Poor)
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Funding stability
•State-driven targets, not Federal budget
allocations
•Overall Interstate VMT growth and truck VMT
growth
•Maintain balance, levels of percent good v. poor
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ble
•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st, 2018
through December 31st, 2021
•NCDOT transition to full-extent data collection in
2017, enabling improved performance tracking.
•Pavement Management Unit, Division of
Highways
•Federal threshold (minimum): If more than 5%
of Interstate pavement is rated in Poor
condition for any year, the State must obligate
NHPP funds and transfer STP funds to improve
pavement.
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data (including data collection methods).
•Evaluate trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
Percentage of Interstate pavement
in “Poor” condition:
Total interstate lane miles in poor
condition based on IRI (measure of
pavement smoothness), cracking
percent, and rutting or faulting. If
one condition metric exhibits poor,
the segment is classified as poor
pavement.
Target set below minimum 5%
federal threshold for “poor”
condition. Federal guidance is
still being reviewed for
measure/metric
computational analysis and
application. NCDOT
completing transition to full
extent data collection to
support IRI elemental data
review.
42
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement Condition (Good)
9
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
27.0%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
21.0%% of non-Interstate NHS
pavement in Good condition
Federal guidance is still being
reviewed for measure/metric
computational analysis and
application. NCDOT
completing transition to full
extent data collection to
support IRI elemental data
review. Influence of any data
“noise” is magnified on Non-
Interstate (impacts larger
number of miles).
% of non-Interstate NHS
pavement in Good condition
25%
35%
45%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement
Condition (Good)
Percentage of Non-Interstate NHS
pavement in “Good” condition:
Total non-Interstate NHS lane miles
in good condition based on IRI
(measure of pavement smoothness),
cracking percent, and rutting or
faulting. All condition metrics must
exhibit good to classify pavement as
good.
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
• Interstate system analysis concerns are
magnified for the non-Interstate NHS network
•Restrictive use of chip seal treatment
•Difficult to keep good facilities “good” and to
accurately track
•Timing and gaps of data collection and reporting
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st, 2018
through December 31st, 2021
•8.5% invalid data influence on trend analysis and
target setting.
•Pavement Management Unit, Division of
Highways
•For non-Interstate pavement targets, FHWA will
make a determination of significant progress at
the midpoint and end of the first performance
period.
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data (including data collection methods).
•Evaluate trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
43
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement Condition (Poor)
10
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
4.2%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
4.7%
Federal guidance is still being
reviewed for measure/metric
computational analysis and
application. NCDOT
completing transition to full
extent data collection to
support IRI elemental data
review. Influence of any data
“noise” is magnified on Non-
Interstate (impacts larger
number of miles).
0%
2%
4%
2013 2014 2015 2016
Non-Interstate NHS Pavement
Condition (Poor)
Percentage of Non-Interstate NHS
pavement in “Poor” condition:
Total non-Interstate NHS lane miles
in poor condition based on IRI
(measure of pavement smoothness),
cracking percent, and rutting or
faulting. If one condition metric
exhibits poor, the segment is
classified as poor pavement.
% of non-Interstate NHS
pavement in Poor condition
% of non-Interstate NHS
pavement in Poor condition
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
• Interstate system analysis concerns are
magnified for the non-Interstate NHS network
•Restrictive use of chip seal treatment
•Timing and gaps of data collection and reporting
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cc
ou
nta
ble
•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st, 2018
through December 31st, 2021
•8.5% invalid data influence on trend analysis and
target setting.
•Pavement Management Unit, Division of Highways
•No minimum threshold requirement.
•For non-Interstate pavement targets, FHWA will make a determination of significant progress at the midpoint and end of the first performance period.
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data (including data collection methods).
•Evaluate trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
44
NHS Bridge Condition (Good)
11
Ap
pro
ac
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ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data, including differences with NCDOT Bridge
Health Index (BHI).
•Evaluated trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
• Includes all NHS bridges and culverts over 20 ft.
in length.
•NCDOT responsible for the collection of all
bridge condition data necessary to set targets.
•Targets consistent with findings of
Transportation Asset Management Plan (TAMP)
analysis and evaluation of bridges consistent
with Federal measure.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Structures Management Unit, Division of
Highways
•Takes into account the number of NHS bridge
replacements expected over next 10 years.
•No minimum threshold requirement.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
33.0%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
30.0%% of NHS bridges by deck
area in Good condition
Percentage of NHS bridges by deck
area classified in “Good” condition:
Total deck area of NHS bridges and
culverts where all components
(deck, superstructure, substructure
for bridges) are assigned a condition
rating of “Good” or better based on
annual inspections, compared to
total NHS bridge deck area.
Percent of NHS bridge deck
area in good condition has
steadily decreased since 2013.
Federal approach is different
and more stringent compared
to NCDOT Bridge Health
Index, which tracks by
structure and average
condition (and shows an
improving trend since 2013). 30%
40%
50%
60%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
NHS Bridge Condition (Good)
% of NHS bridges by deck
area in Good condition
45
NHS Bridge Condition (Poor)
12
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Understand measure definition and underlying
data, including alignment with NCDOT %
Structurally Deficient Bridges measure.
•Evaluated trend, external factors, and internal
factors impacting future performance.
• Includes all NHS bridges and culverts over 20 ft.
in length.
•NCDOT responsible for the collection of all bridge condition data necessary to set targets.
•Targets consistent with findings TAMP analysis and evaluation of bridges consistent with Federal measure.
•Target influenced by NCDOT 2030 goal and BMIP strategy
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Structures Management Unit, Division of
Highways
•Federal threshold (minimum): If more than 10%
of NHS bridge deck area is rated in Poor condition
for three consecutive years, the State must
obligate NHPP funds for eligible bridge projects on
the NHS.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
8.0%
PM2 Measure: Performance Trend:
9.0%% of NHS bridges by deck
area in Poor condition
Percentage of NHS bridges by deck
area classified in “Poor” condition:
Total deck area of NHS bridges and
culverts where one component
(deck, superstructure, substructure
for bridges) is assigned a condition
rating of “Poor” based on annual
inspections, compared to total NHS
bridge deck area.
Percent of NHS bridge deck
area in poor condition has
decreased since 2013. The
Federal approach is
comparable to the NCDOT
percent Structurally Deficient
bridges measure, enabling a
comparison in performance
trends.
% of NHS bridges by deck
area in Poor condition
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
NHS Bridge Condition (Poor)
46
Interstate Travel Time Reliability
13
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Focus on analysis-driven approach, resulting in
simple, objective target setting process.
•Considered external and internal factors
impacting 2- and 4-year performance including
VMT growth, work zones and current project
completions, and potential benefits of incident
management / ITS strategies.
•Targets consistent with average annual 5-yeartrend of 1.5% per year decline through 2019, andsteeper decline through 2021.
•Continued VMT growth outpaces other factorsthat might change trend direction.
•Maintains conservative stance given external andinternal factors.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Traffic System Operations, Transportation
Mobility and Safety, Division of Highways
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for reliability measures.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
80.0%
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
75.0%Interstate percent of person
miles traveled that are
reliable
Interstate percent of person
miles traveled that are
reliable
Interstate LOTTR (Level of Travel
Time Reliability):
Reliability measure (based on 80th
percentile travel time v. 50th
percentile travel time, sourced
from in-vehicle GPS and mobile
sources) is combined with person
miles traveled to estimate the
percent of person miles traveled
that are reliable.
Since 2013, Interstate LOTTR
in North Carolina has steadily
decreased by 1.0% to 1.5%
annually. This trend is
primarily impacted by
continuing VMT growth and
traffic incidents, and can also
be impacted by work zones.80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Interstate LOTTR - % of person
miles traveled that are reliable
47
Non-Interstate NHS Travel Time Reliability
14
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Focus on analysis-driven approach, resulting in
simple, objective target setting process.
•Considered external and internal factors
impacting 2- and 4-year performance including
VMT growth, work zones and current project
completions, and potential benefits of incident
management / ITS strategies.
•Targets consistent with maximum past 5-year
trend of 3.9% per year decline through 2021.
•Continued VMT growth outpaces other factors
that might change trend direction.
•Maintains conservative stance given external and
internal factors.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Note the data vendor, collection, and process
shift in 2017.
•Traffic System Operations, Transportation
Mobility and Safety, Division of Highways
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for reliability measures.
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
70.0%
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
Non-Interstate NHS percent
of person miles traveled
that are reliable
Non-Interstate NHS LOTTR (Level
of Travel Time Reliability):
Reliability measure (based on 80th
percentile travel time v. 50th
percentile travel time, sourced
from in-vehicle GPS and mobile
sources) is combined with person
miles traveled to estimate the
percent of person miles traveled
that are reliable.
Since 2013, Non-Interstate
NHS LOTTR in North Carolina
has steadily decreased by
2.9% to 3.9% annually. This
trend is primarily impacted by
continuing VMT growth and
traffic incidents, and can also
be impacted by land use
decisions and weekend travel.
* Note: 2016 to 2017 data shift a
result of FHWA vendor change
and data expansion, not change
in performance.
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Non-Interstate NHS LOTTR
*
48
Truck Travel Time Reliability (Interstate)
15
Ap
pro
ac
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ssu
mp
tio
ns
•Focus on analysis-driven approach, resulting in
simple, objective target setting process.
•Considered external and internal factors
impacting 2- and 4-year performance including
work zones and project completions, weigh
station locations, incident management, and
truck volumes.
•Targets consistent with maximum past 5-year
trend of 3.4% per year increase through 2019
and increasing trend through 2021.
•Related to decrease in LOTTR performance (TTTR
focuses on the ratio, not the percent of travel).
•Maintains conservative stance given external and
internal factors.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
• Increased data coverage in 2017 is primary
driver for performance change
•Traffic System Operations, Transportation
Mobility and Safety, Division of Highways
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for reliability measures.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
1.65
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
1.70Interstate truck travel time
reliability index
Interstate TTTR (Truck Travel Time
Reliability):
Reliability measure based on the
worst 95th percentile truck travel
time v. 50th percentile truck travel
time, sourced from in-vehicle GPS
and fleet date) is averaged across
the length of all Interstate
segments.
Since 2013, Interstate TTTR in
North Carolina has steadily
increased by 1.7% annually.
This trend is primarily
impacted by continuing truck
VMT growth and traffic
incidents, and can also be
impacted by work zones.
Interstate truck travel time
reliability index
1.30
1.50
1.70
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Interstate Truck Travel Time
Reliability
*
*2016 to 2017 data shift a result
of FHWA vendor change.
49
Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality – Non-SOV
16
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns •Rapid population growth of the previous 4-years
within the region will continue at a similar pace.
•STIP and TIP projects in the pipeline are unlikely
to change the performance trend.
• Impact of managed lanes and transit expansion
on SOV travel are uncertain; impacts are unlikely
to be significant in the next two or four years.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Transportation Planning Division, Chief Deputy
of the Secretary’s Office
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for CMAQ measures.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
21.0%
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
21.0%Non-SOV travel in the
Charlotte urbanized area
Percent of Non-Single Occupant
Vehicle (Non-SOV) travel:
Percent of personal commute trips
that occur by non-SOV mode within
applicable urbanized areas (UZA).
Applicable UZAs are: areas with
population > 1 million, areas with
NHS mileage, and areas in non-
attainment or maintenance for
criteria air pollutants.
Since 2013, commute trip
non-SOV mode share in the
Charlotte urbanized area has
trended slightly downward,
per the U.S. Census 5-year
estimates in the American
Communities survey.
Non-SOV travel in the
Charlotte urbanized area
•Applicable States and MPOs must set single, unified targets for the UZA.
•Considered external and internal factors impacting 2- and 4-year performance including VMT and population growth.
•Trend data sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau, American Communities Survey.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Charlotte UZA - Non-SOV Mode Share
50
Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality – PHED
17
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns •Rapid population growth of the previous 4-years
within the region will continue at a similar pace.
•STIP and TIP projects in the pipeline are unlikely
to change the performance trend.
•Minor benefits from project completions likely
offset by new work zone impacts.
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ble
•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•The first performance period - January 1st,
2018 through December 31st, 2021
•Transportation Planning Division, Chief Deputy
of the Secretary’s Office
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for CMAQ measures.
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
34.0
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
Annual hours of excessive
delay per capita in the
Charlotte urbanized area
Annual Hours of Peak-Hour
Excessive Delay (PHED) per Capita:
Where excessive delay is the added
time spent in congested conditions
(20 mph or 60% of posted speed
limit) within applicable urbanized
areas (UZA). Applicable UZAs are:
areas with population > 1 million,
areas with NHS mileage, and areas
in non-attainment or maintenance
for criteria air pollutants.
From 2014 to 2017, annual
PHED per capita in the
Charlotte UZA has steadily
increased. Data is sourced
from sourced from in-vehicle
GPS and mobile sources
through FHWA vendor.
•Applicable States and MPOs must set single, unified targets for the UZA.
•Considered external and internal factors impacting 4-year performance including VMT and population growth.
•Applies only to weekday peak periods (selected worst performing 4-hour peak period, 3-7 pm).
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2014 2015 2016 2017
Charlotte UZA - Annual PHED per Capita
3-7pm peak period
51
Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality – Emissions
18
Ap
pro
ac
hA
ssu
mp
tio
ns •Yearly emission benefits are highly variable
dependent on project type and project delivery
•CMAQ project applications from 2016-2019
show improved emission benefits compared to
the 2014-2017 authorized projects that informed
target setting.
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•Will review progress and can adjust target at
mid-point of first 4-year performance period
(2020, based on 2018 and 2019 performance).
•CMAQ project schedules and authorization
dates are uncertain and may change future
targets based on data available at a later time.
•Transportation Planning Division, Chief Deputy
of the Secretary’s Office
•FHWA will not make a significant progress
determination for CMAQ measures.
2-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2019)
4-Year Target(1/1/2018 – 12/31/2021)
CO: 11.522 kg/day
VOC: 0.252 kg/day
NOx: 2.360 kg/day
PM3 Measure: Performance Trend:
Total emissions reduction in
Charlotte maintenance area
On-Road Emission Reduction from
CMAQ Projects:
Total cumulative average daily
emission reduction for applicable
criteria pollutants for each MPO
within an air quality non-
attainment or maintenance area
boundary. Individual MPO targets
are summed to establish the
statewide target.
Emission benefits are highly
variable from year to year and
are dependent upon the CMAQ
projects selected and
implemented by local programs.
•Measures cumulative 2-year and 4-year emission
reductions for CMAQ funded projects
•Targets are set for the portion of the State and for
each MPO within the maintenance area boundary
•Each MPO sets its own target; the State target is
the sum of the MPO targets
Total emissions reduction in
Charlotte maintenance area
CO: 23.044 kg/day
VOC: 0.504 kg/day
NOx: 4.720 kg/day
Pollutant Low High
CO 5.76 17.36
VOC 0.13 2.75
NOx 1.18 8.20
2014-2017 Range (kg/day)
Source: CMAQ Public Access System - State DOTs enter project information into
the system by March 1 for each CMAQ project funded in the previous Federal
fiscal year.
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For more information, contact:Daryl Vreeland, Transportation Planning Division Alpesh Patel, Cambridge Systematics
[email protected] [email protected]
Ongoing TPM Process and ReportingThe TPM process is continuous, requiring annual data submittals through Federal data systems
and bi-annual review of performance and targets, both at the State and MPO level.
The TPM process is integrated with the
statewide and metropolitan
transportation planning and
programming process. MAP-21 and the
FAST Act establish planning
requirements for State DOTs, MPOs,
and transit operators that integrate
TPM with the adoption of STIPs/TIPs
and Long-Range Transportation Plans
(LRTPs) / Metropolitan Transportation
Plans (MTP).
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Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Agenda Item #8d
To: Board Members and Interested Persons
From: MPO Staff
Date: July 26, 2018
Subject: Area Transit Systems Ridership Update
Gastonia Express Bus Ridership Trends
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Avg.
Jan 4,795 5,094 5,574 5,577 4,426 3,873 4,451 4,382 3,581 3,588 2,881 3,131 3,021 3,698
Feb 4,500 4,749 5,613 5,306 4,553 4,279 4,213 4,266 3,372 3,155 3,386 3,155 3,289 3,686
March 5,096 5,284 5,881 5,527 5,407 4,844 4,161 4,165 3,348 4,021 3,754 3,614 3,587 4,043
April 4,177 5,175 6,427 5,386 5,077 4,370 4,031 4,205 3,444 3,882 3,303 2,833 3,391 3,854
May 5,323 5,705 6,440 4,859 4,666 4,530 4,240 4,328 3,544 3,349 3,249 3,002 3,623 3,920
June 5,068 5,522 7,020 5,221 5,163 4,419 3,857 3,858 3,743 3,584 3,473 3,090 4,019
July 4,713 5,776 7,408 5,206 5,343 3,982 4,172 4,181 3,791 3,461 2,974 2,623 4,020
Aug 5,681 6,745 6,775 4,838 5,371 5,394 4,978 4,221 3,821 3,597 3,571 3,210 4,384
Sept 4,996 5,760 7,038 4,880 4,870 4,692 3,490 3,987 3,487 3,246 3,194 2,597 4,069
Oct 5,164 6,743 6,932 5,104 4,644 4,608 4,616 4,271 3,083 3,657 3,293 3,194 4,284
Nov 4,680 5,637 5,245 4,252 4,013 4,273 4,144 3,493 3,083 3,222 3,043 2,676 3,695
Dec 3,863 4,296 5,158 4,248 3,574 3,689 3,541 3,256 3,312 2,790 2,594 2,465 3,343
57
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Gastonia Transit Bus Ridership Trends
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Avg.
Jan 21,934 23,796 23,296 18,436 20,498 19,373 23,798 24,202 22,764 23,221 16,892 15,917 13,451 20,583
Feb 19,725 19,472 23,455 18,380 20,138 21,338 24,528 24,566 20,422 18,732 19,743 18,203 15,082 20,291
March 22,782 23,637 21,433 18,187 22,883 24,003 25,551 24,064 22,049 21,326 20,556 19,460 16,246 21,706
April 20,556 21,339 22,823 19,405 22,148 22,433 23,422 23,536 22,982 21,499 19,417 15,478 15,574 20,816
May 23,652 24,006 23,628 19,869 20,807 22,642 24,206 23,646 23,811 20,223 17,714 17,203 15,767 21,321
June 23,096 22,961 24,896 21,042 23,417 25,090 23,884 22,960 23,768 24,080 19,812 16,711 15,287 22,077
July 21,377 23,083 26,136 21,595 22,615 18,130 23,293 24,473 24,587 22,129 18,026 14,844 21,691
Aug 24,811 25,308 25,428 21,800 24,432 26,746 28,223 27,164 26,897 21,844 20,474 18,129 24,271
Sept 22,378 22,159 24,539 22,236 24,182 23,770 25,028 24,238 22,522 21,622 19,990 16,398 22,422
Oct 24,067 25,273 26,136 23,169 24,243 24,116 30,064 26,942 24,971 22,237 19,939 17,577 24,061
Nov 22,316 22,328 17,665 20,858 23,266 22,779 25,818 21,852 19,708 19,466 18,542 15,441 20,837
Dec 22,125 21,529 18,637 22,037 22,532 24,134 23,661 22,630 22,014 21,420 17,569 14,321 21,051
58
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Transportation Administration Cleveland County Transit Bus Ridership Trends
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Avg.
Jan 5,073 4,249 5,511 4,965 4,950
Feb 3,856 5,198 5,383 5,105 4,886
March 5,469 5,484 5,906 5,494 5,588
April 5,404 4,938 5,102 5,377 5,205
May 5,121 4,991 6,087 5,471 5,418
June 5,637 5,690 6,153 5,263 5,686
July 4,853 5,503 5,740 5,522 5,405
Aug 4,877 5,347 6,525 6,945 5,924
Sept 5,297 5,554 5,943 5,303 5,524
Oct 5,891 5,750 5,919 5,860 5,855
Nov 4,768 4,945 5,906 5,377 5,249
Dec 4,684 4,867 5,523 4,715 4,947
59
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Transportation Lincoln County
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Avg.
Jan 6,008 5,144 4,162 5,001 4,914 5,046
Feb 5,807 4,258 4,892 5,001 5,527 5,097
March 6,317 5,787 5,494 5,943 5,810 5,870
April 7,117 5,592 5,079 5,000 5,859 5,729
May 7,081 5,080 5,100 5,699 5,855 5,763
June 6,492 5,662 4,887 5,784 5,631 5,691
July 6,223 5,658 5,387 4,948 5,144 5,472
Aug 6,161 5,481 5,298 5,629 5,945 5,703
Sept 5,849 5,735 5,176 5,266 5,185 5,442
Oct 7,912 6,025 5,210 5,532 5,956 6,127
Nov 6,186 4,637 4,769 5,179 5,174 5,189
Dec 5,767 5,149 4,854 4,922 5,094 5,157
60
Post Office Box 1748 150 South York Street
Gastonia, North Carolina 28053 Gastonia, North Carolina 28052
Phone (704) 866-6837 Fax (704) 869-1960
Gaston County ACCESS
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Avg.
Jan 11,368 11,760 8,859 9,067 8,229 9,857
Feb 10,295 8,900 10,623 9,929 9,666 9,883
March 12,379 11,939 11,245 10,777 9,448 11,158
April 12,299 12,215 11,379 9,197 9,270 10,872
May 11,927 11,559 11,945 10,914 9,831 11,235
June 10,136 11,080 10,527 9,353 8,350 9,889
July 11,819 10,872 9,923 8,340 8,517 9,894
Aug 11,780 10,831 9,328 10,332 9,981 10,450
Sept 11,661 11,161 9,705 10,032 8,943 10,300
Oct 13,838 13,022 10,607 10,502 9,025 11,399
Nov 10,583 10,016 8,988 9,422 8,658 9,533
Dec 10,176 10,615 8,985 8,597 7,475 9,170
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