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Satellite meeting Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating mortality in developing countries May 15 2019 Harnack Haus, Berlin Objective The number of countries included in the Human Mortality Database (HMD) has been approaching its limits due to strict requirements for coverage and reliability of population statistics. The HMD project considers several directions for further development taking into account the global importance and growing demand for more reliable and comparable mortality estimates for developing countries. The main goal is to obtain reliable and consistent mortality estimates by using country-specific data- intensive approach combined with standardized methods and uniform principles. The objective of this satellite meeting is to explore and discuss possibilities to extend the HMD approach to China, India, and other middle- and low-income developing countries. Date May 15 2019 Location Goethe Hall, Harnack Haus Ihnestr. 16-2, Berlin (Germany) https://www.harnackhaus-berlin.mpg.de/2316/en Sponsor Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Rostock, Germany Organizers Domantas Jasilionis, Dmitri Jdanov Topics • Quality of mortality and population data • Developments in direct and indirect mortality estimations • Advantages and disadvantages of model-based mortality estimates

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Page 1: Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating ...€¦ · Satellite meeting Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating mortality in developing countries

Satellitemeeting

Mortalitydataandmethodologicalapproachesinestimatingmortalityindevelopingcountries

May152019HarnackHaus,Berlin

Objective Thenumberof countries included in theHumanMortalityDatabase (HMD)hasbeenapproaching its limits due to strict requirements for coverage and reliability ofpopulation statistics. The HMD project considers several directions for furtherdevelopmenttakingintoaccounttheglobalimportanceandgrowingdemandformorereliableandcomparablemortalityestimatesfordevelopingcountries.Themaingoalisto obtain reliable and consistent mortality estimates by using country-specific data-intensiveapproach combinedwith standardizedmethodsanduniformprinciples. Theobjectiveof this satellitemeeting is toexploreanddiscusspossibilities toextend theHMD approach to China, India, and other middle- and low-income developingcountries.

Date

May152019

Location

GoetheHall,HarnackHausIhnestr.16-2,Berlin(Germany)https://www.harnackhaus-berlin.mpg.de/2316/en

Sponsor

MaxPlanckInstituteforDemographicResearchRostock,Germany

Organizers

DomantasJasilionis,DmitriJdanov

Topics

•Qualityofmortalityandpopulationdata•Developmentsindirectandindirectmortalityestimations•Advantagesanddisadvantagesofmodel-basedmortalityestimates

Page 2: Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating ...€¦ · Satellite meeting Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating mortality in developing countries
Page 3: Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating ...€¦ · Satellite meeting Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating mortality in developing countries

Satellitemeeting1|P a g e

PROGRAMMEWednesday,May158:30–9:00Registration9:00–9:15WelcomeandIntroduction

DomantasJasilionis(MPIDR)

9:15–10:45SESSIONI:CollaborativestudiesbytheHMDprojectteam●Chair:DomantasJasilionis

• TrifonMissovetal.(MPIDR/PU/CPDRD)MortalityestimatesforChinaanditsregions:solvingdataandmethodologicalchallenges

• VladimirM.Shkolnikovetal.(MPIDR/IIPS)Reconstructingage-specificmortalityinIndiausingdatawithpronouncedageheapingfromDLHSandNFHSsurveys

• MagaliBarbierietal.(UCB/AMS-HW)IssuesinconstructingHMDdataseriesinmiddle-incomecountries:ThecaseofMexico

10:45–11:00COFFEEBREAK

11:00–12:30SESSIONII:Monitoringmortalitytrendsanddifferentials●Chair:K.S.James

• ChristopheZ.Guilmoto(CEPED),NanditaSaikia(IIASA,JNU)LocalmortalityestimationinIndia.CanweavoidCensusdata?

• HiramBeltrán-Sánchez(UCLA-FSPH)Impactofdelayedeffectsonhumanold-agemortality

• YongCai(UNC-CPC)MortalitytrendsandvariationinChinA

12:30–13:30LUNCHBREAK

13:30–15:00SESSIONIII:Datachallenges:IndiaandChina●Chair:MathiasLerch

• DananGu(UNPD)DataqualityofmortalityinChinesecensuses

• UshaRam(IIPS)SampleRegistrationSysteminIndia

• ChengLi(ANU/ZJU),HongMi(ZJU)AssessmentsofProvincialMortalityinChina’s2010PopulationCensus:astudybasedontheDCMDmodellifetable

Page 4: Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating ...€¦ · Satellite meeting Mortality data and methodological approaches in estimating mortality in developing countries

Satellitemeeting2|P a g e

15:00–15:15COFFEEBREAK

15:15–16:15:SESSIONIV:Datachallenges:LatinAmericanCountries●Chair:HiramBeltrán-Sánchez

• AndresBarajasPaz,AndrewCairns,TorstenKleinow(HW)Ageheapinginpopulationdataofemergingcountries

• MaríliaNepomuceno(MPIDR),CassioM.Turra(UFmG)ThepopulationofcentenariansinBrazil:Anhistoricalanalysisfrom1900to2010

• IvánWilliams,TimRiffe(MPIDR)ArgentiniandataqualityassessmentforHMDfamilyofdatabases

16:15–17:00ROUNDTABLE:DiscussionandConclusions●Moderator:DmitriJdanov

Discussants:K.S.James(IIPS)ChristopheZ.Guilmoto(CEPED)HiramBeltrán-Sánchez(UCLA-FSPH)CuilingZhang(CPDRD)MathiasLerch(MPIDR)

Listofinstitutionsabbreviations

AMS-HW Dep.ofActuarialMathematics&Statistics,Heriot-WattUniversity(Edinburgh,Scotland,UK)CEPED CentrePopulationetDéveloppement,UniversitéParisDescartes(Paris,France)CPDRD ChinaPopulationandDevelopmentResearchCenter(Beijin,China)HKU UniversityofHongKong,MindlinkResearchCentre(HongKong)IIASA InternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnalysis(Laxenburg,Austria)IIPS InternationalInstituteforPopulationSciences,DeemedUniversity(DeonarMumbai,India)INED InstitutNationald’ÉtudesDémographiques(Paris,France)JNU JawaharlalNehruUniversity(NewDelhi,India)MPIDR MaxPlanckInstituteforDemographicResearch,(Rostock,Germany)PU PekingUniversity(Beijing,China)RUC RenminUniversityofChina(Beijing,China)UCB UniversityofCaliforniaBerkeley(Berkeley,USA)UCLA-FSPH UniversityofCaliforniaLosAngelesFieldingSchoolofPublicHealth(LosAngenes,USA)UFmG FederalUniversityofMinasGerais(BeloHorizonte,Brazil)UNC-CPC CarolinaPopulationCenter,UniversityNorthCarolina(ChapelHill,USA)UNPD UnitedNationsPopulationDivision,UnitedNations(NewYork,USA)ZJU ZhejiangUniversity(Hangzhou,China)


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