more local primary school children report final nov 2011

8/3/2019 More Local Primary School Children Report Final Nov 2011

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MORE LOCAL PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN - FEWER

SECONDARY SCHOOL OPTIONS

HSC SCHOOLS DATA COLLECTION REPORT NOVEMBER 2011

The numbers to warrant a high school for Coburg were already here back in 2006 (SpatialVision report for DEECD 2010).

However High School for Coburg (HSC)s data collection work in 2009 showed a wave ofincreased numbers coming through local primary schools. We have now updated that earlierwork with data and projections obtained from schools and the DEECD and our new resultsshow the wave of children is increasing.

The need for an open entry state secondary to be reinstated in Coburg is here now.

HSC will continue to lobby for local state secondary school provision planning for thedemonstrated increasing number of local primary school children to begin immediately

MORE PRIMARY SCHOOL CHILDREN

SCHOOLS DATA COLLECTION 2011- KEY RESULTS:

Over 100% morechildren in Prep than Grade 6 in local primary schools in 2012.(Not counting Coburg West PS which is already at capacity for all year levels)

The number of children enrolled in Prep at twelve local schools will increase by53%in the four yearsfrom 2008 to 2012.* (This is a conservative figure as two of the

schools Preston West and Coburg West are capped and therefore cannot take anymore children)

The increase in local Preps from 2008 to 2012 will be 245 to a total of 705 children. Total enrolments at twelve local state primary schools will increase by 30%from

2009 to 2013- an increase of 888 in four years. (the two capped schools included).*

There are projected to be 3894 children enrolled at local primary schools in 2013.[* See graphs]

FEWER SECONDARY SCHOOL OPTIONS

Concurrent with the increase in primary school enrolments and a baby boom has been adecrease in the number of secondary school options and access. Since 2004:

Moreland City College closed 2004http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhs

St Josephs Catholic Boys secondary closed 2009

Lakeside Secondary College closed 2010 http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/

Thornbury High School will be capping Year 7 enrolments in 2012

Northland High will become a Senior High in 2012

Northcote High School is considering ways to further restrict access as they cope withextreme enrolment demand

http://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdf Moonee Ponds Central School currently looking at removing Years 7 and 8 provision.
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhshttp://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhshttp://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://www.nhs.vic.edu.au/content/docs/newsletter/newsletter1114b%20web.pdfhttp://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://northcote-leader.whereilive.com.au/news/story/trashed/http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/08/03/1091476489884.html?from=storylhs


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THE DEECD SPATIAL VISION REPORT 2010 SHOWS THE NEED

In 2010 Spatial Vision were commissioned by the DEECD to do a review of secondary

provision within the Coburg area. The two stated objectives were 1) Describe the extent andnature of the changing demographic composition and 2) Review the potential for anadditional government secondary school (Review Methodology, 15th June-Spatial Vision)

Key sections of the DEECD Spatial Vision Report 2010 may be read atwww.highschoolforcoburg.org under Data DEECD Report-Coburg Core Area, Areas ofMost Growth and Network Capacity Analysis.

In 2006 there were over 5,000 secondary school aged persons in the Coburg CoreArea (page 71). This area - Coburg SLA plus West Preston would, according to HSC,be the catchment for a high school in Coburg

The Coburg Core Area would account for 1.8 to 10 times more average long term

demand for state secondary than surrounding secondary school catchments (page 80) The report showed a significant secondary provision shortfall which is most prominent in

the areas with most expected growth in numbers and least secondary school options(page 60)

THE BABY BOOM ENSURES THE NEED WILL BE SUSTAINED:

Moreland has experienced a 30% birthrate increase since the year 2000.Darebinhas had similarly big increases in birth notifications. (See graphs on the last page ofthis report)

Back in 2008 a national ABC story on Australias Baby Boom focused on Moreland -http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htm Moreland is traditionally working class and multicultural, and has fast become a populardestination for young families, wanting to buy a home within five to ten kilometres of thecity. This municipality is at the forefront of the baby boom;it's had the biggest increasein birth numbers of any inner city area in Victoria

In early 2011 Moreland Council included this article Baby Boom Hits Moreland in theInside Morelandpublication -http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001

METHODOLOGY

Data obtained from:

Phoning schools.

DEECD commissioned Spatial Vision Report 2010

DEECD

.

www.highschoolforcoburg.org

http://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburg
http://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htmhttp://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.facebook.com/highschoolforcoburghttp://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.moreland.vic.gov.au/about-council/news-media/inside-moreland/inside-moreland-summer-2011/inside-moreland-2011-baby-boom.html?s=1001http://www.abc.net.au/rn/backgroundbriefing/stories/2008/2192548.htmhttp://www.highschoolforcoburg.org/


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603

642

705

570

610

650

690

Studentnumbers

HIGH SCHOOL FOR COBURG

Local State School Prep Enrolments 2008 to 2012Data taken from the followIng local schools:

Bell

Brunswick East

Brunswick North West

Coburg

Coburg West*

Coburg NorthNewlands

Moreland

Pascoe Vale

Pascoe Vale North

Preston West*

Reservoir West

*capped enrolments

NOTES:

1. Overall growth in prep numbers 2008-12

for these schools = 53%

460

538

450

490

530

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2. * = School with capped enrolments

3. No figures for 2013 included

due to fluctuations in data


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3682

3894

3500

3600

3700

3800

3900

4000HIGH SCHOOL FOR COBURG

Local State School Total Enrolments 2009 - 2013Data taken from the followIng local schools:

Bell

Brunswick East

Brunswick North West

Coburg

Coburg West*

Coburg North

Moreland

Newlands

Pascoe Vale

Pascoe vale North

Preston West*

Reservoir West

NOTES:

3006

3212

3350

2900

3000

3100

3200

3300

3400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1. Overall growth in total numbers 2009-13

for these schools = 30%

2. Figures for 2013 are projections

3. * = School with capped enrolments


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more local primary school children report final nov 2011

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