monthly indicators - usamls.net€¦ · housing and economic indicators give reason for this...

12
December 2017 Activity Snapshot One-Year Change in One-Year Change in Closed Sales Median Sales Price 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Monthly Indicators + 10.4% + 1.7% - 21.9% One-Year Change in Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. Pending Sales Closed Sales Days on Market Until Sale Median Sales Price Average Sales Price Percent of List Price Received The number of homes for sale, days on market and months of supply were all down in year-over-year comparisons in a majority of the country for the entirety of 2017, as was housing affordability. And although total sales volumes were mixed, prices were consistently up in most markets. Buyers may not benefit from higher prices, but sellers do, and there should be more listing activity by more confident sellers in 2018. At least that would be the most viable prediction for an economic landscape pointing toward improved conditions for sellers. New Listings were up 31.0 percent to 110. Pending Sales increased 50.0 percent to 111. Inventory shrank 21.9 percent to 639 units. Prices moved higher as the Median Sales Price was up 1.7 percent to $121,000. Days on Market decreased 20.0 percent to 88 days. Months Supply of Inventory was down 27.3 percent to 4.8 months. Unemployment rates have remained low throughout 2017, and wages have shown improvement, though not always to levels that match home price increases. Yet housing demand remained incredibly strong in 2017, even in the face of higher mortgage rates that are likely to increase further in 2018. Home building and selling professionals are both cautiously optimistic for the year ahead. Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity in Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Tioga and Yates counties, comprised of single-family properties, townhomes and condominiums combined. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures. Activity Overview New Listings Housing Affordability Index Inventory of Homes for Sale Months Supply of Inventory

Upload: others

Post on 23-Jul-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

December 2017 Activity Snapshot

One-Year Change in One-Year Change inClosed Sales Median Sales Price

23456789

101112

Monthly Indicators

+ 10.4% + 1.7% - 21.9%One-Year Change in

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime.

Pending SalesClosed SalesDays on Market Until SaleMedian Sales PriceAverage Sales PricePercent of List Price Received

The number of homes for sale, days on market and months of supply were all down in year-over-year comparisons in a majority of the country for the entirety of 2017, as was housing affordability. And although total sales volumes were mixed, prices were consistently up in most markets. Buyers may not benefit from higher prices, but sellers do, and there should be more listing activity by more confident sellers in 2018. At least that would be the most viable prediction for an economic landscape pointing toward improved conditions for sellers.

New Listings were up 31.0 percent to 110. Pending Sales increased 50.0 percent to 111. Inventory shrank 21.9 percent to 639 units.

Prices moved higher as the Median Sales Price was up 1.7 percent to $121,000. Days on Market decreased 20.0 percent to 88 days. Months Supply of Inventory was down 27.3 percent to 4.8 months.

Unemployment rates have remained low throughout 2017, and wages have shown improvement, though not always to levels that match home price increases. Yet housing demand remained incredibly strong in 2017, even in the face of higher mortgage rates that are likely to increase further in 2018. Home building and selling professionals are both cautiously optimistic for the year ahead. Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation.

Homes for Sale

Residential activity in Chemung, Schuyler, Steuben, Tioga and Yates counties, comprised of single-family properties, townhomes and condominiums combined. Percent changes are calculated using rounded figures.

Activity OverviewNew Listings

Housing Affordability IndexInventory of Homes for SaleMonths Supply of Inventory

Page 2: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Activity Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparkbars 12-2016 12-2017 Percent Change YTD 2016 YTD 2017 Percent Change

Key metrics by report month and for year-to-date (YTD) starting from the first of the year.

New Listings 84 110 + 31.0% 2,340 - 2.7%

Pending Sales 74 111 + 50.0% 1,486 1,588 + 6.9%

2,406

+ 4.2%

Days on Market 110 88 - 20.0% 102 93 - 8.8%

Closed Sales 115 127 + 10.4% 1,474 1,536

- 0.8%

Avg. Sales Price $140,714 $139,072 - 1.2% $141,507 $142,962 + 1.0%

Median Sales Price $119,000 $121,000 + 1.7% $120,000 $119,000

+ 0.4%

Affordability Index 236 243 + 3.0% 234 247 + 5.6%

Pct. of List Price Received 94.7% 95.3% + 0.6% 94.7% 95.1%

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 2

--

Months Supply 6.6 4.8 - 27.3% -- -- --

Homes for Sale 818 639 - 21.9% -- --

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

12-2014 12-2015 12-2016 12-2017

Page 3: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

New Listings

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 157 200 -21.5%

February 2017 150 170 -11.8%

March 2017 210 190 +10.5%

April 2017 230 268 -14.2%

May 2017 256 245 +4.5%

June 2017 257 267 -3.7%

July 2017 245 232 +5.6%

August 2017 211 237 -11.0%

September 2017 185 218 -15.1%

October 2017 178 148 +20.3%

November 2017 151 147 +2.7%

December 2017 110 84 +31.0%

12-Month Avg 195 201 -3.0%

Historical New Listings by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 3

A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

New Listings

101

84

110

2015 2016 2017

December

0

100

200

300

400

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

2,534 2,406 2,340

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

- 2.7%- 16.8% + 31.0% - 5.1%- 4.7% - 1.1%

Page 4: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Pending Sales

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 101 99 +2.0%

February 2017 103 112 -8.0%

March 2017 136 118 +15.3%

April 2017 149 147 +1.4%

May 2017 167 161 +3.7%

June 2017 139 149 -6.7%

July 2017 141 128 +10.2%

August 2017 170 148 +14.9%

September 2017 121 121 0.0%

October 2017 137 119 +15.1%

November 2017 113 110 +2.7%

December 2017 111 74 +50.0%

12-Month Avg 132 124 +6.5%

Historical Pending Sales by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 4

A count of the properties on which offers have been accepted in a given month.

Pending Sales

70 74

111

2015 2016 2017

December

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

1,411 1,4861,588

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

+ 6.9%+ 5.7% + 50.0% + 5.3%- 22.2% + 1.2%

Page 5: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Closed Sales

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 107 88 +21.6%

February 2017 81 84 -3.6%

March 2017 103 102 +1.0%

April 2017 113 102 +10.8%

May 2017 133 138 -3.6%

June 2017 154 154 0.0%

July 2017 158 132 +19.7%

August 2017 154 158 -2.5%

September 2017 142 147 -3.4%

October 2017 135 122 +10.7%

November 2017 129 132 -2.3%

December 2017 127 115 +10.4%

12-Month Avg 128 123 +4.1%

Historical Closed Sales by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 5

A count of the actual sales that closed in a given month.

Closed Sales

128115

127

2015 2016 2017

December

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

1,3831,474 1,536

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

+ 4.2%- 10.2% + 10.4% + 6.6%+ 37.6% + 4.1%

Page 6: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Days on Market Until Sale

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 103 95 +8.4%

February 2017 94 127 -26.0%

March 2017 109 124 -12.1%

April 2017 108 101 +6.9%

May 2017 110 111 -0.9%

June 2017 100 121 -17.4%

July 2017 86 97 -11.3%

August 2017 73 82 -11.0%

September 2017 80 85 -5.9%

October 2017 96 80 +20.0%

November 2017 77 105 -26.7%

December 2017 88 110 -20.0%

12-Month Avg* 93 102 -8.8%

Historical Days on Market Until Sale by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 6

Average number of days between when a property is listed and when it is closed in a given month.

Days on Market

* Average Days on Market of all properties from January 2017 through December 2017. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

91

110

88

2015 2016 2017

December

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

109102

93

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

- 8.8%+ 20.9% - 20.0% - 6.4%- 52.4% - 35.1%

Page 7: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Median Sales Price

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 $106,000 $109,000 -2.8%

February 2017 $130,000 $95,500 +36.1%

March 2017 $108,000 $110,000 -1.8%

April 2017 $123,000 $127,500 -3.5%

May 2017 $115,250 $97,000 +18.8%

June 2017 $119,500 $129,500 -7.7%

July 2017 $112,000 $121,025 -7.5%

August 2017 $132,000 $122,620 +7.6%

September 2017 $118,500 $118,500 0.0%

October 2017 $127,500 $130,250 -2.1%

November 2017 $134,900 $130,000 +3.8%

December 2017 $121,000 $119,000 +1.7%

12-Month Med* $119,000 $120,000 -0.8%

Historical Median Sales Price by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 7

Point at which half of the sales sold for more and half sold for less, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Median Sales Price

* Median Sales Price of all properties from January 2017 through December 2017. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$116,500 $119,000 $121,000

2015 2016 2017

December

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

$100,000

$110,000

$120,000

$130,000

$140,000

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

$110,000$120,000 $119,000

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

- 0.8%+ 2.1% + 1.7% + 9.1%+ 13.2% - 1.8%

Page 8: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Average Sales Price

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 $119,371 $122,165 -2.3%

February 2017 $138,987 $112,479 +23.6%

March 2017 $139,900 $131,898 +6.1%

April 2017 $144,338 $147,536 -2.2%

May 2017 $141,306 $135,384 +4.4%

June 2017 $153,104 $156,265 -2.0%

July 2017 $137,945 $154,884 -10.9%

August 2017 $161,434 $146,269 +10.4%

September 2017 $130,658 $134,734 -3.0%

October 2017 $144,721 $139,926 +3.4%

November 2017 $155,354 $155,068 +0.2%

December 2017 $139,072 $140,714 -1.2%

12-Month Avg* $142,962 $141,507 +1.0%

Historical Average Sales Price by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 8

Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

Avg. Sales Price

* Avg. Sales Price of all properties from January 2017 through December 2017. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

$122,926

$140,714 $139,072

2015 2016 2017

December

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

$180,000

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

$135,052$141,507 $142,962

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

+ 1.0%+ 14.5% - 1.2% + 4.8%- 0.6% - 4.7%

Page 9: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Percent of List Price Received

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 93.3% 94.1% -0.9%

February 2017 93.5% 92.3% +1.3%

March 2017 95.4% 94.5% +1.0%

April 2017 95.2% 94.6% +0.6%

May 2017 93.6% 93.7% -0.1%

June 2017 95.2% 95.1% +0.1%

July 2017 95.0% 95.4% -0.4%

August 2017 96.0% 96.0% 0.0%

September 2017 95.6% 95.6% 0.0%

October 2017 95.5% 93.7% +1.9%

November 2017 96.0% 95.5% +0.5%

December 2017 95.3% 94.7% +0.6%

12-Month Avg* 95.1% 94.7% +0.4%

Historical Percent of List Price Received by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 9

Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its most recent list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

Pct. of List Price Received

* Average Pct. of List Price Received for all properties from January 2017 through December 2017. This is not the average of the individual figures above.

93.8% 94.7% 95.3%

2015 2016 2017

December

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

97%

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

94.5% 94.7% 95.1%

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

+ 0.4%+ 1.0% + 0.6% + 0.2%0.0% + 0.3%

Page 10: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Housing Affordability Index

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 262 260 +0.8%

February 2017 219 306 -28.4%

March 2017 263 264 -0.4%

April 2017 237 229 +3.5%

May 2017 254 301 -15.6%

June 2017 245 229 +7.0%

July 2017 262 250 +4.8%

August 2017 224 247 -9.3%

September 2017 249 255 -2.4%

October 2017 228 235 -3.0%

November 2017 218 223 -2.2%

December 2017 243 236 +3.0%

12-Month Avg 242 253 -4.3%

Historical Housing Affordability Index by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 10

This index measures housing affordability for the region. For example, an index of 120 means the median household income is 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

Affordability Index

248 236 243

2015 2016 2017

December

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

263234

247

2015 2016 2017

Year to Date

+ 5.6%- 4.8% + 3.0% - 11.0%- 10.1% + 3.5%

Page 11: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Inventory of Homes for Sale

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 785 963 -18.5%

February 2017 786 938 -16.2%

March 2017 778 946 -17.8%

April 2017 796 990 -19.6%

May 2017 814 1,003 -18.8%

June 2017 863 1,037 -16.8%

July 2017 884 1,063 -16.8%

August 2017 851 1,061 -19.8%

September 2017 844 1,036 -18.5%

October 2017 792 950 -16.6%

November 2017 745 901 -17.3%

December 2017 639 818 -21.9%

12-Month Avg 798 976 -18.2%

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 11

The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

Homes for Sale

940818

639

2015 2016 2017

December

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

- 13.0% - 21.9%- 2.8%

Page 12: Monthly Indicators - USAMLS.net€¦ · Housing and economic indicators give reason for this optimism, with or without new federal tax legislation. Homes for Sale Residential activity

Months Supply of Inventory

Prior Year Percent Change

January 2017 6.3 8.1 -22.2%

February 2017 6.4 7.7 -16.9%

March 2017 6.2 7.9 -21.5%

April 2017 6.4 8.2 -22.0%

May 2017 6.5 8.2 -20.7%

June 2017 6.9 8.4 -17.9%

July 2017 7.0 8.7 -19.5%

August 2017 6.7 8.5 -21.2%

September 2017 6.6 8.4 -21.4%

October 2017 6.1 7.7 -20.8%

November 2017 5.8 7.3 -20.5%

December 2017 4.8 6.6 -27.3%

12-Month Avg 6.3 8.0 -21.3%

Historical Months Supply of Inventory by Month

Current as of January 10, 2018. All data from the Elmira-Corning Regional Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the New York State Association of REALTORS®. Report © 2018 ShowingTime. | 12

The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

Months Supply

8.0

6.6

4.8

2015 2016 2017

December

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012 1-2013 1-2014 1-2015 1-2016 1-2017

- 17.5% - 27.3%- 3.6%