montana survey results · 2 hours ago · july 9-10, 2020 survey of 1,224 montana voters 3020...

July 9-10, 2020Survey of 1,224 Montana votersJuly 9-10, 2020Survey of 1,224 Montana voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



Montana Survey ResultsQ1 Do you approve or disapprove of President

Donald Trump's job performance?

51% Approve ..........................................................

46% Disapprove......................................................

3% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

35% Favorable........................................................

56% Unfavorable ....................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 If the candidates for President were Democrat Joe Biden and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

42% Joe Biden........................................................

51% Donald Trump .................................................

7% Not sure ..........................................................

Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Steve Bullock’s job performance?

50% Approve ..........................................................

38% Disapprove......................................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Steve Daines’ job performance?

43% Approve ..........................................................

42% Disapprove......................................................

15% Not sure ..........................................................

Q6 If the candidates for US Senate were Democrat Steve Bullock and Republican Steve Daines, who would you vote for?

46% Steve Bullock ..................................................

44% Steve Daines ..................................................

10% Not sure ..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Cooney?

27% Favorable........................................................

25% Unfavorable ....................................................

48% Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Greg Gianforte?

40% Favorable........................................................

47% Unfavorable ....................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If the candidates for Governor were Democrat Mike Cooney and Republican Greg Gianforte, who would you vote for?

42% Mike Cooney...................................................

46% Greg Gianforte ................................................

12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Williams?

37% Favorable........................................................

33% Unfavorable ....................................................

30% Not sure ..........................................................

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Matt Rosendale?

34% Favorable........................................................

40% Unfavorable ....................................................

26% Not sure ..........................................................

Q12 If the candidates for US House were Democrat Kathleen Williams and Republican Matt Rosendale, who would you vote for?

44% Kathleen Williams ...........................................

44% Matt Rosendale...............................................

13% Not sure ..........................................................

July 9-10, 2020Survey of 1,224 Montana votersJuly 9-10, 2020Survey of 1,224 Montana voters





Q13 In the 2016 election, did you vote for Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Clinton, someone else, or did you not vote in the election?

52% Donald Trump .................................................

36% Hillary Clinton..................................................

12% Someone else / Did not vote...........................

Q14 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53% Woman ...........................................................

47% Man.................................................................

Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If an independent, press 3.

29% Democrat ........................................................

37% Republican......................................................

33% Independent....................................................

Q16 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

92% White ..............................................................

8% Other...............................................................

Q17 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65, press 2. If older than 65, press 3.

33% 18 to 45...........................................................

42% 46 to 65...........................................................

25% Older than 65 ..................................................

Q18 What is the highest level of education you have received: high school graduate or less, some college but did not finish, 2-year college degree, 4-year college degree, or post-graduate degree?

31% High school graduate or less ..........................

25% Some college but did not finish .......................

11% 2-year college degree .....................................

21% 4-year college degree .....................................

11% Post-graduate degree .....................................

Q19 Mode

52% Landline ..........................................................

48% Text .................................................................

July 9-10, 2020survey of 1,224 Montana votersJuly 9-10, 2020survey of 1,224 Montana voters





Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...

Someone els-e / Did not v...

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 91% 2% 26%

46% 6% 97% 64%

3% 3% 1% 9%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 5% 80% 29%

56% 89% 8% 56%

10% 7% 12% 16%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 6% 95% 42%

51% 91% 2% 28%

7% 3% 4% 30%






Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 21% 88% 58%

38% 62% 7% 22%

13% 17% 5% 20%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 73% 5% 29%

42% 12% 86% 39%

15% 16% 9% 32%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 12% 94% 51%

44% 78% 2% 26%

10% 11% 4% 23%






Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 7% 55% 27%

25% 40% 9% 12%

48% 52% 36% 60%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Gianforte Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 72% 2% 17%

47% 13% 94% 56%

12% 15% 4% 27%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 9% 90% 44%

46% 82% 4% 18%

12% 9% 6% 38%






Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Williams Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 7% 78% 42%

33% 57% 4% 17%

30% 36% 17% 41%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


RosendaleFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 59% 3% 18%

40% 13% 81% 35%

26% 29% 16% 47%

Bas-e

2016 Vote

Donal-d Tru...

HillaryClint...


Williams / Rosendale

Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 9% 92% 51%

44% 78% 2% 19%

13% 13% 6% 31%






Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 48% 55%

46% 48% 43%

3% 4% 2%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 36% 33%

56% 52% 60%

10% 12% 6%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 45% 39%

51% 48% 55%

7% 8% 5%






Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 52% 47%

38% 32% 44%

13% 16% 10%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 39% 48%

42% 41% 43%

15% 20% 10%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 50% 41%

44% 40% 49%

10% 9% 10%






Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 27% 27%

25% 23% 28%

48% 49% 46%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 36% 45%

47% 49% 45%

12% 14% 10%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man

Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 45% 39%

46% 42% 51%

12% 14% 9%






Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 39% 35%

33% 28% 39%

30% 33% 26%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 30% 38%

40% 37% 43%

26% 32% 19%

Bas-e

Gender

Wom... Man


Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 46% 41%

44% 40% 48%

13% 14% 11%






Bas-e

Party

Democr... Republic... Independe...

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 7% 92% 45%

46% 91% 7% 50%

3% 1% 1% 6%

Bas-e

Party


Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 75% 5% 32%

56% 13% 90% 55%

10% 12% 5% 13%

Bas-e

Party


Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 89% 5% 42%

51% 5% 92% 46%

7% 6% 2% 12%






Bas-e

Party


Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 87% 22% 47%

38% 8% 59% 40%

13% 5% 19% 13%

Bas-e

Party


Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 9% 75% 38%

42% 81% 12% 40%

15% 9% 13% 22%

Bas-e

Party


Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 89% 12% 46%

44% 5% 81% 38%

10% 6% 6% 17%






Bas-e

Party


Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 56% 6% 25%

25% 8% 41% 23%

48% 36% 53% 53%

Bas-e

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 5% 74% 34%

47% 88% 13% 50%

12% 7% 12% 17%

Bas-e

Party


Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 87% 6% 43%

46% 5% 83% 41%

12% 8% 11% 16%






Bas-e

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 76% 6% 37%

33% 6% 57% 31%

30% 18% 37% 32%

Bas-e

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 8% 61% 26%

40% 74% 12% 42%

26% 18% 28% 32%

Bas-e

Party



Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 86% 9% 45%

44% 5% 80% 38%

13% 9% 12% 17%






Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 53% 28%

46% 44% 70%

3% 3% 2%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 34% 48%

56% 57% 41%

10% 9% 11%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 41% 62%

51% 53% 29%

7% 6% 9%






Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 49% 54%

38% 38% 35%

13% 13% 12%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 45% 23%

42% 40% 59%

15% 15% 18%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 45% 56%

44% 46% 25%

10% 9% 20%






Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 26% 35%

25% 25% 25%

48% 48% 40%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 42% 26%

47% 46% 60%

12% 12% 13%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...

Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 42% 50%

46% 48% 30%

12% 11% 21%






Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 35% 53%

33% 34% 28%

30% 31% 19%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 34% 26%

40% 39% 50%

26% 27% 24%

Bas-e

Race

Whi... Oth...


Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 42% 62%

44% 45% 26%

13% 13% 12%






Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 45% 55% 53%

46% 52% 42% 45%

3% 3% 3% 2%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 29% 36% 41%

56% 58% 57% 51%

10% 13% 8% 8%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 42% 41% 44%

51% 46% 56% 51%

7% 12% 4% 4%






Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 51% 46% 54%

38% 36% 40% 35%

13% 13% 14% 11%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 37% 46% 46%

42% 43% 40% 43%

15% 21% 14% 10%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 51% 42% 47%

44% 35% 51% 45%

10% 14% 7% 9%






Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 25% 25% 33%

25% 24% 26% 26%

48% 51% 49% 41%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 32% 46% 42%

47% 52% 42% 50%

12% 17% 11% 8%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...

Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 45% 39% 44%

46% 36% 52% 50%

12% 19% 9% 7%






Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 37% 35% 40%

33% 33% 36% 30%

30% 30% 29% 30%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 30% 35% 37%

40% 42% 39% 39%

26% 29% 26% 24%

Bas-e

Age

18 t-o 45

46 t-o 65

Olderthan ...


Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 45% 43% 44%

44% 36% 48% 47%

13% 20% 9% 10%






Bas-e

Education

High school gr-aduate or less

Some collegebut did not finish

2-year colleg-e degree


Post-graduat-e degree

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 61% 52% 53% 46% 31%

46% 35% 46% 44% 52% 67%

3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 2%

Bas-e

Education






Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 24% 32% 36% 41% 54%

56% 62% 58% 59% 51% 38%

10% 13% 9% 5% 8% 8%

Bas-e

Education






Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 31% 41% 41% 49% 64%

51% 60% 52% 54% 46% 32%

7% 9% 7% 5% 5% 3%






Bas-e

Education






Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 39% 48% 49% 56% 68%

38% 44% 38% 43% 33% 23%

13% 16% 14% 8% 11% 8%

Bas-e

Education






Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 46% 44% 52% 41% 27%

42% 32% 42% 34% 48% 63%

15% 21% 14% 13% 12% 10%

Bas-e

Education






Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 35% 46% 43% 53% 67%

44% 49% 46% 52% 41% 27%

10% 16% 8% 5% 7% 6%






Bas-e

Education






Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 20% 25% 25% 29% 49%

25% 33% 22% 25% 24% 16%

48% 48% 53% 51% 47% 35%

Bas-e

Education







Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 48% 39% 48% 36% 24%

47% 35% 49% 41% 56% 67%

12% 17% 12% 12% 8% 8%

Bas-e

Education






Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 31% 41% 37% 50% 67%

46% 54% 48% 50% 41% 27%

12% 15% 12% 13% 9% 7%






Bas-e

Education







Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 24% 36% 39% 43% 60%

33% 40% 31% 30% 33% 23%

30% 36% 33% 30% 24% 18%

Bas-e

Education







Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 38% 36% 38% 32% 19%

40% 26% 40% 38% 48% 62%

26% 36% 24% 24% 20% 19%

Bas-e

Education







Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 34% 42% 45% 48% 66%

44% 51% 45% 49% 38% 25%

13% 15% 13% 6% 14% 10%






Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Trump Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

51% 53% 50%

46% 45% 47%

3% 2% 4%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Biden Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

35% 40% 29%

56% 51% 60%

10% 9% 11%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Biden / Trump

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Not sure

42% 44% 40%

51% 51% 52%

7% 5% 8%






Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Bullock Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

50% 50% 50%

38% 38% 37%

13% 12% 14%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Daines Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

43% 44% 42%

42% 43% 40%

15% 13% 18%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Bullock / Daines

Steve Bullock

Steve Daines

Not sure

46% 46% 46%

44% 43% 45%

10% 11% 9%






Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Cooney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

27% 28% 26%

25% 26% 25%

48% 46% 49%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

40% 41% 40%

47% 47% 47%

12% 12% 13%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text

Cooney / Gianforte

Mike Cooney

Greg Gianforte

Not sure

42% 43% 41%

46% 48% 44%

12% 9% 15%






Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

37% 37% 36%

33% 30% 37%

30% 33% 27%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 33% 35%

40% 40% 40%

26% 28% 25%

Bas-e

Mode

Landli... Text


Kathleen Williams

Matt Rosendale

Not sure

44% 44% 43%

44% 44% 44%

13% 12% 13%

montana survey results · 2 hours ago · july 9-10, 2020 survey of 1,224 montana voters 3020...

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