mongolian review 2011
TRANSCRIPT
MONGOLIAUNIQUE POTENTIAL FOR EXPONENTIAL GROWTH
MONGOLIA
2011
KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS
COUNTRY DATA
VAST UNTAPPED NATURAL RESOURCES
Total Area :East to West :
North to South :Capital city :Population :
LLiteracy rate :
GDP 2010 :Exports:Imports:
east densely populated :
1.56 mln sq. km 2,392 km (1,487 miles) 1,259 km (782 miles) Ulaanbaatar2.7 million
97.8%USD 6.1 billionUSD 2.9 billionUSD 3.2 billion
2 individuals per sq.km
20073,93110.2
1,49015
1,1701,949114,32,892
47
Nominal GDP, USD mlnGDP Growth Rate, %GDP per capital, USD
InflationUSD rate
Exports, USD mlnTrade Balance, USD mln
Total Bank Assets, USD mlnTotal Loans to GDP, %
20084,837
91,819
221,2682,539-710
2,88044
2009 4,197
-1.31,532
4.21,4431,902-228,73,06443.8
2010 6,088
6.11,532
4.21,4431,902-228,73,06443.8
GDP Current price (US$ Million), Real growth (%)
0
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
2006
8.6%
2007
10.2%
2008
9.0%
Source: National Statistical Office
Source: Central Geological Laboratory of Prepared by Mining Department, Golomt Bank
Mongolia
Elements discovered and studied in Mongolia
Elements not discovered in Mongolia
69 of the total 111 elements of the Periodic Table or 62% of the total elements are found in Mongolia.
Periodic table of the elements (Mendeleyev)
2009
-1.3%
2010 E
6.1%
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH POTENTIAL
Name of DepositTavan Tolgoi
Shivee ovooTugalgatai
Mushgia KhudagBaganuurErdenet
Nariin SukhaitTumurteiDornod
Mineral typecoking/thermal coal
Cu, Au
thermal coalthermal coalFe, rare earththermal coal
Cu, Mocoking coal
Fe, ZnU
Reserve6.4 bln tonnes39 mln tonnes,
1816 tonnes5.6 bln tonnes3 bln tonnes
23.6 mln tonnes512.8 mln tonnes4.87 mln tonnes
210.7 mln tonnes229.29 mln tonnes
76.11 thous. tonnes
Value (USD bln)
$1,484
462
33017741303724189
Oyu Tolgoi
TOTAL
356
Resource: Mineral Resources and Petroleum Authority of Mongolia, March 2008 Valuation: Golomt Bank, January 2010
Undeveloped world scale deposits
Oyu Tolgoi Investment Agreement (OTIA) was signed on 6th October 2009 entailing a joint venture partnership between Ivanhoe Mines, Rio Tinto and Government of Mongolia Oyu Tolgoi is projected to have annual production of USD 5 bln over a 40 year life spanTavan Tolgoi is projected to have annual production of USD 10 bln over a 50 year life spanSouth Gobi Sands listing in Hong Kong Stock Exchange at a > USD 450 million placement as of 29th January 2010
Coal Exports Forecast (mln tonnes)
50
40
30
20
10
02 2 3
6 7 916
2228
3340
45
Others Tavan Tolgoi
Copper Exports Forecast (thousand tonnes)
140012001000
800600400200
0
126 130 130 146 148 149 146382
518656
1147
Erdenet OthersOyu Tolgoi
150
Source: Golomt Bank Mining Department, 2009
ChinaCanadaRussia
UKItaly
Total Exports
2466.3141.682.767.431.5
2 789.5
84.8%4.7%2.8%2.3%1.1%
95.9%
Exports
Russian FederationChinaJapan
South KoreaUSA
Total Imports
1 046.7971.0196.5181.8158.9
2 554.9
31.5%30.3%6.1%5.7%4.9%
78.5%
Imports
TRADE PARTNERSUSD
millionShare of total
exportsUSD
millionShare of total
imports
Source: National Statistical Office, 2010
China absorbs 4/5 of exports and provides 1/2 of non-oil imports
Mongolia’s growth is strongly correlated with China’s growth
INVESTOR FRIENDLY ENVIRONMENT
Since our peaceful transition from a centrally planned economy to democracy, Mongolia has been creating an investor friendly environment to encourage foreign investment. The laws have been updated in 1993, 1998 and in 2003; with each revision of the laws conditions were improved reach win win situation.
Source: ICF/World Bank 2012 annual report on business conditions indeveloping countries
Starting BusinessProtecting Investors
Paying TaxesRegistering Property
Getting CreditEnforcing Contract
Doing Business, Overall
972957266733
Ease ofDoing Business
2012 rank out of183 countries
86
Source: National Statistical Office
MNT Billion Percentage2007
1 252.8
389.4729.7133.7
778.5407.7370.8474.3369.8104.5
Total By technological composition
By financial sources
Construction work Machinery, equipment
Others
Domestic State budget
Others Foreign
Foreign direct investment Others
20081 785.1
586.2854.7344.2
950.5519.3431.2834.6693.5141.1
20092 146.2
418.01 042.6685.6
843.2433.9409.3
1303.0819.3483.7
20103 370.7
350.81 801.71 218.2
1 038.5.
487.02 332.22 133.8198.4
551 5
2007100
31.158.210.7
62.132.529.637.929.58.3
2008100
32.847.919.3
53.229.124.246.838.87.9
2009100
19.548.631.9
39.320.219.160.738.222.5
2010100
10.453.536.1
30.816.414.469.263.35.9
Investment
Nominal GDP, USD bln
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 150
5
10
15
20
25
30
GDP per Capita, USD
010002000
30004000
5000
6000700080009000
10000
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Source: Mineral Resources and Petroleum Authority of Mongolia, March 2008
Raise capital
Conduct fiscal reforms
Enhance competitiveness
Strengthen corporate governance
IMMEDIATE PRIORITIES OF THE GOVERNMENT OF MONGOLIA
Tel: 976-11-321927Fax: 976-11-321926
E-mail: [email protected] Policy and Competitiveness Research Center
Central Tower 1010a, Sukhbaatar Square, Ulan Bator, Mongolia WEB: WWW.ECRC.MN