monday, may 7, 2018 -...
TRANSCRIPT
Monday, May 7, 2018• Warm-up
• Imagine a fair coin flipped – calculate the following probabilities:
• P(T) =
• P(T then T) =
• P(3 T in a row) =
• P(T then H then T)=
• P(10 T in a row) =
• More with probability
• Computer Lab time
Objectives
• Content: I will improve my proficiency in computing simple and compound probabilities.
• Social: I will participate in the class activities.
• Language: I will take clear notes that I can refer back to.
Review and add to Friday
• Probability- the chance that something will happen
• Probability= Favorable/Total
• Favorable – the outcome you’re interested in• Ex. The probability of flipping a coin and landing on heads.
• Sample Space – Heads or Tails
• Prob=1/2
• Sample Space – all possible outcomes
Probability of Simple Events
• Rock Paper Scissor Lizard Spock• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Q6-wMx-K8
Sample Space
• P(Raj throwing paper) =
• P(Raj throwing lizard) =
Probability of Simple Events• P(Raj throwing paper or Spock) =
• P(Sheldon throwing rock) =
• P(Sheldon throwing paper, scissors, lizard, or Spock)=
• P(of Sheldon throwing one of the original choices) =
Probability of Simple Events
• P(Raj throwing rock and Sheldon throwing lizard)=
• P(Spock and paper being thrown)=
• P(both throwing Spock)=
• P(throwing the same thing)=
Sheldon Let’s the Dice Choose Lunch
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BVIjqd8DBGw
Sheldon chooses his entrée by rolling a 20 sided die. There are 5 burgers on this page and 15 other dishes. He then rolls a six sided die to choose his beverage. The beverage choices are lemonade, water, coke, mountain dew, margaritas, and strawberry daiquiris.
• P(burger)=
• P(lemonade)=
• P(both)=
Probability of Compound Events• Compound Events
• Independent Events- Events that do not affect each other
• Independent examples-
• Compound Independent Probability Method
P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B)
Probability of Compound Events
• Examples-• What is the probability of rolling a 6 and a coin landing
on heads?
• P(6) =
• P(heads) =
• P(6 and heads)=
Probability of Compound Events• Dependent Events – Events in which the outcome of one
will affect the probability of the other
• Dependent examples-
• Compound Dependent Probability Method
P(A and B)=
P(A)*Modified P(B)
Probability of Compound Events
• Examples-• There is a bag filled with 10 marbles: 6 red, 1 blue, and 3
green. What is the probability of randomly picking out a red marble then a green marble?
• P(red)=
• Modified P(green) =
• P(red and green) =
Probability of Compound Events
• Examples-• There is a bag filled with 10 marbles: 6 red, 1 blue, and 3 green.
What is the probability of picking a red then a red then the blue marbles?
• P(red) =
• Modified P(red) =
• Modified P(blue) =
• P(all) =