molson coors brewing company annual new york … · 5 strong performance during tough times •...
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M O L S O N C O O R S B R E W I N G C O M PA N Y A N N U A L N E W Y O R K I N V E S T O R / A N A LY S T M E E T I N G
J U N E 2 5 , 2 0 1 4
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PETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO MOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANYPETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO MOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANY
Forward‐Looking Statements: This press release includes estimates or projections that constitute “forward‐looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, the words “believe,” "expect,” "intend,” "anticipate,” “project,” “will,” and similar expressions identify forward‐looking statements, which generally are not historic in nature. Although the Company believes that the assumptions upon which its forward‐looking statements are based are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these assumptions will prove to be correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s historical experience, and present projections and expectations are disclosed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). These factors include, among others, impact of competitive pricing and product pressures; health of the beer industry and our brands in our markets; economic conditions in our markets; pension plan costs; availability or increase in the cost of packaging materials; our ability to maintain manufacturer/distribution agreements; our ability to implement our strategic initiatives, including executing and realizing cost savings; our ability to successfully integrate our Central Europe business; changes in legal and regulatory requirements, including the regulation of distribution systems; increase in the cost of commodities used in the business; our ability to maintain brand image, reputation and product quality; our ability to maintain good labor relations; changes in our supply chain system; additional impairment charges; the impact of climate change and the availability and quality of water; risks relating to operations outside North America; success of our joint ventures; lack of full control over the operations of MillerCoors; and other risks discussed in our filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year‐ended December 31, 2013, which are available from the SEC. All forward‐looking statements in this press release are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements and by reference to the underlying assumptions. You should not place undue reliance on forward‐looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. We do not undertake to update forward‐looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Reconciliations to Nearest U.S. GAAP Measures: The following presentation includes certain "non‐GAAP financial measures" as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. A schedule is posted on the Company’s website at MolsonCooors.com (in the “Investor Relations" section) which reconciles our results as reported under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles and the non‐GAAP financial measures included in the following presentation.
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FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTFORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT
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LAST YEAR TO THIS YEAR – KEY TAKEAWAYSLAST YEAR TO THIS YEAR – KEY TAKEAWAYS
• Investing behind core brands• Driving share in above premium• Delivering value-added innovation• Commercial excellence• Cost reductions
BRAND-LED PROFITGROWTH
• Capital expenditure driving efficiencies• Working Capital improvements
CASHGENERATION
• Disciplined cash use• Return-driven criteria• Short-term priority: deleverage
CASH AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Profit AfterCapital Charge
(TSR)TOTAL
SHAREHOLDER RETURN
• Gaining traction against our commercial strategy• Continue to improve the efficiency of our operations• Strategic discipline driving improved financial performance
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STRONG PERFORMANCE DURING TOUGH TIMESSTRONG PERFORMANCE DURING TOUGH TIMES
• Generated more than $860 million in synergies and cost savings since 2008
• Increased underlying free cash flow generation by nearly 76%
• To $892 million in 2013, from $508 million in 2008
• Grown EBITDA every year since 2008
• Increased underlying after-tax profit since 2008 at a compound annual rate of nearly 8%
• Increased our quarterly dividend by 16 percent in 2014
• Adopted dividend payout ratio target
• Peter Swinburn, CEO, Molson Coors
• Tom Long, CEO, MillerCoors
• Stewart Glendinning, CEO, Molson Coors Canada
• Mark Hunter, CEO, Molson Coors Europe
• Gavin Hattersley, CFO, Molson Coors
• Closing Remarks
• Q&A with Full Leadership Team
• Reception
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TODAY’S AGENDA – FOCUS ON CORE MARKETSTODAY’S AGENDA – FOCUS ON CORE MARKETS
1 Does not include underlying operating losses for Corporate and MCI. Totals may not sum due to rounding. Non GAAP underlying income is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
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MOLSON COORS OVERVIEWMOLSON COORS OVERVIEW
46%
36% 14%
4%Worldwide Beer
Volume
44%
28%26%
2%Net Sales
48%
18%
34%
Underlying Operating Income1
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
EUROPE
CANADA
UNITED STATES
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CONTEXT – IMPROVING ECONOMIES IN OUR CORE MARKETSCONTEXT – IMPROVING ECONOMIES IN OUR CORE MARKETS
GDP – Real Change % (Per Annum) Recorded Unemployment %
(7.0)
(5.0)
(3.0)
(1.0)
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016FUSA CANADA UNITED KINGDOM
BULGARIA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC
SERBIA
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
Source: EIU (The Economist Intelligence Unit), May 2014GDP = Gross Domestic Product
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016FUSA CANADA UNITED KINGDOM
BULGARIA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC
SERBIA
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F
• Improving GDP trends in North America, slower in Europe• Employment outlook improving across most markets• Growing consumer confidence
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
CONTEXT -- RAPIDLY CHANGING CONSUMER DYNAMICSCONTEXT -- RAPIDLY CHANGING CONSUMER DYNAMICS
• Fewer beer–only drinkers
• Demand for more innovation in beer
• Growing interest in craft
• Brand marketing requires more two-way engagement with consumers online
• Greater consumer interest in corporate social responsibility
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GROWTH STRATEGY ALIGNED WITH THESE TRENDSGROWTH STRATEGY ALIGNED WITH THESE TRENDS
• Investing behind core brands• Driving share in above premium • Delivering value-added innovation• Commercial excellence• Cost reductions
BRAND-LED PROFITGROWTH
• Capital expenditure driving efficiencies• Working capital improvements
CASHGENERATION
• Disciplined cash use• Return-driven criteria• Short-term priority: deleverage
CASH AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION
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BRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERSBRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERS
DRIVING SHARE
IN ABOVE PREMIUM
DRIVE COST SAVINGS AND
COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE
DELIVERING VALUE
ADDED INNOVATION
INVESTING BEHIND
CORE BRANDS
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
INVESTING BEHIND CORE BRANDSINVESTING BEHIND CORE BRANDS
• Core brands account for nearly 70% of total volume
• Strong brand positions in the most profitable beer markets
• The US premium light category is 6x larger than the craft category
• US - Coors Light (#2) and Miller Lite (#4)
• Canada - Coors Light (#1) and Molson Canadian (#3)
• Carling - UK’s #1 selling beer
• All of our leading brands across Central Europe are premium, most #1 or #2
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CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
DRIVING SHARE IN ABOVE PREMIUMDRIVING SHARE IN ABOVE PREMIUM
• Tenth and Blake is the leading craft brewer in the US
• Blue Moon is the largest craft brand in US
• Leinenkugel’s the fifth-largest craft brand in US
• Canada above premium portfolio captures more than 26% of the overall segment (*)
• Doom Bar is largest on-premise cask ale in the UK
• UK craft portfolio growing at over 25% per year
• Continued strength of Staropramenacross Europe
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* Excludes the Modelo brands in Canada
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
DELIVERING VALUE ADDED INNOVATIONDELIVERING VALUE ADDED INNOVATION
• A leader in the industry
• Creates brand loyalty
• Attracts new drinkers
• Builds excitement in the category
• Delivered 5.8% of NSR in 2013
• On-target for nearly 7% of 2014 NSR
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CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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PERFORMANCE IS UNDERPINNED BY COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCEPERFORMANCE IS UNDERPINNED BY COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE
CONSISTENT GLOBAL FRAMEWORK
CAPABILITIES
Management and People
Global Standard Technology
Commercial Excellence Academy
ENABLERS
PILOT AREA: OUTCOMES
Field Sales Management
Revenue Management
UK: VOLUME IMPROVEMENT
CANADA: VOLUME IMPROVEMENT
+6.5% -- Distribution vs. Control
+18% -- Brilliant Execution
+6 calls/day -- Call Coverage
+2.2% -- Distribution vs. Control
+14% -- Brilliant Execution
+4 calls/day -- Call Coverage
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MOLSON COORS INTERNATIONALA CRITICAL PART OF OUR BRAND-LED GROWTH STRATEGY
MOLSON COORS INTERNATIONALA CRITICAL PART OF OUR BRAND-LED GROWTH STRATEGY
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MCI STRATEGYASSET-LIGHT, INTEGRATED MARKETING & BRILLIANT EXECUTION
MCI STRATEGYASSET-LIGHT, INTEGRATED MARKETING & BRILLIANT EXECUTION
Perfect Outlet Execution Great Quality BeerDisruptive Marketing
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
* Including sales volume and royalty volume
445
697
0
200
400
600
800
2009 2013
Coors Light International Volume* (000s Hl)
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BUILDING A FAST GROWING GLOBAL PORTFOLIO OF ABOVE PREMIUM BRANDS
BUILDING A FAST GROWING GLOBAL PORTFOLIO OF ABOVE PREMIUM BRANDS
666
2,250
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2009 2013
MCI Total Volume* (000s Hl)
+12% CAGR +36% CAGR
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
1 Non-GAAP underlying pretax income (loss) is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. HL includes financial and royalty volume.
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MCI ON TRACK FOR 2016 PROFITABILITYMCI ON TRACK FOR 2016 PROFITABILITY
-$35
-$25
-$15
-$5
$5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
MCI Underlying Pretax Income(loss) per HL1
2014 20162015
MCI will move past breakeven to deliver meaningful profit growth beyond 2016
• The fundamentals of our business are strong and improving
• We have a disciplined growth strategy that is yielding improved financial results
• Delivering an increasing share of revenue from innovation
• Strong growth of core brands
• Accelerated success in the above premium category
• Increased operational efficiency, and
• Strong commercial execution
• Well positioned to grow as economic conditions continue to improve
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MOLSON COORS IS WELL POSITIONEDMOLSON COORS IS WELL POSITIONED
U.S. UPDATE: TOM LONG, CEO MILLERCOORSU.S. UPDATE: TOM LONG, CEO MILLERCOORS
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Since 2008 launch …
• More than $1 billion in savings/synergies
• More than $6 billion in underlying net income since inception
• Net cash distributions to parent companies of nearly $5.5 billion
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A STRONGER, MORE COMPETITIVE BREWERA STRONGER, MORE COMPETITIVE BREWER
Major Breweries
14.4%14.8%
15.8%16.5% 16.3%2.3%
2.4%
3.5% 3.4% 3.3%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1
Underlying Net Income Margin% Domestic Net Revenue per HL Growth
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STRONG REVENUE GROWTH AND MARGIN EXPANSIONSTRONG REVENUE GROWTH AND MARGIN EXPANSION
* Non-GAAP underlying Net Income is calculated excluding special and other non-core items from U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
Millennial tastes have shiftedAn explosion of new brewers
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
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MILLENNIALS DRIVING SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TOTAL BEVERAGE ALCOHOL MARKET
MILLENNIALS DRIVING SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TOTAL BEVERAGE ALCOHOL MARKET
TBA servings distribution among consumers ages 21-34
Generation X: 1999 Millennials: 2012
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EVOLVE OUR PORTFOLIOEVOLVE OUR PORTFOLIO
EconomyPremium RegularPremium LightAbove Premium
9%
56%
5%
30%
2013 MillerCoors*
13%
56%
4%
27%
2016 MillerCoors*
*Percent of Total VolumeSource: MillerCoors projections
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RIGHT STRATEGYRIGHT STRATEGY
Drive core brands
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• COMMERCIAL #1
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RIGHT STRATEGYRIGHT STRATEGY
Drive core brands
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• COMMERCIAL #1
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RIGHT STRATEGYRIGHT STRATEGY
Capture Above Premium Growth
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• COMMERCIAL #1
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RIGHT STRATEGYRIGHT STRATEGY
Capture Above Premium Growth
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RIGHT STRATEGYRIGHT STRATEGY
Accelerate innovation
DRIVING NET PRODUCER REVENUE INCREASE THROUGH INNOVATIONDRIVING NET PRODUCER REVENUE INCREASE THROUGH INNOVATION
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0.2% 0.4%
1.2%
5.8%
7.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1'14
Brand Innovation % of Total Domestic Net Producer Revenue
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MILLERCOORS GAINING CHAIN CATEGORY LEADERSHIPMILLERCOORS GAINING CHAIN CATEGORY LEADERSHIP
24%30%
35%
45% 47%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
24% 47% MillerCoors Category Captain
CM Profit group named MillerCoors the number-one alcohol beverage supplier
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RETAILERS SEE STRONGER CATEGORY GROWTH WITH MILLERCOORS AS CAPTAIN
RETAILERS SEE STRONGER CATEGORY GROWTH WITH MILLERCOORS AS CAPTAIN
Source Nielsen Latest 52 weeks Dec. 2013
+ 3.2 pts.over ABI
MillerCoors Captain
-0.5
3
2
1
0
-1
3
2
1
0
-1
+2.7
ABI Captain
Good for retailers. Good for distributors. Good for MillerCoors.
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BUILDING WITH BEERBUILDING WITH BEER
Goal: Accelerate Premium Light growth by 2% trend improvement
• Through May, more than 165 distributors have been trained
• Nearly half are seeing positive or flat trend improvement on Premium Lights
• Pilot distributors, on average, are seeing 1.9% Premium Light trend improvement
Over $4.0M in distributor revenue gained so far through the initiative
Distributors who have used SmartSKU have seen positive results:
• Programs completed in May, 64% of SKUs placed on the shelf were reordered, nearly double the average rate historically
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SMARTSKUSMARTSKU
Source Nielsen Latest 52 weeks 12-7-13
REVENUE MANAGEMENTREVENUE MANAGEMENT
39
• Optimizing price and mix
• Cutting-edge tools
• Power of premium lights on premise
• Better insights to grow independents/small accounts
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BRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERSBRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERS
CANADA UPDATE: STEWART GLENDINNING, CEO CANADACANADA UPDATE: STEWART GLENDINNING, CEO CANADA
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CANADACANADA
CANADA
Major Breweries
Challenging Beer Category
• Average annual decline of 1% since 2009
• Lingering unemployment limiting growth
• Continuing challenges from wine and spirits
Margins have been under pressure as discounting and promotions have been more frequent
Focused on driving change
• Strong brand building led to market share gains by Molson Canadian –best performance in 10 years
• Double digit growth in our craft brands Creemore Springs and Granville Island
• Increasing share of above premium with successful rollout of Coors Banquet
• Grew share in 2013 in value brands
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DESPITE HEADWINDS, OUR CANADA BUSINESS IS DRIVING CHANGEDESPITE HEADWINDS, OUR CANADA BUSINESS IS DRIVING CHANGE
• Attacking our cost base and increasing our execution capability• We have a clear plan for addressing underperformance by Coors Light
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BRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERSBRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERS
DRIVING SHARE
IN ABOVE PREMIUM
DRIVE COST SAVINGS AND
COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE
DELIVERING VALUE
ADDED INNOVATION
INVESTING BEHIND
CORE BRANDS
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
What How
Strong marketingsupport
50% of volume, over 60% of marketing spend
Innovation driving newsVented cans for a smoother pour, wide-mouth aluminum bottle
Sponsorships provide important activation opportunities
NHL, football, music
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INVESTING BEHIND OUR CORE BRANDSINVESTING BEHIND OUR CORE BRANDS
Core brands are the backbone of our business
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Market Size Lead Brands Market Position Total MCBC Share
Ontario Coors Light / Canadian 1st, 2nd
Quebec Coors Light 1st
Alberta Molson Canadian 3rd
BC Molson Canadian 2nd
Manitoba Coors Light 6th
Saskatchewan Coors Light / Canadian 1st, 2nd
Nova Scotia Coors Light 3rd
New Brunswick Coors Light 3rd
Newfoundland Coors Light / Canadian 1st, 3rd
PEI Coors Light / Canadian 2nd, 3rd
BRAND BUILDING: LEADING POSITIONS ACROSS CANADABRAND BUILDING: LEADING POSITIONS ACROSS CANADA
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CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Turnaround a result of:
• Strong creative execution and integrated supporting programs
• Fully leveraged hockey and music pillars
• Innovation behind core lager and extended trademark
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BRAND BUILDING – CORE: MOLSON CANADIAN GROWING SHAREBRAND BUILDING – CORE: MOLSON CANADIAN GROWING SHARE
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q12014
Molson Canadian National Market Share
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Turnaround a result of:
• Strong creative execution and integrated supporting programs
• Fully leveraged hockey and music pillars
• Innovation behind core lager and extended trademark
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BRAND BUILDING – CORE: MOLSON CANADIAN GROWING SHAREBRAND BUILDING – CORE: MOLSON CANADIAN GROWING SHARE
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q12014
Molson Canadian National Market Share
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Areas of focus:
• Strong creative execution and integrated supporting programs
• Innovation behind core lager and extended trademark
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LEVERAGING LEARNING'S FOR COORS LIGHTLEVERAGING LEARNING'S FOR COORS LIGHT
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Coors Light National Market Share
LEVERAGING LEARNINGS FOR COORS LIGHT TURNAROUNDLEVERAGING LEARNINGS FOR COORS LIGHT TURNAROUND
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New creative platform: • Re-engage with Millennial and
Generation X with a new creative
More integrating programs:• We will bring back optimized integrated
programs that are more competitive across both retail & on-premise
Innovation:• Focus on rollout of Banquet across the
country, as well as, the launch of vented cans
Win at the point of sale:• Improved store execution leveraging
the power of the Coors master brand and appropriate local promotions to support demand
CONNECTING WITH CONSUMERS EMOTIONALLYCONNECTING WITH CONSUMERS EMOTIONALLY
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• Our campaign aims to connect more closely with Millennials and Gen Xers
• Our marketing focus has been more on functional benefits
• Our social media sites have a large following of actively engaged consumers
• Coors Light is at its best when it’s humorous and edgy with a point of view
• Coors Light is getting back to its roots
COORS LIGHT LOVESEAT
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Key Strategies:
• 6 Pints expansion into Quebec
• 6 Pints added to portfolio for Mainstream selling organization
• Portfolio expansion with more experimental offerings E.g. Mad and Noisy
• Innovation driving news with retailers –more limited time / seasonal offerings
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OWNED ABOVE PREMIUM VOLUME IS UP OVER 50% SINCE 2009OWNED ABOVE PREMIUM VOLUME IS UP OVER 50% SINCE 2009
(HL 000s)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Molson Coors Canada Owned Above Premium Volume
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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HIGH REVENUE INNOVATION BUILDING MARGINSHIGH REVENUE INNOVATION BUILDING MARGINS
$30
* 24 bottle equivalent – Based on 2014 rates in all provinces
Innovation 3% of volume; 4% of revenue
Value
Premium
Above Premium
Craft
$35
$40
$45
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
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COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE DRIVING IMPROVED EFFICIENCYCOMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE DRIVING IMPROVED EFFICIENCY
From To
4 regional selling organizations 2 regional selling organizations
Separate sales and marketing leads One Chief Commercial Officer
Local back office Global “one way” approach forback-office functions
Local sales autonomy and non-standard processes
Standard field sales management disciplines across the country
Supported by revenue management capability
Right sizing the business• Set ourselves up with a sustainable business model, and a competitive cost base
• Reduced headcount; bigger, fewer roles
• Standardize and simplify processes
Reducing our spend• Improve our manufacturing efficiency and productivity
• Eliminate non-working dollars
• Use global purchasing power to drive lower costs
RESETTING OUR COST BASERESETTING OUR COST BASE
Driving sustainable cost savings
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BRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERSBRAND-LED GROWTH ENABLERS
DRIVING SHARE
IN ABOVE PREMIUM
DRIVE COST SAVINGS AND
COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE
DELIVERING VALUE
ADDED INNOVATION
INVESTING BEHIND
CORE BRANDS
EUROPE UPDATE: MARK HUNTER, CEO EUROPEEUROPE UPDATE: MARK HUNTER, CEO EUROPE
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CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
EUROPE SHAPED BY STARBEV DEAL AND INTEGRATION OF UK AND IRELANDEUROPE SHAPED BY STARBEV DEAL AND INTEGRATION OF UK AND IRELAND
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UNITED KINGDOM #2
ROMANIA #3
BULGARIA #1
HUNGARY #3CROATIA #1 MONTENEGRO #1BOSNIA &
HERZEGOVINA #1SERBIA #1
SLOVAKIA #3CZECH REPUBLIC#2
Overall MCE market share position and lead brand in each market
Molson Coors Europe was shaped by the Starbev acquisition in 2012and the integration of the UK and Ireland business with central Europe in 2013
IRELAND #3
* Non-GAAP underlying pretax income and EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) are calculated excluding special and other non-core items from U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
61
MOLSON COORS EUROPE IS A SCALE BUSINESSMOLSON COORS EUROPE IS A SCALE BUSINESS
($ in millions) 2013 % of Molson Coors
Market Share 21.0%
Net Sales $2,128.3 28.4%
Gross Profit $770.8 26.1%
Underlying Pretax Income* $213.3 24.6%
Underlying EBITDA* $391.1 26.6%
Europe drives 28% of MCBC sales, nearly 27% of underlying EBITDA
• Executive Leadership team changes completed
• Starbev/MCBC systems and process integration completed/on track
• Synergies ahead of plan
• UK and Ireland integration with Central Europe accelerated by 12 months
• Significant transfer of best practice taking place
• Supply Chain, Commercial, IS and HR
• Governance and cultural integration all on track
62
ACQUISITION AND INTEGRATION DELIVER ON BENEFITSACQUISITION AND INTEGRATION DELIVER ON BENEFITS
Delivering profit and share growth and margin expansion, despite difficult European trading conditions
63
POSITIVE PERFORMANCE PROGRESSPOSITIVE PERFORMANCE PROGRESS
($ in millions) Q1 2014 Q1 2013 Change
Sales Volume (000s HL) 4,085 3,868 +5.6%
Net Sales $437.6 $406.4 +7.7%
Gross Profit Margin 34.6% 30.8% 380 bp
Underlying Pre-tax Income* $16.2 $(5.3) n/a
Underlying EBITDA* $59.3 $40.0 +48.3%
* Non-GAAP underlying pretax income and EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) are calculated excluding special and other non-core items from U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
We have made positive performance progress, and 2014 has started strongly
64
EUROPEAN OPERATING CONTEXTEUROPEAN OPERATING CONTEXT
GDP FUTURE FORECASTS IMPROVING
INNOVATION AND CORE+/ABOVE PREMIUM ACCELERATION
ENHANCED JOINT BUSINESS PLANNING CAPABILITY
ENHANCED REVENUE MANAGEMENT CAPABILITY
SLUGGISH GDP GROWTH LEADING TO VOLATILE DEMAND
GROWTH IN VALUE SEGMENT
SHIFT TO KEY ACCOUNTS
GROWTH IN LOWER-MARGIN PACKS
The European operating context remains challenging but with a number of emerging tailwinds…
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
Segment UK Bulgaria Croatia Czech Hungary Montenegro Romania Serbia
Above Premium
#2 #1 #1 #5 #3 #1 #4 #1
Mainstream
#1 #1 #1 #2 #2 #1 #3 #1
Value#5 #1 #1 #3 #1 #5 #1
Note: excludes Ireland, Bosnia and Slovakia
65
MC EUROPE IS BRAND-DRIVEN, WITH BROAD AND DEEP PORTFOLIO STRENGTH…. INCLUDING PARTNER BRANDS
MC EUROPE IS BRAND-DRIVEN, WITH BROAD AND DEEP PORTFOLIO STRENGTH…. INCLUDING PARTNER BRANDS
66
OUR MC EUROPE STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK IS CLEAR AND ALIGNED WITH GLOBAL MCBC PRIORITIES
OUR MC EUROPE STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK IS CLEAR AND ALIGNED WITH GLOBAL MCBC PRIORITIES
DOUBLE ABOVE
PREMIUM
GROW CORE
BRANDSGROW TOP LINE WITH
INNOVATIONS
• One Way Approach• MC Commercial
Excellence Program• World Class Supply
Chain• Engagement and Talent
Our ambition is to be the fastest-growing beer company in Europe
CARLING HAS PERFORMED STRONGLY OVER LAST 18 MONTHSCARLING HAS PERFORMED STRONGLY OVER LAST 18 MONTHS
29%31%
32%
34%
25%
30%
35%
2012 2013 Q1'13 Q1'14
Carling Segment Market Share in the U.K.
-2%-6%
9%
1%
-5%
3%1%
13%
7%
2%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14
Mainstream Lager Carling
Carling Volume Evolution in the U.K.
67
FLAVORED EXTENSIONS
ON-TRADE FOCUS
CIDER
NEW ADVERTISING
Source: UK Industry Data
NEW ADVERTISING
ON-TRADE FOCUS
CIDER CONSUMER PROMOTIONS
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• COMMERCIAL #1
OZUJSKO IN CROATIA DEMONSTRATES THE STRENGTH OF OUR BRAND-BUILDING CAPABILITY
OZUJSKO IN CROATIA DEMONSTRATES THE STRENGTH OF OUR BRAND-BUILDING CAPABILITY
-8%-6%
-4% -5%
3%
-7%
2% 2%
-1%
6%
-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%
Q1'13 Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14
Mainstream Lager Ozujsko
Ozujsko Volume Evolution in Croatia
41% 43% 42% 43%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2012 2013 Q1'13 Q1'14
Ozujsko Segment Market Share
69
NEW BOTTLE
DIGITAL BRILLIANT EXECUTION
SUPER DRY EXTENSIONNEW FLAVORS
Source: Nielsen
70
• COMMERCIAL #1
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
71
ABOVE-PREMIUM AND CRAFT PORTFOLIO GROWING RAPIDLYABOVE-PREMIUM AND CRAFT PORTFOLIO GROWING RAPIDLY
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2011 2012 2013
Above-Premium Beer Sales Volume in HL (000s)
+27% compound annual growth rate
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
72
OUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY – COORS LIGHTOUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY – COORS LIGHT
0
200
400
600
800
2011 2012 2013
Coors Light U.K. Sales Volume in HL (000s)
Coors Light has built momentum and scale in the UK, +40% CAGR
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
73
OUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY -- STAROPRAMENOUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY -- STAROPRAMEN
0
100
200
300
400
500
2011 2012 2013
Europe Sales Volume Outside Czech in HL (000s)
Staropramen is growing strongly outside of the Czech Republic, +22% CAGR
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
74
OUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY – DOOM BAROUR PORTFOLIO IS GROWING RAPIDLY – DOOM BAR
0
100
200
300
2011 2012 2013
Doom Bar growing rapidly and became #1 cask ale in the UK On trade, +22% CAGR
Sales Volume in HL (000s)
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
75
INNOVATION PIPELINE FROM 2012 TO 2014 HAS DRIVEN IMPROVED PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE AND MARGIN EXPANSION
INNOVATION PIPELINE FROM 2012 TO 2014 HAS DRIVEN IMPROVED PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE AND MARGIN EXPANSION
NEW FLAVORS FLAVORED BEERS AND COOLERS
PACKAGING INNOVATIONS
BREWERS LEMONADE CIDER SUPER DRY
On track to generate 7% of net sales from innovations
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
76
PERFORMANCE IS UNDERPINNED BY COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE, WHICH IS NOW BEING LIFTED AND SHIFTED GLOBALLY
PERFORMANCE IS UNDERPINNED BY COMMERCIAL EXCELLENCE, WHICH IS NOW BEING LIFTED AND SHIFTED GLOBALLY
CONSISTENT GLOBAL FRAMEWORK
CAPABILITIES
Management and People
Global Standard Technology
Commercial Excellence Academy
ENABLERS
PILOT AREA: OUTCOMES
Field Sales Management
Revenue Management
UK: VOLUME IMPROVEMENT
CANADA: VOLUME IMPROVEMENT
+6.5% Distribution vs. Control
+18% Brilliant Execution
+6 calls/day Call Coverage
+2.2% Distribution vs. Control
+14% Brilliant Execution
+4 calls/day Call Coverage
• Acquisition and integration has gone smoothly
• Synergies ahead of plan
• UK and Ireland integration with Central Europe accelerated by 12 months
• Positive performance, 2014 started strongly
• Brand-driven business with broad and deep portfolio
• Strategic framework:
• Grow core brands
• Double above premium
• Grow top line with innovations
• Commercial Excellence
77
MOLSON COORS EUROPE DRIVING SHAREHOLDER VALUEMOLSON COORS EUROPE DRIVING SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Ambition: To be the fastest growing beer company in Europe
78
FINANCIAL UPDATE: GAVIN HATTERSLEY, CFOMOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANY
FINANCIAL UPDATE: GAVIN HATTERSLEY, CFOMOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANY
• Investing behind core brands• Driving share in above premium • Delivering value-added innovation• Commercial excellence• Cost reductions
BRAND-LED PROFITGROWTH
• Capital expenditure driving efficiencies• Working capital improvements
CASHGENERATION
• Disciplined cash use• Return-driven criteria• Short-term priority: deleverage
CASH AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION
79
DRIVING TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN WITH PACC MODELDRIVING TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURN WITH PACC MODEL
ProfitAfter
CapitalCharge
(TSR)TOTAL
SHAREHOLDER RETURN
$441
$541
$646 $642 $719
$794 $821 $865 $865
$55 $107
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1'13 Q1'14
($m
illio
ns)
MCBC Underlying Pretax Income (*)
80
UNDERLYING EARNINGS GROWTH IN TOUGH TIMES…UNDERLYING EARNINGS GROWTH IN TOUGH TIMES…
* Non-GAAP underlying pretax income is calculated by excluding special and other non-core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.
Pretax income growth over the past 8 years totaled 96%
$1,106 $1,100 $1,091 $1,127 $1,212 $1,267
$1,398 $1,469
$209 $251
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1'13 Q1'14
($m
illio
ns)
Underlying EBITDA1
81
…AND STEADY, STRONG, GROWING EBITDA…AND STEADY, STRONG, GROWING EBITDA
1 Non-GAAP underlying EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) is calculated excluding special and other non-core items from U.S. GAAP earnings. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. Includes 42% of MillerCoors.
2013: +5.1%, to nearly $8 per share; 2014 1st Q: +20.4%
$0.64 $0.64 $0.76
$0.92
$1.08
$1.24 $1.28 $1.28
$1.48
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E
(div
iden
d pe
r sha
re)
Dividends Paid (Annual Per Share)
82
GROWING CASH RETURNS VIA DIVIDENDSGROWING CASH RETURNS VIA DIVIDENDS
New dividend payout ratio of 18%-22% of trailing underlying EBITDA
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
$81 $185
$331 $442
$657
$851 $958
$1,078 $1,195
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
($m
illio
ns)
Cumulative Annualized Cost Savings (*)
83
COST REDUCTIONS HELP TO DRIVE TOP LINE AND BOTTOM LINECOST REDUCTIONS HELP TO DRIVE TOP LINE AND BOTTOM LINE
* Including 42% of MillerCoors cost savings
Nearly $1.2 billion of cost savings delivered in past 9 years
CASH AND CAPITALCASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH
84
ONGOING COST EFFICIENCIES WILL FUEL GROWTH INVESTMENTSONGOING COST EFFICIENCIES WILL FUEL GROWTH INVESTMENTS
Long-term sustainability
• Captured more than $70 million of savings in 2013*
• Savings of $40-$60 million/year for at least the next 4 years*
• Near the high end of the range for the next 1-2 years
• Includes Central Europe deal synergies
Driven through: efficiency and effectiveness
• Restructuring U.K., Canada, International
• Reduced overhead expenses, primarily Canada
• Global procurement
* Excludes MillerCoors cost savings.
Substantial % of savings reinvested for profitable growth
CASH AND CAPITALBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
Capital Spending• 2014 outlook: $330 million*
• Supply chain work in Canada
• Innovation in Canada and Europe
• Higher than maintenance capital
• Expect to maintain similar capital spend levels in 2015
Maintaining working capital improvements• Accounts payable
• Accounts receivable
• Inventories
85
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY DRIVES CASH AND VALUECAPITAL EFFICIENCY DRIVES CASH AND VALUE
* Excludes MillerCoors capital spending
PACC drives focus on cash and capital efficiency
CASH AND CAPITALBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
INCREASING WORKING CAPITAL EFFICIENCYINCREASING WORKING CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
62
52
45
50
55
60
65
2012 2013
Day Sales Outstanding
86
19
-4
-10-505
101520
2012 2013
Cash Conversion Cycle (*)
76
86
70
75
80
85
90
2012 2013
Days Payables Outstanding
33
29
26
28
30
32
34
2012 2013
Days Inventory Outstanding
* Note: Cash Conversion Cycle = DSO+DIO-DPO Totals may not sum due to rounding
Driving future improvements, including in supply chain financing
CASH AND CAPITALBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH GENERATION
PROFIT, CAPITAL EFFICIENCY & STRUCTURE DRIVE CASH FLOWPROFIT, CAPITAL EFFICIENCY & STRUCTURE DRIVE CASH FLOW
$426
$315
$508
$681
$887
$618
$865 $892
$700
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E (1)
($m
illio
ns)
MCBC Underlying Free Cash Flow (*)
87
* Underlying free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow, less capital spending, plus or minus investing cash from/to MillerCoors and plus or minus the cash impact of special and other non-core items. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website. (1) Forecast, plus or minus 10%.
Very cash generative business, even after substantial investments in brands, etc.
CASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH AND CAPITAL
SHORT-TERM CASH USE PRIORITY: DELEVERAGESHORT-TERM CASH USE PRIORITY: DELEVERAGE
2.8x3.0x 3.0x
3.6x
2.8x 2.9x
4.4x
3.2x
2.9x
1.8x 1.6x1.4x
0.8x 0.6x0.7x
2.8x
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Pro Forma
2013 2015Goal
S&P Adjusted Debt / EBITDA Net debt to EBITDA
<2x
2.3x
(1)
88
(1) Total debt less cash, divided by the sum of underlying pretax income, plus interest and depreciation & amortization expense (incl. 42% of MillerCoors). See reconciliations to nearest US GAAP measures on our website.
CASH GENERATIONBRAND-LED PROFIT GROWTH CASH AND CAPITAL
89
KEY VALUE DRIVER: DISCIPLINED CASH USEKEY VALUE DRIVER: DISCIPLINED CASH USE
Cash use priorities
• Strengthen balance sheet by reducing liabilities
• Return cash to shareholders
• Brand-led growth opportunities
Short-term focus: Balance sheet, especially debt (to pre-Central Europe levels)
• 16% increase in dividend 1st Q 2014
• New payout ratio: 18-22% of trailing year EBITDA
• Share buy-backs can be considered after deleverage
Consistent return-driven criteria
• Short-term earnings accretion
• ROIC/WACC within 3-5 years
BRAND-LED PROFITGROWTH
CASHGENERATION
CASH AND CAPITAL ALLOCATION
STRONG BASE, DRIVING TSRSTRONG BASE, DRIVING TSR
90
Strategy, PACC Model Drive Value, Alignment2013 Results: • Achieved higher underlying
pretax and EPS
• Grew underlying EBITDA
• Exceeded cost savings targets
• Improved cash conversion cycle
• Generated nearly $900 million in underlying free cash flow
• Paid down more than $800 million in debt and cross-currency swaps
Strategy working, committed to PACC
91
PETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO MOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANYPETER SWINBURN, PRESIDENT & CEO MOLSON COORS BREWING COMPANY
• The fundamentals of our business are strong and improving
• We have a disciplined growth strategy that is yielding improved financial results
• We have a strong team that has consistently delivered on its promises
• Molson Coors is well positioned to grow as economic conditions continue to improve
92
MOLSON COORS IS WELL POSITIONED TO GROWMOLSON COORS IS WELL POSITIONED TO GROW
M O L S O N C O O R S B R E W I N G C O M PA N Y A N N U A L N E W Y O R K I N V E S T O R / A N A LY S T M E E T I N G
J U N E 2 5 , 2 0 1 4
93